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| The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
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| All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
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| in all games | 7-8 | 33-41 | 200-218 | 2-0 | 29-31 | 112-118 | 9-9 | 43-41 | 262-224 | | in all lined games | 7-8 | 33-41 | 200-218 | 2-0 | 29-31 | 112-118 | 6-9 | 35-41 | 216-219 | | when the total is 140 to 149.5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 4-1 | 8-6 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 5-9 | | as a favorite | 4-6 | 14-23 | 96-113 | 1-0 | 7-21 | 49-68 | 4-6 | 25-13 | 159-58 | | as a road favorite of 3 points or less or pick | 0-0 | 0-1 | 12-11 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 14-10 | | in road games | 3-3 | 13-16 | 88-88 | 1-0 | 19-5 | 60-40 | 2-4 | 8-23 | 63-132 | | in road lined games | 3-3 | 13-16 | 88-88 | 1-0 | 19-5 | 60-40 | 2-4 | 8-23 | 58-130 | | in a road game where the total is 140 to 144.5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2-0 | 4-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0-5 | | against conference opponents | 0-6 | 17-28 | 138-156 | 0-0 | 21-18 | 79-80 | 0-6 | 15-31 | 142-163 | | in January games | 0-5 | 10-15 | 62-74 | 0-0 | 12-7 | 42-33 | 0-5 | 8-17 | 62-80 | | after a conference game | 0-5 | 18-26 | 139-149 | 0-0 | 22-16 | 75-81 | 0-5 | 15-30 | 148-156 | | off a loss against a conference rival | 0-5 | 10-19 | 68-81 | 0-0 | 13-10 | 43-40 | 0-5 | 8-21 | 69-84 | | after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games | 0-3 | 3-8 | 23-28 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 9-17 | 0-3 | 4-7 | 28-34 | | after 3 or more consecutive losses | 1-3 | 6-9 | 25-29 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 10-14 | 1-3 | 4-11 | 23-37 | | when playing against a team with a losing record | 2-2 | 8-13 | 54-75 | 1-0 | 8-10 | 31-31 | 3-2 | 18-7 | 108-48 | | when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games | 0-2 | 2-7 | 33-44 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 13-17 | 0-2 | 5-4 | 49-30 |
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| in all games | 8-6 | 29-43 | 227-236 | 0-0 | 29-30 | 120-139 | 8-9 | 29-51 | 295-200 | | in all lined games | 8-6 | 29-43 | 227-236 | 0-0 | 29-30 | 120-139 | 5-9 | 23-50 | 275-195 | | when the total is 140 to 149.5 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 9-9 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 9-9 | | as an underdog | 5-2 | 19-29 | 92-88 | 0-0 | 21-21 | 54-55 | 1-6 | 9-40 | 59-123 | | as a home underdog of 3 points or less or pick | 0-0 | 3-1 | 8-6 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3-1 | 7-7 | | in all home games | 1-2 | 12-18 | 91-107 | 0-0 | 14-13 | 52-57 | 4-1 | 18-17 | 166-51 | | in home lined games | 1-2 | 12-18 | 91-107 | 0-0 | 14-13 | 52-57 | 2-1 | 14-16 | 152-50 | | in a home game where the total is 140 to 144.5 | 0-0 | 3-1 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3-1 | 4-2 | | against conference opponents | 3-3 | 17-27 | 145-151 | 0-0 | 21-18 | 80-82 | 1-5 | 12-33 | 179-125 | | in January games | 3-2 | 12-13 | 75-67 | 0-0 | 12-9 | 38-42 | 1-4 | 9-17 | 89-61 | | after a conference game | 3-2 | 17-25 | 143-148 | 0-0 | 20-18 | 78-86 | 2-4 | 14-31 | 177-126 | | off a loss against a conference rival | 2-2 | 11-19 | 58-56 | 0-0 | 14-12 | 40-33 | 1-3 | 11-19 | 65-52 |
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| Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
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| All Games | 9-9 | -22.8 | 7-8 | 2-0 | 76.3 | 36.8 | 47.1% | 35.2 | 69.7 | 31.6 | 43.6% | 34.8 | | Road Games | 3-5 | -6.8 | 4-4 | 2-0 | 70.5 | 30.5 | 42.9% | 35.0 | 72.0 | 32.5 | 43.5% | 39.4 | | Last 5 Games | 0-5 | -19.5 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 65.2 | 29.8 | 40.7% | 33.4 | 73.4 | 33.2 | 48.5% | 35.8 | | Conference Games | 0-6 | -21.6 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 66.8 | 29.3 | 40.1% | 33.8 | 74.0 | 33.7 | 47.5% | 37.5 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 76.3 | 36.8 | 28-60 | 47.1% | 7-22 | 34.4% | 12-18 | 67.9% | 35 | 10 | 17 | 18 | 8 | 14 | 4 | | vs opponents surrendering | 66.3 | 30.8 | 23-55 | 42.8% | 6-18 | 33.5% | 13-19 | 69.7% | 34 | 9 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 14 | 3 | | Team Stats (Road Games) | 70.5 | 30.5 | 25-58 | 42.9% | 7-22 | 31.8% | 13-20 | 67.7% | 35 | 10 | 14 | 20 | 7 | 16 | 4 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 69.7 | 31.6 | 24-55 | 43.6% | 7-20 | 35.5% | 14-20 | 71.6% | 35 | 8 | 14 | 17 | 6 | 16 | 2 | | vs opponents averaging | 68.6 | 31.5 | 24-54 | 44.1% | 7-19 | 35.2% | 14-20 | 69.5% | 34 | 9 | 14 | 17 | 6 | 14 | 3 | | Stats Against (Road Games) | 72.0 | 32.5 | 25-59 | 43.5% | 6-19 | 34.0% | 15-21 | 68.4% | 39 | 11 | 14 | 18 | 6 | 16 | 2 |
