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| The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
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| ILLINOIS | | | | WISCONSIN | -23 |  |
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| All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
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| as an underdog of 10.5 to 21 points | 0-0 | 3-0 | 24-17 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 11-15 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 7-35 | | in all games | 2-3 | 17-14 | 100-125 | 3-1 | 13-16 | 71-77 | 2-3 | 16-15 | 97-141 | | after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses | 0-0 | 4-2 | 31-43 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 16-30 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 23-56 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 0-0 | 9-5 | 51-53 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 39-36 | 0-0 | 7-7 | 31-73 | | in weeks 5 through 9 | 0-1 | 6-5 | 37-52 | 1-0 | 6-5 | 28-29 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 31-60 | | in all lined games | 2-3 | 17-14 | 100-125 | 3-1 | 13-16 | 71-77 | 2-3 | 16-15 | 87-141 | | as an underdog | 0-1 | 6-3 | 61-72 | 1-0 | 3-6 | 44-41 | 0-1 | 1-8 | 26-108 | | as a road underdog of 14.5 to 17 points | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-4 | | as a road underdog of 14.5 to 21 points | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-11 | | in road games | 0-1 | 4-5 | 47-46 | 1-0 | 4-5 | 27-35 | 0-1 | 2-7 | 31-63 | | in road lined games | 0-1 | 4-5 | 47-46 | 1-0 | 4-5 | 27-35 | 0-1 | 2-7 | 31-63 | | in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 45 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1-5 | | in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 | 0-1 | 0-4 | 9-11 | 1-0 | 1-3 | 11-9 | 0-1 | 0-4 | 6-14 | | against conference opponents | 0-1 | 9-8 | 72-87 | 1-0 | 9-8 | 50-51 | 0-1 | 6-11 | 55-105 | | when playing on a Saturday | 2-3 | 16-13 | 97-118 | 3-1 | 13-14 | 67-72 | 2-3 | 15-14 | 94-134 | | when playing with 6 or less days rest | 1-3 | 12-11 | 79-98 | 3-0 | 13-8 | 55-59 | 1-3 | 12-11 | 76-109 | | after playing a conference game | 0-0 | 9-7 | 72-82 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 46-54 | 0-0 | 6-10 | 59-98 | | in games played on turf | 2-2 | 10-10 | 62-95 | 2-1 | 8-10 | 50-45 | 2-2 | 11-9 | 70-99 | | in October games | 0-0 | 6-4 | 34-46 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 21-28 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 29-53 | | off a loss against a conference rival | 0-0 | 6-4 | 44-54 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 27-35 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 35-67 |
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| as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points | 0-2 | 4-5 | 23-26 | 1-1 | 3-6 | 22-13 | 2-0 | 9-0 | 43-6 | | in all games | 1-4 | 16-16 | 129-112 | 2-2 | 20-10 | 100-88 | 3-2 | 25-7 | 173-79 | | when playing against a team with a losing record | 0-1 | 2-3 | 26-30 | 1-0 | 4-1 | 25-10 | 1-0 | 5-0 | 42-14 | | in weeks 5 through 9 | 1-0 | 5-4 | 47-42 | 1-0 | 9-0 | 42-31 | 0-1 | 5-4 | 54-37 | | in all lined games | 1-4 | 16-16 | 129-112 | 2-2 | 20-10 | 100-88 | 3-2 | 25-7 | 161-79 | | as a favorite | 0-4 | 12-15 | 86-83 | 1-2 | 16-9 | 73-50 | 3-1 | 23-4 | 134-33 | | in home games | 0-3 | 10-7 | 68-51 | 1-1 | 11-4 | 52-38 | 3-0 | 17-0 | 103-26 | | in home lined games | 0-3 | 10-7 | 68-51 | 1-1 | 11-4 | 52-38 | 3-0 | 17-0 | 92-26 | | in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 45 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8-2 | | in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 13-21 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 20-14 | 0-0 | 3-0 | 24-11 | | against conference opponents | 1-0 | 11-7 | 86-73 | 1-0 | 15-3 | 75-53 | 0-1 | 14-4 | 97-63 | | when playing on a Saturday | 1-4 | 16-14 | 122-102 | 2-2 | 18-10 | 96-77 | 3-2 | 24-6 | 161-74 | | when playing with 6 or less days rest | 1-3 | 12-12 | 95-88 | 2-2 | 16-7 | 79-62 | 2-2 | 19-5 | 127-63 | | after playing a conference game | 0-0 | 10-7 | 83-73 | 0-0 | 13-4 | 69-53 | 0-0 | 13-4 | 99-60 | | in games played on turf | 1-4 | 11-13 | 90-76 | 2-2 | 15-7 | 73-51 | 3-2 | 21-3 | 130-46 | | in October games | 0-0 | 4-4 | 41-39 | 0-0 | 8-0 | 36-29 | 0-0 | 5-3 | 48-33 | | off a loss against a conference rival | 0-0 | 1-2 | 31-30 | 0-0 | 3-0 | 23-24 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 33-28 |
