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Matchup Reports

Sunday at 1:35 PM
TAMPA BAY (22-20) AT BALTIMORE (23-19) 
 Starting Pitchers
TeamsLineW-LOv/Un/PRF/RAStartersRECERAWHIP
919: TAMPA BAY
920: BALTIMORE
8.5
-102
22-20
23-19
25-12-5
23-17-2
4.9 / 4.7
5.0 / 4.6
(L) M MOORE
(R) C TILLMAN
7-0
3-1
2.44
3.40
1.13
1.30
Current Weather Conditions 
Conditions:    Temperature: 71.0 °
Humidity: 76   Wind: 
 
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Line
TeamPitcherEstimateEdge
TAMPA BAYMOORE +121 
BALTIMORETILLMAN-121 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
TAMPA BAY team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in day games6-6-1.471-55+3.6391-447-3.77-555-67366-437
in games played on a grass field8-12-4.685-81+7.2421-632-78.211-577-79505-503
against right-handed starters13-14-4.1136-116-8.5823-974-3517-6102-136802-914
after a win11-10-2112-88+7.2545-587-12.514-588-102508-571
when playing against a team with a winning record13-11+0.3109-102-5.3552-746-4611-1087-111581-662
in all games22-20-2.4204-166+8.31137-1358-67.725-12156-1931126-1261
when the total is 8 to 8.59-6+2.295-66+20.6289-29806-865-88269-301
on the road with a money line of -100 to -1253-1+1.827-25-1.870-83-25.23-027-2372-74
in road games8-12-4.697-87+13.3503-744-78.411-587-85590-599
on the road when the total is 8 to 8.52-3-0.941-35+7127-157+3.30-435-36140-137
in May games10-6+2.238-33-3.3191-243-38.414-237-28199-212
when playing on Sunday4-2+1.238-19+14.9192-204+9.34-229-28180-202
against division opponents9-12-6.292-73+4.9485-574+20.612-670-86486-531

BALTIMORE team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in day games8-7+0.761-51+18.7369-457-62.911-458-49403-397
in games played on a grass field21-18+1.9170-165+30.11059-1240-104.120-17166-1561096-1095
against left-handed starters6-5+154-52+11.6334-442-964-649-54378-366
after allowing 10 runs or more0-1-19-18-8.2103-156-39.11-014-10131-114
after a loss12-6+5.687-93+11.8610-816-132.611-691-79686-664
after 3 or more consecutive losses1-1+0.324-25+4.8175-298-100.22-026-21231-215
when playing against a team with a winning record11-5+6.3101-111+20.7560-832-111.17-998-107670-654
in all games23-19+3.4189-185+36.81213-1438-123.823-17183-1761253-1268
when the total is 8 to 8.512-10+2.178-65+22223-298-49.611-1071-68263-244
at home with a money line of -100 to -1255-2+2.827-23+1.1151-145-13.82-421-27129-154
in home games9-10-3.596-88+8.1639-684-105.99-891-85611-648
at home when the total is 8 to 8.55-5-148-36+12.7124-145-29.73-640-41143-120
in May games7-8-234-37-0.8214-241-25.98-737-32220-215
when playing on Sunday2-4-327-32-1.6169-251-803-332-26210-202
against division opponents9-8+2.182-84+20.8463-638-89.88-777-80519-519
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
TAMPA BAY - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
5/5/2013COBB(R)@ COLORADOCHACIN(R)8-3W1059.5 unO11421081
5/6/2013HELLICKSON(R)TORONTOBUEHRLE(L)7-8L-1357.5 unO116212110
5/7/2013HERNANDEZ(R)TORONTOHAPP(L)4-6L-1358.5 unO10701370
5/8/2013MOORE(L)TORONTOROMERO(L)10-4W-1708 unO13909110
5/9/2013PRICE(L)TORONTODICKEY(R)5-4W-1507.5 unO991870
5/10/2013COBB(R)SAN DIEGOVOLQUEZ(R)6-3W-1758 evO880572
5/11/2013HELLICKSON(R)SAN DIEGOSMITH(R)8-7W-1408 unO1061641
5/12/2013HERNANDEZ(R)SAN DIEGOSTULTS(L)4-2W-1508.5 unU770660
5/14/2013MOORE(L)BOSTONLACKEY(R)5-3W-1307.5 ovO1170350
5/15/2013PRICE(L)BOSTONLESTER(L)2-9L-1257 unO9901040
5/16/2013COBB(R)BOSTONDOUBRONT(L)3-4L-1408 unU7120460
5/17/2013HELLICKSON(R)@ BALTIMOREHAMMEL(R)12-10W1009 unO17801331
5/18/2013HERNANDEZ(R)@ BALTIMOREJURRJENS(R)10-6W-1109 evO116013100
5/19/2013MOORE(L)@ BALTIMORETILLMAN(R) 
5/20/2013ODORIZZI(R)@ TORONTOJENKINS(R) 
5/21/2013COBB(R)@ TORONTOORTIZ(R) 
5/22/2013HELLICKSON(R)@ TORONTOBUEHRLE(L) 
5/24/2013HERNANDEZ(R)NY YANKEESPHELPS(R) 
5/25/2013MOORE(L)NY YANKEESSABATHIA(L) 
5/26/2013 NY YANKEES  

