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Matchup Reports

Tuesday at 7:10 PM
BOSTON (87-58) AT TAMPA BAY (78-64) 
 Starting Pitchers
TeamsLineW-LOv/Un/PRF/RAStartersRECERAWHIP
921: BOSTON
922: TAMPA BAY
7.0
-145
87-58
78-64
65-73-7
65-69-8
5.2 / 4.1
4.3 / 4.0
(R) C BUCHHOLZ
(L) D PRICE
9-0
8-7
1.71
3.51
1.02
1.12
Current Weather Conditions 
Dome Stadium 
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Line
TeamPitcherEstimateEdge
BOSTONBUCHHOLZ +107 
TAMPA BAYPRICE-107 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
BOSTON team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games87-58+16.5248-223-32.91559-1251-40.165-73225-2231301-1367
when the total is 7 or less3-2+0.79-11-2.532-27-10.92-27-821-30
as a road underdog of +125 to +1507-3+617-13+9.2101-108+26.54-616-1486-114
in road games40-33+6.1120-115-4.1728-676-16.334-36105-120634-704
on the road when the total is 7 or less3-2+0.77-11-4.524-21-4.22-26-816-24
in September games6-2+3.620-41-29.5226-215-52.45-332-25198-224
when playing on Tuesday13-8+3.236-35-8.1248-169+29.710-1030-38189-209
when playing with a day off11-6+3.824-26-7.3206-141+219-824-25155-171
against division opponents35-26+4.399-106-28.8629-536-46.823-3796-103558-556
in games played in a dome4-2+2.913-11+4.3101-99-17.84-213-1195-99
in night games61-44+8.9169-163-36.61073-853-29.252-47161-152901-929
in games played on artificial turf9-6+3.627-24+3.6182-179-30.88-727-24185-166
against left-handed starters31-19+7.889-67+8.8437-387-49.720-2769-78384-403
after a loss38-19+16.3114-112-26.4693-554-7.325-28107-106545-629
when playing against a team with a winning record39-35-0.5124-124-14.3677-660-59.431-41114-123601-675
when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season19-17-1.552-73-25.9347-374-61.412-2456-66322-369

TAMPA BAY team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games78-64-3.3260-210+7.41193-1402-68.665-69196-2501166-1318
when the total is 7 or less10-12-6.438-38-1345-50-19.312-836-3342-46
as a home favorite of -125 to -15014-11-1.244-33-2.2122-90-0.912-1227-4581-120
in home games44-26+4.4137-97-2.8663-631+11.632-3587-136552-690
at home when the total is 7 or less9-6-0.627-21-5.930-26-8.97-720-2322-29
in September games3-5-3.738-25+6.1171-234-26.25-328-31190-198
when playing on Tuesday10-13-633-41-17.4166-228-3811-926-43178-196
when playing with a day off4-10-8.119-25-9.4108-156-27.710-420-24124-130
against division opponents34-29-1.5117-90+9.5510-591+25.326-3484-114500-559
in games played in a dome44-26+4.4137-97-2.8681-667+1.732-3587-136575-713
in night games53-41-0.4170-138+5.2778-935-67.947-40130-159785-853
in games played on artificial turf48-28+6.6153-105+5.4750-746+14.934-3999-146641-790
against right-handed starters51-42-1.6174-144-6861-1002-32.545-43130-173830-951
after a win46-31+4147-109+13.2580-608-6.530-42104-139524-608
when playing against a team with a winning record38-38-5.8134-129-11.4577-773-5231-42107-143601-694
when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season10-14-6.968-60+1.5314-426-16.89-1550-75328-386
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
BOSTON - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
8/27/2013DOUBRONT(L)BALTIMORECHEN(L)13-2W-1209 unO1450440
8/28/2013LACKEY(R)BALTIMORENORRIS(R)4-3W-1809.5 unU990740
8/29/2013LESTER(L)BALTIMORETILLMAN(R)2-3L-1458.5 unU8507100
8/30/2013DEMPSTER(R)CHI WHITE SOXSANTIAGO(L)4-3W-1709 ovU6100650
8/31/2013PEAVY(R)CHI WHITE SOXDANKS(L)7-2W-2159 unP15110551
9/1/2013DOUBRONT(L)CHI WHITE SOXRIENZO(R)7-6W-2359.5 evO8801171
9/2/2013LACKEY(R)DETROITFISTER(R)0-3L-1459 evU681850
9/3/2013LESTER(L)DETROITSCHERZER(R)2-1W-1108.5 unU681980
9/4/2013DEMPSTER(R)DETROITPORCELLO(R)20-4W-1209.5 unO1940861
9/5/2013PEAVY(R)@ NY YANKEESNOVA(R)9-8W-1058 unO161101061
9/6/2013DOUBRONT(L)@ NY YANKEESPETTITTE(L)12-8W-1109 unO15100750
9/7/2013LACKEY(R)@ NY YANKEESHUFF(L)13-9W-1159 unO14401290
9/8/2013LESTER(L)@ NY YANKEESKURODA(R)3-4L1008.5 ovU9801180
9/10/2013BUCHHOLZ(R)@ TAMPA BAYPRICE(L) 
9/11/2013DEMPSTER(R)@ TAMPA BAYCOBB(R) 
9/12/2013PEAVY(R)@ TAMPA BAYHELLICKSON(R) 
9/13/2013LACKEY(R)NY YANKEESKURODA(R) 
9/14/2013LESTER(L)NY YANKEESSABATHIA(L) 
9/15/2013BUCHHOLZ(R)NY YANKEESNOVA(R) 
9/17/2013 BALTIMORE  

