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Matchup Reports

Sunday at 1:35 PM
CINCINNATI (26-17) AT PHILADELPHIA (20-23) 
 Starting Pitchers
TeamsLineW-LOv/Un/PRF/RAStartersRECERAWHIP
903: CINCINNATI
904: PHILADELPHIA
8.0
+141
26-17
20-23
26-16-1
21-21-1
4.8 / 3.7
3.6 / 4.4
(R) H BAILEY
(R) J PETTIBONE
2-3
3-0
3.51
3.41
1.15
1.28
Current Weather Conditions 
Conditions: Partly Cloudy   Temperature: 55.0 °
Humidity: 42   Wind: South at 8.1 MPH (7 KT)
 
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Line
TeamPitcherEstimateEdge
CINCINNATIBAILEY-103 
PHILADELPHIAPETTIBONE +103 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
CINCINNATI team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in day games13-7+4.679-59+10.2453-474-4.514-571-57437-430
in games played on a grass field26-17+5.2203-167+5.11066-1137-10.126-16173-1731023-1053
against right-handed starters19-10+6.1146-120+3.1935-976-7.717-12120-128901-899
after shutting out their opponent1-2-1.39-12-657-66-9.53-08-1047-71
after a win16-9+4.4105-100-15.6631-666-29.917-890-97588-631
when playing against a team with a losing record17-8+5.8117-83+6.2677-602-6.415-1091-95601-601
in all games26-17+5.2205-168+6.91297-1351-19.826-16173-1751243-1258
when the total is 8 to 8.511-5+5.285-74-6.6388-419-17.111-580-69387-390
as a road favorite of -125 to -1501-1-0.428-17+5.268-47+5.41-118-2547-62
as a road favorite of -150 to -1753-1+1.49-3+4.417-16-8.43-14-714-16
in road games10-11-296-89+4.9625-696+5913-781-95590-659
on the road when the total is 8 to 8.52-3-1.233-31-0.3185-208+163-229-33166-211
in May games11-4+6.742-30+8.8237-233+1.211-440-28224-223
when playing on Sunday5-1+3.437-22+11197-222-26.94-130-23196-191

PHILADELPHIA team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in day games5-7-4.463-54-7.2433-406-26.57-559-52406-398
in games played on a grass field20-23-7.6203-163-131044-931-17.721-21178-172954-936
against right-handed starters15-18-7.5146-118-11.91035-927-19.616-16134-116971-901
after allowing 10 runs or more3-2+110-4+5.799-96-3.12-26-693-96
after getting shut out2-2-18-9-561-55+0.64-011-566-44
after a loss11-11-1.687-76-11.9653-626-40.212-984-74634-595
when playing against a team with a winning record11-11-1.695-89-12.8673-654+20.912-990-83654-608
in all games20-23-7.6205-167-15.51398-1282-5121-21182-1741300-1261
when the total is 8 to 8.58-6+1.665-55-4.9395-402-47.47-758-55421-348
as a home underdog of +125 to +1500-001-3-1.733-49-5.60-03-139-40
in home games10-12-6.7103-84-21.2728-614-73.114-794-82656-625
at home when the total is 8 to 8.54-3+0.334-29-7.3190-175-29.14-331-29201-154
in May games8-8-240-34-2.5248-214+13.97-940-30224-215
when playing on Sunday4-2+1.128-31-14.2247-189+31.73-328-30197-219
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
CINCINNATI - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
5/5/2013LATOS(R)@ CHICAGO CUBSJACKSON(R)7-4W-1357 ovO1171891
5/6/2013ARROYO(R)ATLANTAMAHOLM(L)4-7L+1007.5 unO9811181
5/7/2013BAILEY(R)ATLANTAMEDLEN(R)5-4W-1107.5 unO960550
5/8/2013LEAKE(R)ATLANTAMINOR(L)2-7L-1308 unO7701160
5/10/2013CINGRANI(L)MILWAUKEEGALLARDO(R)4-3W-1507.5 evU8130880
5/11/2013LATOS(R)MILWAUKEEBURGOS(R)13-7W-1908 unO14811181
5/12/2013ARROYO(R)MILWAUKEEPERALTA(R)5-1W-1558.5 unU640772
5/14/2013BAILEY(R)@ MIAMINOLASCO(R)6-2W-1657 evO1080640
5/15/2013LEAKE(R)@ MIAMISANABIA(R)4-0W-1758 unU119011120
5/16/2013LATOS(R)@ MIAMIFERNANDEZ(R)5-3W-1607 unO870641
5/17/2013CINGRANI(L)@ PHILADELPHIALEE(L)3-5L1107 unO881660
5/18/2013ARROYO(R)@ PHILADELPHIAKENDRICK(R)10-0W-1058 unO16120670
5/19/2013BAILEY(R)@ PHILADELPHIAPETTIBONE(R) 
5/20/2013CUETO(R)@ NY METSMARCUM(R) 
5/21/2013LEAKE(R)@ NY METSNIESE(L) 
5/22/2013LATOS(R)@ NY METSHARVEY(R) 
5/24/2013ARROYO(R)CHICAGO CUBSFELDMAN(R) 
5/25/2013BAILEY(R)CHICAGO CUBSWOOD(L) 
5/26/2013 CHICAGO CUBS  

