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The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
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CINCINNATI | LEAKE | +136 | | BOSTON | PEAVY | -136 | |
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All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
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in all games | 16-17 | -2.6 | 205-158 | +7.2 | 1377-1424 | -33.7 | 14-18 | 155-187 | 1308-1339 | when the total is 8 to 8.5 | 0-1 | -1 | 80-64 | -8 | 420-449 | -28.8 | 0-1 | 60-73 | 411-425 | as a road underdog of +125 to +150 | 1-3 | -1.7 | 7-15 | -5.4 | 160-193 | +24.9 | 3-1 | 13-8 | 183-152 | in road games | 8-10 | -2.4 | 98-85 | +5.5 | 664-736 | +53.3 | 7-10 | 77-97 | 625-700 | on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 | 0-1 | -1 | 27-22 | +1.3 | 194-219 | +11.7 | 0-1 | 17-30 | 173-224 | in May games | 3-2 | +0.8 | 39-21 | +15.6 | 248-239 | +4.6 | 2-3 | 28-30 | 230-234 | when playing on Wednesday | 4-1 | +2.8 | 36-21 | +9.2 | 204-228 | -20 | 1-4 | 21-33 | 197-212 | in an inter-league game | 1-3 | -2 | 19-20 | -3.4 | 116-143 | -25.2 | 1-3 | 15-24 | 118-135 | in games played on a grass field | 16-17 | -2.6 | 205-158 | +7.2 | 1146-1210 | -24 | 14-18 | 155-187 | 1088-1134 | in night games | 7-10 | -4 | 123-103 | -5 | 888-920 | -28.2 | 8-8 | 94-119 | 845-871 | against right-handed starters | 13-13 | -1.4 | 142-109 | +0.8 | 992-1026 | -17.5 | 11-14 | 110-125 | 952-950 | after a loss | 9-6 | +3 | 95-59 | +24.7 | 704-708 | +20.2 | 6-8 | 69-80 | 681-660 | when playing against a team with a losing record | 8-7 | -0.7 | 115-73 | +10 | 719-633 | -11.5 | 6-8 | 80-99 | 632-642 |
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in all games | 16-18 | -6.7 | 193-181 | -20 | 1596-1281 | -38.9 | 13-20 | 172-184 | 1330-1401 | when the total is 8 to 8.5 | 6-11 | -8.2 | 65-58 | -2.1 | 309-219 | +19.2 | 6-11 | 53-69 | 252-267 | as a home favorite of -125 to -150 | 5-3 | +1.1 | 39-28 | +0.5 | 209-146 | +6.7 | 2-5 | 31-33 | 162-177 | in home games | 9-12 | -7 | 102-89 | -17.7 | 851-591 | -25.3 | 10-10 | 90-89 | 683-680 | at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 | 4-6 | -4.5 | 30-24 | -1.5 | 129-82 | -4.6 | 5-5 | 24-30 | 105-103 | in May games | 3-3 | -0.7 | 33-32 | -8.5 | 276-206 | +21 | 1-4 | 31-31 | 235-222 | when playing on Wednesday | 4-0 | +4 | 30-27 | -0.7 | 245-198 | -20 | 1-3 | 29-24 | 220-204 | in an inter-league game | 1-3 | -3.8 | 30-18 | +6.1 | 188-133 | +18.9 | 1-3 | 20-25 | 141-162 | in games played on a grass field | 14-17 | -7.6 | 169-164 | -29.7 | 1409-1099 | -10.7 | 12-18 | 153-162 | 1142-1230 | in night games | 12-10 | -0.4 | 135-132 | -20.5 | 1101-874 | -26.1 | 10-12 | 131-122 | 925-952 | against right-handed starters | 8-14 | -9.2 | 124-129 | -27.2 | 1147-887 | +8 | 8-14 | 118-124 | 938-988 | after a win | 5-12 | -9.6 | 96-96 | -17.7 | 877-715 | -43 | 9-7 | 92-93 | 770-750 | when playing against a team with a losing record | 3-8 | -7 | 73-57 | -2.7 | 792-535 | +0.7 | 6-5 | 59-62 | 631-623 |
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Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed. |
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Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
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All Games | 15-17 | -3.6 | 14-17 | 3.8 | 0.252 | 0.317 | 3.3 | 0.226 | 0.295 | Road Games | 7-10 | -3.4 | 7-9 | 3.5 | 0.249 | 0.307 | 3.4 | 0.239 | 0.312 | vs Right-handed Starters | 12-13 | -2.4 | 11-13 | 3.6 | 0.251 | 0.314 | 3.3 | 0.224 | 0.292 | Past 7 Games | 4-3 | 0 | 3-4 | 4.0 | 0.267 | 0.338 | 3.6 | 0.229 | 0.295 | Grass Games | 15-17 | -3.6 | 14-17 | 3.8 | 0.252 | 0.317 | 3.3 | 0.226 | 0.295 | Night Games | 7-10 | -4 | 8-8 | 3.9 | 0.252 | 0.321 | 3.9 | 0.240 | 0.305 | Interleague | 1-3 | -2 | 1-3 | 4.0 | 0.230 | 0.311 | 2.7 | 0.207 | 0.306 |
