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The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
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All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
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as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points | 1-0 | 3-1 | 10-9 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7-11 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6-14 | in all games | 3-5 | 12-20 | 62-63 | 4-4 | 14-18 | 43-59 | 3-6 | 16-18 | 110-74 | off a win against a conference rival | 0-0 | 1-3 | 11-17 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 8-16 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 16-15 | in weeks 10 through 13 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 19-19 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 10-20 | 1-0 | 5-4 | 36-19 | in all lined games | 3-5 | 12-20 | 62-63 | 4-4 | 14-18 | 43-59 | 3-6 | 15-18 | 69-58 | as an underdog | 3-0 | 8-5 | 29-24 | 1-2 | 4-9 | 17-27 | 1-2 | 6-7 | 20-34 | as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points | 1-0 | 1-0 | 4-2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-5 | in road games | 2-2 | 7-7 | 32-30 | 3-1 | 7-7 | 22-27 | 1-3 | 6-8 | 35-45 | in road lined games | 2-2 | 7-7 | 32-30 | 3-1 | 7-7 | 22-27 | 1-3 | 6-8 | 30-33 | against ACC opponents | 1-0 | 3-1 | 8-3 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6-5 | when playing on a Saturday | 3-4 | 9-14 | 52-47 | 4-3 | 8-15 | 30-47 | 3-5 | 12-13 | 99-57 | when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest | 1-0 | 2-3 | 11-9 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 14-11 | after playing a conference game | 1-2 | 6-10 | 29-36 | 2-2 | 7-10 | 24-35 | 1-3 | 7-10 | 36-34 | after a bye week | 1-0 | 2-4 | 13-11 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 9-12 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 22-14 | in games played on a grass field | 1-4 | 8-18 | 46-54 | 2-3 | 10-16 | 35-47 | 2-4 | 13-15 | 96-62 | in November games | 0-0 | 3-5 | 19-18 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 10-18 | 1-0 | 5-4 | 34-17 | in non-conference games | 2-2 | 8-6 | 32-22 | 2-1 | 6-7 | 17-25 | 2-2 | 11-4 | 54-23 |
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as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points | 0-0 | 3-2 | 20-28 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 23-22 | 0-0 | 4-1 | 29-20 | in all games | 7-3 | 19-16 | 120-119 | 5-4 | 15-17 | 81-103 | 5-5 | 18-17 | 180-75 | off a loss against a conference rival | 2-0 | 6-3 | 17-22 | 0-2 | 2-6 | 13-20 | 1-1 | 7-2 | 25-17 | when playing against a team with a losing record | 1-0 | 2-3 | 22-33 | 1-0 | 2-3 | 9-17 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 49-8 | in weeks 10 through 13 | 2-0 | 6-4 | 36-35 | 1-1 | 2-7 | 18-34 | 1-1 | 5-5 | 52-23 | in all lined games | 7-3 | 19-16 | 120-119 | 5-4 | 15-17 | 81-103 | 5-5 | 18-17 | 167-75 | as a favorite | 2-1 | 10-11 | 87-97 | 2-0 | 8-10 | 54-78 | 3-0 | 14-7 | 144-42 | as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5-8 | in home games | 4-1 | 9-9 | 53-64 | 1-3 | 5-10 | 30-52 | 3-2 | 10-8 | 100-30 | in home lined games | 4-1 | 9-9 | 53-64 | 1-3 | 5-10 | 30-52 | 3-2 | 10-8 | 87-30 | against Big East conference opponents | 0-0 | 2-1 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 4-2 | when playing on a Saturday | 6-3 | 16-12 | 101-99 | 5-3 | 12-14 | 67-82 | 4-5 | 15-13 | 152-62 | when playing with 6 or less days rest | 4-3 | 11-13 | 74-74 | 3-3 | 8-14 | 46-65 | 3-4 | 11-13 | 115-43 | after playing a conference game | 4-2 | 12-9 | 72-71 | 3-3 | 7-13 | 43-65 | 2-4 | 11-10 | 104-45 | in games played on a grass field | 6-2 | 18-14 | 100-101 | 3-4 | 12-17 | 66-89 | 4-4 | 17-15 | 148-66 | in November games | 2-0 | 6-4 | 39-37 | 1-1 | 2-7 | 20-37 | 1-1 | 5-5 | 55-25 | in non-conference games | 0-3 | 4-8 | 45-45 | 1-1 | 4-6 | 32-43 | 1-2 | 6-6 | 73-30 |
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Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
