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Matchup Reports

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CINCINNATI (15-16) AT BOSTON (15-17) 
 Starting Pitchers
TeamsLineW-LOv/Un/PRF/RAStartersRECERAWHIP
975: CINCINNATI
976: BOSTON
OFF
-145
15-16
15-17
14-16-1
12-19-1
3.9 / 3.3
4.2 / 4.3
(R) M LEAKE
(R) J PEAVY
2-3
1-1
3.53
2.87
1.04
1.35
Current Weather Conditions 
Conditions: Overcast   Temperature: 71.0 °
Humidity: 84   Wind: East at 10.4 MPH (9 KT)
 
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Line
TeamPitcherEstimateEdge
CINCINNATILEAKE +134 
BOSTONPEAVY-134 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
CINCINNATI team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games16-16-1.6205-157+8.21377-1423-32.714-17155-1861308-1338
when the total is 8 to 8.50-0080-63-7420-448-27.80-060-72411-424
as a road underdog of +125 to +1501-3-1.77-15-5.4160-193+24.93-113-8183-152
in road games8-9-1.498-84+6.5664-735+54.37-977-96625-699
on the road when the total is 8 to 8.50-0027-21+2.3194-218+12.70-017-29173-223
in May games3-1+1.839-20+16.6248-238+5.62-228-29230-233
when playing on Wednesday4-1+2.836-21+9.2204-228-201-421-33197-212
in an inter-league game1-2-119-19-2.4116-142-24.21-215-23118-134
in games played on a grass field16-16-1.6205-157+8.21146-1209-2314-17155-1861088-1133
in night games7-9-3123-102-4888-919-27.28-794-118845-870
against right-handed starters13-13-1.4142-109+0.8992-1026-17.511-14110-125952-950
when playing against a team with a losing record8-6+0.3115-72+11719-632-10.56-780-98632-641

BOSTON team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games15-18-7.7192-181-211595-1281-39.913-19172-1831330-1400
when the total is 8 to 8.55-11-9.264-58-3.1308-219+18.26-1053-68252-266
as a home favorite of -125 to -1504-3+0.138-28-0.5208-146+5.72-431-32162-176
as a home favorite of -150 to -1753-3-1.623-20-8.9207-148-32.93-319-23171-173
in home games8-12-8101-89-18.7850-591-26.310-990-88683-679
at home when the total is 8 to 8.53-6-5.529-24-2.5128-82-5.65-424-29105-102
in May games2-3-1.732-32-9.5275-206+201-331-30235-221
when playing on Wednesday4-0+430-27-0.7245-198-201-329-24220-204
in an inter-league game0-3-4.829-18+5.1187-133+17.91-220-24141-161
in games played on a grass field13-17-8.6168-164-30.71408-1099-11.712-17153-1611142-1229
in night games11-10-1.4134-132-21.51100-874-27.110-11131-121925-951
against right-handed starters7-14-10.2123-129-28.21146-887+78-13118-123938-987
when playing against a team with a losing record2-8-872-57-3.7791-535-0.36-459-61631-622
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
CINCINNATI - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
4/23/2014SIMON(R)@ PITTSBURGHMORTON(R)5-2W1157.5 unU6716103
4/24/2014CINGRANI(L)@ PITTSBURGHCUMPTON(R)2-1W1007 unU560780
4/25/2014BAILEY(R)@ ATLANTASANTANA(R)4-5L1207 evO11701040
4/26/2014LEAKE(R)@ ATLANTAHALE(R)1-4L1157.5 unU230840
4/27/2014CUETO(R)@ ATLANTATEHERAN(R)0-1L-1056.5 ovU560790
4/29/2014SIMON(R)CHICAGO CUBSSAMARDZIJA(R)3-2W-1307.5 unU11110880
4/30/2014CINGRANI(L)CHICAGO CUBSJACKSON(R)4-9L-1807.5 unO75213110
5/1/2014BAILEY(R)MILWAUKEEESTRADA(R)8-3W-1157 evO12120850
5/2/2014LEAKE(R)MILWAUKEEPERALTA(R)0-2L-1207.5 unU351751
5/3/2014CUETO(R)MILWAUKEEGALLARDO(R)6-2W-1457 unO1180321
5/4/2014SIMON(R)MILWAUKEELOHSE(R)4-3W-1057.5 unU1180640
5/6/2014BAILEY(R)@ BOSTONDOUBRONT(L) 
5/7/2014LEAKE(R)@ BOSTONPEAVY(R) 
5/9/2014CUETO(R)COLORADOCHACIN(R) 
5/10/2014SIMON(R)COLORADOLYLES(R) 
5/11/2014BAILEY(R)COLORADONICASIO(R) 
5/13/2014 SAN DIEGO  
5/14/2014 SAN DIEGO  

