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The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
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All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
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as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points | 2-1 | 2-1 | 8-13 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 7-5 | 3-0 | 3-0 | 16-6 | in all games | 5-2 | 21-11 | 93-82 | 4-3 | 19-13 | 51-49 | 6-1 | 21-11 | 112-141 | in all lined games | 5-2 | 21-11 | 93-82 | 4-3 | 19-13 | 51-49 | 6-1 | 21-11 | 74-103 | as a favorite | 4-2 | 10-5 | 30-27 | 3-3 | 9-6 | 23-17 | 5-1 | 13-2 | 45-13 | as a road favorite | 1-1 | 3-3 | 10-10 | 2-0 | 4-2 | 8-7 | 1-1 | 4-2 | 17-3 | in road games | 2-1 | 11-5 | 57-41 | 3-0 | 11-5 | 27-28 | 2-1 | 9-7 | 50-85 | in road lined games | 2-1 | 11-5 | 57-41 | 3-0 | 11-5 | 27-28 | 2-1 | 9-7 | 38-61 | against conference opponents | 2-1 | 12-7 | 61-58 | 1-2 | 11-8 | 34-32 | 3-0 | 13-6 | 88-86 | when playing on a Saturday | 4-2 | 16-8 | 76-72 | 3-3 | 14-10 | 42-34 | 5-1 | 16-8 | 92-129 | when playing with 6 or less days rest | 3-2 | 13-8 | 65-61 | 3-2 | 13-8 | 37-31 | 4-1 | 14-7 | 84-102 | after playing a conference game | 2-0 | 13-4 | 63-51 | 1-1 | 10-7 | 33-30 | 2-0 | 11-6 | 79-90 | in games played on turf | 4-2 | 16-6 | 37-24 | 3-3 | 11-11 | 20-25 | 5-1 | 17-5 | 33-40 | in October games | 1-1 | 7-4 | 31-31 | 1-1 | 5-6 | 16-20 | 2-0 | 7-4 | 42-48 | off a win against a conference rival | 2-0 | 10-2 | 32-23 | 1-1 | 8-4 | 19-20 | 2-0 | 8-4 | 28-27 | after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins | 1-2 | 5-6 | 17-19 | 2-1 | 6-5 | 16-13 | 2-1 | 6-5 | 34-20 | when playing against a team with a losing record | 1-1 | 5-2 | 25-30 | 1-1 | 4-3 | 14-15 | 2-0 | 7-0 | 54-29 | in weeks 5 through 9 | 2-1 | 8-5 | 34-36 | 1-2 | 6-7 | 20-21 | 3-0 | 8-5 | 47-55 |
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as an underdog of 10.5 to 21 points | 0-1 | 2-2 | 12-14 | 1-0 | 2-2 | 10-7 | 0-1 | 0-4 | 2-25 | in all games | 2-5 | 13-18 | 76-94 | 2-4 | 15-15 | 56-51 | 0-7 | 11-21 | 128-122 | in all lined games | 2-5 | 13-18 | 76-94 | 2-4 | 15-15 | 56-51 | 0-7 | 11-21 | 79-97 | as an underdog | 2-4 | 5-12 | 36-52 | 2-4 | 8-9 | 30-30 | 0-6 | 1-16 | 17-75 | as a home underdog of 17.5 to 21 points | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | in home games | 0-3 | 6-7 | 29-39 | 0-2 | 7-5 | 22-18 | 0-3 | 8-6 | 76-36 | in home lined games | 0-3 | 6-7 | 29-39 | 0-2 | 7-5 | 22-18 | 0-3 | 8-6 | 43-30 | against conference opponents | 0-3 | 7-12 | 52-68 | 1-2 | 11-8 | 37-34 | 0-3 | 7-12 | 98-78 | when playing on a Saturday | 1-5 | 9-17 | 66-86 | 2-3 | 12-13 | 49-41 | 0-6 | 9-18 | 117-107 | when playing with 6 or less days rest | 1-4 | 9-14 | 58-67 | 2-3 | 12-11 | 38-36 | 0-5 | 9-15 | 106-80 | after playing a conference game | 0-2 | 6-11 | 52-59 | 1-1 | 10-7 | 34-32 | 0-2 | 5-12 | 87-83 | in games played on turf | 0-5 | 6-16 | 27-36 | 2-2 | 10-10 | 22-25 | 0-5 | 4-18 | 22-45 | in October games | 0-2 | 3-8 | 27-35 | 1-1 | 8-3 | 23-15 | 0-2 | 4-7 | 50-38 | off a loss against a conference rival | 0-2 | 3-7 | 22-29 | 1-1 | 6-4 | 17-13 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 21-35 | after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses | 1-4 | 2-6 | 18-20 | 2-3 | 5-3 | 14-6 | 0-5 | 2-6 | 21-34 | when playing against a team with a winning record | 0-2 | 4-7 | 19-27 | 1-1 | 7-4 | 16-15 | 0-2 | 3-8 | 21-45 | in weeks 5 through 9 | 0-3 | 3-10 | 30-40 | 1-2 | 8-5 | 24-18 | 0-3 | 4-9 | 56-43 |
