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Matchup Reports

Sunday at 2:00 PM
CINCINNATI (19-8) AT NOTRE DAME (21-6) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/UFG%FT%3PT%FG%FT%3PT%
825: CINCINNATI
826: NOTRE DAME
123.5
-2.5
69.7 / 59.1
72.0 / 63.9
19-8
21-6
10-13
11-12
4-11
7-7
41.1
47.7
65.0
69.7
32.1
37.8
38.2
41.4
64.1
70.5
30.9
32.3
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
CINCINNATI  
NOTRE DAME-3 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
CINCINNATI - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games10-1343-40215-2444-1128-46154-17819-871-28359-167
in all lined games10-1343-40215-2444-1128-46154-17815-856-27303-166
when the total is 120 to 129.52-314-1731-453-215-1642-353-219-1241-37
as an underdog2-014-1166-621-111-1357-621-111-1443-87
as a road underdog of 3 points or less or pick0-12-110-111-01-26-70-11-28-13
in road games4-320-1183-812-213-1559-694-319-1285-86
in road lined games4-320-1183-812-213-1559-694-319-1282-86
in a road game where the total is 120 to 129.52-18-411-152-16-616-102-17-510-17
against conference opponents5-927-29130-1583-619-3299-1177-733-23180-114
in February games2-410-1151-661-36-1344-452-412-967-51
after a conference game4-928-26129-1552-618-30106-1186-734-21177-116
revenging a home loss vs opponent1-06-520-270-13-820-231-05-619-29
off a loss against a conference rival2-410-1148-591-26-1148-473-314-759-51
when playing against a team with a winning record10-1134-29169-1804-1117-39118-14814-739-25222-145
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games3-621-2091-1202-413-2483-965-422-19112-104
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games1-39-1133-571-39-1139-411-310-1043-49
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game6-718-1976-883-815-2066-719-526-15105-72

NOTRE DAME - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games11-1240-40221-2157-730-37160-16421-670-25331-183
in all lined games11-1240-40221-2157-730-37160-16418-657-25262-182
when the total is 120 to 129.53-212-826-153-26-1317-243-212-824-18
as a favorite8-1026-25120-1356-426-15101-9115-443-10195-67
as a home favorite of 3 points or less or pick1-02-011-110-10-27-111-02-013-11
in all home games5-820-16102-1024-315-1376-6715-248-3223-51
in home lined games5-820-16102-1024-315-1376-6712-235-3159-51
in a home game where the total is 120 to 129.51-15-29-71-12-411-51-15-212-5
against conference opponents6-830-24149-1382-618-26105-1079-538-16166-126
in February games3-313-961-552-211-747-404-217-568-50
when playing with 5 or 6 days rest1-04-529-221-04-421-211-05-439-20
after a conference game5-827-26141-1432-619-25107-1108-536-17162-129
off a win against a conference rival2-621-1687-761-413-1762-674-425-1292-73
after allowing 60 points or less4-314-1762-525-015-1341-517-224-1286-46
after scoring 60 points or less3-111-1539-311-213-1224-274-121-947-29
when playing against a team with a winning record7-827-30172-1522-715-33123-12910-639-23199-155
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games3-617-19109-921-511-2080-875-422-14106-100
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games4-313-851-321-45-1432-424-314-739-46
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game6-418-1580-663-410-2154-687-322-1281-76
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
CINCINNATI - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games19-8+1.710-134-1169.732.341.1%41.059.126.038.2%33.3
Road Games8-3+5.28-33-566.929.840.0%40.060.828.840.6%33.5
Last 5 Games1-4-4.81-41-258.228.636.3%36.660.229.842.7%31.4
Conference Games7-7-0.85-93-662.127.738.1%36.560.627.541.8%31.6
CINCINNATI Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)69.732.324-5941.1%7-2232.1%14-2265.0%411313187136
vs opponents surrendering64.930.123-5541.6%6-1832.6%13-1968.8%341013187143
Team Stats (Road Games)66.929.822-5640.0%6-2129.7%16-2371.5%401311186125
Stats Against (All Games)59.126.021-5538.2%5-1730.9%12-1864.1%33911196143
vs opponents averaging67.731.424-5543.4%6-1733.1%14-2168.7%351013187144
Stats Against (Road Games)60.828.822-5440.6%5-1729.0%12-1963.3%341011196123

