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Matchup Reports

Thursday at 7:30 PM
W KENTUCKY (4-1) AT TROY (3-2) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/U/PRYPYTYRYPYTY
107: W KENTUCKY
108: TROY
54.5
+2.5
29.8 / 21.2
26.4 / 22.6
4-1
3-2
5-0-0
4-1-0
2-2-0
1-4-0
213.0
173.4
200.6
324.6
413.6
498.0
115.4
188.8
175.4
207.0
290.8
395.8
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
W KENTUCKY-8 
TROY  
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
W KENTUCKY - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
when the line is +3 to -32-07-17-31-14-44-62-06-26-4
in all games5-022-730-202-214-1322-264-113-1619-57
in all lined games5-022-730-202-214-1322-264-113-1613-37
as a favorite2-04-34-41-05-16-12-04-34-4
as a road favorite0-01-01-00-01-01-00-01-01-0
as a road favorite of 3 points or less0-01-01-00-01-01-00-01-01-0
in road games3-013-218-91-28-713-142-18-711-36
in road lined games3-013-218-91-28-713-142-18-78-19
in a road game where the total is between 49.5 and 562-09-111-41-16-48-71-14-64-11
in a road game where the total is between 52.5 and 560-06-17-30-04-35-50-03-43-7
against conference opponents1-014-319-110-18-813-161-010-712-26
when playing on a Thursday0-02-03-00-01-11-20-01-12-2
after playing a conference game0-011-316-90-07-611-130-08-68-19
after a bye week0-02-03-30-00-22-40-00-23-13
in games played on turf3-014-618-151-110-815-163-09-1111-30
in October games0-07-28-80-05-49-70-05-46-14
off a win against a conference rival0-07-17-10-03-43-40-05-35-3
after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins1-05-05-00-12-32-31-04-14-1
when playing against a team with a winning record0-03-07-30-01-22-80-02-12-9
in weeks 5 through 91-08-29-90-15-59-91-06-48-20

TROY - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
when the line is +3 to -31-12-17-40-21-26-41-12-16-5
in all games4-112-1866-581-414-1647-443-214-16132-82
in all lined games4-112-1866-581-414-1647-443-214-1661-64
as an underdog2-16-635-270-36-624-161-22-1013-49
as a home underdog of 3 points or less0-10-10-10-10-10-10-10-10-1
in home games1-13-922-210-24-813-210-27-572-12
in home lined games1-13-922-210-24-813-210-27-533-10
in a home game where the total is between 49.5 and 560-01-23-30-02-12-40-02-15-1
in a home game where the total is between 52.5 and 560-00-22-30-02-02-30-01-14-1
against conference opponents2-17-1233-290-36-1322-332-110-999-35
when playing on a Thursday0-00-02-40-00-01-50-00-09-4
after playing a conference game2-07-1031-260-26-1126-261-18-934-26
after a bye week0-04-113-70-02-34-110-02-318-13
in games played on turf4-110-1229-251-49-1321-253-213-934-24
in October games0-02-519-150-00-75-180-03-445-19
off a win against a conference rival1-04-523-180-13-622-171-06-327-16
after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins0-01-319-150-01-315-110-02-254-24
when playing against a team with a winning record0-02-418-150-04-216-60-01-510-24
in weeks 5 through 91-03-522-170-10-86-201-04-450-22
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
W KENTUCKY - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games4-1+4.15-02-229.814.6413.6(6.3)1.821.29.4290.8(4.7)1.8
Road Games2-1+3.13-01-219.35.7304.0(4.7)2.026.314.7345.3(4.9)2.0
Last 3 Games3-0+4.13-02-133.312.7416.0(6.1)1.020.38.7324.0(4.6)2.3
Turf Games3-0+23-01-139.018.7507.0(7.7)1.013.35.3251.0(4.2)1.7
Conference Games1-0+11-00-126.00.0365.0(6.1)0.013.013.0335.0(4.2)2.0
W KENTUCKY - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)29.814.621.433:3041-213(5.1)16-2467.2%201(8.2)66-414(6.3)(13.9)
Opponents Defensive Avg.29.316.520.332:4940-177(4.4)17-2764.7%197(7.4)67-374(5.6)(12.8)
Offense Road Games19.35.718.032:5940-151(3.8)16-2465.3%153(6.4)64-304(4.7)(15.7)
Defense (All Games)21.29.418.226:3032-115(3.6)17-3057.3%175(5.8)62-291(4.7)(13.7)
Opponents Offensive Avg.23.212.318.428:0939-171(4.4)15-2755.5%167(6.2)66-339(5.1)(14.6)
Defense Road Games26.314.722.727:0130-90(3)25-4162.3%255(6.3)70-345(4.9)(13.1)

