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Matchup Reports

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DETROIT (98-74) AT BOSTON (103-68) 
 Starting Pitchers
TeamsLineW-LOv/Un/PRF/RAStartersRECERAWHIP
925: DETROIT
926: BOSTON
7.0
-119
98-74
103-68
85-79-8
79-84-8
4.8 / 3.8
5.2 / 4.0
(R) M SCHERZER
(R) C BUCHHOLZ
22-3
12-1
2.84
2.17
0.95
1.07
Current Weather Conditions 
Conditions: Overcast   Temperature: 71.0 °
Humidity: 84   Wind: East at 10.4 MPH (9 KT)
 
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Line
TeamPitcherEstimateEdge
DETROITSCHERZER +112 
BOSTONBUCHHOLZ-112 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
DETROIT team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games98-74-12.5294-228-6.81327-1478-155.385-79250-2411303-1367
when the total is 7 or less7-14-12.833-37-15.342-51-15.67-1226-3638-46
as a road underdog of +100 to +1254-10-5.425-35-7.3127-196-54.56-831-27152-161
in road games45-41-7134-128-11.3603-802-95.137-47117-130646-696
on the road when the total is 7 or less6-9-6.119-27-1528-37-10.94-1115-2525-33
in October games5-5-0.919-18-0.634-40-9.94-516-1834-35
when playing on Saturday16-12-2.746-40-8.2223-237-18.817-1041-41207-238
when playing with a day off11-6+2.335-29-0.3143-185-437-931-32142-168
in day games33-30-14.8114-81+2.3469-521-72.736-2693-95456-489
in games played on a grass field94-71-13.2280-220-13.31221-1317-119.281-77242-2291181-1234
against right-handed starters70-50-0.8204-150+11.3932-1069-137.658-58166-167929-972
in playoff games5-5-0.917-17-1.425-22+2.34-516-1622-23
after a loss43-29+4.4131-92+15.1673-804-94.641-30105-105684-722
when playing against a team with a winning record46-40-7.5143-121-1.1617-793-89.544-40118-130637-707
when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season25-20-1.281-58+12.4323-425-53.620-2363-66346-369

BOSTON team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games103-68+21.4264-233-281575-1261-35.279-84239-2341315-1378
when the total is 7 or less7-3+4.413-12+1.336-28-7.24-49-1023-32
at home with a money line of -100 to -1259-6+1.826-22+1116-108-7.67-727-18107-103
in home games56-29+14137-112-25.1839-578-20.137-44126-110672-669
at home when the total is 7 or less1-0+13-0+39-6-5.61-02-06-6
in October games6-3+36-6+0.163-43+215-37-452-48
when playing on Saturday17-12+1.744-38-3.4244-218-30.112-1642-37233-209
when playing with a day off14-9+3.927-29-7.3209-144+21.112-1127-28158-174
in day games30-15+1183-61+7477-387-6.815-2966-74393-426
in games played on a grass field91-60+16.2234-207-33.21390-1080-669-74210-2071128-1209
against right-handed starters68-46+13.4171-163-37.11134-871+14.356-53167-152928-971
in playoff games6-3+36-3+344-35+7.45-35-338-37
after a win55-47-2.9140-117-7.5868-702-36.348-51125-122760-741
when playing against a team with a winning record52-43+4.4137-132-9.4690-668-54.642-50125-132612-684
when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season32-25+3.465-81-21360-382-56.623-3367-75333-378
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
DETROIT - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
10/5/2013VERLANDER(R)@ OAKLANDGRAY(R)0-1L-1107 unU4508100
10/7/2013SANCHEZ(R)OAKLANDPARKER(R)3-6L-1457 ovO7511080
10/8/2013FISTER(R)OAKLANDSTRAILY(R)8-6W-1457.5 ovO9401290
10/10/2013VERLANDER(R)@ OAKLANDGRAY(R)3-0W1006.5 unU890350
10/12/2013SANCHEZ(R)@ BOSTONLESTER(L)1-0W1257.5 ovU9120181
10/13/2013SCHERZER(R)@ BOSTONBUCHHOLZ(R)5-6L1207 ovO861741
10/15/2013VERLANDER(R)BOSTONLACKEY(R)0-1L-1457 ovU671440
10/16/2013FISTER(R)BOSTONPEAVY(R)7-3W-1107.5 unO96012100
10/17/2013SANCHEZ(R)BOSTONLESTER(L)3-4L-1157 unP10611080
10/19/2013SCHERZER(R)@ BOSTONBUCHHOLZ(R) 

