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The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
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All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
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as an underdog of 21.5 to 31 points | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-9 | in all games | 6-4 | 24-10 | 124-111 | 3-7 | 16-19 | 92-98 | 8-2 | 31-5 | 125-118 | after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins | 3-1 | 17-4 | 38-24 | 1-3 | 10-12 | 25-28 | 3-1 | 18-4 | 39-24 | when playing against a team with a winning record | 2-2 | 8-6 | 58-55 | 2-2 | 10-5 | 45-52 | 2-2 | 10-5 | 43-71 | in weeks 10 through 13 | 2-0 | 7-3 | 41-30 | 1-1 | 5-5 | 33-23 | 2-0 | 9-1 | 39-33 | in all lined games | 6-4 | 24-10 | 124-111 | 3-7 | 16-19 | 92-98 | 8-2 | 30-5 | 120-117 | as an underdog | 2-0 | 3-1 | 72-61 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 56-61 | 1-1 | 1-3 | 42-92 | as a road underdog of 21.5 or more points | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-7 | in road games | 3-1 | 11-3 | 59-48 | 0-4 | 3-12 | 43-49 | 2-2 | 12-3 | 48-61 | in road lined games | 3-1 | 11-3 | 59-48 | 0-4 | 3-12 | 43-49 | 2-2 | 12-3 | 47-61 | against conference opponents | 4-3 | 15-9 | 87-79 | 2-5 | 12-13 | 67-67 | 6-1 | 22-3 | 86-84 | when playing on a Saturday | 6-2 | 22-8 | 117-107 | 3-5 | 15-16 | 88-91 | 7-1 | 29-3 | 120-112 | when playing with 6 or less days rest | 5-1 | 19-6 | 97-82 | 1-5 | 10-16 | 65-78 | 5-1 | 23-3 | 97-89 | after playing a conference game | 3-3 | 15-8 | 83-77 | 2-4 | 12-12 | 69-62 | 4-2 | 21-3 | 84-81 | in games played on turf | 1-1 | 4-2 | 23-21 | 0-2 | 1-5 | 14-21 | 1-1 | 4-2 | 20-23 | in November games | 2-0 | 7-3 | 41-31 | 1-1 | 5-5 | 34-23 | 2-0 | 9-1 | 39-34 | off a win against a conference rival | 3-2 | 15-5 | 45-37 | 1-4 | 9-12 | 39-29 | 3-2 | 18-3 | 48-36 |
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as a favorite of 21.5 to 31 points | 1-1 | 6-2 | 7-4 | 2-0 | 6-2 | 6-2 | 2-0 | 8-0 | 11-0 | in all games | 6-4 | 21-15 | 134-109 | 6-3 | 24-11 | 101-79 | 10-0 | 34-3 | 180-77 | off a win against a conference rival | 5-1 | 14-9 | 63-49 | 5-1 | 16-8 | 49-45 | 6-0 | 22-2 | 82-33 | after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins | 6-2 | 17-10 | 70-51 | 5-2 | 17-9 | 53-45 | 8-0 | 26-2 | 93-31 | when playing against a team with a winning record | 4-0 | 10-5 | 61-49 | 2-2 | 10-6 | 44-43 | 4-0 | 14-2 | 69-44 | in weeks 10 through 13 | 2-0 | 5-4 | 32-33 | 2-0 | 7-2 | 24-23 | 2-0 | 8-1 | 43-22 | in all lined games | 6-4 | 21-15 | 134-109 | 6-3 | 24-11 | 101-79 | 10-0 | 34-3 | 170-77 | as a favorite | 6-4 | 20-15 | 87-78 | 6-3 | 23-11 | 76-51 | 10-0 | 33-3 | 135-34 | in home games | 3-3 | 10-9 | 68-55 | 3-2 | 14-4 | 48-36 | 6-0 | 19-1 | 106-27 | in home lined games | 3-3 | 10-9 | 68-55 | 3-2 | 14-4 | 48-36 | 6-0 | 19-1 | 98-27 | against conference opponents | 6-1 | 16-9 | 95-73 | 5-2 | 18-8 | 69-60 | 7-0 | 25-1 | 116-54 | when playing on a Saturday | 5-4 | 17-12 | 120-94 | 6-2 | 20-8 | 88-63 | 9-0 | 28-2 | 166-62 | when playing with 6 or less days rest | 4-3 | 13-11 | 96-82 | 4-2 | 15-7 | 72-54 | 7-0 | 23-1 | 126-58 | after playing a conference game | 5-1 | 15-9 | 89-73 | 5-1 | 17-8 | 67-61 | 6-0 | 23-2 | 114-55 | in games played on turf | 4-4 | 13-12 | 88-78 | 5-2 | 17-7 | 68-49 | 8-0 | 24-2 | 132-47 | in November games | 2-0 | 5-4 | 33-33 | 2-0 | 7-2 | 25-23 | 2-0 | 8-1 | 44-22 |
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Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
