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Matchup Reports

Friday at 9:45 PM
MICHIGAN ST (27-8) AT DUKE (29-5) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/UFG%FT%3PT%FG%FT%3PT%
875: MICHIGAN ST
876: DUKE
134.0
-2.5
68.2 / 58.8
77.8 / 64.8
27-8
29-5
15-16
18-16
13-18
14-15
46.1
47.7
71.3
73.2
34.1
40.3
39.0
41.3
65.5
72.5
29.7
29.5
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
MICHIGAN ST-2
DUKE  
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
MICHIGAN ST - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games15-1648-48263-23613-1841-55185-22827-874-32404-150
in all lined games15-1648-48263-23613-1841-55185-22824-866-32358-150
when the total is 130 to 139.59-523-19100-825-916-2792-939-525-18131-57
as an underdog5-415-962-533-69-1440-633-610-1443-72
in all neutral court games3-310-1266-541-57-1545-624-212-1080-44
as a neutral court underdog of 3 points or less or pick0-12-111-40-10-34-90-12-110-5
in a neutral court game where the total is 130 to 134.53-16-516-101-33-810-173-17-420-8
against ACC opponents0-13-214-140-12-312-150-11-410-18
in March games4-310-1061-441-68-1241-535-213-775-32
on Friday nights1-26-323-260-33-618-242-18-242-17
when playing with 5 or 6 days rest2-04-226-290-23-319-282-17-250-19
after a non-conference game4-816-20104-1014-714-2075-8712-333-11188-63
when playing on a neutral court3-310-1266-541-57-1545-624-212-1080-44
in non-conference games5-716-20107-983-814-2077-8813-233-11193-60
after allowing 60 points or less6-1123-19109-1129-818-2489-9314-432-12173-67
in all tournament games2-28-858-510-44-1243-563-112-575-38
in a NCAA tournament games2-03-332-190-23-323-252-04-239-14
when playing against a team with a winning record13-1240-39201-18710-1535-44153-18318-752-29262-140
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games11-626-25129-1075-1222-30100-11712-532-20159-83
versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games2-14-325-212-13-420-191-23-424-22
versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game3-210-859-503-28-945-493-211-864-47

DUKE - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games18-1651-53279-25114-1551-47229-23229-588-17483-88
in all lined games18-1651-53279-25114-1551-47229-23229-587-17455-88
when the total is 130 to 139.55-516-1439-467-317-1353-348-226-473-15
as a favorite16-1548-49264-23912-1446-45216-22027-484-13444-71
in all neutral court games7-214-1270-775-314-1161-678-122-4129-25
as a neutral court favorite of 3 points or less or pick0-00-04-30-00-02-30-00-04-3
in a neutral court game where the total is 130 to 134.50-12-16-41-03-010-01-03-08-2
in March games3-37-1145-703-38-1045-625-112-689-30
on Friday nights1-34-713-272-26-514-213-110-238-5
after a non-conference game9-624-24127-1125-824-2197-10615-045-4238-31
when playing on a neutral court7-214-1270-775-314-1161-678-122-4129-25
in non-conference games9-625-23122-1126-727-1898-10215-044-5240-30
after allowing 60 points or less6-614-1789-817-317-1175-679-325-7155-26
in all tournament games4-311-1056-674-210-1049-636-117-4107-21
in a NCAA tournament games1-12-421-301-13-319-282-04-241-13
when playing against a team with a winning record13-1434-42222-20914-1040-32203-18022-560-16364-84
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games6-919-27128-1429-424-20137-11010-532-14211-69
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games3-610-1639-408-114-1240-365-418-867-16
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game8-1021-2383-7212-522-2177-6714-435-9135-27
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
MICHIGAN ST - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games27-8+7.515-1613-1868.231.546.1%37.958.827.539.0%30.3
Road Games10-7+1.68-86-1164.530.843.8%37.461.929.442.4%29.6
Last 5 Games4-1+22-31-464.629.846.7%38.656.026.238.5%27.2
MICHIGAN ST Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)68.231.525-5346.1%5-1534.1%14-2071.3%381013168144
vs opponents surrendering64.52923-5541.2%6-1832.4%13-1970.2%34912186133
Team Stats (Road Games)64.530.824-5543.8%5-1434.3%12-1771.0%371112177144
Stats Against (All Games)58.827.521-5439.0%5-1829.7%11-1765.5%30811178133
vs opponents averaging68.431.724-5643.5%6-1834.1%14-2069.3%351013177124
Stats Against (Road Games)61.929.422-5342.4%5-1730.6%12-1767.9%30811158114

DUKE - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games29-5+4.818-1614-1577.836.147.7%33.764.829.941.3%34.7
Road Games13-5-0.210-89-774.334.346.2%31.467.230.643.0%33.9
Last 5 Games4-1-3.83-22-373.434.048.7%32.660.828.437.8%31.8
DUKE Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)77.836.127-5747.7%8-1940.3%16-2273.2%34815187114
vs opponents surrendering65.630.323-5641.8%6-1933.6%13-1869.3%34912186133
Team Stats (Road Games)74.334.326-5546.2%6-1836.5%17-2179.0%31713197114
Stats Against (All Games)64.829.924-5741.3%5-1529.5%13-1872.5%351010195143
vs opponents averaging70.432.925-5644.8%6-1835.1%14-2070.0%351013177134
Stats Against (Road Games)67.230.624-5643.0%4-1528.6%15-1976.8%341011195133
Average power rating of opponents played: MICHIGAN ST 77.4,  DUKE 76.9
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1997
MICHIGAN ST is 5-2 against the spread versus DUKE since 1997
DUKE is 6-1 straight up against MICHIGAN ST since 1997
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN ST is 2-0 against the spread versus DUKE over the last 3 seasons
DUKE is 2-0 straight up against MICHIGAN ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


 Shooting   3pt shotsFree ThrowsRebounds 
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFGM-APctFGM-APctFTM-APctTot.OFFTO
11/15/2011MICHIGAN ST69139.5 ATS3326-5944.1%4-1233.3%13-1872.2%32921
NDUKE74-7.5SU Over3417-3943.6%10-2147.6%30-4173.2%31417
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring DUKE in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MICHIGAN ST games 46.3% of the time since 1997. (188-218)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MICHIGAN ST games 45.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (37-44)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in DUKE games 48.8% of the time since 1997. (212-222)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in DUKE games 56.2% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (54-42)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the OVER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MICHIGAN ST games 54% of the time since 1997. (196-167)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MICHIGAN ST games 51.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (46-43)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in DUKE games 48.7% of the time since 1997. (202-213)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in DUKE games 49.4% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (43-44)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
MICHIGAN ST
[G] 03/23/2013 - Keith Appling injured last game, probable Friday vs. Duke ( Shoulder )
[G] 12/28/2012 - Brandan Kearney expected to transfer ( Personal )
[F] 11/19/2012 - Kenny Kaminski out for season ( Shoulder )
DUKE
No significant injuries.
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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