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Matchup Reports

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SMU (6-6) AT FRESNO ST (9-3) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/U/PRYPYTYRYPYTY
213: SMU
214: FRESNO ST
59.5
-11.5
29.5 / 27.0
40.3 / 22.3
6-6
9-3
7-5-0
11-1-0
6-5-0
5-6-0
128.9
166.7
237.3
322.6
366.2
489.3
129.1
172.3
272.3
163.4
401.4
335.8
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
SMU  
FRESNO ST-10 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
SMU - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in a bowl game0-01-12-10-00-20-30-01-12-1
off a win against a conference rival1-35-1023-363-16-816-161-37-825-34
when playing against a team with a winning record2-16-839-382-16-815-211-25-921-55
as an underdog of 10.5 to 21 points1-04-238-270-14-29-190-11-514-50
in all games7-518-21106-1316-516-2143-596-621-1884-158
in all lined games7-518-21106-1316-516-2143-596-621-1879-157
as an underdog4-38-979-894-38-924-393-45-1236-131
as a neutral field underdog of 10.5 to 14 points0-00-01-10-00-00-10-00-01-1
against Mountain West conference opponents0-02-05-10-02-03-20-01-12-4
when playing on a Monday0-00-00-10-00-00-10-00-00-1
when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest1-04-118-90-11-42-90-13-213-15
after playing a conference game4-310-1471-845-29-1426-424-314-1060-96
after a bye week1-04-119-100-11-43-100-13-215-15
in games played on a neutral field0-01-02-10-00-10-20-01-02-1
in games played on turf7-410-735-385-57-912-216-59-819-55
in December games0-00-22-20-00-20-30-00-21-3
in non-conference games2-27-734-421-26-612-171-35-923-58

FRESNO ST - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in a bowl game0-00-16-70-01-09-40-00-15-8
off a win against a conference rival5-19-555-433-39-529-335-18-668-34
after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins3-15-439-392-27-228-263-14-548-35
as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points5-05-325-333-25-314-175-07-148-10
in all games11-121-15123-1245-621-1579-759-321-17152-112
in all lined games11-121-15123-1245-621-1579-759-320-17137-111
as a favorite9-011-963-745-311-839-419-015-5103-33
as a neutral field favorite of 10.5 to 14 points0-00-00-00-00-00-00-00-00-0
against Conference USA opponents1-01-01-10-10-10-20-10-10-2
when playing on a Monday0-00-03-10-00-03-10-00-03-1
when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest1-03-215-221-05-018-101-03-220-17
after playing a conference game6-111-1075-803-412-1044-466-112-10101-64
after a bye week1-03-216-241-05-018-131-03-222-18
in games played on a neutral field0-00-16-80-01-09-50-00-15-9
in games played on turf10-114-343-314-68-833-208-310-735-40
in December games0-01-110-90-02-112-70-01-29-11
in non-conference games4-07-648-361-28-537-252-26-946-52
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
SMU - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games6-6-15.57-56-529.514.4366.2(5.2)1.727.013.5401.4(5.5)2.7
Road Games1-4-18.81-43-219.68.6385.2(5.1)1.632.817.0411.8(6.5)1.0
Last 3 Games2-1+1.22-11-227.720.7352.3(5.5)0.723.010.7397.3(5.1)1.7
Turf Games6-4+1.57-34-531.115.7366.4(5.2)1.925.512.1407.9(5.2)3.1
SMU - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)29.514.419.533:0830-129(4.3)22-4153.1%237(5.8)71-366(5.2)(12.4)
Opponents Defensive Avg.31.715.921.731:3639-165(4.3)21-3559.4%253(7.3)73-419(5.7)(13.2)
Offense Road Games19.68.622.234:5632-142(4.4)23-4353.7%244(5.7)75-385(5.1)(19.7)
Defense (All Games)27.013.520.726:5233-129(3.9)22-4055.3%272(6.7)73-401(5.5)(14.9)
Opponents Offensive Avg.29.815.722.729:1738-165(4.3)22-3758.8%261(7)76-426(5.6)(14.3)
Defense Road Games32.817.020.025:0431-147(4.7)19-3258.1%265(8.3)63-412(6.5)(12.6)

