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Page last updated on Sat Jul 26 02:48:58 EDT 2014
Matchup Reports

Saturday at 7:15 PM
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CINCINNATI (44-30) AT ARIZONA (39-33) 
 Starting Pitchers
TeamsLineW-LOv/Un/PRF/RAStartersRECERAWHIP
909: CINCINNATI
910: ARIZONA
8.0
-125
44-30
39-33
38-34-2
31-39-2
4.5 / 3.7
4.3 / 4.0
(R) M LEAKE
(L) P CORBIN
7-3
9-0
2.64
2.28
1.22
1.01
Current Weather Conditions 
Conditions: Mostly Cloudy   Temperature: 103.0 °
Humidity: 5   Wind: South at 9.2 MPH (8 KT)
 
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Line
TeamPitcherEstimateEdge
CINCINNATILEAKE +110 
ARIZONACORBIN-110 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
CINCINNATI team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
when playing against a team with a winning record13-15-5.682-86-8.2555-686-16.613-1376-80566-606
in all games44-30+4.9223-181+6.61315-1364-20.138-34185-1931255-1276
when the total is 8 to 8.522-13+4.596-82-7.3399-427-17.817-1786-81393-402
as a road underdog of +100 to +1255-6-0.527-26+3.8191-185+31.56-523-29166-192
in road games18-16+0.2104-94+7.1633-701+61.218-1586-103595-667
on the road when the total is 8 to 8.55-5-0.836-33+0.2188-210+16.54-630-37167-215
in June games10-9-2.939-33-0.9207-235-19.98-1028-42204-222
when playing on Saturday7-4+1.738-27+6.4221-216+8.85-631-30211-201
when playing with a day off7-2+523-21-4.6139-155-127-221-22138-141
in day games18-13+0.284-65+5.9458-480-8.818-1175-63441-436
in games played on a grass field44-30+4.9221-180+4.81084-1150-10.438-34185-1911035-1071
against left-handed starters15-8+6.167-49+10.8370-376-5.29-1353-56342-368

ARIZONA team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
when playing against a team with a winning record17-18+0.184-90-0.9553-648-82.113-2076-93570-586
in all games39-33+5.4217-186+19.21268-1275-130.131-39185-2021201-1231
when the total is 8 to 8.511-11-1.357-60-10338-374-63.69-1253-60326-361
at home with a money line of -100 to -1255-6-220-29-13.3125-136-30.34-721-28119-135
in home games19-15+1.1114-86+3.1685-587-68.811-2186-105630-590
at home when the total is 8 to 8.56-10-632-37-15.5158-145-35.36-933-34150-147
in June games9-9+0.239-32+5.2200-220-33.711-736-33213-192
when playing on Saturday5-6-1.332-32-1.6201-211-307-433-29208-188
in day games12-9+2.159-54+2.8346-381-64.66-1453-54359-332
in games played on a grass field39-33+5.4217-186+19.21221-1221-122.831-39185-2021158-1176
against right-handed starters26-21+3.4147-118+26897-907-8823-22123-130844-876
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
CINCINNATI - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
6/8/2013LATOS(R)ST LOUISLYONS(L)4-2W-1508.5 unU1070991
6/9/2013ARROYO(R)ST LOUISLYNN(R)4-11L+1058 unO6601481
6/10/2013BAILEY(R)@ CHICAGO CUBSFELDMAN(R)6-2W-1207.5 evO931670
6/11/2013CINGRANI(L)@ CHICAGO CUBSGARZA(R)12-2W-1308.5 ovO1671534
6/12/2013LEAKE(R)@ CHICAGO CUBSWOOD(L)2-1W-1158.5 ovU660330
6/13/2013LATOS(R)@ CHICAGO CUBSSAMARDZIJA(R)5-6L-1257 unO1313115132
6/14/2013ARROYO(R)MILWAUKEELOHSE(R)4-3W-1458 unU78312112
6/15/2013BAILEY(R)MILWAUKEEGALLARDO(R)0-6L-1708 ovU770830
6/16/2013CUETO(R)MILWAUKEEPERALTA(R)5-1W-2108.5 unU970761
6/17/2013LEAKE(R)PITTSBURGHLIRIANO(L)4-1W-1208 unU850791
6/18/2013LATOS(R)PITTSBURGHMORTON(R)0-4L-1908.5 unU460460
6/19/2013ARROYO(R)PITTSBURGHLOCKE(L)2-1W-1308 unU101019141
6/20/2013BAILEY(R)PITTSBURGHCUMPTON(R)3-5L-2008 evP8511072
6/21/2013CUETO(R)@ ARIZONAMILEY(L) 
6/22/2013LEAKE(R)@ ARIZONACORBIN(L) 
6/23/2013LATOS(R)@ ARIZONADELGADO(R) 
6/25/2013ARROYO(R)@ OAKLANDMILONE(L) 
6/26/2013BAILEY(R)@ OAKLANDGRIFFIN(R) 
6/28/2013 @ TEXAS  
6/29/2013 @ TEXAS  

