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Matchup Reports

Sunday at 2:10 PM
BOSTON (26-17) AT MINNESOTA (18-21) 
 Starting Pitchers
TeamsLineW-LOv/Un/PRF/RAStartersRECERAWHIP
921: BOSTON
922: MINNESOTA
10.0
+117
26-17
18-21
22-20-1
18-20-1
4.9 / 4.1
4.6 / 4.8
(R) J LACKEY
(L) P HERNANDEZ
1-4
3-0
4.05
6.75
1.46
1.72
Current Weather Conditions 
Conditions: Mostly Cloudy   Temperature: 55.0 °
Humidity: 49   Wind: West at 9.2 MPH (8 KT)
 
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Line
TeamPitcherEstimateEdge
BOSTONLACKEY-121 
MINNESOTAHERNANDEZ +121 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
BOSTON team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in day games9-5+1.562-51-2.4456-377-16.24-1055-55382-407
in games played on a grass field20-14+0.3163-161-49.11319-1034-21.916-17157-1501075-1152
against left-handed starters9-7-0.267-55+0.9415-375-57.68-857-59372-384
after a win16-10+3.3101-80-1.3829-665-30.111-1488-85723-704
after 3 or more consecutive wins7-3+3.135-24+2.9246-204-26.47-326-29220-210
when playing against a team with a losing record18-7+7.687-69-16.6762-512+0.414-1078-71605-600
in all games26-17+4.1187-182-45.31498-1210-52.522-20182-1701258-1314
on the road with a money line of -100 to -1255-1+3.830-19+8.3147-129+1.65-125-20126-126
as a road favorite of -125 to -1502-0+225-17+2.1150-100+11.51-118-22107-134
in road games13-7+793-89-3.2701-650-15.412-883-92612-676
on the road when the total is 10 to 10.50-0010-6+4.4171-150+20.40-06-9147-160
in May games8-9-4.742-33-3.3266-197+22.27-1039-34228-213
when playing on Sunday3-4-3.135-24+6.1241-193+5.83-426-31182-225

MINNESOTA team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
after allowing 10 runs or more0-1-16-17-9.790-125-30.70-113-997-108
after a loss9-11+0.884-133-26.4624-721-69.310-10107-103617-668
after 3 or more consecutive losses1-3-1.828-51-16.9178-203-7.43-146-31187-180
when playing against a team with a winning record10-14+0.467-107-16.2544-668-34.810-1481-84550-604
in all games18-21+2.8147-217-35.61310-1346-23.618-20175-1701191-1331
as a home underdog of +100 to +1255-6-0.225-36-8.1132-158-11.47-432-27133-145
in home games9-12-2.373-111-38.5705-626-17.511-1089-85605-658
at home when the total is 10 to 10.50-001-0+1133-144-23.80-00-0124-138
in May games7-9+0.827-44-7.3223-235+9.99-736-30208-230
when playing on Sunday4-1+4.527-30+4208-214-0.70-425-30161-240
in day games10-7+6.852-80-17.5415-452-31.85-1155-72369-452
in games played on a grass field18-21+2.8144-207-29.5666-775-21.118-20172-160655-714
against right-handed starters15-18+2.4101-160-35943-936+16.913-19128-117842-933
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
BOSTON - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
5/5/2013LESTER(L)@ TEXASDARVISH(R)3-4L1507.5 unU5709100
5/6/2013BUCHHOLZ(R)MINNESOTAWORLEY(R)6-5W-2008.5 ovO177110110
5/7/2013DEMPSTER(R)MINNESOTADIAMOND(L)1-6L-1709 unU433860
5/8/2013WEBSTER(R)MINNESOTAHERNANDEZ(L)8-15L-1709.5 unO12711990
5/9/2013LACKEY(R)MINNESOTACORREIA(R)3-5L-1659.5 unU9102641
5/10/2013LESTER(L)TORONTOORTIZ(R)5-0W-2109.5 ovU1090112
5/11/2013BUCHHOLZ(R)TORONTOBUEHRLE(L)2-3L-1909.5 ovU780851
5/12/2013DEMPSTER(R)TORONTOJENKINS(R)4-12L-2209.5 unO10811220
5/14/2013LACKEY(R)@ TAMPA BAYMOORE(L)3-5L1207.5 ovO3501170
5/15/2013LESTER(L)@ TAMPA BAYPRICE(L)9-2W1157 unO1040990
5/16/2013DOUBRONT(L)@ TAMPA BAYCOBB(R)4-3W1308 unU4607120
5/17/2013BUCHHOLZ(R)@ MINNESOTAWORLEY(R)3-2W-1408.5 unU10110451
5/18/2013DEMPSTER(R)@ MINNESOTADIAMOND(L)12-5W-1209 ovO136012130
5/19/2013LACKEY(R)@ MINNESOTAHERNANDEZ(L) 
5/20/2013LESTER(L)@ CHI WHITE SOXAXELROD(R) 
5/21/2013DOUBRONT(L)@ CHI WHITE SOXQUINTANA(L) 
5/22/2013BUCHHOLZ(R)@ CHI WHITE SOXSALE(L) 
5/23/2013DEMPSTER(R)CLEVELANDMCALLISTER(R) 
5/24/2013LACKEY(R)CLEVELANDMASTERSON(R) 
5/25/2013LESTER(L)CLEVELANDKAZMIR(L) 
5/26/2013 CLEVELAND  

