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Matchup Reports

Saturday at 7:15 PM
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BALTIMORE (46-39) AT BOSTON (38-47) 
 Starting Pitchers
TeamsLineW-LOv/Un/PRF/RAStartersRECERAWHIP
0: BALTIMORE
0: BOSTON
OFF
OFF
46-39
38-47
39-44-2
32-50-3
4.3 / 4.1
3.8 / 4.3
(R) U JIMENEZ
(R) J LACKEY
3-8
9-5
4.31
3.62
1.48
1.21
Current Weather Conditions 
Conditions: Overcast   Temperature: 71.0 °
Humidity: 84   Wind: East at 10.4 MPH (9 KT)
 
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Line
TeamPitcherEstimateEdge
BALTIMOREJIMENEZ +125 
BOSTONLACKEY-125 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
BALTIMORE team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games47-39+10228-188+48.51322-1535-117.140-44187-2131345-1373
when the total is 9 to 9.513-12+0.492-74+15.8622-670-319-1569-87583-635
as a road underdog of +125 to +1508-7+3.835-31+16.9168-190+40.19-633-32178-162
in road games24-18+10.9111-97+38.3623-805-14.325-1794-109691-668
on the road when the total is 9 to 9.55-5039-29+17.8269-317+14.76-427-40279-275
in July games3-0+3.228-27+1.4202-248-27.32-120-31210-210
when playing on Saturday7-6+0.635-31+5.1222-242+6.35-833-32217-226
when playing with a day off7-4+3.133-16+19.2173-166+17.85-624-23168-155
against division opponents23-16+9.3104-88+26.6513-686-86.916-2283-101560-571
in games played on a grass field40-37+3.4206-163+46.21156-1323-97.134-41161-1921173-1189
in night games32-22+11.4156-127+34.8915-1032-44.725-27123-148902-934
against right-handed starters35-27+9.8161-129+40.6955-1059-17.131-29135-143940-970
when playing against a team with a losing record27-20+6.897-68+19.5616-552-6.822-2480-77549-562
when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season4-0+4.246-23+13.8267-253-31.12-230-34231-257

BOSTON team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games38-48-18.5215-211-31.81618-1311-50.733-50192-2141350-1431
when the total is 9 to 9.513-11-1.974-77-21.5588-522-69.67-1671-73518-537
as a home favorite of -125 to -1507-7-2.541-32-3.1211-150+3.15-834-36165-180
in home games20-23-10.8113-100-21.5862-602-29.115-2795-106688-697
at home when the total is 9 to 9.57-9-646-51-23.6310-236-345-1046-46266-259
in July games0-2-3.627-26-3.2245-206-24.61-119-31199-233
when playing on Saturday6-7-2.236-35-5.8251-226-32.36-633-33240-215
against division opponents15-21-8.688-100-24.7656-564-51.116-2084-101584-585
in games played on a grass field36-44-16.4191-191-38.41431-1126-19.430-47171-1911160-1259
in night games29-33-9.3152-155-29.41118-897-3525-35146-145940-975
against right-handed starters24-32-13.3140-147-31.31163-905+421-34131-144951-1008
when playing against a team with a winning record18-22-5.9116-128-22.5713-692-57.516-21113-120630-708
when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season0-0055-65-12365-384-53.60-053-62335-381
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
BALTIMORE - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
6/21/2014NORRIS(R)@ NY YANKEESNUNO(L)6-1W-1109 unU980781
6/22/2014TILLMAN(R)@ NY YANKEESTANAKA(R)8-0W1907.5 evO1261482
6/23/2014CHEN(L)CHI WHITE SOXSALE(L)6-4W-1057.5 unO15100860
6/24/2014GONZALEZ(R)CHI WHITE SOXQUINTANA(L)2-4L-1258.5 evU9711180
6/25/2014JIMENEZ(R)CHI WHITE SOXNOESI(R)5-4W-1459 ovP128011100
6/27/2014GAUSMAN(R)TAMPA BAYCOLOME(R)2-5L-1308.5 unU340961
6/27/2014TILLMAN(R)TAMPA BAYODORIZZI(R)4-1W+1008.5 unU10100540
6/28/2014CHEN(L)TAMPA BAYBEDARD(L)4-5L-1408.5 unO8311080
6/29/2014GONZALEZ(R)TAMPA BAYCOBB(R)7-12L+1058.5 unO13701890
6/30/2014JIMENEZ(R)TEXASSAUNDERS(L)7-1W-1309 ovU1081452
7/1/2014MCFARLAND(L)TEXASMARTINEZ(R)8-3W-1509 unO8501052
7/2/2014TILLMAN(R)TEXASMIKOLAS(R)6-4W-1309 ovO861880
7/3/2014CHEN(L)TEXASBAKER(R)5-2W+1207.5 evU1290770
7/5/2014GONZALEZ(R)@ BOSTONLESTER(L) 
7/5/2014JIMENEZ(R)@ BOSTONLACKEY(R) 
7/6/2014 @ BOSTONPEAVY(R) 
7/7/2014TILLMAN(R)@ WASHINGTONSTRASBURG(R) 
7/8/2014CHEN(L)@ WASHINGTONFISTER(R) 
7/9/2014GONZALEZ(R)WASHINGTONROARK(R) 
7/10/2014JIMENEZ(R)WASHINGTONGONZALEZ(L) 
7/11/2014 NY YANKEES  
7/12/2014 NY YANKEES  

