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Matchup Reports

Thursday at 7:05 PM
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ST LOUIS (62-43) AT PITTSBURGH (64-42) 
 Starting Pitchers
TeamsLineW-LOv/Un/PRF/RAStartersRECERAWHIP
903: ST LOUIS
904: PITTSBURGH
8.0
-115
62-43
64-42
51-51-3
45-59-2
4.8 / 3.6
3.9 / 3.3
(R) J KELLY
(R) C MORTON
1-1
3-2
2.31
3.59
1.16
1.29
Current Weather Conditions 
Conditions: Partly Cloudy   Temperature: 57.0 °
Humidity: 30   Wind: Southwest at 11.5 MPH (10 KT)
 
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Line
TeamPitcherEstimateEdge
ST LOUISKELLY-112 
PITTSBURGHMORTON +112 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
ST LOUIS team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games62-43+5.4259-203+7.11519-1270-1.151-51232-2141329-1324
when the total is 8 to 8.524-20-3110-83+9542-424+36.923-1999-89466-468
as a road underdog of +100 to +1258-6+2.634-29+8.2173-172+19.67-733-27162-168
in road games30-26+0.9123-113+3.9696-704-2428-26124-104692-646
on the road when the total is 8 to 8.510-11-2.850-48-1.1233-222+7.711-952-43243-200
in August games0-0031-26-3.4250-202-2.50-028-26205-219
when playing on Thursday6-4-0.630-21+1.6177-159-20.53-629-21154-166
when playing with a day off10-5+4.635-24+9191-139+30.36-932-22154-151
against division opponents22-15+2.4115-85+2.5694-569-34.318-1999-94599-606
in games played on a grass field62-43+5.4258-201+7.91455-1192+16.351-51231-2121263-1258
in night games41-29+2.1176-132+13.8970-834-29.331-36150-146857-854
against right-handed starters51-29+13.8192-145+11.71117-892+57.338-40165-160966-947
when playing against a team with a winning record20-21-6.294-95-14.2625-600-5.121-2096-86566-592
when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season0-6-6.455-48+6.6338-310+30.51-549-50288-328

PITTSBURGH team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games64-42+26.7215-215+23.21179-1513-10745-59192-2201260-1299
when the total is 8 to 8.519-10+11.688-86+11.6460-583-26.411-1679-88492-516
at home with a money line of -100 to -1254-4-0.627-26-2.6176-151+5.63-521-30155-155
in home games35-18+14.6116-99+10668-676+18.619-3389-120630-650
at home when the total is 8 to 8.511-2+8.850-36+11.6282-288+13.54-839-45278-276
in August games0-0019-39-19.4181-276-48.80-036-20220-221
when playing on Thursday5-6-0.118-22-0.8118-188-45.95-420-13129-152
when playing with a day off11-1+9.627-17+11149-152+24.55-723-20138-146
against division opponents29-17+14.2107-100+17.3553-701-39.118-2695-103579-602
in games played on a grass field64-42+26.7213-214+21.6964-1280-101.545-59191-2181030-1100
in night games41-24+17.8137-140+8.1806-996-41.324-40117-149829-879
against right-handed starters53-32+26.5159-164+17.5879-1127-69.333-50142-166952-949
when playing against a team with a winning record24-21+7.888-102+12.4555-790-48.524-2091-90627-651
when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season5-4+1.232-46-5245-393-513-637-38290-315
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
ST LOUIS - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
7/19/2013WESTBROOK(R)SAN DIEGOMARQUIS(R)9-6W-1909 unO14701390
7/20/2013LYNN(R)SAN DIEGOVOLQUEZ(R)3-5L-2108.5 ovU430990
7/21/2013WAINWRIGHT(R)SAN DIEGOSTULTS(L)3-2W-2407.5 unU8601071
7/23/2013MILLER(R)PHILADELPHIAPETTIBONE(R)4-1W-2208.5 unU11100760
7/24/2013WESTBROOK(R)PHILADELPHIALANNAN(L)11-3W-1658 ovO16111960
7/25/2013LYNN(R)PHILADELPHIAKENDRICK(R)3-1W-1807.5 unU540771
7/26/2013WAINWRIGHT(R)@ ATLANTAMINOR(L)1-4L-1157 ovU441840
7/27/2013KELLY(R)@ ATLANTATEHERAN(R)0-2L1208.5 unU2309100
7/28/2013MILLER(R)@ ATLANTAMEDLEN(R)2-5L-1107.5 unU8421280
7/29/2013WESTBROOK(R)@ PITTSBURGHLIRIANO(L)2-9L1407 ovO770970
7/30/2013LYNN(R)@ PITTSBURGHBURNETT(R)1-2L1357 unU6926101
7/30/2013LYONS(L)@ PITTSBURGHCUMPTON(R)0-6L-1208.5 unU3711192
7/31/2013WAINWRIGHT(R)@ PITTSBURGHLOCKE(L) 
8/1/2013KELLY(R)@ PITTSBURGHMORTON(R) 
8/2/2013MILLER(R)@ CINCINNATIARROYO(R) 
8/3/2013WESTBROOK(R)@ CINCINNATICINGRANI(L) 
8/4/2013LYNN(R)@ CINCINNATILEAKE(R) 
8/5/2013WAINWRIGHT(R)LA DODGERSKERSHAW(L) 
8/6/2013KELLY(R)LA DODGERSNOLASCO(R) 
8/7/2013 LA DODGERS  
8/8/2013 LA DODGERS  