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Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
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All Games | 6-1 | +4.8 | 5-2 | 4-3 | 39.3 | 20.7 | 470.1 | (6.6) | 1.9 | 24.4 | 13.0 | 428.1 | (5.4) | 2.6 | Road Games | 2-1 | +0.8 | 2-1 | 3-0 | 42.0 | 26.0 | 515.0 | (7.2) | 2.0 | 27.0 | 15.3 | 460.0 | (5.5) | 3.0 | Last 3 Games | 3-0 | +3.4 | 2-1 | 1-2 | 35.3 | 13.7 | 464.0 | (6.2) | 2.0 | 25.0 | 11.3 | 427.0 | (5.5) | 2.7 | Turf Games | 5-1 | +3.4 | 4-2 | 3-3 | 37.8 | 21.3 | 464.2 | (6.6) | 2.2 | 24.0 | 12.3 | 423.0 | (5.4) | 2.3 | Conference Games | 3-0 | +3 | 2-1 | 1-2 | 36.3 | 19.3 | 476.3 | (6.7) | 2.3 | 22.7 | 10.0 | 412.7 | (5.5) | 2.7 |
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Offense (All Games) | 39.3 | 20.7 | 24.4 | 26:52 | 32-137 | (4.3) | 24-40 | 59.3% | 333 | (8.3) | 72-470 | (6.6) | (12) | Opponents Defensive Avg. | 32.1 | 16 | 20.7 | 28:03 | 37-172 | (4.6) | 18-30 | 57.9% | 244 | (8) | 67-416 | (6.2) | (13) | Offense Road Games | 42.0 | 26.0 | 24.3 | 26:41 | 32-173 | (5.4) | 23-39 | 58.5% | 342 | (8.7) | 72-515 | (7.2) | (12.3) | Defense (All Games) | 24.4 | 13.0 | 23.3 | 33:08 | 44-210 | (4.8) | 22-35 | 62.6% | 218 | (6.2) | 79-428 | (5.4) | (17.5) | Opponents Offensive Avg. | 24.4 | 14.1 | 20.1 | 32:50 | 41-179 | (4.4) | 19-30 | 61.9% | 200 | (6.7) | 71-379 | (5.4) | (15.5) | Defense Road Games | 27.0 | 15.3 | 26.0 | 33:19 | 43-224 | (5.2) | 24-40 | 60.3% | 236 | (5.9) | 84-460 | (5.5) | (17) |
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All Games | 0-7 | -3 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 12.9 | 6.1 | 304.3 | (4.4) | 3.0 | 37.4 | 20.0 | 437.6 | (5.9) | 1.4 | Home Games | 0-3 | -2 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 12.3 | 5.3 | 332.3 | (4.9) | 2.7 | 30.7 | 14.0 | 440.3 | (6.2) | 1.7 | Last 3 Games | 0-3 | -2 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 11.3 | 4.7 | 295.7 | (4.7) | 3.3 | 37.3 | 14.7 | 467.3 | (6.2) | 0.7 | Turf Games | 0-5 | -3 | 0-5 | 2-3 | 12.0 | 5.2 | 316.2 | (4.8) | 3.2 | 39.6 | 20.6 | 459.0 | (6.4) | 1.4 | Conference Games | 0-3 | -2 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 11.3 | 4.7 | 295.7 | (4.7) | 3.3 | 37.3 | 14.7 | 467.3 | (6.2) | 0.7 |
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Offense (All Games) | 12.9 | 6.1 | 16.9 | 27:23 | 31-105 | (3.3) | 17-37 | 46.3% | 199 | (5.4) | 68-304 | (4.4) | (23.7) | Opponents Defensive Avg. | 27.9 | 14.9 | 21.3 | 28:17 | 37-176 | (4.8) | 19-34 | 55.2% | 232 | (6.9) | 71-408 | (5.8) | (14.6) | Offense Home Games | 12.3 | 5.3 | 20.0 | 26:60 | 34-140 | (4.1) | 17-33 | 51.0% | 192 | (5.8) | 67-332 | (4.9) | (26.9) | Defense (All Games) | 37.4 | 20.0 | 23.6 | 32:08 | 48-274 | (5.7) | 14-26 | 53.3% | 163 | (6.4) | 74-438 | (5.9) | (11.7) | Opponents Offensive Avg. | 26.1 | 14.8 | 20.3 | 32:32 | 40-179 | (4.5) | 18-32 | 57.2% | 207 | (6.5) | 72-386 | (5.4) | (14.8) | Defense Home Games | 30.7 | 14.0 | 22.7 | 33:00 | 48-263 | (5.5) | 13-24 | 54.9% | 178 | (7.5) | 71-440 | (6.2) | (14.4) |
