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Wednesday at 9:00 PM			N CAROLINA (16-7) AT DUKE (21-2)
						Offensive Statistics			Defensive Statistics
Teams	Line	PF/PA	SU	ATS	O/U	FG%	FT%	3PT%	FG%	FT%	3PT%
799: N CAROLINA 800: DUKE	153.0 -11.0	78.3 / 69.3 78.2 / 64.2	16-7 21-2	11-9 13-10	10-9 9-10	44.5 47.3	64.8 71.1	36.7 40.9	41.0 40.9	69.1 70.5	35.2 30.4

Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.

	Power Rating
	Estimate	Edge
N CAROLINA
DUKE	-9

Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.

N CAROLINA - Recent ATS Trends
	Against the spread			Over/Under			Straight Up
	Current	Last 3	Since 1997	Current	Last 3	Since 1997	Current	Last 3	Since 1997
Description	W-L	W-L	W-L	O-U	O-U	O-U	W-L	W-L	W-L
in all games	11-9	47-43	265-240	10-9	43-46	221-198	16-7	77-21	406-146
in all lined games	11-9	47-43	265-240	10-9	43-46	221-198	13-7	70-21	370-143
when the total is 150 to 159.5	2-2	15-15	77-69	2-2	13-17	76-70	2-2	22-8	99-49
as an underdog	1-4	5-8	46-57	2-3	4-9	45-48	1-4	3-10	32-73
as a road underdog of 9.5 to 12 points	0-1	1-1	2-3	0-1	0-2	2-3	0-1	0-2	1-4
in road games	3-5	14-14	82-82	4-4	13-15	66-71	4-5	19-10	106-67
in road lined games	3-5	14-14	82-82	4-4	13-15	66-71	3-5	18-10	99-66
in a road game where the total is 150 to 154.5	1-1	2-4	12-12	0-2	3-3	14-9	1-1	5-1	13-11
against conference opponents	5-5	25-22	134-141	5-4	22-25	123-111	6-4	38-10	187-96
in February games	1-2	12-7	58-56	2-0	8-10	51-42	2-1	16-3	76-40
on Wednesday games	1-1	8-4	49-50	2-0	5-7	44-41	2-1	10-3	72-31
after a conference game	5-4	26-20	134-138	5-3	23-23	122-111	6-3	38-9	192-90
off a loss against a conference rival	2-1	7-2	54-37	1-2	4-5	41-36	2-1	8-1	62-31
after allowing 80 points or more	3-1	8-6	59-51	4-0	7-7	51-42	5-1	13-3	86-37
when playing against a team with a winning record	6-9	34-32	218-192	8-6	29-36	179-172	8-7	49-19	296-134
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games	3-3	25-17	131-117	3-2	20-21	117-102	4-2	35-8	171-83
versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games	0-1	5-4	52-41	1-0	5-3	42-38	0-1	6-3	50-44
versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game	1-3	9-10	89-75	2-2	9-9	72-66	2-2	11-9	100-72

DUKE - Recent ATS Trends
	Against the spread			Over/Under			Straight Up
	Current	Last 3	Since 1997	Current	Last 3	Since 1997	Current	Last 3	Since 1997
Description	W-L	W-L	W-L	O-U	O-U	O-U	W-L	W-L	W-L
in all games	13-10	46-47	274-245	9-10	46-42	224-227	21-2	80-14	475-85
in all lined games	13-10	46-47	274-245	9-10	46-42	224-227	21-2	79-14	447-85
when the total is 150 to 159.5	0-1	5-14	59-68	1-0	11-7	61-65	0-1	16-3	107-22
as a favorite	12-10	44-44	260-234	8-10	42-41	212-216	20-2	77-11	437-69
as a home favorite of 9.5 to 12 points	1-0	1-7	14-14	0-0	5-2	18-9	1-0	6-2	23-6
in all home games	6-6	19-25	122-99	4-6	21-21	95-94	12-0	42-3	234-16
in home lined games	6-6	19-25	122-99	4-6	21-21	95-94	12-0	41-3	212-16
in a home game where the total is 150 to 154.5	0-0	1-9	13-17	0-0	6-4	18-12	0-0	9-1	28-2
against conference opponents	5-5	22-25	153-134	4-4	20-25	127-126	8-2	38-9	237-55
in February games	2-1	13-7	66-59	0-2	6-13	55-54	3-0	18-2	101-27
on Wednesday games	2-3	13-8	55-51	1-3	7-12	40-54	4-1	18-3	90-21
after a conference game	5-4	23-23	148-133	4-3	22-22	127-122	7-2	36-10	237-54
off a win against a conference rival	3-4	18-19	121-105	2-3	17-18	101-98	5-2	28-9	196-40
when playing against a team with a winning record	11-8	32-36	220-203	9-7	35-29	198-177	17-2	55-13	359-81
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games	4-3	17-21	126-136	4-1	19-17	132-107	5-2	27-11	206-66
versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games	1-1	3-4	52-57	1-0	3-3	55-43	1-1	4-3	70-40
versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game	1-3	3-12	89-84	2-1	9-5	83-74	3-1	11-4	131-45

Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.

N CAROLINA - Current Season Performance
	Straight Up		Against Spread		Team				Opponent
	W-L	Units	W-L	O-U	Score	Half	FG Pct	Reb.	Score	Half	FG Pct	Reb.
All Games	16-7	-5.5	11-9	10-9	78.3	37.4	44.5%	41.7	69.3	30.3	41.0%	37.0
Road Games	5-6	-6.8	4-6	5-5	76.1	35.5	43.8%	39.5	73.9	35.1	43.0%	36.8
Last 5 Games	3-2	-1	2-3	4-0	77.0	34.8	44.4%	36.6	74.0	36.2	46.1%	34.6
Conference Games	6-4	-0.4	5-5	5-4	71.4	34.6	42.7%	37.6	68.6	31.8	44.3%	34.9

N CAROLINA Team Statistics
			Shooting		3pt Shooting		Free Throws		Rebounding
	PPG	Half	FGM-A	Pct	FGM-A	PCT	FTM-A	Pct	Tot	Off	Ast	PF	Stl	TO	Bk
Team Stats (All Games)	78.3	37.4	30-67	44.5%	7-19	36.7%	12-18	64.8%	42	13	18	15	8	13	4
vs opponents surrendering	66.9	31.5	24-57	41.8%	6-19	32.9%	13-19	67.9%	35	10	13	18	7	13	3
Team Stats (Road Games)	76.1	35.5	29-66	43.8%	8-21	36.7%	10-15	67.9%	40	12	16	16	8	13	4
Stats Against (All Games)	69.3	30.3	25-62	41.0%	7-21	35.2%	11-16	69.1%	37	10	13	17	7	16	4
vs opponents averaging	69.6	32.1	25-56	43.9%	6-19	34.6%	14-20	68.9%	36	10	13	17	7	14	4
Stats Against (Road Games)	73.9	35.1	26-61	43.0%	9-21	40.3%	13-17	73.8%	37	9	14	15	6	14	4

DUKE - Current Season Performance
	Straight Up		Against Spread		Team				Opponent
	W-L	Units	W-L	O-U	Score	Half	FG Pct	Reb.	Score	Half	FG Pct	Reb.
All Games	21-2	+8.4	13-10	9-10	78.2	36.4	47.3%	35.2	64.2	29.9	40.9%	35.3
Home Games	12-0	+3	6-6	4-6	81.7	38.1	48.8%	37.3	60.5	27.9	38.6%	36.0
Last 5 Games	5-0	+4	3-2	1-2	79.6	42.0	51.8%	30.0	68.0	32.2	46.1%	31.0
Conference Games	8-2	+1.4	5-5	4-4	75.8	36.1	46.1%	34.3	67.3	31.2	44.7%	35.5