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| Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
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| All Games | 2-3 | -3.1 | 2-3 | 3-1 | 22.6 | 12.2 | 349.8 | (5) | 2.8 | 27.8 | 14.0 | 336.2 | (5.2) | 2.0 | | Road Games | 0-1 | -1 | 0-1 | 1-0 | 14.0 | 7.0 | 332.0 | (4.5) | 3.0 | 45.0 | 28.0 | 510.0 | (7.6) | 2.0 | | Last 3 Games | 1-2 | -3.1 | 1-2 | 2-0 | 25.0 | 12.3 | 389.7 | (5.5) | 3.3 | 29.0 | 14.0 | 304.0 | (4.8) | 1.3 | | Turf Games | 2-2 | -2.1 | 2-2 | 2-1 | 24.7 | 13.5 | 354.2 | (5.1) | 2.7 | 23.5 | 10.5 | 292.7 | (4.6) | 2.0 | | Conference Games | 0-1 | -1.6 | 0-1 | 1-0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 366.0 | (5.3) | 3.0 | 35.0 | 21.0 | 384.0 | (4.7) | 0.0 |
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| Offense (All Games) | 22.6 | 12.2 | 17.6 | 32:51 | 37-131 | (3.5) | 23-33 | 68.1% | 219 | (6.6) | 70-350 | (5) | (15.5) | | Opponents Defensive Avg. | 27 | 12.9 | 20.3 | 31:07 | 38-140 | (3.7) | 23-36 | 64.9% | 266 | (7.5) | 73-406 | (5.5) | (15) | | Offense Road Games | 14.0 | 7.0 | 19.0 | 35:16 | 50-231 | (4.6) | 14-24 | 58.3% | 101 | (4.2) | 74-332 | (4.5) | (23.7) | | Defense (All Games) | 27.8 | 14.0 | 17.0 | 27:09 | 35-115 | (3.2) | 18-29 | 61.4% | 221 | (7.6) | 64-336 | (5.2) | (12.1) | | Opponents Offensive Avg. | 28.2 | 15.9 | 19.9 | 29:49 | 37-149 | (4) | 19-32 | 59.4% | 223 | (6.9) | 69-372 | (5.4) | (13.2) | | Defense Road Games | 45.0 | 28.0 | 26.0 | 24:44 | 38-192 | (5.1) | 23-29 | 79.3% | 318 | (11) | 67-510 | (7.6) | (11.3) |
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| All Games | 3-2 | -1.4 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 22.6 | 11.8 | 309.2 | (4.9) | 1.2 | 20.2 | 7.2 | 348.8 | (5) | 0.6 | | Home Games | 3-0 | +2 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 26.3 | 13.0 | 348.0 | (5.6) | 1.0 | 20.3 | 7.7 | 316.7 | (4.8) | 0.3 | | Last 3 Games | 2-1 | +1 | 1-2 | 2-1 | 26.7 | 15.3 | 317.3 | (5.1) | 1.3 | 23.3 | 11.0 | 361.3 | (5) | 1.0 | | Turf Games | 3-2 | -1.4 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 22.6 | 11.8 | 309.2 | (4.9) | 1.2 | 20.2 | 7.2 | 348.8 | (5) | 0.6 | | Conference Games | 0-1 | -1 | 1-0 | 1-0 | 27.0 | 20.0 | 295.0 | (4.3) | 1.0 | 30.0 | 10.0 | 440.0 | (5.9) | 2.0 |
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| Offense (All Games) | 22.6 | 11.8 | 17.0 | 30:51 | 39-126 | (3.2) | 15-24 | 59.8% | 184 | (7.5) | 64-309 | (4.9) | (13.7) | | Opponents Defensive Avg. | 21.9 | 10.3 | 20.6 | 31:40 | 38-150 | (4) | 19-34 | 57.8% | 230 | (6.8) | 71-380 | (5.3) | (17.3) | | Offense Home Games | 26.3 | 13.0 | 18.3 | 33:37 | 44-179 | (4.1) | 13-19 | 67.9% | 169 | (9.1) | 63-348 | (5.6) | (13.2) | | Defense (All Games) | 20.2 | 7.2 | 17.8 | 29:09 | 33-116 | (3.5) | 21-37 | 56.5% | 232 | (6.3) | 70-349 | (5) | (17.3) | | Opponents Offensive Avg. | 26.5 | 14.2 | 20.6 | 29:20 | 36-160 | (4.5) | 21-34 | 61.1% | 258 | (7.7) | 69-418 | (6) | (15.8) | | Defense Home Games | 20.3 | 7.7 | 15.7 | 26:23 | 29-82 | (2.8) | 19-36 | 53.7% | 235 | (6.5) | 65-317 | (4.8) | (15.6) |
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| Average power rating of opponents played: ILLINOIS 33.2, WISCONSIN 30.4 |
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| Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed. |