PHILADELPHIA - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
5/5/2013HALLADAY(R)MIAMISLOWEY(R)2-14L-1857 unO4411392
5/6/2013LEE(L)@ SAN FRANCISCOBUMGARNER(L)6-2W1306 unO1071500
5/7/2013KENDRICK(R)@ SAN FRANCISCOLINCECUM(R)6-2W1307 unO1291762
5/8/2013PETTIBONE(R)@ SAN FRANCISCOZITO(L)3-4L1357.5 unU73011120
5/9/2013HAMELS(L)@ ARIZONACORBIN(L)1-2L1107.5 ovU6707110
5/10/2013CLOYD(R)@ ARIZONAKENNEDY(R)2-3L1409.5 unU781421
5/11/2013LEE(L)@ ARIZONACAHILL(R)3-1W-1058 ovU9110990
5/12/2013KENDRICK(R)@ ARIZONAMCCARTHY(R)4-2W1158.5 unU1590770
5/14/2013PETTIBONE(R)CLEVELANDKAZMIR(L)6-2W+1158.5 ovU1080781
5/15/2013HAMELS(L)CLEVELANDKLUBER(R)4-10L-1608 ovO8501160
5/17/2013LEE(L)CINCINNATICINGRANI(L)5-3W-1207 unO660881
5/18/2013KENDRICK(R)CINCINNATIARROYO(R)0-10L-1058 unO67016120
5/19/2013PETTIBONE(R)CINCINNATIBAILEY(R) 
5/20/2013HAMELS(L)@ MIAMISANABIA(R) 
5/21/2013CLOYD(R)@ MIAMIFERNANDEZ(R) 
5/22/2013LEE(L)@ MIAMISLOWEY(R) 
5/24/2013KENDRICK(R)@ WASHINGTONZIMMERMANN(R) 
5/25/2013PETTIBONE(R)@ WASHINGTONHAREN(R) 
5/26/2013 @ WASHINGTON  
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
CINCINNATI - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games26-17+5.226-164.80.2540.3333.70.2390.293
Road Games10-11-213-74.20.2430.3244.00.2590.310
vs Right-handed Starters19-10+6.117-125.00.2530.3333.40.2460.302
Past 7 Games6-1+55-26.60.2970.3712.60.2290.276
Grass Games26-17+5.226-164.80.2540.3333.70.2390.293
Day Games13-7+4.614-55.50.2680.3504.40.2500.309
CINCINNATI - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.80.2540.333431472374124440.031971753331433137183616
Road Games4.20.2430.3242170117055160.0286851476155218168
Righty Starters5.00.2530.3332997024581310.03136117220112122462013
CINCINNATI - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games3.591.171123544999164512510-811378.6%
Road Games4.731.42251.3282751522393-46275%

PHILADELPHIA - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games20-23-7.621-213.60.2440.3004.40.2490.312
Home Games10-12-6.714-74.00.2460.3035.00.2620.321
vs Right-handed Starters15-18-7.516-163.50.2410.2994.70.2610.317
Past 7 Games4-3+0.63-43.40.2640.3204.40.2580.326
Grass Games20-23-7.621-213.60.2440.3004.40.2490.312
Day Games5-7-4.47-54.00.2710.3136.20.2950.368
PHILADELPHIA - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games3.60.2440.300431408343110350.021431133171927240173722
Home Games4.00.2460.3032269917259200.038257177101262291616
Righty Starters3.50.2410.29933108226180270.02108902521720633133016
PHILADELPHIA - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games4.551.473112.7625711417521076-88466.7%
Home Games5.011.58459.3363366928534-33350%
Starting Pitcher Season to Date Performance
HOMER BAILEY recent results and season statistics
HOMER BAILEY - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts3.511.1492-3851.36.4202045414525-3+1.85-3
Road Starts4.791.2531-3426.36.614142944211-3-2.22-2
Last 3 Starts4.661.2931-1319.36.410102015202-1+12-1
HOMER BAILEY - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
5/14/2013at MIAMI6-2-1657Win,OverW92260010NOLASCO(R)
5/7/2013ATLANTA5-4-1107.5Win,Over 5445047MEDLEN(R)
5/1/2013at ST LOUIS2-4+1057Loss,UnderL5.3449113LYNN(R)