ARIZONA - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
6/8/2013CAHILL(R)SAN FRANCISCOBUMGARNER(L)5-10L+1058 unO8611590
6/9/2013SKAGGS(L)SAN FRANCISCOGAUDIN(R)2-6L-1409 unU6621291
6/10/2013MILEY(L)@ LA DODGERSKERSHAW(L)5-4W1656 unO11811480
6/11/2013KENNEDY(R)@ LA DODGERSGREINKE(R)3-5L1207 unO440580
6/12/2013CORBIN(L)@ LA DODGERSRYU(L)8-6W-1056.5 unO201401270
6/14/2013CAHILL(R)@ SAN DIEGOSTULTS(L)1-2L1157 unU231571
6/15/2013MILEY(L)@ SAN DIEGOMARQUIS(R)4-6L1007.5 unO771730
6/16/2013KENNEDY(R)@ SAN DIEGORICHARD(L)1-4L-1158 unU841640
6/17/2013CORBIN(L)MIAMITURNER(R)2-3L-1908 unU791320
6/18/2013DELGADO(R)MIAMIEOVALDI(R)3-2W-1758.5 ovU530840
6/19/2013CAHILL(R)MIAMIFERNANDEZ(R)3-1W-1508 unU420550
6/21/2013MILEY(L)CINCINNATICUETO(R) 
6/22/2013CORBIN(L)CINCINNATILEAKE(R) 
6/23/2013DELGADO(R)CINCINNATILATOS(R) 
6/25/2013CAHILL(R)@ WASHINGTONGONZALEZ(L) 
6/26/2013MILEY(L)@ WASHINGTONZIMMERMANN(R) 
6/27/2013CORBIN(L)@ WASHINGTONSTRASBURG(R) 
6/28/2013 @ ATLANTA  
6/29/2013 @ ATLANTA  
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
CINCINNATI - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games44-30+4.938-344.50.2510.3223.70.2380.292
Road Games18-16+0.218-154.30.2450.3193.60.2400.294
vs Left-handed Starters15-8+6.19-134.10.2500.3243.20.2150.268
Past 7 Games4-3-1.60-62.60.2240.2733.00.2260.283
Grass Games44-30+4.938-344.50.2510.3223.70.2380.292
Day Games18-13+0.318-114.90.2560.3344.20.2410.296
CINCINNATI - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.50.2510.322742545638210760.033162675792256067345530
Road Games4.30.2450.31934117828988300.03140127261926136172415
Lefty Starters4.10.2500.3242380420168240.03888818251862213204
CINCINNATI - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games3.751.250213.79689183258423214-1522971%
Road Games3.581.33088373580837744-710566.7%

ARIZONA - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games39-33+5.431-394.30.2590.3194.00.2530.308
Home Games19-15+1.111-213.70.2520.3184.00.2540.315
vs Right-handed Starters26-21+3.423-224.60.2610.3184.30.2560.302
Past 7 Games3-4-22-53.10.2260.2853.40.2010.244
Grass Games39-33+5.431-394.30.2590.3194.00.2530.308
Day Games12-9+2.16-143.90.2600.3203.70.2520.303
ARIZONA - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.30.2590.319722488644207600.022892205142249676296522
Home Games3.70.2520.31834110727994280.03118107234922435183210
Righty Starters4.60.2610.318471657433141440.032011373631732646214012
ARIZONA - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games3.041.202216.37573191246920817-10211361.8%
Home Games3.161.252111413910212371038-512570.6%
Starting Pitcher Season to Date Performance
MIKE LEAKE recent results and season statistics
MIKE LEAKE - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts2.641.2187-31488.76.3282689719629-5+3.58-6
Road Starts2.341.3465-1742.36.0121147110275-2+3.13-4
Last 3 Starts2.250.9002-13206.7551513122-1+11-2
MIKE LEAKE - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
6/17/2013PITTSBURGH4-1-1208Win,UnderW7116013LIRIANO(L)
6/12/2013at CHICAGO CUBS2-1-1158.5Win,UnderW8113116WOOD(L)
6/7/2013ST LOUIS2-9+1158Loss,OverL5336013WAINWRIGHT(R)

