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Matchup Reports

Sunday at 1:00 PM
ILLINOIS (20-8) AT MICHIGAN (22-4) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/UFG%FT%3PT%FG%FT%3PT%
837: ILLINOIS
838: MICHIGAN
138.0
-9.0
71.2 / 65.1
76.2 / 61.4
20-8
22-4
12-13
13-11
10-13
14-11
42.8
49.3
71.6
70.7
33.1
40.1
42.1
41.7
68.7
65.8
34.4
32.1
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
ILLINOIS  
MICHIGAN-10 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
ILLINOIS - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games12-1339-48242-23610-1343-41174-20220-856-38367-172
in all lined games12-1339-48242-23610-1343-41174-20217-851-38320-171
when the total is 130 to 139.54-718-2065-754-717-2265-757-423-1685-58
as an underdog6-514-1566-706-521-1060-535-610-2139-100
as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points2-12-210-61-22-26-81-21-34-12
in road games6-314-1480-752-616-1355-766-312-1883-82
in road lined games6-314-1480-752-616-1355-766-312-1882-81
in a road game where the total is 135 to 139.51-13-39-130-23-410-131-12-58-15
against conference opponents7-722-28148-1414-1026-26105-1297-722-30181-119
in February games4-29-1063-442-411-1032-515-110-1176-36
after a conference game7-621-27146-1414-925-25102-1328-622-29181-118
revenging a home loss vs opponent2-46-727-221-55-817-242-44-920-30
off a win against a conference rival3-38-1283-892-412-959-854-28-13113-67
after allowing 60 points or less2-510-1487-1053-415-1079-845-315-12143-75
when playing against a team with a winning record11-931-33192-1798-1134-31141-15815-737-31234-156
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games5-514-20111-1033-717-1978-1054-612-24120-101
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games6-511-1670-704-717-1160-695-610-1877-68
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game9-1120-26107-1148-1128-1896-9912-824-23131-99

MICHIGAN - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games13-1152-33224-22114-1146-38155-16922-467-28283-225
in all lined games13-1152-33224-22114-1146-38155-16921-458-28231-221
when the total is 130 to 139.55-717-1568-647-617-1656-7711-221-1266-69
as a favorite12-928-21111-10412-1028-2073-7620-243-7164-56
as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points0-13-411-151-05-111-81-07-016-10
in all home games7-625-15114-997-721-1875-8115-044-6196-71
in home lined games7-625-15114-997-721-1875-8114-035-6148-69
in a home game where the total is 135 to 139.50-14-115-101-13-312-142-05-120-6
against conference opponents5-731-21148-1377-628-2599-1169-433-20133-156
in February games0-512-851-614-111-939-462-312-850-65
when playing with 5 or 6 days rest0-06-225-230-13-615-241-07-231-24
after a conference game4-729-22145-1336-624-2892-1218-432-21137-151
off a win against a conference rival3-416-1564-653-513-1941-585-317-1559-73
after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games0-21-230-281-11-216-221-12-130-36
when playing against a team with a winning record12-944-27176-15412-1037-33125-12918-446-27168-182
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games3-624-17104-924-619-2374-916-423-1983-119
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
ILLINOIS - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games20-8+612-1310-1371.233.742.8%34.265.129.942.1%34.7
Road Games9-4+8.98-56-673.136.043.4%32.866.531.241.4%37.7
Last 5 Games5-0+7.44-11-467.232.241.8%32.056.827.039.0%34.0
Conference Games7-7-2.27-74-1065.530.340.9%32.465.129.943.1%34.5
ILLINOIS Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)71.233.725-5842.8%8-2433.1%13-1971.6%341011187124
vs opponents surrendering64.829.823-5541.7%6-1833.2%13-1968.3%34912187133
Team Stats (Road Games)73.136.025-5843.4%9-2435.8%14-1974.5%33911208104
Stats Against (All Games)65.129.923-5442.1%7-1934.4%13-1968.7%351012175153
vs opponents averaging68.832.224-5643.6%6-1934.5%13-1969.0%361013176134
Stats Against (Road Games)66.531.223-5641.4%6-1931.6%14-2168.3%381112175143

MICHIGAN - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games22-4+4.813-1114-1176.236.049.3%35.861.428.741.7%30.6
Home Games15-0+27-67-779.738.150.3%37.257.826.940.1%29.7
Last 5 Games2-3-2.40-54-168.429.442.9%31.873.233.047.9%36.6
Conference Games9-4-0.25-77-672.233.147.5%34.264.330.443.3%32.4
MICHIGAN Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)76.236.028-5849.3%8-2040.1%11-1670.7%3691512693
vs opponents surrendering65.63023-5542.5%6-1834.4%13-1968.5%34912186133
Team Stats (Home Games)79.738.130-5950.3%9-2142.5%12-1671.2%37101710583
Stats Against (All Games)61.428.723-5641.7%7-2032.1%8-1265.8%31913155123
vs opponents averaging67.231.424-5642.9%6-1833.4%13-2068.7%351013177124
Stats Against (Home Games)57.826.923-5740.1%6-2030.3%6-963.8%30812154123
Average power rating of opponents played: ILLINOIS 75.5,  MICHIGAN 75.8
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1997
MICHIGAN is 15-12 against the spread versus ILLINOIS since 1997
ILLINOIS is 19-9 straight up against MICHIGAN since 1997
13 of 23 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN is 5-0 against the spread versus ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN is 4-1 straight up against ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at MICHIGAN since 1997
MICHIGAN is 9-2 against the spread versus ILLINOIS since 1997
MICHIGAN is 6-6 straight up against ILLINOIS since 1997
6 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games played at MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 1-0 against the spread versus ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN is 1-0 straight up against ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 Shooting   3pt shotsFree ThrowsRebounds 
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFGM-APctFGM-APctFTM-APctTot.OFFTO
1/27/2013MICHIGAN74-5.5SU ATS3531-5952.5%5-1533.3%7-1353.8%351012
 ILLINOIS60139.5 Under2723-6237.1%6-2623.1%8-988.9%361415
3/1/2012MICHIGAN72120SU ATS3521-4546.7%9-1947.4%21-2391.3%31513
 ILLINOIS61-2.5 Over2721-5438.9%4-1428.6%15-2171.4%2768
2/12/2012ILLINOIS61119 Over3121-5438.9%8-2334.8%11-1764.7%331213
 MICHIGAN70-5SU ATS3723-4650.0%7-1643.7%17-2277.3%2749
3/11/2011ILLINOIS55-3 Under3422-5242.3%9-2634.6%2-366.7%31612
NMICHIGAN60125.5SU ATS2320-4841.7%11-2445.8%9-1181.8%30610
2/16/2011MICHIGAN52131.5 ATS2222-5937.3%2-1811.1%6-1060.0%3275
 ILLINOIS54-9.5SU Under3223-5244.2%4-1822.2%4-944.4%38712
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring ILLINOIS in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ILLINOIS games 53.1% of the time since 1997. (208-184)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ILLINOIS games 58.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (41-29)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MICHIGAN games 49.4% of the time since 1997. (171-175)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MICHIGAN games 44.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (29-36)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the UNDER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in ILLINOIS games 49.5% of the time since 1997. (156-159)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in ILLINOIS games 50% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (35-35)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MICHIGAN games 44.4% of the time since 1997. (124-155)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MICHIGAN games 50.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (37-36)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
ILLINOIS
No significant injuries.
MICHIGAN
No significant injuries.
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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