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All Games | 3-6 | -10.2 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 25.0 | 10.2 | 407.7 | (5.7) | 2.1 | 26.1 | 9.6 | 397.3 | (5.4) | 0.9 | Road Games | 1-3 | -5.4 | 2-2 | 3-1 | 28.0 | 8.0 | 465.0 | (6.1) | 2.0 | 31.5 | 13.5 | 432.2 | (5.9) | 1.0 | Last 3 Games | 1-2 | -1.5 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 24.7 | 11.0 | 407.0 | (5.5) | 1.3 | 23.3 | 6.7 | 410.3 | (5.8) | 1.3 | Grass Games | 2-4 | -6.8 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 23.5 | 11.2 | 365.5 | (5.4) | 2.3 | 24.3 | 6.8 | 371.7 | (5.1) | 0.7 |
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Offense (All Games) | 25.0 | 10.2 | 22.0 | 27:38 | 38-170 | (4.5) | 19-33 | 56.3% | 237 | (7.1) | 71-408 | (5.7) | (16.3) | Opponents Defensive Avg. | 25.2 | 13.7 | 19.6 | 29:45 | 37-141 | (3.9) | 18-32 | 57.3% | 224 | (7.1) | 68-365 | (5.4) | (14.5) | Offense Road Games | 28.0 | 8.0 | 26.0 | 28:57 | 42-194 | (4.6) | 20-35 | 57.6% | 271 | (7.8) | 77-465 | (6.1) | (16.6) | Defense (All Games) | 26.1 | 9.6 | 22.9 | 32:22 | 42-156 | (3.7) | 22-32 | 68.3% | 241 | (7.6) | 73-397 | (5.4) | (15.2) | Opponents Offensive Avg. | 28.3 | 14.5 | 21.2 | 31:57 | 40-157 | (3.9) | 20-31 | 64.1% | 232 | (7.6) | 71-389 | (5.5) | (13.7) | Defense Road Games | 31.5 | 13.5 | 25.2 | 31:03 | 43-198 | (4.6) | 22-30 | 73.9% | 234 | (7.9) | 73-432 | (5.9) | (13.7) |
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All Games | 5-5 | +4 | 7-3 | 5-4 | 28.5 | 15.0 | 408.8 | (6) | 1.4 | 31.2 | 16.8 | 490.1 | (6.2) | 1.9 | Home Games | 3-2 | +1 | 4-1 | 1-3 | 29.2 | 15.4 | 419.4 | (6) | 1.4 | 22.0 | 12.2 | 474.6 | (5.9) | 2.8 | Last 3 Games | 1-2 | 0 | 3-0 | 1-2 | 30.0 | 18.0 | 341.7 | (5.6) | 1.0 | 28.7 | 17.7 | 450.0 | (5.6) | 2.0 | Grass Games | 4-4 | +4 | 6-2 | 3-4 | 28.9 | 15.4 | 426.4 | (6.2) | 1.2 | 28.5 | 15.5 | 482.6 | (6.1) | 1.9 |
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Offense (All Games) | 28.5 | 15.0 | 19.9 | 25:26 | 30-140 | (4.7) | 22-38 | 58.2% | 268 | (7) | 68-409 | (6) | (14.3) | Opponents Defensive Avg. | 24.2 | 12.5 | 19.1 | 29:41 | 35-143 | (4.1) | 20-34 | 57.9% | 226 | (6.6) | 70-369 | (5.3) | (15.2) | Offense Home Games | 29.2 | 15.4 | 20.2 | 26:13 | 31-133 | (4.3) | 21-39 | 54.3% | 286 | (7.3) | 70-419 | (6) | (14.4) | Defense (All Games) | 31.2 | 16.8 | 26.2 | 34:33 | 46-231 | (5) | 20-32 | 62.3% | 259 | (8) | 79-490 | (6.2) | (15.7) | Opponents Offensive Avg. | 29.8 | 15.8 | 21.5 | 31:04 | 40-186 | (4.6) | 18-31 | 58.0% | 236 | (7.6) | 72-422 | (5.9) | (14.1) | Defense Home Games | 22.0 | 12.2 | 25.4 | 33:47 | 46-234 | (5.1) | 20-35 | 56.2% | 241 | (6.8) | 81-475 | (5.9) | (21.6) |
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Average power rating of opponents played: S FLORIDA 33, MIAMI 39.8 |
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Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed. |
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9/22/2012 | @ BALL ST | 27-31 | L | -8 | L | 57.5 | O | 45-206 | 19-30-312 | 2 | 35-169 | 24-36-244 | 0 | 9/29/2012 | FLORIDA ST | 17-30 | L | 17 | W | 53 | U | 32-125 | 17-33-143 | 3 | 40-183 | 19-26-242 | 0 | 10/6/2012 | @ TEMPLE | 28-37 | L | -4.5 | L | 47 | O | 44-165 | 18-31-219 | 3 | 51-216 | 16-20-167 | 0 | 10/20/2012 | @ LOUISVILLE | 25-27 | L | 6 | W | 56 | U | 44-197 | 21-38-189 | 2 | 33-128 | 21-25-256 | 1 | 10/27/2012 | SYRACUSE | 36-37 | L | -3 | L | 53.5 | O | 45-369 | 17-30-183 | 1 | 46-192 | 27-40-328 | 0 | 11/3/2012 | CONNECTICUT | 13-6 | W | -7 | T | 46.5 | U | 34-81 | 20-32-202 | 1 | 31-43 | 24-38-284 | 3 | 11/17/2012 | @ MIAMI | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11/23/2012 | @ CINCINNATI | | | | | | | | | | | | | 12/1/2012 | PITTSBURGH | | | | | | | | | | | | |
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9/22/2012 | @ GEORGIA TECH | 42-36 | W | 14 | W | 61 | O | 32-173 | 31-52-436 | 2 | 58-287 | 3-8-132 | 0 | 9/29/2012 | NC STATE | 44-37 | W | -2 | W | 56.5 | O | 32-85 | 26-49-566 | 1 | 46-224 | 24-42-440 | 6 | 10/6/2012 | *NOTRE DAME | 3-41 | L | 16.5 | L | 55.5 | U | 18-84 | 18-35-201 | 0 | 51-376 | 19-26-211 | 0 | 10/13/2012 | N CAROLINA | 14-18 | L | 7.5 | W | 71 | U | 45-180 | 21-39-235 | 2 | 44-272 | 25-40-214 | 1 | 10/20/2012 | FLORIDA ST | 20-33 | L | 21 | W | 57.5 | U | 21-29 | 26-44-229 | 2 | 41-218 | 21-31-229 | 2 | 11/1/2012 | VIRGINIA TECH | 30-12 | W | 1.5 | W | 57.5 | U | 28-157 | 14-30-190 | 0 | 45-222 | 19-37-199 | 3 | 11/10/2012 | @ VIRGINIA | 40-41 | L | 2 | W | 54 | O | 33-233 | 18-26-187 | 1 | 33-94 | 40-52-388 | 1 | 11/17/2012 | S FLORIDA | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11/24/2012 | @ DUKE | | | | | | | | | | | | |