BOSTON - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
10/5/2013LACKEY(R)TAMPA BAYPRICE(L)7-4W-1057.5 unO1150871
10/7/2013BUCHHOLZ(R)@ TAMPA BAYCOBB(R)4-5L1007 unO7901191
10/8/2013PEAVY(R)@ TAMPA BAYHELLICKSON(R)3-1W-1207.5 unU6100630
10/12/2013LESTER(L)DETROITSANCHEZ(R)0-1L-1357.5 ovU1819120
10/13/2013BUCHHOLZ(R)DETROITSCHERZER(R)6-5W-1307 ovO741861
10/15/2013LACKEY(R)@ DETROITVERLANDER(R)1-0W1357 ovU440671
10/16/2013PEAVY(R)@ DETROITFISTER(R)3-7L1007.5 unO12100960
10/17/2013LESTER(L)@ DETROITSANCHEZ(R)4-3W1057 unP10801061
10/19/2013BUCHHOLZ(R)DETROITSCHERZER(R) 
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
DETROIT - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games98-74-12.685-794.80.2810.3423.80.2450.303
Road Games45-41-737-474.50.2660.3233.50.2390.299
vs Right-handed Starters70-50-0.858-584.90.2860.3443.70.2400.299
Past 7 Games4-3+0.73-33.90.2570.3242.90.2110.268
Grass Games94-71-13.281-774.80.2820.3433.80.2450.303
Day Games33-30-14.836-264.70.2820.3404.00.2440.309
Playoff games5-5-0.94-53.30.2450.3052.90.2110.271
DETROIT - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.80.2810.342172606117035101810.03797559114537131618379139133
Road Games4.50.2660.323863143835260910.033662656402167386407764
Righty Starters4.90.2860.344120427112223581210.0356437682233926133499787
DETROIT - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games4.011.345462.32172064334518947918-27431574.1%
Road Games3.721.304234.7989722121852657-1821970%

BOSTON - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games103-68+21.479-845.20.2750.3434.00.2480.313
Home Games56-29+1437-445.20.2840.3503.90.2420.305
vs Right-handed Starters68-46+13.456-535.30.2750.3444.20.2490.314
Past 7 Games4-3+13-33.00.2070.2893.10.2550.312
Grass Games91-60+16.369-745.30.2810.3464.10.2490.313
Day Games30-15+1115-295.10.2730.3413.50.2400.302
Playoff games6-3+35-34.40.2420.3173.10.2420.304
BOSTON - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games5.20.2750.343171594916365961830.038546141402133127716482155136
Home Games5.20.2840.350852867813320860.034302946776061182487377
Righty Starters5.30.2750.344114399110964001200.035744239601018751125610288
BOSTON - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games3.561.3014982081974654818348832-23372361.7%
Home Games3.511.31924110194231238722317-9181162.1%
Starting Pitcher Season to Date Performance
MAX SCHERZER recent results and season statistics
MAX SCHERZER - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts2.840.95022-334228.36.77672157196026426-8+13.415-17
Road Starts2.240.88510-218124.36.934317383715312-6+4.46-11
Last 3 Starts1.290.8102-03217.0337110342-1+11-2
MAX SCHERZER - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
10/13/2013at BOSTON5-6+1207Loss,Over 71120213BUCHHOLZ(R)
10/4/2013at OAKLAND3-2-1156.5Win,UnderW72231211COLON(R)
9/25/2013at MINNESOTA1-0-2407.5Win,UnderW70020610CORREIA(R)

CLAY BUCHHOLZ recent results and season statistics
CLAY BUCHHOLZ - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts2.171.07512-1181206.731299073910715-3+11.28-8
Home Starts2.481.1166-110696.9211954223638-2+4.64-5
Last 3 Starts5.301.3391-0318.76.211112253152-1+13-0
CLAY BUCHHOLZ - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
10/13/2013DETROIT6-5-1307Win,Over 5.7558206SCHERZER(R)
10/7/2013at TAMPA BAY4-5+1007Loss,Over 6337135COBB(R)
9/27/2013at BALTIMORE12-3-1307.5Win,OverW7337204FELDMAN(R)
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
Games over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 16-12 (+4.1 Units) against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
15 of 25 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+4.3 Units)
Games this season
BOSTON is 6-6 (-0.2 Units) against DETROIT this season
6 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.6 Units)