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All Games | 3.8 | 0.252 | 0.317 | 32 | 1080 | 272 | 87 | 27 | 0.02 | 116 | 103 | 239 | 30 | 240 | 22 | 12 | 24 | 11 | Road Games | 3.5 | 0.249 | 0.307 | 17 | 587 | 146 | 41 | 6 | 0.01 | 55 | 49 | 134 | 18 | 126 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 6 | Righty Starters | 3.6 | 0.251 | 0.314 | 25 | 838 | 210 | 65 | 18 | 0.02 | 83 | 77 | 187 | 26 | 187 | 18 | 12 | 22 | 9 |
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All Games | 4.21 | 1.527 | 72.7 | 36 | 34 | 73 | 8 | 38 | 62 | 2-7 | 6 | 4 | 60% | Road Games | 4.74 | 1.632 | 38 | 20 | 20 | 44 | 4 | 18 | 30 | 0-5 | 4 | 3 | 57.1% |
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All Games | 16-17 | -5.4 | 12-20 | 4.2 | 0.245 | 0.331 | 4.3 | 0.257 | 0.316 | Home Games | 9-11 | -5.8 | 9-10 | 4.4 | 0.258 | 0.344 | 4.9 | 0.266 | 0.335 | vs Right-handed Starters | 8-13 | -8 | 7-14 | 3.6 | 0.236 | 0.310 | 4.2 | 0.271 | 0.322 | Past 7 Games | 4-3 | +0.3 | 2-4 | 4.6 | 0.259 | 0.370 | 3.1 | 0.203 | 0.281 | Grass Games | 14-16 | -6.4 | 11-18 | 4.0 | 0.243 | 0.328 | 4.3 | 0.256 | 0.316 | Night Games | 12-9 | +0.8 | 9-12 | 4.7 | 0.259 | 0.345 | 4.3 | 0.262 | 0.317 | Interleague | 1-3 | -3.8 | 1-3 | 3.0 | 0.218 | 0.290 | 5.0 | 0.296 | 0.339 |
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All Games | 4.2 | 0.245 | 0.331 | 33 | 1123 | 275 | 98 | 27 | 0.02 | 128 | 144 | 274 | 11 | 259 | 39 | 26 | 27 | 20 | Home Games | 4.4 | 0.258 | 0.344 | 20 | 675 | 174 | 63 | 14 | 0.02 | 81 | 89 | 165 | 5 | 155 | 27 | 20 | 19 | 16 | Righty Starters | 3.6 | 0.236 | 0.310 | 21 | 715 | 169 | 56 | 17 | 0.02 | 70 | 76 | 171 | 8 | 159 | 21 | 16 | 17 | 12 |
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All Games | 3.23 | 1.320 | 103 | 41 | 37 | 101 | 5 | 35 | 95 | 5-5 | 9 | 3 | 75% | Home Games | 3.82 | 1.387 | 70.7 | 32 | 30 | 70 | 2 | 28 | 60 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 66.7% |
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MIKE LEAKE recent results and season statistics |
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All Games | 3.53 | 1.039 | 2-3 | 7 | 43.3 | - | 17 | 17 | 37 | 6 | 8 | 25 | - | - | - | All Starts | 3.53 | 1.038 | 2-3 | 6 | 43.3 | 7.2 | 17 | 17 | 37 | 6 | 8 | 25 | 2-4 | -2 | 2-3 | Road Starts | 3.77 | 1.046 | 1-2 | 4 | 28.7 | 7.2 | 12 | 12 | 25 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 1-3 | -1.8 | 1-2 | Last 3 Starts | 4.09 | 1.182 | 0-2 | 3 | 22 | 7.3 | 10 | 10 | 23 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 0-3 | -3.2 | 1-2 |
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JAKE PEAVY recent results and season statistics |
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All Starts | 2.87 | 1.354 | 1-1 | 6 | 37.7 | 6.3 | 12 | 12 | 30 | 6 | 21 | 36 | 3-3 | -1.3 | 1-5 | Home Starts | 3.65 | 1.500 | 0-1 | 4 | 24.7 | 6.2 | 10 | 10 | 22 | 4 | 15 | 21 | 2-2 | -1 | 1-3 | Last 3 Starts | 3.79 | 1.526 | 1-1 | 3 | 19 | 6.3 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 3 | 11 | 16 | 2-1 | +0.4 | 1-2 |
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Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
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BOSTON is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons | 1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.0 Units) |