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All Games | 8-2 | +2.9 | 6-4 | 3-7 | 29.1 | 15.7 | 377.8 | (5.6) | 1.4 | 17.2 | 6.2 | 320.7 | (4.5) | 2.2 | Road Games | 2-2 | -3 | 3-1 | 0-4 | 23.7 | 18.0 | 354.5 | (5) | 1.5 | 10.0 | 2.2 | 235.0 | (3.8) | 2.5 | Last 3 Games | 3-0 | +1 | 2-1 | 1-2 | 33.0 | 19.7 | 369.7 | (5.7) | 1.3 | 13.3 | 6.7 | 257.7 | (4) | 1.7 | Turf Games | 1-1 | -2 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 17.0 | 13.5 | 355.0 | (5) | 2.0 | 10.0 | 3.0 | 265.0 | (4.1) | 2.0 | Conference Games | 6-1 | +2.9 | 4-3 | 2-5 | 29.7 | 15.3 | 407.6 | (5.9) | 1.6 | 17.4 | 7.6 | 314.3 | (4.4) | 1.9 |
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Offense (All Games) | 29.1 | 15.7 | 19.1 | 32:33 | 38-166 | (4.4) | 17-30 | 57.4% | 212 | (7.1) | 67-378 | (5.6) | (13) | Opponents Defensive Avg. | 27.7 | 15.1 | 21.1 | 30:31 | 37-159 | (4.3) | 21-34 | 60.1% | 244 | (7.1) | 71-403 | (5.7) | (14.6) | Offense Road Games | 23.7 | 18.0 | 17.7 | 33:02 | 38-167 | (4.4) | 18-32 | 55.8% | 187 | (5.8) | 70-354 | (5) | (14.9) | Defense (All Games) | 17.2 | 6.2 | 18.1 | 30:27 | 29-59 | (2) | 26-43 | 61.6% | 262 | (6.1) | 72-321 | (4.5) | (18.6) | Opponents Offensive Avg. | 27.7 | 13.9 | 21.4 | 31:47 | 35-138 | (4) | 23-37 | 61.5% | 267 | (7.2) | 72-405 | (5.7) | (14.6) | Defense Road Games | 10.0 | 2.2 | 12.5 | 26:58 | 32-67 | (2.1) | 16-30 | 55.5% | 168 | (5.6) | 61-235 | (3.8) | (23.5) |
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All Games | 10-0 | +3 | 6-4 | 6-3 | 54.8 | 34.8 | 562.6 | (6.8) | 1.8 | 22.3 | 9.0 | 377.6 | (5) | 2.9 | Home Games | 6-0 | +1 | 3-3 | 3-2 | 55.5 | 37.3 | 566.3 | (6.8) | 2.2 | 18.0 | 5.0 | 333.7 | (4.5) | 2.8 | Last 3 Games | 3-0 | +1 | 3-0 | 3-0 | 63.7 | 38.0 | 640.7 | (7.9) | 0.7 | 27.3 | 11.3 | 403.0 | (6) | 2.7 | Turf Games | 8-0 | +1 | 4-4 | 5-2 | 55.4 | 33.9 | 555.2 | (6.7) | 1.9 | 18.9 | 7.4 | 344.1 | (4.6) | 2.7 | Conference Games | 7-0 | +3 | 6-1 | 5-2 | 55.1 | 32.6 | 548.1 | (6.8) | 1.6 | 21.4 | 9.6 | 386.3 | (5.1) | 3.4 |
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Offense (All Games) | 54.8 | 34.8 | 28.9 | 28:27 | 54-325 | (6.1) | 20-29 | 69.4% | 237 | (8.2) | 82-563 | (6.8) | (10.3) | Opponents Defensive Avg. | 33.2 | 18.5 | 22.3 | 30:51 | 40-191 | (4.7) | 20-33 | 61.0% | 243 | (7.3) | 74-434 | (5.9) | (13.1) | Offense Home Games | 55.5 | 37.3 | 29.3 | 28:03 | 54-323 | (6) | 20-29 | 67.8% | 243 | (8.2) | 83-566 | (6.8) | (10.2) | Defense (All Games) | 22.3 | 9.0 | 21.3 | 31:33 | 36-147 | (4.1) | 23-40 | 58.2% | 231 | (5.8) | 76-378 | (5) | (16.9) | Opponents Offensive Avg. | 28.3 | 15.1 | 21.1 | 30:27 | 37-151 | (4.1) | 22-35 | 61.8% | 246 | (7) | 72-397 | (5.5) | (14) | Defense Home Games | 18.0 | 5.0 | 19.3 | 31:57 | 38-153 | (4) | 22-37 | 58.8% | 180 | (4.9) | 75-334 | (4.5) | (18.5) |
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Average power rating of opponents played: STANFORD 38.7, OREGON 34.3 |
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Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed. |
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9/27/2012 | @ WASHINGTON | 13-17 | L | -7 | L | 48.5 | U | 28-65 | 18-37-170 | 2 | 34-136 | 19-37-177 | 1 | 10/6/2012 | ARIZONA | 54-48 | W | -10 | L | 55 | O | 43-257 | 21-34-360 | 1 | 34-126 | 45-69-491 | 1 | 10/13/2012 | @ NOTRE DAME | 13-20 | L | 9 | W | 42 | U | 40-147 | 12-25-125 | 2 | 44-150 | 16-28-184 | 3 | 10/20/2012 | @ CALIFORNIA | 21-3 | W | -1 | W | 47 | U | 46-252 | 17-32-223 | 2 | 28-3 | 19-31-214 | 3 | 10/27/2012 | WASHINGTON ST | 24-17 | W | -25 | L | 51 | U | 37-120 | 7-15-136 | 0 | 23--16 | 43-61-401 | 1 | 11/3/2012 | @ COLORADO | 48-0 | W | -27.5 | W | 52 | U | 39-206 | 25-35-230 | 0 | 21--21 | 12-23-97 | 3 | 11/10/2012 | OREGON ST | 27-23 | W | -3.5 | W | 44 | O | 39-163 | 22-29-254 | 4 | 28-86 | 23-39-226 | 1 | 11/17/2012 | @ OREGON | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11/24/2012 | @ UCLA | | | | | | | | | | | | |