MINNESOTA - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
5/5/2013PELFREY(R)@ CLEVELANDKLUBER(R)4-2W1409 unU660660
5/6/2013WORLEY(R)@ BOSTONBUCHHOLZ(R)5-6L1858.5 ovO101101771
5/7/2013DIAMOND(L)@ BOSTONDEMPSTER(R)6-1W1609 unU860433
5/8/2013HERNANDEZ(L)@ BOSTONWEBSTER(R)15-8W1609.5 unO19901271
5/9/2013CORREIA(R)@ BOSTONLACKEY(R)5-3W1559.5 unU6419102
5/10/2013PELFREY(R)BALTIMOREHAMMEL(R)6-9L+1058.5 ovO119218110
5/11/2013WORLEY(R)BALTIMOREJOHNSON(R)8-5W-1108.5 unO10611280
5/12/2013DIAMOND(L)BALTIMORECHEN(L)0-6L-1058 unU8811160
5/13/2013HERNANDEZ(L)CHI WHITE SOXSANTIAGO(L)10-3W+1008 ovO12701071
5/14/2013CORREIA(R)CHI WHITE SOXPEAVY(R)2-4L+1058.5 ovU6301261
5/15/2013PELFREY(R)CHI WHITE SOXAXELROD(R)4-9L-1359 unO11901490
5/17/2013WORLEY(R)BOSTONBUCHHOLZ(R)2-3L+1308.5 unU45110110
5/18/2013DIAMOND(L)BOSTONDEMPSTER(R)5-12L+1109 ovO121301360
5/19/2013HERNANDEZ(L)BOSTONLACKEY(R) 
5/20/2013CORREIA(R)@ ATLANTATEHERAN(R) 
5/21/2013PELFREY(R)@ ATLANTAHUDSON(R) 
5/22/2013WORLEY(R)@ ATLANTAMAHOLM(L) 
5/23/2013DIAMOND(L)@ DETROITPORCELLO(R) 
5/24/2013HERNANDEZ(L)@ DETROITSANCHEZ(R) 
5/25/2013CORREIA(R)@ DETROITFISTER(R) 
5/26/2013 @ DETROIT  
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
BOSTON - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games26-17+4.122-204.90.2650.3404.10.2390.315
Road Games13-7+712-85.50.2620.3493.50.2520.325
vs Left-handed Starters9-7-0.18-84.70.2580.3344.10.2680.343
Past 7 Games4-3-0.64-35.30.2410.3334.60.2590.336
Grass Games20-14+0.316-174.60.2710.3414.40.2370.315
Day Games9-5+1.64-104.40.2440.3163.10.2210.289
BOSTON - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.90.2650.340431463387153470.032081683522931340233629
Road Games5.50.2620.3492069918368250.0410894175171572051412
Lefty Starters4.70.2580.3341653813955200.04746111671071682010
BOSTON - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games4.071.357126585711616551417-610662.5%
Road Games2.581.21362.7181852624684-26275%

MINNESOTA - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games18-21+2.818-204.60.2490.3204.80.2920.341
Home Games9-12-2.311-104.70.2590.3235.00.3000.349
vs Right-handed Starters15-18+2.313-194.40.2440.3154.40.2900.340
Past 7 Games2-5-3.44-34.40.2600.3256.00.3250.388
Grass Games18-21+2.818-204.60.2490.3204.80.2920.341
Day Games10-7+6.85-113.80.2330.3113.60.2540.305
MINNESOTA - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.60.2490.320391336333113300.021721393201728728194613
Home Games4.70.2590.3232171118461150.0295681451114715132510
Righty Starters4.40.2440.31533113227695260.021391182831524223154211
MINNESOTA - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games3.211.257140565012411521224-59564.3%
Home Games3.451.29575.7352969429641-23260%
Starting Pitcher Season to Date Performance
JOHN LACKEY recent results and season statistics
JOHN LACKEY - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts4.051.4631-4526.75.316123138271-4-3.61-4
Road Starts6.591.8300-3313.74.610102025150-3-31-2
Last 3 Starts4.961.5920-3316.35.41392125150-3-3.61-2
JOHN LACKEY - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
5/14/2013at TAMPA BAY3-5+1207.5Loss,OverL4.3559013MOORE(L)
5/9/2013MINNESOTA3-5-1659.5Loss,UnderL7516118CORREIA(R)
5/4/2013at TEXAS1-5+1209Loss,UnderL5336134OGANDO(R)

