|
|
| The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
|---|
|
|
|
| All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
|---|
|
|
|
|
|
| in all games | 11-16 | 47-43 | 257-224 | 11-13 | 44-41 | 153-189 | 20-10 | 71-29 | 362-165 | | in all lined games | 11-16 | 47-43 | 257-224 | 11-13 | 44-41 | 153-189 | 18-10 | 62-29 | 329-163 | | when the total is 120 to 129.5 | 4-11 | 24-24 | 87-84 | 9-6 | 28-18 | 79-91 | 9-6 | 33-15 | 119-54 | | as a favorite | 9-12 | 36-33 | 185-156 | 8-9 | 30-33 | 107-140 | 16-5 | 55-14 | 280-65 | | as a road favorite of 9.5 to 12 points | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5-3 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 7-1 | | in road games | 3-6 | 14-17 | 90-86 | 3-7 | 17-15 | 51-66 | 4-6 | 16-16 | 85-97 | | in road lined games | 3-6 | 14-17 | 90-86 | 3-7 | 17-15 | 51-66 | 4-6 | 16-16 | 84-96 | | in a road game where the total is 120 to 129.5 | 1-3 | 4-9 | 28-27 | 3-1 | 10-3 | 28-27 | 1-3 | 5-8 | 26-30 | | against conference opponents | 7-9 | 25-30 | 151-138 | 7-10 | 31-25 | 94-121 | 11-6 | 37-19 | 188-109 | | in March games | 0-2 | 8-6 | 45-38 | 1-1 | 9-5 | 30-50 | 0-2 | 7-7 | 53-32 | | after a conference game | 7-8 | 25-29 | 146-140 | 7-9 | 32-23 | 97-119 | 10-6 | 36-19 | 187-109 | | off a loss against a conference rival | 2-3 | 10-8 | 52-48 | 2-3 | 11-7 | 34-34 | 3-2 | 13-5 | 64-42 | | after allowing 60 points or less | 9-11 | 38-22 | 152-133 | 9-9 | 31-26 | 99-107 | 15-6 | 49-17 | 213-90 | | after scoring 60 points or less | 5-5 | 18-10 | 72-74 | 3-6 | 13-14 | 48-52 | 8-2 | 22-6 | 104-51 | | when playing against a team with a losing record | 4-3 | 8-7 | 52-38 | 3-1 | 5-5 | 25-30 | 7-1 | 17-1 | 90-15 | | when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games | 1-1 | 2-4 | 28-23 | 2-0 | 4-2 | 15-17 | 1-1 | 5-1 | 40-11 | | versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game after 15+ games | 2-0 | 2-3 | 19-19 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 12-13 | 2-0 | 5-0 | 31-7 | | versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game | 3-2 | 5-5 | 33-31 | 2-2 | 3-6 | 19-23 | 6-0 | 12-0 | 61-8 |
|
|
|
|
| in all games | 12-12 | 38-39 | 211-205 | 11-10 | 38-38 | 127-136 | 10-19 | 41-54 | 222-274 | | in all lined games | 12-12 | 38-39 | 211-205 | 11-10 | 38-38 | 127-136 | 6-19 | 30-52 | 159-268 | | when the total is 120 to 129.5 | 4-10 | 16-23 | 44-52 | 7-6 | 23-17 | 48-49 | 2-12 | 13-28 | 36-62 | | as an underdog | 9-9 | 25-30 | 139-149 | 8-9 | 29-29 | 93-100 | 2-16 | 13-46 | 67-229 | | as a home underdog of 9.5 to 12 points | 1-0 | 1-0 | 3-4 | 1-0 | 1-0 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-7 | | in all home games | 6-6 | 20-16 | 97-89 | 6-4 | 18-16 | 57-60 | 8-8 | 31-20 | 158-102 | | in home lined games | 6-6 | 20-16 | 97-89 | 6-4 | 18-16 | 57-60 | 4-8 | 20-18 | 96-98 | | in a home game where the total is 120 to 129.5 | 2-5 | 8-11 | 25-25 | 4-3 | 13-8 | 27-25 | 1-6 | 7-14 | 23-29 | | against conference opponents | 9-8 | 30-26 | 140-146 | 8-8 | 28-29 | 91-100 | 2-15 | 18-40 | 86-206 | | in March games | 1-1 | 5-5 | 38-30 | 1-1 | 6-5 | 29-25 | 1-1 | 5-6 | 30-39 | | after a conference game | 8-8 | 28-25 | 136-142 | 8-7 | 29-26 | 89-100 | 3-14 | 19-39 | 93-198 | | revenging a road loss vs opponent | 5-4 | 15-10 | 61-59 | 3-5 | 11-15 | 45-42 | 2-7 | 12-15 | 42-86 | | off a win