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BOSTON is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against CINCINNATI this season | 1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units) |
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BOSTON is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons | 1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.0 Units) |
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BOSTON is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against CINCINNATI this season | 1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units) |
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5/6/2014 | CINCINNATI | 3 | +115 | | Under | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | BAILEY(R) | | 6 | 3 | 5 | 5 | | BOSTON | 4 | -125 | 8.5 un | Win | 11 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 1 | DOUBRONT(L) | | 5.3 | 1 | 5 | 3 |
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PEAVY is 6-0 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 2.14 and a WHIP of 1.037. | His team's record is 9-1 (+7.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-4. (+0.8 units) |
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5/17/2009 | CINCINNATI | 3-1 | -165 | 7 | Win,Under | W | 9 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | ARROYO(R) | 7/22/2008 | at CINCINNATI | 3-4 | -115 | 8 | Loss,Under | | 6 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 5 | CUETO(R) | 8/12/2007 | at CINCINNATI | 10-4 | -155 | 8.5 | Win,Over | W | 6.7 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | ARROYO(R) |
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Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
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The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CINCINNATI games 0% of the time since 1997. (0-1143, -98.4 units) | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CINCINNATI games 53.5% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (162-141, +5.1 units) | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BOSTON games 49.9% of the time since 1997. (1140-1144, -148.8 units) | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BOSTON games 51.8% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (162-151, -10.0 units) | |
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The betting public is correct when moving the total in CINCINNATI games 52.1% of the time since 1997. (906-832, -40.9 units) | The betting public is correct when moving the total in CINCINNATI games 52% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (133-123, -7.0 units) | The betting public is correct when moving the total in BOSTON games 51.8% of the time since 1997. (972-905, -60.3 units) | The betting public is correct when moving the total in BOSTON games 55.1% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (152-124, +12.0 units) | |
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[CF] 05/06/2014 - Billy Hamilton "?" Wednesday vs. Boston Red Sox ( Hand ) | [RF] 05/05/2014 - Jay Bruce out a month ( Knee ) | [P] 05/02/2014 - Tony Cingrani 15-day DL (5/1) ( Shoulder ) | [C] 04/27/2014 - Devin Mesoraco 15-day DL (4/26) ( Hamstring ) | [P] 04/09/2014 - Trevor Bell 15-day DL (4/08) ( Elbow ) | [P] 04/02/2014 - Brett Marshall 60-day DL (3/30) ( Finger ) | [P] 03/31/2014 - Aroldis Chapman 15-day DL (3/21) ( Concussion ) | [3B] 03/28/2014 - Jack Hannahan 60-day DL (3/30) ( Shoulder ) | [P] 03/28/2014 - Mat Latos 15-day DL (3/21) ( Knee ) | |
[P] 04/09/2014 - Steven Wright 60-day DL (3/21) ( Hernia ) |
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