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Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
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MIAMI is 2-2 against the spread versus S FLORIDA since 1992 | MIAMI is 3-1 straight up against S FLORIDA since 1992 | 4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992 |
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MIAMI is 1-1 against the spread versus S FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons | MIAMI is 1-1 straight up against S FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons | 2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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S FLORIDA is 2-0 against the spread versus MIAMI since 1992 | MIAMI is 1-1 straight up against S FLORIDA since 1992 | 2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992 |
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S FLORIDA is 1-0 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons | S FLORIDA is 1-0 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons | 1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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11/19/2011 | MIAMI | 6 | 52.5 | SU ATS | 3 | 21 | 38:10 | 40-57 | 27-35 | 259 | 1 | 0 | 6-45 | | S FLORIDA | 3 | 0 | Under | 3 | 16 | 21:50 | 30-116 | 16-27 | 133 | 0 | 1 | 4-40 | 11/27/2010 | S FLORIDA | 23 | 46.5 | SU ATS | 3 | 18 | 29:07 | 46-135 | 12-27 | 159 | 1 | 0 | 10-58 | | MIAMI | 20 | -13 | Under | 0 | 16 | 30:53 | 39-165 | 20-35 | 188 | 1 | 2 | 5-38 |
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Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
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The betting public is correct when moving the money line in S FLORIDA games 46.1% of the time since 1992. (53-62) | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in S FLORIDA games 28.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (8-20) | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MIAMI games 48.8% of the time since 1992. (99-104) | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MIAMI games 58.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (17-12) | |
No total has been posted for this game. |
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[WR] 09/10/2012 - Sterling Griffin out for season ( Knee ) | [WR] 10/01/2012 - Chris Dunkley out indefinitely ( Suspension ) | [T] 10/22/2012 - Mark Popek out indefinitely ( Ankle ) | [RB] 11/11/2012 - Willie Davis "?" Saturday vs. Miami Florida ( Ankle ) | [WR] 11/11/2012 - Derrick Hopkins "?" Saturday vs. Miami Florida ( Knee ) | [RB] 10/29/2012 - Lindsey Lamar out for season ( Collarbone ) | [G] 11/11/2012 - Danous Estenor "?" Saturday vs. Miami Florida ( Ankle ) | [WR] 11/11/2012 - Evan Landi "?" Saturday vs. Miami Florida ( Ankle ) | [QB] 11/04/2012 - B.J. Daniels out for season ( Ankle ) | [S] 11/11/2012 - Jon Lejiste injured last game, probable Saturday vs. Miami Florida ( Leg ) | [QB] 11/05/2012 - Matt Floyd expected to start ( None ) | |
[LB] 09/09/2012 - Ramon Buchanan out for season ( Leg ) | [LS] 09/17/2012 - Sean McNally out for season ( Lower Body ) | [WR] 09/23/2012 - Malcolm Lewis out for season ( Ankle ) | [OL] 10/01/2012 - Jermaine Johnson out indefinitely ( Personal ) | [OL] 10/18/2012 - Ben Jones out for season ( Foot ) | [RB] 10/27/2012 - Eduardo Clements out for season ( Undisclosed ) | [LB] 11/11/2012 - Denzel Perryman "?" Saturday vs. South Florida ( Ankle ) | [S] 11/11/2012 - Deon Bush "?" Saturday vs. South Florida ( Stinger ) | [WR] 11/08/2012 - Robert Lockhart out for season ( Leg ) | [LB] 11/11/2012 - Eddie Johnson "?" Saturday vs. South Florida ( Undisclosed ) | [WR] 11/10/2012 - Rashawn Scott out indefinitely ( Disciplinary ) |
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