against a conference rival | 0-1 | 10-6 | 41-42 | 0-1 | 8-9 | 26-30 | 0-1 | 7-10 | 28-57 | | after allowing 60 points or less | 2-6 | 10-17 | 46-48 | 4-2 | 15-9 | 33-26 | 1-7 | 13-18 | 65-58 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 9-6 | 30-28 | 145-153 | 7-7 | 30-30 | 103-98 | 5-13 | 24-42 | 108-216 | | when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games | 7-2 | 23-14 | 98-96 | 5-4 | 22-18 | 72-67 | 1-8 | 12-28 | 58-142 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games | 7-7 | 16-14 | 57-68 | 8-5 | 20-11 | 54-45 | 2-12 | 6-26 | 31-99 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game | 9-8 | 22-20 | 94-102 | 8-8 | 25-18 | 75-65 | 5-14 | 13-33 | 67-145 |
|
|
|
| Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
|---|
|
|
|
|
| All Games | 20-10 | -1.1 | 11-16 | 11-13 | 66.2 | 31.8 | 42.5% | 37.3 | 55.9 | 24.9 | 39.3% | 32.7 | | Road Games | 5-7 | +0.4 | 3-8 | 4-7 | 60.2 | 26.3 | 38.7% | 35.2 | 61.7 | 28.9 | 42.3% | 35.2 | | Last 5 Games | 3-2 | +1 | 3-2 | 3-2 | 63.2 | 33.0 | 43.9% | 37.6 | 52.6 | 22.6 | 36.6% | 32.8 | | Conference Games | 11-6 | +5.8 | 7-9 | 7-10 | 60.8 | 29.1 | 40.3% | 36.9 | 55.5 | 24.4 | 38.6% | 34.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Team Stats (All Games) | 66.2 | 31.8 | 24-57 | 42.5% | 8-23 | 33.6% | 11-17 | 62.5% | 37 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 4 | | vs opponents surrendering | 64 | 29.4 | 23-54 | 41.6% | 6-18 | 33.3% | 13-18 | 68.9% | 33 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 3 | | Team Stats (Road Games) | 60.2 | 26.3 | 21-54 | 38.7% | 7-22 | 30.0% | 12-19 | 60.9% | 35 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 4 | 10 | 3 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 55.9 | 24.9 | 21-54 | 39.3% | 4-13 | 30.2% | 9-14 | 69.2% | 33 | 7 | 9 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 2 | | vs opponents averaging | 67.8 | 31.7 | 24-55 | 44.1% | 6-18 | 34.1% | 13-19 | 70.4% | 35 | 9 | 13 | 17 | 6 | 12 | 4 | | Stats Against (Road Games) | 61.7 | 28.9 | 23-53 | 42.3% | 4-13 | 29.7% | 13-17 | 74.1% | 35 | 8 | 9 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| All Games | 10-19 | -1.9 | 12-12 | 11-10 | 61.5 | 27.0 | 39.1% | 35.1 | 67.9 | 29.9 | 42.7% | 33.6 | | Home Games | 8-8 | +1.3 | 6-6 | 6-4 | 65.9 | 28.9 | 40.5% | 35.7 | 66.7 | 28.9 | 42.1% | 32.9 | | Last 5 Games | 2-3 | +8.2 | 4-1 | 3-2 | 64.8 | 26.8 | 42.4% | 33.4 | 70.6 | 32.8 | 45.1% | 32.0 | | Conference Games | 2-15 | -1.8 | 9-8 | 8-8 | 58.8 | 24.7 | 37.9% | 33.5 | 69.3 | 32.5 | 44.0% | 35.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Team Stats (All Games) | 61.5 | 27.0 | 21-54 | 39.1% | 5-18 | 29.5% | 14-21 | 69.4% | 35 | 9 | 10 | 22 | 5 | 13 | 3 | | vs opponents surrendering | 64.1 | 29.4 | 23-55 | 41.4% | 6-18 | 32.5% | 12-18 | 69.4% | 34 | 9 | 12 | 18 | 6 | 13 | 3 | | Team Stats (Home Games) | 65.9 | 28.9 | 22-55 | 40.5% | 6-19 | 30.7% | 16-23 | 69.7% | 36 | 9 | 11 | 21 | 5 | 11 | 4 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 67.9 | 29.9 | 21-50 | 42.7% | 7-19 | 34.4% | 19-26 | 71.1% | 34 | 7 | 12 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 4 | | vs opponents averaging | 68.3 | 31.7 | 24-55 | 43.7% | 6-18 | 34.4% | 14-20 | 69.7% | 35 | 9 | 13 | 17 | 6 | 12 | 4 | | Stats Against (Home Games) | 66.7 | 28.9 | 21-51 | 42.1% | 6-20 | 32.3% | 18-24 | 73.2% | 33 | 6 | 12 | 20 | 5 | 12 | 3 |