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| 9/1/2012 | N IOWA | 26-21 | W | -32.5 | L | | - | 47-168 | 19-23-219 | 0 | 20-41 | 18-34-265 | 0 | | 9/8/2012 | @ OREGON ST | 7-10 | L | -6 | L | 49 | U | 23-35 | 20-38-172 | 2 | 30-78 | 29-47-276 | 0 | | 9/15/2012 | UTAH ST | 16-14 | W | -14 | L | 51.5 | U | 45-156 | 7-16-78 | 1 | 35-127 | 18-35-181 | 0 | | 9/22/2012 | UTEP | 37-26 | W | -18 | L | 50.5 | O | 40-213 | 12-17-210 | 2 | 33-77 | 22-39-259 | 1 | | 9/29/2012 | @ NEBRASKA | 27-30 | L | 11 | W | 52 | O | 41-56 | 15-28-239 | 1 | 46-259 | 17-29-181 | 2 | | 10/6/2012 | ILLINOIS | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 10/13/2012 | @ PURDUE | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 10/20/2012 | MINNESOTA | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 10/27/2012 | MICHIGAN ST | | | | | | | | | | | | |
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| Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
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| WISCONSIN is 8-8 against the spread versus ILLINOIS since 1992 | | WISCONSIN is 11-4 straight up against ILLINOIS since 1992 | | 6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992 |
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| ILLINOIS is 1-0 against the spread versus WISCONSIN over the last 3 seasons | | WISCONSIN is 1-0 straight up against ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons | | 1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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| WISCONSIN is 4-4 against the spread versus ILLINOIS since 1992 | | WISCONSIN is 5-2 straight up against ILLINOIS since 1992 | | 2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992 |
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| There were no past matchups in this series during this time period. |
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| 11/19/2011 | WISCONSIN | 28 | -14.5 | SU Under | 7 | 16 | 33:24 | 45-195 | 10-13 | 90 | 1 | 0 | 6-52 | | | ILLINOIS | 17 | 51 | ATS | 17 | 19 | 26:36 | 34-149 | 22-31 | 152 | 1 | 3 | 6-63 |
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| Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ILLINOIS games 48.9% of the time since 1992. (93-97) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ILLINOIS games 44.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (13-16) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in WISCONSIN games 51.2% of the time since 1992. (108-103) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in WISCONSIN games 41.4% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (12-17) | |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the total in ILLINOIS games 50.4% of the time since 1992. (66-65) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in ILLINOIS games 65.4% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (17-9) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in WISCONSIN games 59.1% of the time since 1992. (97-67) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in WISCONSIN games 62.1% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (18-11) | |
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| [LB] 08/24/2012 - Henry Dickinson out for season ( Leg ) | | [K] 09/30/2012 - Nick Immekus "?" Saturday vs. Wisconsin ( Undisclosed ) | | [DB] 09/25/2012 - Ta'Jarvis Fuller has left the team ( Disciplinary ) | | [OL] 09/30/2012 - Hugh Thornton "?" Saturday vs. Wisconsin ( Knee ) | | [DL] 10/01/2012 - Jake Howe out for season ( Leg ) | | [LB] 10/05/2012 - Jonathan Brown "?" Saturday vs. Wisconsin ( Leg ) | |
| [WR] 08/07/2012 - Fred Willis has left team ( Personal ) | | [RB] 08/28/2012 - Vonte Jackson expected to redshirt ( Knee ) | | [LB] 09/07/2012 - Cody Byers out for season ( Concussion ) | | [SS] 10/05/2012 - Shelton Johnson is upgraded to probable Saturday vs. Illinois ( Arm ) | | [WR] 09/11/2012 - Isaiah Williams out indefinitely ( Groin ) | | [DE] 10/01/2012 - Brendan Kelly is upgraded to probable Saturday vs. Illinois ( Hamstring ) | | [DE] 10/01/2012 - Pat Muldoon is upgraded to probable Saturday vs. Illinois ( Thumb ) | | [DT] 10/05/2012 - Kyle Costigan doubtful Saturday vs. Illinois ( Knee ) |
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