PEDRO HERNANDEZ recent results and season statistics
PEDRO HERNANDEZ - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Games5.791.5712-0728-1818355915---
All Starts6.751.7213-0522.74.517173049144-1+4.64-1
Home Starts2.611.1622-0210.35.233110172-0+2.22-0
Last 3 Starts9.952.0542-0312.74.21414213582-1+1.63-0
PEDRO HERNANDEZ - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
5/13/2013CHI WHITE SOX10-3+1008Win,OverW5.3336004SANTIAGO(L)
5/8/2013at BOSTON15-8+1609.5Win,OverW2667212WEBSTER(R)
5/3/2013at CLEVELAND6-7+1358.5Loss,Over 5.3558142MASTERSON(R)
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
Games over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 8-12 (+1.4 Units) against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
10 of 19 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.9 Units)
Games this season
MINNESOTA is 3-3 (+1.8 Units) against BOSTON this season
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.1 Units)

All games at MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 7-1 (+5.2 Units) against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.0 Units)
Games played at MINNESOTA this season.
BOSTON is 2-0 (+2.0 Units) against MINNESOTA this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.0 Units)

 Team StatsStarting Pitcher Stats
DateTeamsScoreLineTotalResultHHRSBLOBERRStarterW/LIPERHBB
5/18/2013BOSTON12-120  133060DEMPSTER(R) 4.7586
 MINNESOTA5+1109 ovOver1202130DIAMOND(L)L4.3683
5/17/2013BOSTON3-140  1001110BUCHHOLZ(R) 7243
 MINNESOTA2+1308.5 unUnder41051WORLEY(R) 6063
5/9/2013MINNESOTA5+155  61141CORREIA(R)W5.3390
 BOSTON3-1659.5 unUnder900102LACKEY(R)L7161
5/8/2013MINNESOTA15+160  192090HERNANDEZ(L)W2671
 BOSTON8-1709.5 unOver122071WEBSTER(R)L1.7863
5/7/2013MINNESOTA6+160  81060DIAMOND(L)W7030
 BOSTON1-1709 unUnder41033DEMPSTER(R)L7251
5/6/2013MINNESOTA5+185 Over1010110WORLEY(R) 5390
 BOSTON6-2008.5 ovWin173071BUCHHOLZ(R) 6472
Pitcher Versus Team Past History
JOHN LACKEY vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
LACKEY is 8-6 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 3.32 and a WHIP of 1.183.
His team's record is 9-8 (-2.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 8-8. (-1.0 units)
JOHN LACKEY recent starts vs. MINNESOTA
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
5/9/2013MINNESOTA3-5-1659.5Loss,UnderL7516118CORREIA(R)
4/14/2010at MINNESOTA6-3-1159WinW6.7227042SLOWEY(R)
7/24/2009MINNESOTA6-3-1458.5Win,OverW7.7224223LIRIANO(L)

PEDRO HERNANDEZ vs. BOSTON since 1997
HERNANDEZ is 1-1 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 21.00 and a WHIP of 3.500.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.1 units)
PEDRO HERNANDEZ recent starts vs. BOSTON
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
5/8/2013at BOSTON15-8+1609.5Win,OverW2667212WEBSTER(R)
7/18/2012at BOSTON1-10+14511LossL48812312DOUBRONT(L)
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring BOSTON in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BOSTON games 0% of the time since 1997. (0-1071, -134.5 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BOSTON games 55.7% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (171-136, +14.6 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MINNESOTA games 49.2% of the time since 1997. (1035-1070, -171.4 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MINNESOTA games 53% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (161-143, +1.2 units)
Edge=MINNESOTA
 
The betting public is favoring the OVER in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BOSTON games 51.9% of the time since 1997. (896-832, -54.2 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BOSTON games 57.6% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (121-89, +20.4 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MINNESOTA games 50.6% of the time since 1997. (823-804, -89.7 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MINNESOTA games 41.9% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (80-111, -42.7 units)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
BOSTON
[P] 04/01/2013 - Franklin Morales 15-day DL (3/22) ( Back )
[LF] 03/31/2013 - Ryan Kalish 60-day DL (2/20) ( Knee )
[P] 05/09/2013 - Joel Hanrahan 60-day DL (5/9), out for season ( Elbow )
[P] 05/07/2013 - Andrew Bailey 15-day DL (4/29) ( Bicep )
[C] 05/12/2013 - David Ross 7-day DL (5/12) ( Concussion )
[RF] 05/19/2013 - Shane Victorino is upgraded to expected to be in the starting lineup Sunday vs. Minnesota Twins ( Back )
[SS] 05/19/2013 - Stephen Drew is downgraded to not expected to be in the starting lineup Sunday vs. Minnesota Twins ( Back )
MINNESOTA
[RF] 04/17/2013 - Darin Mastroianni 15-day DL (4/16) ( Ankle )
[P] 03/31/2013 - Tim Wood 15-day DL (3/24) ( Shoulder )
[LF] 05/19/2013 - Josh Willingham is not expected to be in the starting lineup Sunday vs. Boston Red Sox ( Rest )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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