PAT CORBIN recent results and season statistics
PAT CORBIN - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts2.281.0149-01494.76.82524735237413-1+11.86-8
Home Starts1.711.0145-0747.36.810935213346-1+4.51-6
Last 3 Starts3.100.8850-0320.36.8771711132-1+0.11-2
PAT CORBIN - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
6/17/2013MIAMI2-3-1908Loss,Under 8222117TURNER(R)
6/12/2013at LA DODGERS8-6-1056.5Win,Over 5448002RYU(L)
6/7/2013SAN FRANCISCO3-1-1308.5Win,Under 7.3117004CAIN(R)
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
Games over the last 3 seasons
ARIZONA is 6-7 (-0.0 Units) against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
7 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.4 Units)
Games this season
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

All games at ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI is 4-2 (+1.8 Units) against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.7 Units)
Games played at ARIZONA this season.
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

Pitcher Versus Team Past History
MIKE LEAKE vs. ARIZONA since 1997
LEAKE is 1-0 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 7.94 and a WHIP of 1.706.
His team's record is 2-1 (+0.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-3. (-3.5 units)
MIKE LEAKE recent starts vs. ARIZONA
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
7/19/2012ARIZONA7-6-1458.5Win,Over 5.36611212SAUNDERS(L)
4/21/2011ARIZONA7-4-1208.5Win,OverW7334126HUDSON(R)
4/10/2011at ARIZONA8-10-11510Loss,Over 4.7669124SAUNDERS(L)

PAT CORBIN vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
CORBIN is 0-1 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 4.05 and a WHIP of 1.049.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-0. (+0.0 units)
PAT CORBIN recent starts vs. CINCINNATI
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
8/29/2012CINCINNATI2-6+1008LossL6.7336218LATOS(R)
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring CINCINNATI in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CINCINNATI games 0% of the time since 1997. (0-1103, -114.0 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CINCINNATI games 47.5% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (161-178, -35.9 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ARIZONA games 52.1% of the time since 1997. (1053-967, -8.8 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ARIZONA games 51.5% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (173-163, -2.6 units)
Edge=ARIZONA
 
The betting public is favoring nothing on the total in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CINCINNATI games 52.3% of the time since 1997. (855-779, -30.8 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CINCINNATI games 53.1% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (128-113, +1.7 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in ARIZONA games 51.5% of the time since 1997. (792-745, -58.0 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in ARIZONA games 51.4% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (111-105, -6.7 units)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
CINCINNATI
[LF] 04/03/2013 - Ryan Ludwick 60-day DL (4/2) ( Shoulder )
[LF] 04/30/2013 - Chris Heisey 15-day DL (4/28) ( Hamstring )
[P] 04/02/2013 - Nick Masset 60-day DL (3/22) ( Shoulder )
[P] 05/24/2013 - Sean Marshall 15-day DL (5/21) ( Shoulder )
[P] 06/15/2013 - Jonathan Broxton 15-day DL (6/13) ( Elbow )
ARIZONA
[2B] 04/16/2013 - Aaron Hill 15-day DL (4/15) ( Hand )
[CF] 04/02/2013 - Adam Eaton 15-day DL (3/22) ( Elbow )
[P] 03/31/2013 - Daniel Hudson 60-day DL (2/18) ( Elbow )
[P] 05/08/2013 - J.J. Putz 15-day DL (5/8) ( Elbow )
[3B] 05/30/2013 - Eric Chavez 15-day DL (5/31) ( Oblique )
[P] 06/01/2013 - Brandon McCarthy 15-day DL (6/1) ( Shoulder )
[P] 06/11/2013 - Matt Reynolds 15-day DL (6/10) ( Elbow )
[P] 06/17/2013 - Ian Kennedy expected to miss next 9 games ( Suspension )
[P] 06/19/2013 - Trevor Cahill left last game, "?" next start ( Hip )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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