BOSTON - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
6/21/2014DE LA ROSA(R)@ OAKLANDCHAVEZ(R)1-2L1307.5 ovU780670
6/22/2014LESTER(L)@ OAKLANDMILONE(L)7-6W1057.5 unO1361950
6/23/2014LACKEY(R)@ SEATTLEHERNANDEZ(R)3-12L1356 unO7501461
6/24/2014PEAVY(R)@ SEATTLERAMIREZ(L)2-8L-1107.5 ovO81211050
6/25/2014BUCHHOLZ(R)@ SEATTLEIWAKUMA(R)5-4W1157 ovO1150830
6/27/2014WORKMAN(R)@ NY YANKEESNUNO(L)0-6L1109 unU360950
6/28/2014LESTER(L)@ NY YANKEESTANAKA(R)2-1W1407 unU741560
6/29/2014LACKEY(R)@ NY YANKEESWHITLEY(R)8-5W-1058 unO1271950
6/30/2014PEAVY(R)CHICAGO CUBSARRIETA(R)0-2L-1659 evU220560
7/1/2014BUCHHOLZ(R)CHICAGO CUBSJACKSON(R)1-2L-1759.5 unU8100750
7/2/2014WORKMAN(R)CHICAGO CUBSWOOD(L)9-16L-1809 ovO161401951
7/5/2014LESTER(L)BALTIMOREGONZALEZ(R) 
7/5/2014LACKEY(R)BALTIMOREJIMENEZ(R) 
7/6/2014PEAVY(R)BALTIMORE  
7/7/2014BUCHHOLZ(R)CHI WHITE SOXCARROLL(R) 
7/8/2014WORKMAN(R)CHI WHITE SOXDANKS(L) 
7/9/2014LESTER(L)CHI WHITE SOXSALE(L) 
7/10/2014LACKEY(R)CHI WHITE SOXQUINTANA(L) 
7/11/2014 @ HOUSTON  
7/12/2014 @ HOUSTON  
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
BALTIMORE - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games46-39+8.939-444.30.2660.3164.10.2580.322
Road Games23-18+9.724-175.10.2760.3284.20.2660.328
vs Right-handed Starters34-27+8.630-294.40.2660.3174.20.2580.323
Past 7 Games5-3+1.54-45.40.2720.3324.10.2580.311
Grass Games39-37+2.233-414.20.2660.3144.10.2580.322
Night Games31-22+10.224-274.50.2720.3243.70.2430.305
Division22-16+8.115-224.40.2630.3143.70.2550.323
BALTIMORE - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.30.2660.3168529627872531050.043612176272460671449952
Road Games5.10.2760.328411459402135530.042071133021329529244427
Righty Starters4.40.2660.317612139569175670.032671604582144247336640
BALTIMORE - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games3.521.275276117108261269122113-12251169.4%
Road Games3.521.332127.755501301440995-815671.4%

BOSTON - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games38-47-17.232-503.80.2430.3144.30.2580.315
Home Games20-22-9.614-273.90.2570.3334.10.2520.313
vs Right-handed Starters24-31-1220-343.50.2400.3073.90.2570.312
Past 7 Games3-4-2.73-43.60.2520.3225.10.2650.306
Grass Games36-43-15.129-473.70.2450.3164.20.2580.315
Night Games29-32-824-353.90.2530.3244.30.2640.317
Division15-20-7.415-203.70.2400.3124.40.2560.312
BOSTON - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games3.80.2430.314852900704225630.023033036982763487468154
Home Games3.90.2570.333421406361120250.021491613221432449283929
Righty Starters3.50.2400.307551862446133410.021831804412039553265126
BOSTON - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games3.221.25225410091235238325211-1621775%
Home Games3.161.222136.7524812010471328-78466.7%
Starting Pitcher Season to Date Performance
UBALDO JIMENEZ recent results and season statistics
UBALDO JIMENEZ - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts4.311.4793-817965.64746881054845-12-6.66-10
Road Starts3.201.5112-28455.6161643325453-5-1.53-5
Last 3 Starts2.251.3501-03206.7651819162-1+10-2
UBALDO JIMENEZ - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
6/30/2014TEXAS7-1-1309Win,UnderW8104017SAUNDERS(L)
6/25/2014CHI WHITE SOX5-4-1459Win 6.3448126NOESI(R)
6/20/2014at NY YANKEES3-5+1458.5Loss,Under 5.7116063KURODA(R)