BOSTON - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
4/23/2014LACKEY(R)NY YANKEESPINEDA(R)5-1W-1109 unU1090873
4/24/2014DOUBRONT(L)NY YANKEESSABATHIA(L)5-14L-1208.5 evO48514151
4/25/2014PEAVY(R)@ TORONTOBUEHRLE(L)8-1W1009.5 unU16120661
4/26/2014BUCHHOLZ(R)@ TORONTOMORROW(R)7-6W1009 unO54013110
4/27/2014LESTER(L)@ TORONTODICKEY(R)1-7L-1108.5 unU661920
4/29/2014LACKEY(R)TAMPA BAYBEDARD(L)7-4W-1658.5 unO13101860
5/1/2014PEAVY(R)TAMPA BAYRAMOS(L)1-2L-1559 evU6110461
5/1/2014DOUBRONT(L)TAMPA BAYARCHER(R)5-6L-1109 ovO61011050
5/2/2014BUCHHOLZ(R)OAKLANDSTRAILY(R)7-1W-1159.5 evU11101581
5/3/2014LESTER(L)OAKLANDMILONE(L)6-3W-1359 unP642440
5/4/2014LACKEY(R)OAKLANDGRAY(R)2-3L+1008.5 ovU950892
5/6/2014DOUBRONT(L)CINCINNATIBAILEY(R) 
5/7/2014PEAVY(R)CINCINNATILEAKE(R) 
5/9/2014BUCHHOLZ(R)@ TEXASDARVISH(R) 
5/10/2014LESTER(L)@ TEXASPEREZ(L) 
5/11/2014LACKEY(R)@ TEXASROSS(L) 
5/13/2014 @ MINNESOTA  
5/14/2014 @ MINNESOTA  
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
CINCINNATI - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games15-16-2.614-163.90.2530.3183.30.2250.292
Road Games7-9-2.47-83.60.2500.3073.40.2370.308
vs Right-handed Starters12-13-2.411-133.60.2510.3143.30.2240.292
Past 7 Games4-303-43.60.2580.3273.10.2190.277
Grass Games15-16-2.614-163.90.2530.3183.30.2250.292
Night Games7-9-38-74.00.2540.3233.90.2390.301
Interleague1-2-11-24.30.2280.3172.30.1860.282
CINCINNATI - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games3.90.2530.31831103726285270.03113992303023020122410
Road Games3.60.2500.307165441363960.01524512518116107145
Righty Starters3.60.2510.3142583821065180.028377187261871812229
CINCINNATI - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games4.391.52267.7353367836582-66460%
Road Games5.181.63633191938416260-44357.1%

BOSTON - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games15-17-6.412-194.20.2440.3294.30.2580.317
Home Games8-11-6.89-94.50.2580.3435.00.2690.337
vs Right-handed Starters7-13-97-133.60.2350.3064.30.2730.323
Past 7 Games3-4-1.82-44.10.2490.3483.70.2090.278
Grass Games13-16-7.411-174.00.2420.3264.30.2570.317
Night Games11-9-0.19-114.70.2590.3444.40.2640.319
Interleague0-3-4.81-22.70.2020.2595.70.3170.353
BOSTON - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.20.2440.32932108026495270.021241372651024639252520
Home Games4.50.2580.3431963216360140.027782156414227191716
Righty Starters3.60.2350.3062067215853170.036669162714621151512
BOSTON - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games3.271.35096.3393596534894-59281.8%
Home Games3.941.43764302865227543-44180%
Starting Pitcher Season to Date Performance
MIKE LEAKE recent results and season statistics
MIKE LEAKE - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Games3.531.0392-3743.3-1717376825---
All Starts3.531.0382-3643.37.217173768252-4-22-3
Road Starts3.771.0461-2428.77.212122565121-3-1.81-2
Last 3 Starts4.091.1820-23227.310102343110-3-3.21-2
MIKE LEAKE - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
5/2/2014MILWAUKEE0-2-1207.5Loss,UnderL8227025PERALTA(R)
4/26/2014at ATLANTA1-4+1157.5Loss,UnderL7448304HALE(R)
4/21/2014at PITTSBURGH5-6+1307Loss,Over 7448112LIRIANO(L)