DUKE Team Statistics
			Shooting		3pt Shooting		Free Throws		Rebounding
	PPG	Half	FGM-A	Pct	FGM-A	PCT	FTM-A	Pct	Tot	Off	Ast	PF	Stl	TO	Bk
Team Stats (All Games)	78.2	36.4	27-58	47.3%	8-19	40.9%	16-22	71.1%	35	9	16	17	7	11	4
vs opponents surrendering	65	30.3	23-56	41.4%	6-18	33.6%	13-18	68.6%	34	9	12	18	6	14	3
Team Stats (Home Games)	81.7	38.1	29-60	48.8%	9-21	43.3%	14-22	64.1%	37	9	17	16	7	11	4
Stats Against (All Games)	64.2	29.9	24-58	40.9%	5-15	30.4%	12-17	70.5%	35	10	9	19	5	15	3
vs opponents averaging	70.9	33.6	25-56	44.9%	6-18	34.8%	14-20	69.5%	36	10	13	17	7	13	4
Stats Against (Home Games)	60.5	27.9	23-58	38.6%	5-16	30.3%	10-15	67.2%	36	10	8	20	5	16	2

Average power rating of opponents played: N CAROLINA 74.1, DUKE 76.4

Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.

All games in this series since 1997

N CAROLINA is 20-16 against the spread versus DUKE since 1997

DUKE is 23-13 straight up against N CAROLINA since 1997

16 of 32 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997

Games over the last 3 seasons

N CAROLINA is 3-2 against the spread versus DUKE over the last 3 seasons

DUKE is 3-2 straight up against N CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons

3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at DUKE since 1997

N CAROLINA is 12-3 against the spread versus DUKE since 1997

DUKE is 9-6 straight up against N CAROLINA since 1997

7 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997

Games played at DUKE over the last 3 seasons.

N CAROLINA is 2-0 against the spread versus DUKE over the last 3 seasons

DUKE is 1-1 straight up against N CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons

1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

						Shooting		3pt shots		Free Throws		Rebounds
Date	Teams	Score	Line	Result	Half	FGM-A	Pct	FGM-A	Pct	FTM-A	Pct	Tot.	OFF	TO
3/3/2012	N CAROLINA	88	-2	SU ATS	48	36-66	54.5%	4-13	30.8%	12-15	80.0%	45	13	12
	DUKE	70	154.5	Over	24	26-63	41.3%	6-21	28.6%	12-21	57.1%	28	7	6
2/8/2012	DUKE	85	155	SU ATS	40	27-62	43.5%	14-36	38.9%	17-26	65.4%	35	10	10
	N CAROLINA	84	-6	Over	43	31-63	49.2%	1-6	16.7%	21-30	70.0%	42	14	9
3/13/2011	DUKE	75	-4	SU ATS	42	29-58	50.0%	9-20	45.0%	8-15	53.3%	36	7	12
N	N CAROLINA	58	147.5	Under	28	21-62	33.9%	2-8	25.0%	14-21	66.7%	44	15	16
3/5/2011	DUKE	67	149	Under	39	22-62	35.5%	6-27	22.2%	17-22	77.3%	35	10	9
	N CAROLINA	81	-1.5	SU ATS	51	33-63	52.4%	4-9	44.4%	11-21	52.4%	42	10	10
2/9/2011	N CAROLINA	73	156.5	ATS	43	29-68	42.6%	2-14	14.3%	13-22	59.1%	47	14	14
	DUKE	79	-10	SU Under	29	28-68	41.2%	8-26	30.8%	15-23	65.2%	41	15	12

Team Line Action - Where the money is going!

Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.

As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring N CAROLINA in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in N CAROLINA games 48.1% of the time since 1997. (203-219)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in N CAROLINA games 49.4% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (39-40)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in DUKE games 48.9% of the time since 1997. (207-216)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in DUKE games 57.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (49-36)
No Edge.

As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the OVER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in N CAROLINA games 47.6% of the time since 1997. (172-189)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in N CAROLINA games 46.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (37-42)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in DUKE games 47.8% of the time since 1997. (194-212)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in DUKE games 44.9% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (35-43)
No Edge.

Key Player Injuries

N CAROLINA

[F] 02/12/2013 - Joel James expected to miss Wednesday vs. Duke ( Concussion )

DUKE

[F] 01/11/2013 - Ryan Kelly out indefinitely ( Foot )

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UPDATED:

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5/31/2018 - 8/5/2018

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