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| All Games | 8-9 | -5 | 8-6 | 0-0 | 67.8 | 31.7 | 46.0% | 31.5 | 65.9 | 30.8 | 46.0% | 30.9 | | Home Games | 4-1 | +0.8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 73.4 | 30.4 | 49.3% | 33.2 | 62.8 | 26.8 | 45.0% | 30.0 | | Last 5 Games | 1-4 | -2.2 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 69.2 | 32.6 | 47.3% | 28.4 | 74.6 | 32.0 | 49.6% | 33.0 | | Conference Games | 1-5 | -4.4 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 67.5 | 32.5 | 47.1% | 27.0 | 73.8 | 33.2 | 50.2% | 31.8 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 67.8 | 31.7 | 25-55 | 46.0% | 4-13 | 31.8% | 13-19 | 68.2% | 32 | 10 | 11 | 18 | 8 | 13 | 3 | | vs opponents surrendering | 67.2 | 30.9 | 24-55 | 44.2% | 6-17 | 33.5% | 13-19 | 68.4% | 34 | 9 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 14 | 3 | | Team Stats (Home Games) | 73.4 | 30.4 | 27-54 | 49.3% | 3-10 | 30.0% | 17-27 | 63.7% | 33 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 10 | 13 | 2 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 65.9 | 30.8 | 22-48 | 46.0% | 6-16 | 36.5% | 16-21 | 73.1% | 31 | 8 | 13 | 18 | 6 | 16 | 3 | | vs opponents averaging | 66.3 | 30.6 | 24-54 | 43.9% | 6-16 | 33.9% | 13-20 | 68.1% | 33 | 9 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 14 | 3 | | Stats Against (Home Games) | 62.8 | 26.8 | 22-50 | 45.0% | 5-16 | 33.3% | 13-19 | 68.1% | 30 | 7 | 10 | 22 | 7 | 18 | 0 |
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| Average power rating of opponents played: ILLINOIS ST 73.2, S ILLINOIS 65.8 |
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| Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
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| ILLINOIS ST is 19-13 against the spread versus S ILLINOIS since 1997 | | S ILLINOIS is 20-13 straight up against ILLINOIS ST since 1997 | | 10 of 17 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| ILLINOIS ST is 3-2 against the spread versus S ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons | | S ILLINOIS is 3-2 straight up against ILLINOIS ST over the last 3 seasons | | 3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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| ILLINOIS ST is 10-4 against the spread versus S ILLINOIS since 1997 | | S ILLINOIS is 11-4 straight up against ILLINOIS ST since 1997 | | 4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| S ILLINOIS is 1-1 against the spread versus ILLINOIS ST over the last 3 seasons | | S ILLINOIS is 2-0 straight up against ILLINOIS ST over the last 3 seasons | | 2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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1/28/2012 | S ILLINOIS | 40 | 136.5 | Under | 17 | 15-50 | 30.0% | 4-13 | 30.8% | 6-14 | 42.9% | 29 | 5 | 11 | | | ILLINOIS ST | 60 | -8.5 | SU ATS | 26 | 20-45 | 44.4% | 5-16 | 31.2% | 15-21 | 71.4% | 40 | 6 | 12 | 1/1/2012 | ILLINOIS ST | 71 | -4 | Over | 32 | 24-53 | 45.3% | 10-23 | 43.5% | 13-16 | 81.2% | 26 | 5 | 11 | | | S ILLINOIS | 86 | 125.5 | SU ATS | 40 | 31-61 | 50.8% | 8-17 | 47.1% | 16-25 | 64.0% | 40 | 15 | 8 | 3/3/2011 | ILLINOIS ST | 54 | -1 | Under | 21 | 23-48 | 47.9% | 5-10 | 50.0% | 3-7 | 42.9% | 35 | 6 | 15 | | N | S ILLINOIS | 57 | 117 | SU ATS | 26 | 22-56 | 39.3% | 5-14 | 35.7% | 8-10 | 80.0% | 28 | 5 | 4 | 1/23/2011 | S ILLINOIS | 55 | 121 | Under | 29 | 20-43 | 46.5% | 5-16 | 31.2% | 10-16 | 62.5% | 26 | 3 | 15 | | | ILLINOIS ST | 59 | -1 | SU ATS | 30 | 18-49 | 36.7% | 5-11 | 45.5% | 18-24 | 75.0% | 34 | 9 | 12 | 1/9/2011 | ILLINOIS ST | 59 | 121 | ATS | 32 | 24-48 | 50.0% | 4-11 | 36.4% | 7-8 | 87.5% | 24 | 5 | 14 | | | S ILLINOIS | 63 | -5.5 | SU Over | 32 | 20-48 | 41.7% | 7-19 | 36.8% | 16-19 | 84.2% | 31 | 8 | 18 |
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| Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ILLINOIS ST games 43.3% of the time since 1997. (139-182) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ILLINOIS ST games 38.3% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (23-37) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in S ILLINOIS games 46% of the time since 1997. (174-204) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in S ILLINOIS games 40% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (22-33) | |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the total in ILLINOIS ST games 51.3% of the time since 1997. (98-93) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in ILLINOIS ST games 50% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (27-27) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in S ILLINOIS games 49.8% of the time since 1997. (111-112) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in S ILLINOIS games 53.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (30-26) | |
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| [G] 12/13/2012 - Geoffrey Allen out indefinitely ( Suspension ) | |
| [F] 01/01/2013 - Antonio Bryer left the team ( Personal ) | | [F] 11/02/2012 - Chase Heins out indefinitely ( Knee ) | | [F] 11/02/2012 - Bola Olaniyan out for season ( Eligibility ) |
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