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Average power rating of opponents played: BALL ST 21.6, W MICHIGAN 29.9 |
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Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed. |
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8/29/2013 | ILLINOIS ST | 51-28 | W | -13 | W | 62.5 | O | 32-80 | 24-40-340 | 0 | 36-74 | 20-29-282 | 2 | 9/7/2013 | ARMY | 40-14 | W | -10.5 | W | 59.5 | U | 34-115 | 23-37-325 | 1 | 64-363 | 7-20-76 | 3 | 9/14/2013 | @ NORTH TEXAS | 27-34 | L | -3 | L | 58.5 | O | 20-163 | 27-46-333 | 5 | 45-231 | 31-47-274 | 1 | 9/21/2013 | @ E MICHIGAN | 51-20 | W | -10 | W | 59 | O | 37-197 | 19-31-346 | 1 | 44-204 | 20-32-212 | 4 | 9/28/2013 | TOLEDO | 31-24 | W | -1 | W | 67.5 | U | 36-128 | 27-39-335 | 3 | 29-141 | 34-46-274 | 2 | 10/5/2013 | @ VIRGINIA | 48-27 | W | 3 | W | 49 | O | 40-160 | 23-41-346 | 0 | 41-236 | 22-42-223 | 4 | 10/12/2013 | KENT ST | 27-24 | W | -13 | L | 63.5 | U | 23-118 | 23-46-305 | 3 | 46-223 | 20-30-184 | 2 | 10/19/2013 | @ W MICHIGAN | | | | | | | | | | | | | 10/26/2013 | @ AKRON | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11/6/2013 | C MICHIGAN | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11/13/2013 | @ N ILLINOIS | | | | | | | | | | | | |
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8/30/2013 | @ MICHIGAN ST | 13-26 | L | 27.5 | W | 44 | U | 27-11 | 18-48-193 | 4 | 42-181 | 17-37-116 | 1 | 9/7/2013 | NICHOLLS ST | 23-27 | L | -26.5 | L | | - | 44-231 | 24-43-254 | 2 | 40-222 | 10-18-225 | 3 | 9/14/2013 | @ NORTHWESTERN | 17-38 | L | 28.5 | W | 57.5 | U | 31-143 | 16-41-202 | 1 | 55-332 | 15-22-139 | 2 | 9/21/2013 | @ IOWA | 3-59 | L | 16.5 | L | 47 | O | 20-74 | 16-38-135 | 4 | 58-258 | 11-18-188 | 2 | 9/28/2013 | KENT ST | 14-32 | L | 2.5 | L | 51 | U | 32-151 | 11-23-159 | 2 | 47-276 | 17-30-176 | 2 | 10/5/2013 | @ TOLEDO | 20-47 | L | 23.5 | L | 58.5 | O | 40-87 | 19-32-288 | 4 | 39-360 | 14-32-168 | 0 | 10/12/2013 | BUFFALO | 0-33 | L | 9.5 | L | 48.5 | U | 26-38 | 16-34-164 | 4 | 56-290 | 12-23-132 | 0 | 10/19/2013 | BALL ST | | | | | | | | | | | | | 10/26/2013 | @ MASSACHUSETTS | | | | | | | | | | | | | 10/26/2013 | MASSACHUSETTS | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11/9/2013 | @ E MICHIGAN | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11/16/2013 | C MICHIGAN | | | | | | | | | | | | |
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Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
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BALL ST is 10-5 against the spread versus W MICHIGAN since 1992 | BALL ST is 11-9 straight up against W MICHIGAN since 1992 | 5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992 |
