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Matchup Reports

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BALTIMORE (3-4) AT BOSTON (5-2) 
 Starting Pitchers
TeamsLineW-LOv/Un/PRF/RAStartersRECERAWHIP
909: BALTIMORE
910: BOSTON
9.5
-116
3-4
5-2
5-2-0
4-3-0
5.4 / 4.7
5.6 / 2.9
(R) C TILLMAN
(R) A ACEVES
0-0
0-0
12.26
0.00
3.00
0.00
Current Weather Conditions 
Conditions: Fog/Mist   Temperature: 60.0 °
Humidity: 93   Wind: East at 12.7 MPH (11 KT)
 
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Line
TeamPitcherEstimateEdge
BALTIMORETILLMAN-174
BOSTONACEVES +174 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
BALTIMORE team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
as a road underdog of +100 to +1251-1022-19+5.7129-178-31.72-018-21152-138
in road games2-2+0.581-90+22.3562-747-24.33-181-83631-612
on the road when the total is 9 to 9.50-1-133-28+17.6249-300+11.20-125-32262-256
in April games3-4-1.729-26+6.2198-196+14.35-226-28195-188
when playing on Thursday1-0+120-18+3.8151-172-14.81-022-14160-140
against division opponents2-2+0.575-78+19.2456-632-91.43-172-74514-513
in games played on a grass field1-3-3.2150-150+251039-1225-109.22-2148-1411078-1080
in night games0-2-2.4113-124+13823-963-64.12-0115-114834-850
against right-handed starters2-3-1.4120-122+21.3864-985-31.74-1119-112860-892
when playing against a team with a winning record1-2-1.891-108+12.6550-829-119.21-292-100664-647
in all games3-4-1.7169-170+31.71193-1423-128.95-2165-1611235-1253
when the total is 9 to 9.51-2-1.870-71+10.7572-628-33.11-263-70544-589

BOSTON team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
against division opponents5-2+3.669-82-29.5599-512-47.54-377-69539-522
in games played on a grass field3-1+2.1146-148-47.41302-1021-20.22-2143-1351061-1137
in night games2-1+1.4110-120-44.11014-810-36.72-1111-106851-883
against right-handed starters3-0+3.6106-117-471069-825+4.43-0114-99875-918
when playing against a team with a losing record2-1+1.471-63-22.8746-506-5.82-166-62593-591
in all games5-2+3.6166-167-45.91477-1195-534-3164-1531240-1297
when the total is 9 to 9.51-1062-74-34.8542-484-64.30-272-58485-491
at home with a money line of -100 to -1250-0017-16-0.8107-102-9.40-020-11100-96
in home games1-0+182-83-38.2784-549-33.20-189-67635-626
at home when the total is 9 to 9.51-0+137-46-28281-211-25.30-145-35245-230
in April games5-2+3.627-28-8.7229-159+28.84-328-23176-187
when playing on Thursday0-1-116-18-8167-137-13.10-113-18129-160
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
BALTIMORE - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
4/2/2013HAMMEL(R)@ TAMPA BAYPRICE(L)7-4W1507 unO1381620
4/3/2013CHEN(L)@ TAMPA BAYHELLICKSON(R)7-8L1257 ovO11501430
4/4/2013GONZALEZ(R)@ TAMPA BAYHERNANDEZ(R)6-3W1008 evO970740
4/5/2013ARRIETA(R)MINNESOTAHENDRIKS(R)9-5W-1509 unO141001071
4/6/2013TILLMAN(R)MINNESOTAWORLEY(R)5-6L-1408.5 ovO1172981
4/7/2013HAMMEL(R)MINNESOTAHERNANDEZ(L)3-4L-1809 evU761451
4/8/2013CHEN(L)@ BOSTONBUCHHOLZ(R)1-3L1359 ovU570520
4/10/2013ARRIETA(R)@ BOSTONDEMPSTER(R) 
4/11/2013TILLMAN(R)@ BOSTONACEVES(R) 
4/12/2013 @ NY YANKEESSABATHIA(L) 
4/13/2013 @ NY YANKEES  
4/14/2013 @ NY YANKEES  
4/16/2013 TAMPA BAY  
4/17/2013 TAMPA BAY  
4/18/2013 TAMPA BAY  