JOHN LACKEY recent results and season statistics
JOHN LACKEY - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts3.621.2059-5171126.6494511311229510-7+2.27-10
Home Starts2.771.2005-2961.76.9211960214586-3+2.43-6
Last 3 Starts5.601.1321-1317.75.912111634142-1+12-1
JOHN LACKEY - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
6/29/2014at NY YANKEES8-5-1058Win,OverW5546212WHITLEY(R)
6/23/2014at SEATTLE3-12+1356Loss,OverL3.7777123HERNANDEZ(R)
6/18/2014MINNESOTA2-1-1809Win,Under 9003019GIBSON(R)
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
Games over the last 3 seasons
BALTIMORE is 29-18 (+14.2 Units) against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
27 of 45 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+6.4 Units)
Games this season
BALTIMORE is 5-5 (+0.4 Units) against BOSTON this season
7 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+3.7 Units)

All games at BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
BALTIMORE is 14-8 (+9.6 Units) against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
12 of 22 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.6 Units)
Games played at BOSTON this season.
BALTIMORE is 2-2 (+0.6 Units) against BOSTON this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.0 Units)

 Team StatsStarting Pitcher Stats
DateTeamsScoreLineTotalResultHHRSBLOBERRStarterW/LIPERHBB
6/11/2014BOSTON0+125 Under40020DE LA ROSA(R)L5.7472
 BALTIMORE6-1358.5 unWin91181CHEN(L)W7040
6/10/2014BOSTON1+110  80091WORKMAN(R)W6.7011
 BALTIMORE0-1209 unUnder20021TILLMAN(R)L6173
6/9/2014BOSTON0-105 Under30050PEAVY(R)L7481
 BALTIMORE4-1058.5 unWin83040NORRIS(R)W8033
Pitcher Versus Team Past History
UBALDO JIMENEZ vs. BOSTON since 1997
JIMENEZ is 1-4 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 8.55 and a WHIP of 1.871.
His team's record is 2-5 (-2.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-3. (+0.9 units)
UBALDO JIMENEZ recent starts vs. BOSTON
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
4/20/2014at BOSTON5-6+1458Loss,Over 5.3334135PEAVY(R)
4/2/2014BOSTON2-6+1058.5Loss,UnderL6445236LACKEY(R)
4/16/2013BOSTON2-7+1058Loss,OverL1.7772051DOUBRONT(L)

JOHN LACKEY vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
LACKEY is 14-6 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 3.55 and a WHIP of 1.235.
His team's record is 17-8 (+5.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 17-7. (+9.7 units)
JOHN LACKEY recent starts vs. BALTIMORE
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
4/18/2014BALTIMORE4-8-1257.5Loss,OverL5.36610046TILLMAN(R)
4/2/2014at BALTIMORE6-2-1158.5Win,UnderW6223116JIMENEZ(R)
9/19/2013BALTIMORE3-1-1308.5Win,UnderW9112128TILLMAN(R)
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring Nobody in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BALTIMORE games 0% of the time since 1997. (0-1118, -8.6 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BALTIMORE games 50.1% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (179-178, -20.6 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BOSTON games 50.1% of the time since 1997. (1167-1161, -143.7 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BOSTON games 52.9% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (189-168, -4.9 units)
No Edge.
 
The betting public is favoring nothing on the total in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BALTIMORE games 50.4% of the time since 1997. (891-876, -105.2 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BALTIMORE games 56% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (168-132, +17.8 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BOSTON games 51.8% of the time since 1997. (998-927, -59.9 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BOSTON games 54.9% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (178-146, +12.4 units)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
BALTIMORE
[3B] 07/04/2014 - Manny Machado expected to miss Game #1 Saturday vs. Boston Red Sox ( Suspension )
[P] 06/27/2014 - Bud Norris 15-day DL (6/22) ( Groin )
[C] 06/17/2014 - Matt Wieters 15-day DL (5/11), out for season ( Elbow )
[P] 06/03/2014 - Johan Santana 60-day DL (6/2), out for season ( Shoulder )
[P] 04/03/2014 - Edgmer Escalo 60-day DL (3/30) ( Shoulder )
[LF] 03/31/2014 - Francisco Peguero 15-day DL (3/21) ( Wrist )
[LF] 03/28/2014 - Nolan Reimold 60-day DL (3/26) ( Neck )
BOSTON
[1B] 06/02/2014 - Mike Carp 15-day DL (6/1) ( Foot )
[1B] 05/31/2014 - Ryan Lavarnway 60-day DL (5/30) ( Wrist )
[RF] 05/24/2014 - Shane Victorino 15-day DL (5/24) ( Hamstring )
[3B] 05/17/2014 - Will Middlebrooks 15-day DL (5/16) ( Finger )
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