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9/22/2012 | ARIZONA | 49-0 | W | -20 | W | 78.5 | U | 53-228 | 21-36-267 | 3 | 32-89 | 27-52-243 | 5 | 9/29/2012 | *WASHINGTON ST | 51-26 | W | -31 | L | 72.5 | O | 46-300 | 21-32-169 | 2 | 21--8 | 37-64-410 | 2 | 10/6/2012 | WASHINGTON | 52-21 | W | -25.5 | W | 62.5 | O | 52-299 | 15-24-198 | 2 | 46-208 | 19-31-145 | 5 | 10/18/2012 | @ ARIZONA ST | 43-21 | W | -8.5 | W | 68.5 | U | 60-406 | 11-19-48 | 2 | 47-192 | 20-37-216 | 4 | 10/27/2012 | COLORADO | 70-14 | W | -47 | W | 67.5 | O | 57-425 | 14-18-192 | 1 | 33-150 | 14-27-95 | 2 | 11/3/2012 | @ USC | 62-51 | W | -8.5 | W | 72.5 | O | 60-426 | 20-23-304 | 1 | 26-131 | 35-54-484 | 3 | 11/10/2012 | @ CALIFORNIA | 59-17 | W | -32.5 | W | 67.5 | O | 48-180 | 28-37-395 | 0 | 40-236 | 9-21-113 | 3 | 11/17/2012 | STANFORD | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11/24/2012 | @ OREGON ST | | | | | | | | | | | | |
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Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
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OREGON is 12-6 against the spread versus STANFORD since 1992 | OREGON is 11-7 straight up against STANFORD since 1992 | 10 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992 |
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OREGON is 2-0 against the spread versus STANFORD over the last 3 seasons | OREGON is 2-0 straight up against STANFORD over the last 3 seasons | 2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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OREGON is 5-4 against the spread versus STANFORD since 1992 | OREGON is 6-3 straight up against STANFORD since 1992 | 4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992 |
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OREGON is 1-0 against the spread versus STANFORD over the last 3 seasons | OREGON is 1-0 straight up against STANFORD over the last 3 seasons | 1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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11/12/2011 | OREGON | 53 | 71 | SU ATS | 22 | 18 | 25:35 | 46-232 | 11-17 | 155 | 2 | 0 | 4-35 | | STANFORD | 30 | -2.5 | Over | 16 | 24 | 34:25 | 35-129 | 27-41 | 271 | 3 | 2 | 5-40 | 10/2/2010 | STANFORD | 31 | 64 | Over | 31 | 25 | 33:28 | 31-177 | 29-46 | 341 | 1 | 2 | 9-76 | | OREGON | 52 | -6.5 | SU ATS | 24 | 31 | 26:32 | 51-388 | 20-29 | 238 | 1 | 2 | 5-45 |
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Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
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The betting public is correct when moving the money line in STANFORD games 52% of the time since 1992. (103-95) | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in STANFORD games 51.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (16-15) | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in OREGON games 50.5% of the time since 1992. (107-105) | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in OREGON games 44.1% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (15-19) | |
No total has been posted for this game. |
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[FB] 08/07/2012 - Geoff Meinken out indefinitely ( Knee ) | [OT] 08/16/2012 - Cole Underwood out for season ( Knee ) | |
[WR] 08/09/2012 - Tacoi Sumler has left team ( Personal ) | [S] 09/11/2012 - John Boyett out for season ( Knee ) | [OL] 09/10/2012 - Carson York out for season ( Knee ) | [LB] 10/16/2012 - Keloni Kamalani out indefinitely ( Arm ) | [DT] 11/11/2012 - Ricky Heimuli "?" Saturday vs. Stanford ( Knee ) | [DT] 11/11/2012 - Isaac Remington "?" Saturday vs. Stanford ( Leg ) | [CB] 11/11/2012 - Avery Patterson injured last game, doubtful Saturday vs. Stanford ( Knee ) | [QB] 11/11/2012 - Marcus Mariota injured last game, probable Saturday vs. Stanford ( Wrist ) | [RB] 11/11/2012 - Kenjon Barner injured last game, probable Saturday vs. Stanford ( Hand ) |
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