|
|
| Average power rating of opponents played: WISCONSIN 76.6, PENN ST 76.4 |
|
|
| Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
|---|
|
|
| WISCONSIN is 15-13 against the spread versus PENN ST since 1997 | | WISCONSIN is 23-6 straight up against PENN ST since 1997 | | 13 of 18 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
| |
| PENN ST is 6-0 against the spread versus WISCONSIN over the last 3 seasons | | WISCONSIN is 4-2 straight up against PENN ST over the last 3 seasons | | 4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
|
|
|
|
|
| WISCONSIN is 7-5 against the spread versus PENN ST since 1997 | | WISCONSIN is 8-5 straight up against PENN ST since 1997 | | 6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
| |
| PENN ST is 2-0 against the spread versus WISCONSIN over the last 3 seasons | | PENN ST is 1-1 straight up against WISCONSIN over the last 3 seasons | | 2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
|
|
|
|
|
|
1/3/2013 | PENN ST | 51 | 124 | ATS | 18 | 24-52 | 46.2% | 3-8 | 37.5% | 0-1 | 0.0% | 38 | 6 | 15 | | | WISCONSIN | 60 | -18.5 | SU Under | 29 | 22-57 | 38.6% | 3-17 | 17.6% | 13-26 | 50.0% | 32 | 9 | 4 | 2/19/2012 | PENN ST | 55 | 114.5 | ATS | 21 | 22-56 | 39.3% | 4-18 | 22.2% | 7-11 | 63.6% | 27 | 7 | 5 | | | WISCONSIN | 65 | -14.5 | SU Over | 35 | 20-47 | 42.6% | 11-22 | 50.0% | 14-17 | 82.4% | 38 | 10 | 12 | 1/31/2012 | WISCONSIN | 52 | -8 | SU Under | 17 | 17-48 | 35.4% | 5-19 | 26.3% | 13-19 | 68.4% | 31 | 8 | 5 | | | PENN ST | 46 | 113.5 | ATS | 23 | 18-50 | 36.0% | 2-10 | 20.0% | 8-14 | 57.1% | 36 | 9 | 9 | 3/11/2011 | PENN ST | 36 | 119.5 | SU ATS | 20 | 13-39 | 33.3% | 3-12 | 25.0% | 7-8 | 87.5% | 31 | 6 | 8 | | N | WISCONSIN | 33 | -7.5 | Under | 16 | 15-51 | 29.4% | 2-21 | 9.5% | 1-3 | 33.3% | 34 | 9 | 5 | 2/20/2011 | PENN ST | 66 | 119 | ATS | 19 | 26-49 | 53.1% | 11-22 | 50.0% | 3-5 | 60.0% | 21 | 4 | 10 | | | WISCONSIN | 76 | -11.5 | SU Over | 32 | 25-46 | 54.3% | 8-15 | 53.3% | 18-21 | 85.7% | 28 | 8 | 7 |
|
|
|
| Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
|---|
|
|
| The betting public is correct when moving the money line in WISCONSIN games 50.6% of the time since 1997. (198-193) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in WISCONSIN games 54.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (40-33) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in PENN ST games 50% of the time since 1997. (171-171) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in PENN ST games 47% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (31-35) | |
|
| The betting public is correct when moving the total in WISCONSIN games 47.7% of the time since 1997. (142-156) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in WISCONSIN games 46.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (35-40) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in PENN ST games 47.5% of the time since 1997. (106-117) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in PENN ST games 50.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (34-33) | |
|
|
|
|
| [F] 12/08/2012 - Duje Dukan redshirt ( None ) | | [G] 10/28/2012 - Josh Gasser out indefinitely ( Knee ) | |
| [F] 02/21/2013 - Donovon Jack out for season ( Foot ) | | [G] 11/18/2012 - Tim Frazier out for season ( Achilles ) |
|
|