FRESNO ST - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games9-3+511-15-640.224.8489.2(6.3)1.322.213.4335.7(4.7)2.7
Road Games3-3+15-12-431.712.5426.5(5.4)1.027.319.0378.0(5.1)2.5
Last 3 Games3-0+23-02-148.331.3527.7(6.8)1.020.310.3340.3(4.3)3.3
Turf Games8-3+410-14-639.525.8479.2(6.2)1.421.412.5330.5(4.5)2.8
FRESNO ST - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)40.224.823.730:2037-167(4.5)27-4066.3%323(8)77-489(6.3)(12.2)
Opponents Defensive Avg.30.316.521.830:5140-184(4.6)19-3161.7%229(7.3)71-413(5.8)(13.6)
Offense Road Games31.712.522.330:6037-162(4.4)26-4261.6%264(6.2)79-426(5.4)(13.5)
Defense (All Games)22.213.417.929:4043-172(4)15-2951.7%163(5.6)72-336(4.7)(15.1)
Opponents Offensive Avg.28.415.621.130:1544-202(4.6)17-2860.1%191(6.9)72-392(5.5)(13.8)
Defense Road Games27.319.020.729:0045-217(4.8)14-2950.0%161(5.6)74-378(5.1)(13.8)
Average power rating of opponents played: SMU 31.5,  FRESNO ST 29.8
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
SMU - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
10/27/2012MEMPHIS44-13W-21W49O34-13425-35-353131-1178-17-852
11/3/2012@ UCF17-42L9L50O31-12616-29-133139-24112-17-1551
11/10/2012SOUTHERN MISS34-6W-15W50.5U30-18627-44-249022-5114-31-1272
11/17/2012@ RICE14-36L-3.5L55.5U28-10315-27-214240-12624-37-2970
11/24/2012TULSA35-27W6W50O35-19210-27-113038-17836-65-4133
12/24/2012*FRESNO ST            

FRESNO ST - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
10/27/2012@ NEW MEXICO49-32W-15W55O34-18431-44-416151-3494-15-452
11/3/2012HAWAII45-10W-32W61U44-15118-33-329134-7921-38-2213
11/10/2012@ NEVADA52-36W-3W70O44-28017-35-220150-19021-39-2144
11/24/2012AIR FORCE48-15W-16.5W60.5O43-12430-34-479168-2544-10-633
12/24/2012*SMU            
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1992
FRESNO ST is 3-3 against the spread versus SMU since 1992
FRESNO ST is 5-1 straight up against SMU since 1992
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games over the last 3 seasons
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring SMU in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in SMU games 47.8% of the time since 1992. (98-107)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in SMU games 42.9% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (15-20)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in FRESNO ST games 53.8% of the time since 1992. (112-96)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in FRESNO ST games 43.3% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (13-17)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the UNDER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in SMU games 55.6% of the time since 1992. (50-40)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in SMU games 44.1% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (15-19)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in FRESNO ST games 55.3% of the time since 1992. (73-59)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in FRESNO ST games 62.1% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (18-11)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
SMU
[CB] 08/17/2012 - James Richardson out for season ( Knee )
[S] 10/03/2012 - Ryan Smith out for season ( Leg )
[LB] 12/02/2012 - Cameron Rogers "?" Monday vs. Fresno State ( Leg )
FRESNO ST
[FB] 08/30/2012 - Tapa Taumoepeau out for season ( Knee )
[LB] 09/17/2012 - Jamaal Rose out indefinitely ( Knee )
[DL] 10/12/2012 - Anthony Williams out for season ( Foot )
[LB] 10/17/2012 - Patrick Su'a out for season ( Knee )
[WR] 11/05/2012 - Victor Dean out for season ( Knee )
[WR] 12/02/2012 - Josh Harper "?" Monday vs. SMU ( Groin )
[C] 12/02/2012 - Lars Bramer "?" Monday vs. SMU ( Suspension )
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