BOSTON - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
4/1/2013LESTER(L)@ NY YANKEESSABATHIA(L)8-2W1008 unO13130680
4/3/2013BUCHHOLZ(R)@ NY YANKEESKURODA(R)7-4W1107.5 unO14100970
4/4/2013DEMPSTER(R)@ NY YANKEESPETTITTE(L)2-4L1108 unU950850
4/5/2013DOUBRONT(L)@ TORONTOJOHNSON(R)6-4W1308.5 unO121501293
4/6/2013LACKEY(R)@ TORONTOHAPP(L)0-5L1309 unU240861
4/7/2013LESTER(L)@ TORONTODICKEY(R)13-0W1158 unO1560780
4/8/2013BUCHHOLZ(R)BALTIMORECHEN(L)3-1W-1459 ovU520570
4/10/2013DEMPSTER(R)BALTIMOREARRIETA(R) 
4/11/2013ACEVES(R)BALTIMORETILLMAN(R) 
4/12/2013LESTER(L)TAMPA BAYCOBB(R) 
4/13/2013 TAMPA BAY  
4/14/2013 TAMPA BAY  
4/15/2013 TAMPA BAY  
4/16/2013 @ CLEVELAND  
4/17/2013 @ CLEVELAND  
4/18/2013 @ CLEVELAND  
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
BALTIMORE - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games3-4-1.75-25.40.2830.3444.70.2520.306
Road Games2-2+0.53-15.20.2700.3314.50.2620.297
vs Right-handed Starters2-3-1.44-15.60.2820.3395.00.2800.329
Past 7 Games3-4-1.75-25.40.2830.3444.70.2520.306
Grass Games1-3-3.22-24.50.2700.3384.50.2280.301
Night Games0-2-2.42-06.00.3010.3387.00.3380.384
Division2-2+0.53-15.20.2700.3314.50.2620.297
BALTIMORE - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games5.40.2830.3447247702480.033723445506491
Road Games5.20.2700.3314141381760.042113284273171
Righty Starters5.60.2820.3395177501650.032715305363270
BALTIMORE - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games2.950.93821.3971723201-22166.7%
Road Games6.511.3449.787122150-12166.7%

BOSTON - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games5-2+3.64-35.60.2820.3552.90.2380.296
Home Games1-0+10-13.00.1850.2411.00.1610.257
vs Right-handed Starters3-0+3.63-08.70.3390.4032.70.2640.291
Past 7 Games5-2+3.64-35.60.2820.3552.90.2380.296
Grass Games3-1+2.12-25.00.2970.3662.70.2190.296
Night Games2-1+1.42-15.00.3120.3744.00.2870.339
Division5-2+3.64-35.60.2820.3552.90.2380.296
BOSTON - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games5.60.2820.3557248702590.043928558557043
Home Games3.00.1850.2411275210.04324021010
Righty Starters8.70.3390.4033121411880.072613286313021
BOSTON - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games3.921.11320.7991756221-03175%
Home Games4.501.00021121030-010100%
Starting Pitcher Season to Date Performance
CHRIS TILLMAN recent results and season statistics
CHRIS TILLMAN - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts12.262.9970-013.73.75571440-1-1.41-0
Road Starts0.000.0000-00010000000-000-0
Last 3 Starts12.262.9970-013.73.75571440-1-1.41-0
CHRIS TILLMAN - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
4/6/2013MINNESOTA5-6-1408.5Loss,Over 3.7557144WORLEY(R)
10/3/2012at TAMPA BAY1-4-1157Loss,UnderL5334305HELLICKSON(R)
9/28/2012BOSTON9-1-1859Win,OverW8101024COOK(R)