TROY - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games3-2+14-11-426.413.8498.0(6.1)3.022.613.4395.8(5.9)1.6
Home Games0-2-21-10-224.010.5580.0(6.1)3.533.521.5423.0(6.9)0.0
Last 3 Games2-1+13-00-323.012.7483.0(6.1)3.315.713.3377.0(5.8)1.3
Turf Games3-2+14-11-426.413.8498.0(6.1)3.022.613.4395.8(5.9)1.6
Conference Games2-1+12-10-323.015.0488.3(5.8)3.018.012.3354.3(5.4)1.3
TROY - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)26.413.826.030:1639-173(4.5)29-4367.0%325(7.5)82-498(6.1)(18.9)
Opponents Defensive Avg.24.614.42029:1236-147(4.1)20-3359.3%223(6.7)69-371(5.4)(15.1)
Offense Home Games24.010.532.031:3833-141(4.2)42-6168.9%438(7.2)94-580(6.1)(24.2)
Defense (All Games)22.613.417.629:4441-189(4.6)13-2648.1%207(7.9)67-396(5.9)(17.5)
Opponents Offensive Avg.26.81519.531:4838-151(4)17-3156.7%227(7.4)69-378(5.5)(14.1)
Defense Home Games33.521.516.028:2137-215(5.7)12-2450.0%207(8.6)61-423(6.9)(12.6)
Average power rating of opponents played: W KENTUCKY 31.8,  TROY 27.2
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
W KENTUCKY - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
9/1/2012AUSTIN PEAY49-10W-29.5W -39-24420-27-352237-1432-11-112
9/8/2012@ ALABAMA0-35L38W52U28-4620-31-178431-10315-20-2250
9/15/2012@ KENTUCKY32-31W6.5W50O51-16316-22-160219-4137-61-3324
9/22/2012SOUTHERN MISS42-17W-3W47O48-36915-23-191136-1638-17-1011
9/29/2012@ ARKANSAS ST26-13W1.5W57.5U41-24311-19-122039-12724-41-2082
10/11/2012@ TROY            
10/20/2012LA MONROE            
10/27/2012@ FLA INTERNATIONAL            
11/1/2012MIDDLE TENN ST            
11/10/2012FLA ATLANTIC            

TROY - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
9/1/2012@ UAB39-29W-6W63O45-26213-22-191244-13419-34-3254
9/8/2012LA LAFAYETTE24-37L1.5L62U27-6050-75-528340-21813-22-1710
9/15/2012MISSISSIPPI ST24-30L15W59U40-22334-47-349435-21311-26-2440
9/22/2012@ NORTH TEXAS14-7W0W58U30-10829-44-274143-18612-29-2360
9/29/2012@ S ALABAMA31-10W-7W51U51-21418-27-281543-1938-20-594
10/11/2012W KENTUCKY            
10/20/2012FLA INTERNATIONAL            
10/27/2012@ FLA ATLANTIC            
11/3/2012@ TENNESSEE            
11/10/2012NAVY            
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1992
W KENTUCKY is 3-1 against the spread versus TROY since 1992
TROY is 5-1 straight up against W KENTUCKY since 1992
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games over the last 3 seasons
TROY is 1-1 against the spread versus W KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
TROY is 1-1 straight up against W KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at TROY since 1992
TROY is 1-1 against the spread versus W KENTUCKY since 1992
TROY is 3-0 straight up against W KENTUCKY since 1992
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games played at TROY over the last 3 seasons.
TROY is 1-0 against the spread versus W KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
TROY is 1-0 straight up against W KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 RushingPassingTurnoversPenalties
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFDTOPATT-YDSCMP-ATTYDSFLINTPEN-YDS
11/26/2011TROY1851 Over61516:2617-2718-333031210-103
 W KENTUCKY41-4SU ATS142343:3464-33811-18156105-45
11/27/2010W KENTUCKY1460.5 Under141732:0140-18610-2381014-35
 TROY28-12.5SU ATS142627:5936-18726-403041112-99
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring Nobody in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in W KENTUCKY games 33.3% of the time since 1992. (14-28)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in W KENTUCKY games 34.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (9-17)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TROY games 53.5% of the time since 1992. (54-47)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TROY games 48% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (12-13)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the OVER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in W KENTUCKY games 55.8% of the time since 1992. (24-19)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in W KENTUCKY games 56.5% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (13-10)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in TROY games 52.4% of the time since 1992. (43-39)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in TROY games 48.1% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (13-14)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
W KENTUCKY
No significant injuries.
TROY
[WR] 08/09/2012 - Jamel Johnson out for season ( Academics )
[RB] 08/24/2012 - Chris Anderson out for season ( Academics )
[OL] 09/18/2012 - Zach Johnson out for season ( Concussion )
[OL] 09/24/2012 - Christopher Hawkins out for season ( Leg )
[OL] 10/07/2012 - Jimmie Arnold "?" Thursday vs. Western Kentucky ( Ankle )
[DT] 10/09/2012 - Shermane TeArt probable Thursday vs. Western Kentucky ( Shoulder )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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