BALTIMORE - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
5/5/2013HAMMEL(R)@ LA ANGELSWILLIAMS(R)8-4W1108 ovO85011112
5/7/2013CHEN(L)KANSAS CITYSANTANA(R)4-3W-1208.5 unU8711051
5/8/2013TILLMAN(R)KANSAS CITYMENDOZA(R)5-3W-1458.5 unU540763
5/9/2013GARCIA(R)KANSAS CITYGUTHRIE(R)2-6L-1158.5 evU870941
5/10/2013HAMMEL(R)@ MINNESOTAPELFREY(R)9-6W-1158.5 ovO181101192
5/11/2013JOHNSON(R)@ MINNESOTAWORLEY(R)5-8L1008.5 unO12801061
5/12/2013CHEN(L)@ MINNESOTADIAMOND(L)6-0W-1058 unU1160881
5/14/2013TILLMAN(R)SAN DIEGOCASHNER(R)2-3L-1458 ovU540871
5/15/2013GARCIA(R)SAN DIEGOMARQUIS(R)4-8L-1559 ovO1110117110
5/17/2013HAMMEL(R)TAMPA BAYHELLICKSON(R)10-12L-1109 unO13311780
5/18/2013JURRJENS(R)TAMPA BAYHERNANDEZ(R)6-10L+1009 evO131001160
5/19/2013TILLMAN(R)TAMPA BAYMOORE(L) 
5/20/2013GARCIA(R)NY YANKEESHUGHES(R) 
5/21/2013GONZALEZ(R)NY YANKEESNUNO(L) 
5/22/2013HAMMEL(R)NY YANKEESKURODA(R) 
5/23/2013JURRJENS(R)@ TORONTOMORROW(R) 
5/24/2013TILLMAN(R)@ TORONTODICKEY(R) 
5/25/2013GARCIA(R)@ TORONTOJENKINS(R) 
5/26/2013 @ TORONTO  
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
TAMPA BAY - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games22-20-2.325-124.90.2620.3324.70.2460.311
Road Games8-12-4.611-55.00.2560.3255.20.2730.335
vs Right-handed Starters13-14-4.117-64.90.2600.3335.20.2560.311
Past 7 Games5-2+2.45-26.30.2990.3795.90.2270.294
Grass Games8-12-4.611-55.00.2560.3255.20.2730.335
Day Games6-6-1.57-54.20.2190.2974.20.2480.320
Division9-12-6.212-64.90.2660.3355.00.2460.310
TAMPA BAY - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.90.2620.332421415371131470.031951482902128333183237
Road Games5.00.2560.3252070318069260.0494721461013913111319
Righty Starters4.90.2600.3332790923682300.031251001881617921132129
TAMPA BAY - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games4.571.347114.3615810214521166-88753.3%
Road Games4.051.46353.3252454324562-43260%

BALTIMORE - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games23-19+3.423-175.00.2670.3264.60.2560.326
Home Games9-10-3.59-85.00.2600.3255.20.2610.338
vs Left-handed Starters6-5+0.94-64.00.2420.3023.70.2280.296
Past 7 Games2-5-4.15-26.00.3170.3616.70.3200.383
Grass Games21-18+1.920-174.90.2640.3244.50.2540.327
Day Games8-7+0.711-45.60.2880.3454.90.2600.330
Division9-8+2.18-74.90.2530.3164.90.2530.324
BALTIMORE - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games5.00.2670.326421460390145520.04203127269312773613449
Home Games5.00.2600.3251964216761210.03916212013125147205
Lefty Starters4.00.2420.302113638832130.0444317436312483
BALTIMORE - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games3.381.243138.3585212015521219-616866.7%
Home Games3.731.30070312963728645-46554.5%
Starting Pitcher Season to Date Performance
MATT MOORE recent results and season statistics
MATT MOORE - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts2.441.1257-08486.0131329725518-0+8.14-3
Road Starts2.741.3043-04235.77716414244-0+4.12-1
Last 3 Starts5.061.6252-03165.39916410133-0+33-0
MATT MOORE - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
5/14/2013BOSTON5-3-1307.5Win,OverW6333128LACKEY(R)
5/8/2013TORONTO10-4-1708Win,OverW5226142ROMERO(L)
5/3/2013at COLORADO7-4-1359Win,Over 5447243FRANCIS(L)

CHRIS TILLMAN recent results and season statistics
CHRIS TILLMAN - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts3.401.3013-1847.76.0181842620375-3+1.82-5
Home Starts4.451.4111-1528.35.7141426614222-3-1.81-3
Last 3 Starts1.710.9052-03217.0441237122-1+0.70-3
CHRIS TILLMAN - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
5/14/2013SAN DIEGO2-3-1458Loss,Under 7114127CASHNER(R)
5/8/2013KANSAS CITY5-3-1458.5Win,UnderW6335232MENDOZA(R)
5/2/2013at LA ANGELS5-1+1109Win,UnderW8003023BLANTON(R)
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
Games over the last 3 seasons
BALTIMORE is 23-21 (+9.3 Units) against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
24 of 40 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+5.4 Units)
Games this season
BALTIMORE is 4-4 (+0.6 Units) against TAMPA BAY this season
6 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+6.2 Units)