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BALL ST is 2-0 against the spread versus W MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons | W MICHIGAN is 1-1 straight up against BALL ST over the last 3 seasons | 1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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BALL ST is 5-2 against the spread versus W MICHIGAN since 1992 | W MICHIGAN is 5-5 straight up against BALL ST since 1992 | 2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992 |
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BALL ST is 1-0 against the spread versus W MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons | W MICHIGAN is 1-0 straight up against BALL ST over the last 3 seasons | 1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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10/13/2012 | W MICHIGAN | 24 | 65.5 | Under | 21 | 23 | 26:58 | 38-222 | 16-31 | 202 | 0 | 2 | 8-75 | | BALL ST | 30 | -2.5 | SU ATS | 10 | 30 | 33:02 | 45-168 | 27-43 | 265 | 2 | 1 | 8-74 | 10/29/2011 | BALL ST | 35 | 58 | ATS | 28 | 34 | 30:40 | 37-220 | 35-50 | 335 | 0 | 2 | 9-63 | | W MICHIGAN | 45 | -11.5 | SU Over | 35 | 29 | 29:20 | 39-145 | 30-42 | 465 | 1 | 3 | 11-106 |
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Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
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The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BALL ST games 48.4% of the time since 1992. (76-81) | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BALL ST games 55.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (15-12) | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in W MICHIGAN games 45.6% of the time since 1992. (68-81) | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in W MICHIGAN games 61.5% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (16-10) | |
No total has been posted for this game. |
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[DB] 10/13/2013 - Martez Hester "?" Saturday vs. Western Michigan ( Ankle ) | [DB] 10/13/2013 - Christopher Calloway "?" Saturday vs. Western Michigan ( Neck ) | [WR] 10/13/2013 - Chris Shillings "?" Saturday vs. Western Michigan ( Leg ) | [LB] 10/13/2013 - Ben Ingle "?" Saturday vs. Western Michigan ( Shoulder ) | [WR] 09/18/2013 - KeVonn Mabon out for season ( Collarbone ) | |
[RB] 10/13/2013 - Tevin Drake "?" Saturday vs. Ball State ( Disciplinary ) | [DL] 10/13/2013 - Cory Sueing "?" Saturday vs. Ball State ( Back ) | [DB] 10/13/2013 - Rontavious Atkins "?" Saturday vs. Ball State ( Hand ) | [DB] 10/13/2013 - Garrett Smith "?" Saturday vs. Ball State ( Undisclosed ) | [QB] 10/12/2013 - Tyler Van Tubbergen "?" ( Shoulder ) | [WR] 08/30/2013 - Justin Collins out for season ( Knee ) | [C] 08/23/2013 - Terry Davisson out for season ( Undisclosed ) | [WR] 08/22/2013 - Daniel Braverman out for season ( ACL ) | [LB] 08/22/2013 - Devon Brant out for season ( ACL ) | [LB] 08/22/2013 - Terry Easmon out indefinitely ( MCL ) | [WR] 08/13/2013 - Jaime Wilson redshirt ( Ankle ) |
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