JAKE PEAVY recent results and season statistics
JAKE PEAVY - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts2.871.3541-1637.76.3121230621363-3-1.31-5
Home Starts3.651.5000-1424.76.2101022415212-2-11-3
Last 3 Starts3.791.5261-13196.38818311162-1+0.41-2
JAKE PEAVY - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
5/1/2014TAMPA BAY1-2-1559Loss,UnderL6.3223154RAMOS(L)
4/25/2014at TORONTO8-1+1009.5Win,UnderW7115127BUEHRLE(L)
4/20/2014BALTIMORE6-5-1558Win,Over 5.75510145JIMENEZ(R)
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
Games over the last 3 seasons
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
Games this season
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

All games at BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
Games played at BOSTON this season.
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

Pitcher Versus Team Past History
MIKE LEAKE vs. BOSTON since 1997
No recent starts.
MIKE LEAKE recent starts vs. BOSTON
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
No recent games found.

JAKE PEAVY vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
PEAVY is 6-0 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 2.14 and a WHIP of 1.037.
His team's record is 9-1 (+7.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-4. (+0.8 units)
JAKE PEAVY recent starts vs. CINCINNATI
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
5/17/2009CINCINNATI3-1-1657Win,UnderW9114108ARROYO(R)
7/22/2008at CINCINNATI3-4-1158Loss,Under 6337035CUETO(R)
8/12/2007at CINCINNATI10-4-1558.5Win,OverW6.7427115ARROYO(R)
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring BOSTON in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CINCINNATI games 0% of the time since 1997. (0-1143, -99.4 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CINCINNATI games 53.3% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (161-141, +4.1 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BOSTON games 49.9% of the time since 1997. (1139-1144, -149.8 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BOSTON games 51.6% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (161-151, -11.0 units)
Edge=CINCINNATI
 
The betting public is favoring nothing on the total in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CINCINNATI games 52.1% of the time since 1997. (905-832, -41.9 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CINCINNATI games 51.8% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (132-123, -8.0 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BOSTON games 51.8% of the time since 1997. (971-905, -61.3 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BOSTON games 54.9% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (151-124, +11.0 units)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
CINCINNATI
[CF] 05/06/2014 - Billy Hamilton is downgraded to not expected to be in the starting lineup Tuesday vs. Boston Red Sox ( Hand )
[RF] 05/05/2014 - Jay Bruce out a month ( Knee )
[P] 05/02/2014 - Tony Cingrani 15-day DL (5/1) ( Shoulder )
[C] 04/27/2014 - Devin Mesoraco 15-day DL (4/26) ( Hamstring )
[P] 04/09/2014 - Trevor Bell 15-day DL (4/08) ( Elbow )
[P] 04/02/2014 - Brett Marshall 60-day DL (3/30) ( Finger )
[P] 03/31/2014 - Aroldis Chapman 15-day DL (3/21) ( Concussion )
[3B] 03/28/2014 - Jack Hannahan 60-day DL (3/30) ( Shoulder )
[P] 03/28/2014 - Mat Latos 15-day DL (3/21) ( Knee )
BOSTON
[1B] 05/05/2014 - Mike Napoli probable Tuesday vs. Cincinnati Reds ( Finger )
[P] 04/09/2014 - Steven Wright 60-day DL (3/21) ( Hernia )
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UPDATED:
FOOTBALL: 8/3/2014 - 11/3/2014
11/4/2014 - 2/1/2015
BASKETBALL 10/28/2014 - 11/12/2014
HOCKEY 10/8/2014 - 11/12/2014
TOP TEN WAGERS
RK Team
1
New Orleans Saints
2
Florida State
3
Carolina Panthers
4
Louisville
5
Florida State

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