All games at BALTIMORE over the last 3 seasons
BALTIMORE is 11-12 (+0.8 Units) against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
11 of 20 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.5 Units)
Games played at BALTIMORE this season.
TAMPA BAY is 3-2 (+0.7 Units) against BALTIMORE this season
3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.0 Units)

 Team StatsStarting Pitcher Stats
DateTeamsScoreLineTotalResultHHRSBLOBERRStarterW/LIPERHBB
5/18/2013TAMPA BAY10-110  112060HERNANDEZ(R) 2580
 BALTIMORE6+1009 evOver1322100JURRJENS(R) 5461
5/17/2013TAMPA BAY12+100  171080HELLICKSON(R)W7.78101
 BALTIMORE10-1109 unOver132031HAMMEL(R)L4.77102
4/18/2013TAMPA BAY6-130 Over114090PRICE(L) 6580
 BALTIMORE10+1207.5 ovWin143131GONZALEZ(R) 5.7482
4/17/2013TAMPA BAY6-120  112170MOORE(L)W6.7253
 BALTIMORE2+1108 ev 51080TILLMAN(R)L5462
4/16/2013TAMPA BAY4+110  63071HERNANDEZ(R)L5.3353
 BALTIMORE5-1209 unWin61160ARRIETA(R)W5135
4/4/2013BALTIMORE6+100  92470GONZALEZ(R)W6.3252
 TAMPA BAY3-1108 evOver70040HERNANDEZ(R)L6.7462
4/3/2013BALTIMORE7+125 Over111050CHEN(L) 5.7270
 TAMPA BAY8-1357 ovWin142030HELLICKSON(R) 6.3581
4/2/2013BALTIMORE7+150  132081HAMMEL(R)W6331
 TAMPA BAY4-1607 unOver61120PRICE(L) 6272
Pitcher Versus Team Past History
MATT MOORE vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
MOORE is 3-2 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 2.05 and a WHIP of 1.595.
His team's record is 3-2 (+0.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-2. (+0.1 units)
MATT MOORE recent starts vs. BALTIMORE
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
4/17/2013at BALTIMORE6-2-1208WinW6.7225137TILLMAN(R)
9/11/2012at BALTIMORE2-9-1258Loss,OverL4324134HAMMEL(R)
8/3/2012BALTIMORE2-0-1708Win,UnderW5.3006036HUNTER(R)

CHRIS TILLMAN vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
TILLMAN is 1-4 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 5.06 and a WHIP of 1.383.
His team's record is 4-4 (+1.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-6. (-5.5 units)
CHRIS TILLMAN recent starts vs. TAMPA BAY
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
4/17/2013TAMPA BAY2-6+1108LossL5446226MOORE(L)
10/3/2012at TAMPA BAY1-4-1157Loss,UnderL5334305HELLICKSON(R)
7/26/2012TAMPA BAY6-2+1059Win,UnderW6225045SHIELDS(R)
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring BALTIMORE in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TAMPA BAY games 0% of the time since 1997. (0-883, 116.5 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TAMPA BAY games 58.1% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (179-129, +25.5 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BALTIMORE games 51.7% of the time since 1997. (1109-1037, -13.0 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BALTIMORE games 50.3% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (160-158, -10.8 units)
Edge=TAMPA BAY
 
The betting public is favoring nothing on the total in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the total in TAMPA BAY games 53.2% of the time since 1997. (790-695, +6.6 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in TAMPA BAY games 53.6% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (103-89, +3.5 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BALTIMORE games 49.6% of the time since 1997. (787-799, -120.6 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BALTIMORE games 51.9% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (107-99, -3.3 units)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
TAMPA BAY
[P] 04/05/2013 - Jeff Niemann 60-day DL (3/28), out for season ( Shoulder )
[P] 04/02/2013 - Juan Oviedo 60-day DL (3/31) ( Elbow )
[P] 05/16/2013 - David Price 15-day DL (5/15) ( Tricep )
[C] 05/18/2013 - Jose Molina left last game, "?" Sunday vs. Baltimore Orioles ( Hamstring )
BALTIMORE
[2B] 04/05/2013 - Brian Roberts 60-day DL (4/5) ( Hamstring )
[C] 04/28/2013 - Taylor Teagarden 15-day DL (4/28) ( Thumb )
[P] 03/31/2013 - Tsuyoshi Wada 60-day DL (3/22) ( Elbow )
[3B] 04/02/2013 - Wilson Betemit 60-day DL (3/26) ( Knee )
[P] 05/09/2013 - Miguel Gonzalez 15-day DL (5/4) ( Thumb )
[P] 05/15/2013 - Wei-Yin Chen 15-day DL (5/13) ( Oblique )
[LF] 05/18/2013 - Nolan Reimold 15-day DL (5/12) ( Hamstring )
[C] 05/19/2013 - Matt Wieters is not expected to be in the starting lineup Sunday vs. Tampa Bay Rays ( Rest )
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