ALFREDO ACEVES recent results and season statistics
ALFREDO ACEVES - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Games10.381.6280-024.3-555225---
All Starts0.000.0000-00010000000-000-0
Home Starts0.000.0000-00010000000-000-0
Last 3 Starts0.000.0000-00010000000-000-0
ALFREDO ACEVES - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
6/21/2011SAN DIEGO4-5-1758.5Loss,Over 5444064LATOS(R)
5/31/2011CHI WHITE SOX7-10-1809Loss,OverL5868031HUMBER(R)
5/26/2011at DETROIT14-1+1008Win,OverW6115026SCHERZER(R)
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
Games over the last 3 seasons
BALTIMORE is 21-16 (+11.7 Units) against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
20 of 35 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+3.7 Units)
Games this season
BOSTON is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against BALTIMORE this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

All games at BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
BALTIMORE is 10-9 (+5.8 Units) against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
13 of 19 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+6.6 Units)
Games played at BOSTON this season.
BOSTON is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against BALTIMORE this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

 Team StatsStarting Pitcher Stats
DateTeamsScoreLineTotalResultHHRSBLOBERRStarterW/LIPERHBB
4/8/2013BALTIMORE1+135 Under51070CHEN(L)L6.3352
 BOSTON3-1459 ovWin51020BUCHHOLZ(R)W7034
Pitcher Versus Team Past History
CHRIS TILLMAN vs. BOSTON since 1997
TILLMAN is 1-1 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 2.88 and a WHIP of 1.320.
His team's record is 1-4 (-3.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-4. (-3.6 units)
CHRIS TILLMAN recent starts vs. BOSTON
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
9/28/2012BOSTON9-1-1859Win,OverW8101024COOK(R)
9/23/2012at BOSTON1-2-1309Loss,Under 6116014DOUBRONT(L)
8/16/2012BOSTON3-6+1258.5Loss,Over 4.7336025BUCHHOLZ(R)

ALFREDO ACEVES vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
ACEVES is 0-0 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 1.333.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)
ALFREDO ACEVES recent starts vs. BALTIMORE
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
9/20/2008BALTIMORE1-0-23510.5Win,Under 6005033BURRES(L)
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring BOSTON in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BALTIMORE games 0% of the time since 1997. (0-1019, -1.6 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BALTIMORE games 51.6% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (149-140, +0.6 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BOSTON games 50.1% of the time since 1997. (1059-1053, -128.7 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BOSTON games 57.1% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (157-118, +20.3 units)
Edge=BALTIMORE
 
The betting public is favoring nothing on the total in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BALTIMORE games 49.5% of the time since 1997. (769-786, -124.3 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BALTIMORE games 50.9% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (89-86, -7.1 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BOSTON games 51.8% of the time since 1997. (878-817, -55.5 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BOSTON games 58.2% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (103-74, +19.0 units)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
BALTIMORE
[P] 03/31/2013 - Steve Johnson 15-day DL (3/31) ( Abdominal )
[P] 03/31/2013 - Tsuyoshi Wada 60-day DL (3/22) ( Elbow )
[3B] 04/02/2013 - Wilson Betemit 15-day DL (3/26) ( Knee )
[2B] 04/05/2013 - Brian Roberts 15-day DL (4/5) ( Hamstring )
[LF] 04/10/2013 - Nolan Reimold is upgraded to expected to be in the starting lineup Wednesday vs. Boston Red Sox ( Hamstring )
BOSTON
[DH] 03/29/2013 - David Ortiz 15-day DL (3/22) ( Heel )
[LF] 03/31/2013 - Ryan Kalish 60-day DL (2/20) ( Knee )
[SS] 04/10/2013 - Stephen Drew 7-day DL (3/27), expected to be activated & start Wednesday vs. Baltimore Orioles ( Concussion )
[P] 04/01/2013 - Craig Breslow 15-day DL (3/22) ( Shoulder )
[P] 04/01/2013 - Franklin Morales 15-day DL (3/22) ( Back )
[P] 04/10/2013 - John Lackey 15-day DL (4/6) ( Bicep )
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