JONATHAN PETTIBONE recent results and season statistics
JONATHAN PETTIBONE - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts3.411.2763-05295.811112948174-1+3.41-4
Home Starts2.450.9272-0318.36.1551532123-0+3.20-3
Last 3 Starts2.891.1782-0318.76.266162672-1+1.20-3
JONATHAN PETTIBONE - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
5/14/2013CLEVELAND6-2+1158.5Win,UnderW6.7224023KAZMIR(L)
5/8/2013at SAN FRANCISCO3-4+1357.5Loss,Under 5.7337141ZITO(L)
5/3/2013MIAMI4-1-1707.5Win,UnderW6.3115103NOLASCO(R)
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
Games over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 12-8 (+3.8 Units) against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
11 of 18 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+3.4 Units)
Games this season
CINCINNATI is 4-1 (+3.1 Units) against PHILADELPHIA this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.7 Units)

All games at PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 6-4 (+1.2 Units) against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
8 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+7.0 Units)
Games played at PHILADELPHIA this season.
CINCINNATI is 1-1 (+0.0 Units) against PHILADELPHIA this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.0 Units)

 Team StatsStarting Pitcher Stats
DateTeamsScoreLineTotalResultHHRSBLOBERRStarterW/LIPERHBB
5/18/2013CINCINNATI10-105  1621120ARROYO(R)W7.7052
 PHILADELPHIA0-1058 unOver60070KENDRICK(R)L6484
5/17/2013CINCINNATI3+110 Over82081CINGRANI(L) 5352
 PHILADELPHIA5-1207 unWin61060LEE(L) 7262
4/17/2013PHILADELPHIA2+125 Over61030LANNAN(L)L1.7681
 CINCINNATI11-1358.5 ovWin152050LEAKE(R)W7030
4/16/2013PHILADELPHIA0+145 Under20011KENDRICK(R) 7022
 CINCINNATI1-1558 unWin40070BAILEY(R) 8020
4/15/2013PHILADELPHIA2-115 Under51021LEE(L) 7251
 CINCINNATI4+1057 ovWin90060ARROYO(R)W8250
Pitcher Versus Team Past History
HOMER BAILEY vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
BAILEY is 0-3 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 4.24 and a WHIP of 1.116.
His team's record is 2-5 (-2.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-3. (+0.8 units)
HOMER BAILEY recent starts vs. PHILADELPHIA
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
4/16/2013PHILADELPHIA1-0-1558Win,Under 80020010KENDRICK(R)
8/21/2012at PHILADELPHIA5-4+1457.5Win,Over 6.3327006LEE(L)
8/29/2011PHILADELPHIA2-3+1308Loss,UnderL8336109HAMELS(L)

JONATHAN PETTIBONE vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
No recent starts.
JONATHAN PETTIBONE recent starts vs. CINCINNATI
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
No recent games found.
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring CINCINNATI in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CINCINNATI games 0% of the time since 1997. (0-1087, -105.3 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CINCINNATI games 47.9% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (149-162, -27.2 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in PHILADELPHIA games 51.4% of the time since 1997. (1117-1056, -37.0 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in PHILADELPHIA games 51.2% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (164-156, -7.8 units)
Edge=PHILADELPHIA
 
The betting public is favoring the UNDER in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CINCINNATI games 52.4% of the time since 1997. (841-765, -29.4 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CINCINNATI games 53.5% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (114-99, +3.2 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in PHILADELPHIA games 50.2% of the time since 1997. (835-828, -112.7 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in PHILADELPHIA games 58.2% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (114-82, +21.8 units)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
CINCINNATI
[LF] 04/03/2013 - Ryan Ludwick 60-day DL (4/2) ( Shoulder )
[P] 05/15/2013 - Johnny Cueto 15-day DL (4/14); expected to start Monday vs New York Mets ( Oblique )
[LF] 04/30/2013 - Chris Heisey 15-day DL (4/28) ( Hamstring )
[P] 04/26/2013 - Manny Parra 15-day DL (4/24) ( Undisclosed )
[P] 04/02/2013 - Nick Masset 60-day DL (3/22) ( Shoulder )
[SS] 05/19/2013 - Zack Cozart has been scratched from todays starting lineup Sunday vs. Philadelphia Phillies ( Illness )
PHILADELPHIA
[P] 04/18/2013 - John Lannan 15-day DL (4/18) ( Knee )
[P] 05/07/2013 - Roy Halladay 15-day DL (5/6) ( Shoulder )
[P] 05/18/2013 - Mike Adams out indefinitely ( Back )
[1B] 05/19/2013 - Ryan Howard is not expected to be in the starting lineup Sunday vs. Cincinnati Reds ( Rest )
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