PITTSBURGH - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
7/19/2013LIRIANO(L)@ CINCINNATILEAKE(R)3-5L-1107.5 evO1081860
7/20/2013BURNETT(R)@ CINCINNATILATOS(R)4-5L1258 unO81211093
7/21/2013LOCKE(L)@ CINCINNATIBAILEY(R)3-2W1258 unU770360
7/22/2013MORTON(R)@ WASHINGTONHAREN(R)6-5W1158.5 unO860940
7/23/2013COLE(R)@ WASHINGTONJORDAN(R)5-1W1058.5 ovU1050332
7/24/2013LIRIANO(L)@ WASHINGTONSTRASBURG(R)4-2W1257 unU540551
7/25/2013BURNETT(R)@ WASHINGTONGONZALEZ(L)7-9L1207 unO1210314110
7/26/2013LOCKE(L)@ MIAMIALVAREZ(R)0-2L-1607.5 unU5508100
7/27/2013MORTON(R)@ MIAMIKOEHLER(R)7-4W-1357.5 unO141021190
7/28/2013COLE(R)@ MIAMIFERNANDEZ(R)2-3L-1106.5 unU640430
7/29/2013LIRIANO(L)ST LOUISWESTBROOK(R)9-2W-1507 ovO970770
7/30/2013BURNETT(R)ST LOUISLYNN(R)2-1W-1457 unU6101692
7/30/2013CUMPTON(R)ST LOUISLYONS(L)6-0W+1108.5 unU1192371
7/31/2013LOCKE(L)ST LOUISWAINWRIGHT(R) 
8/1/2013MORTON(R)ST LOUISKELLY(R) 
8/2/2013COLE(R)COLORADOCHACIN(R) 
8/3/2013LIRIANO(L)COLORADODE LA ROSA(L) 
8/4/2013BURNETT(R)COLORADONICASIO(R) 
8/6/2013LOCKE(L)MIAMIALVAREZ(R) 
8/7/2013 MIAMI  
8/8/2013 MIAMI  
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
ST LOUIS - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games62-43+5.451-514.80.2710.3283.60.2480.301
Road Games30-26+0.928-264.80.2630.3213.80.2620.316
vs Right-handed Starters51-29+13.838-405.00.2770.3333.50.2460.299
Past 7 Games1-6-5.41-61.30.1580.2094.10.2700.341
Grass Games62-43+5.451-514.80.2710.3283.60.2480.301
Night Games41-29+231-364.90.2780.3353.70.2390.291
Division22-15+2.418-194.60.2710.3253.60.2510.306
ST LOUIS - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.80.2710.3281053580970295830.02479303701257021174812323
Road Games4.80.2630.321561963516164460.022591674241137764296814
Righty Starters5.00.2770.333802728755224660.023802325311852795369221
ST LOUIS - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games3.741.282281.712411727223892669-13321174.4%
Road Games3.051.226153.3565214513431395-613668.4%

PITTSBURGH - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games64-42+26.745-593.90.2430.3013.30.2240.294
Home Games35-18+14.619-333.80.2460.3052.90.2180.280
vs Right-handed Starters53-32+26.533-503.80.2390.2983.20.2200.289
Past 7 Games4-3+0.43-44.70.2590.3283.00.2240.292
Grass Games64-42+26.745-593.90.2430.3013.30.2240.294
Night Games41-24+17.824-403.80.2430.3003.10.2290.294
Division29-17+14.318-263.90.2400.3063.20.2120.280
PITTSBURGH - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games3.90.2430.30110636028753051020.033943029087474577759260
Home Games3.80.2460.305531768435141410.021901494033737939384629
Righty Starters3.80.2390.298852863683237790.033062427296258862577949
PITTSBURGH - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games2.821.116360.31131132783112431522-1238980.9%
Home Games2.121.005191454513475816913-419482.6%
Starting Pitcher Season to Date Performance
JOE KELLY recent results and season statistics
JOE KELLY - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Games3.441.3821-32755-22215871841---
All Starts2.311.1571-1423.35.8761928132-2-0.42-2
Road Starts0.771.2861-0211.75.811100571-100-2
Last 3 Starts2.551.2461-0317.75.9551527112-1+11-2
JOE KELLY - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
7/27/2013at ATLANTA0-2+1208.5Loss,Under 6.3007033TEHERAN(R)
7/12/2013at CHICAGO CUBS3-2-1108.5Win,UnderW5.3113024VILLANUEVA(R)
7/6/2013MIAMI5-4-1708Win,Over 6445224EOVALDI(R)