All games at BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 10-4 (+5.6 Units) against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
8 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.5 Units)
Games played at BOSTON this season.
BOSTON is 3-2 (+0.2 Units) against DETROIT this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.8 Units)

 Team StatsStarting Pitcher Stats
DateTeamsScoreLineTotalResultHHRSBLOBERRStarterW/LIPERHBB
10/17/2013BOSTON4+105  101280LESTER(L)W5.3273
 DETROIT3-1157 un 100061SANCHEZ(R)L6390
10/16/2013BOSTON3+100 Over1200100PEAVY(R)L3753
 DETROIT7-1107.5 unWin90260FISTER(R)W6181
10/15/2013BOSTON1+135  41040LACKEY(R)W6.7040
 DETROIT0-1457 ovUnder60071VERLANDER(R)L8141
10/13/2013DETROIT5+120 Over82061SCHERZER(R) 7122
 BOSTON6-1307 ovWin71041BUCHHOLZ(R) 5.7580
10/12/2013DETROIT1+125  900120SANCHEZ(R)W6006
 BOSTON0-1357.5 ovUnder10281LESTER(L)L6.3161
9/4/2013DETROIT4+110 Over81061PORCELLO(R)L5874
 BOSTON20-1209.5 unWin198140DEMPSTER(R)W6462
9/3/2013DETROIT1+100 Under90080SCHERZER(R)L7253
 BOSTON2-1108.5 unWin60181LESTER(L)W7180
9/2/2013DETROIT3+135  80150FISTER(R)W7044
 BOSTON0-1459 evUnder60081LACKEY(R)L7.3371
Pitcher Versus Team Past History
MAX SCHERZER vs. BOSTON since 1997
SCHERZER is 2-4 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 6.20 and a WHIP of 1.480.
His team's record is 3-6 (-2.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 7-1. (+6.0 units)
MAX SCHERZER recent starts vs. BOSTON
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
10/13/2013at BOSTON5-6+1207Loss,Over 71120213BUCHHOLZ(R)
9/3/2013at BOSTON1-2+1008.5Loss,UnderL7225038LESTER(L)
6/22/2013BOSTON10-3-1759Win,OverW7226106WEBSTER(R)

CLAY BUCHHOLZ vs. DETROIT since 1997
BUCHHOLZ is 2-1 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 4.18 and a WHIP of 1.268.
His team's record is 6-3 (+3.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-4. (-0.4 units)
CLAY BUCHHOLZ recent starts vs. DETROIT
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
10/13/2013DETROIT6-5-1307Win,Over 5.7558206SCHERZER(R)
7/30/2012DETROIT7-3-1159.5Win,OverW8325124SCHERZER(R)
4/8/2012at DETROIT12-13+1009Loss,Over 4778022SCHERZER(R)
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring Nobody in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in DETROIT games 0% of the time since 1997. (0-1059, 14.8 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in DETROIT games 56.1% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (239-187, +34.2 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BOSTON games 49.9% of the time since 1997. (1125-1129, -146.8 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BOSTON games 53.5% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (223-194, +2.2 units)
No Edge.
 
The betting public is favoring nothing on the total in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the total in DETROIT games 50.3% of the time since 1997. (883-874, -113.2 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in DETROIT games 47.5% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (150-166, -38.2 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BOSTON games 51.9% of the time since 1997. (956-886, -54.6 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BOSTON games 55.9% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (181-143, +20.0 units)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
DETROIT
[C] 10/17/2013 - Alex Avila injured last game, "?" Saturday vs. Boston Red Sox ( Knee )
[P] 10/11/2013 - Bruce Rondon not on ALCS roster ( Elbow )
[IF] 09/28/2013 - Danny Worth 60-day DL (9/27) ( Shoulder )
[P] 04/23/2013 - Octavio Dotel 60-day DL (4/20) ( Elbow )
BOSTON
[P] 07/19/2013 - Andrew Bailey 15-day DL (7/13) ( Shoulder )
[P] 07/10/2013 - Alex Wilson 60-day DL (7/9) ( Thumb )
[P] 07/07/2013 - Andrew Miller 60-day DL (7/7) ( Foot )
[P] 05/09/2013 - Joel Hanrahan 60-day DL (5/9), out for season ( Elbow )
[LF] 03/31/2013 - Ryan Kalish 60-day DL (2/20) ( Knee )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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