NOTRE DAME - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games21-6+5.211-127-772.033.847.7%36.363.929.341.4%32.1
Home Games15-2+1.85-84-375.435.849.5%37.663.028.240.6%31.4
Last 5 Games3-2+5.52-31-267.627.841.0%39.671.028.443.6%35.8
Conference Games9-5+36-82-667.930.944.6%34.067.630.645.0%33.3
NOTRE DAME Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)72.033.826-5547.7%6-1737.8%13-1869.7%36918145114
vs opponents surrendering65.730.523-5542.1%6-1833.3%13-1968.9%351013187144
Team Stats (Home Games)75.435.828-5649.5%7-1839.1%13-1868.6%38920135113
Stats Against (All Games)63.929.324-5841.4%6-1832.3%10-1470.5%32915186103
vs opponents averaging68.131.824-5643.1%6-1833.2%14-2068.4%351014187134
Stats Against (Home Games)63.028.224-5940.6%6-1833.5%9-1368.3%31915186103
Average power rating of opponents played: CINCINNATI 74.9,  NOTRE DAME 74.1
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1997
NOTRE DAME is 8-2 against the spread versus CINCINNATI since 1997
NOTRE DAME is 7-3 straight up against CINCINNATI since 1997
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games over the last 3 seasons
NOTRE DAME is 3-1 against the spread versus CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
NOTRE DAME is 3-1 straight up against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at NOTRE DAME since 1997
NOTRE DAME is 4-0 against the spread versus CINCINNATI since 1997
NOTRE DAME is 4-0 straight up against CINCINNATI since 1997
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games played at NOTRE DAME over the last 3 seasons.
NOTRE DAME is 1-0 against the spread versus CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
NOTRE DAME is 1-0 straight up against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 Shooting   3pt shotsFree ThrowsRebounds 
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFGM-APctFGM-APctFTM-APctTot.OFFTO
1/7/2013NOTRE DAME66132.5SU ATS3224-4850.0%9-1656.2%9-1369.2%2337
 CINCINNATI60-4.5 Under2823-4946.9%9-2142.9%5-1145.5%2869
1/4/2012NOTRE DAME55130 Under2121-6333.3%5-2817.9%8-1172.7%381413
 CINCINNATI71-8.5SU ATS3125-5743.9%8-2729.6%13-1872.2%3879
3/10/2011CINCINNATI51132 Over3019-5832.8%5-2222.7%8-1747.1%331310
NNOTRE DAME89-2.5SU ATS4032-5756.1%9-1947.4%16-2176.2%3895
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring Nobody in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CINCINNATI games 48.6% of the time since 1997. (178-188)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CINCINNATI games 63.2% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (43-25)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NOTRE DAME games 51.7% of the time since 1997. (180-168)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NOTRE DAME games 55% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (33-27)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the UNDER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CINCINNATI games 53% of the time since 1997. (152-135)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CINCINNATI games 40% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (26-39)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in NOTRE DAME games 54.4% of the time since 1997. (155-130)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in NOTRE DAME games 57.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (38-28)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
CINCINNATI
[F] 02/23/2013 - Justin Jackson "?" Sunday vs. Notre Dame ( Leg )
[G] 01/11/2013 - Jeremiah Davis III out indefinitely ( Wrist )
NOTRE DAME
[G] 01/23/2013 - Scott Martin out indefinitely ( Knee )
[F] 01/03/2013 - Eric Katenda out indefinitely ( Academics )
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