CHARLIE MORTON recent results and season statistics
CHARLIE MORTON - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts3.591.2893-2842.75.3241744511336-2+5.24-4
Home Starts2.571.2140-13144.774151292-1+11-2
Last 3 Starts3.861.2322-0318.76.2982132153-0+3.22-1
CHARLIE MORTON - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
7/27/2013at MIAMI7-4-1357.5Win,OverW5439006KOEHLER(R)
7/22/2013at WASHINGTON6-5+1158.5Win,OverW6.7336215HAREN(R)
7/12/2013NY METS3-2-1457.5Win,Under 7226114HEFNER(R)
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
Games over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 21-18 (+10.5 Units) against ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
22 of 38 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+4.9 Units)
Games this season
PITTSBURGH is 6-2 (+5.0 Units) against ST LOUIS this season
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.0 Units)

All games at PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 11-9 (+3.5 Units) against ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
11 of 20 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.5 Units)
Games played at PITTSBURGH this season.
PITTSBURGH is 4-1 (+3.2 Units) against ST LOUIS this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

 Team StatsStarting Pitcher Stats
DateTeamsScoreLineTotalResultHHRSBLOBERRStarterW/LIPERHBB
7/30/2013ST LOUIS1+135 Under60092LYNN(R) 6132
 PITTSBURGH2-1457 unWin600101BURNETT(R) 7133
7/30/2013ST LOUIS0-120 Under30071LYONS(L)L6381
 PITTSBURGH6+1108.5 unWin111192CUMPTON(R)W7031
7/29/2013ST LOUIS2+140 Over70070WESTBROOK(R)L5443
 PITTSBURGH9-1507 ovWin91070LIRIANO(L)W7142
Pitcher Versus Team Past History
JOE KELLY vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
KELLY is 0-1 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 9.00 and a WHIP of 2.200.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.1 units)
JOE KELLY recent starts vs. PITTSBURGH
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
8/29/2012at PITTSBURGH0-5-1108.5Loss,UnderL5558133RODRIGUEZ(L)

CHARLIE MORTON vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
MORTON is 2-7 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 6.17 and a WHIP of 1.871.
His team's record is 3-8 (-4.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-6. (-2.7 units)
CHARLIE MORTON recent starts vs. ST LOUIS
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
5/1/2012at ST LOUIS7-10+1557Loss,OverL4.3658125WAINWRIGHT(R)
4/20/2012ST LOUIS1-4+1358Loss,UnderL5214036LYNN(R)
9/14/2011ST LOUIS2-3+1408.5Loss,UnderL7336036JACKSON(R)
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring Nobody in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ST LOUIS games 0% of the time since 1997. (0-1118, -75.4 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ST LOUIS games 53.4% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (206-180, +9.7 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in PITTSBURGH games 52.1% of the time since 1997. (1150-1056, -3.9 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in PITTSBURGH games 51.1% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (185-177, -17.4 units)
No Edge.
 
The betting public is favoring nothing on the total in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the total in ST LOUIS games 49.7% of the time since 1997. (871-883, -135.6 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in ST LOUIS games 50.4% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (138-136, -14.4 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in PITTSBURGH games 50.4% of the time since 1997. (826-813, -103.6 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in PITTSBURGH games 50.4% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (118-116, -11.8 units)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
ST LOUIS
[P] 03/31/2013 - Chris Carpenter 60-day DL (2/22) ( Shoulder )
[P] 05/18/2013 - Jaime Garcia 60-day DL (5/18), out for season ( Shoulder )
[P] 03/31/2013 - Jason Motte 60-day DL (3/22), out for season ( Elbow )
[P] 05/26/2013 - John Gast 15-day DL (5/26) ( Shoulder )
[SS] 03/31/2013 - Rafael Furcal 60-day DL (3/22), out for season ( Elbow )
[CF] 07/31/2013 - Shane Robinson 15-day DL (7/31) ( Shoulder )
[C] 07/31/2013 - Yadier Molina 15-day DL (7/30) ( Knee )
PITTSBURGH
[P] 07/12/2013 - James McDonald 60-day DL (5/1) ( Shoulder )
[P] 06/08/2013 - Jared Hughes 15-day DL (6/6) ( Shoulder )
[P] 07/23/2013 - Jason Grilli 15-day DL (7/23) ( Forearm )
[P] 04/02/2013 - Jeff Karstens 60-day DL (3/22) ( Shoulder )
[P] 05/29/2013 - Jose Contreras 15-day DL (5/28) ( Back )
[C] 07/29/2013 - Michael McKenry 15-day DL (7/29) ( Knee )
[RF] 07/28/2013 - Travis Snider 15-day DL ( Toe )
[P] 06/11/2013 - Wandy Rodriguez 15-day DL (6/6) ( Forearm )
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