TAMPA BAY - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
8/27/2013HERNANDEZ(R)LA ANGELSWILSON(L)5-6L-1307.5 unO101211080
8/28/2013ARCHER(R)LA ANGELSRICHARDS(R)4-1W-1707.5 evU871531
8/29/2013ODORIZZI(R)LA ANGELSVARGAS(L)0-2L-1758.5 unU380651
8/30/2013PRICE(L)@ OAKLANDPARKER(R)3-4L-1106.5 ovO881740
8/31/2013COBB(R)@ OAKLANDGRAY(R)1-2L1007 ovU790540
9/1/2013WRIGHT(R)@ OAKLANDGRIFFIN(R)1-5L1208 unU752970
9/2/2013ARCHER(R)@ LA ANGELSRICHARDS(R)2-11L-1358 evO612016111
9/3/2013MOORE(L)@ LA ANGELSVARGAS(L)7-1W-1307.5 ovO15131471
9/4/2013HELLICKSON(R)@ LA ANGELSWEAVER(R)3-1W1157.5 ovU760771
9/5/2013PRICE(L)@ LA ANGELSWILLIAMS(R)2-6L-1807.5 ovO6701140
9/6/2013COBB(R)@ SEATTLEIWAKUMA(R)4-6L-1257 unO12121841
9/7/2013ARCHER(R)@ SEATTLEPAXTON(L)2-6L-1457.5 ovO5711171
9/8/2013MOORE(L)@ SEATTLERAMIREZ(L)4-1W-1407.5 unU10110581
9/10/2013PRICE(L)BOSTONBUCHHOLZ(R) 
9/11/2013COBB(R)BOSTONDEMPSTER(R) 
9/12/2013HELLICKSON(R)BOSTONPEAVY(R) 
9/13/2013ARCHER(R)@ MINNESOTACORREIA(R) 
9/14/2013MOORE(L)@ MINNESOTAALBERS(L) 
9/15/2013PRICE(L)@ MINNESOTAHERNANDEZ(L) 
9/16/2013COBB(R)TEXASGARZA(R) 
9/17/2013 TEXAS  
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
BOSTON - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games87-58+16.565-735.20.2770.3454.10.2510.315
Road Games40-33+6.134-365.20.2670.3374.10.2520.319
vs Left-handed Starters31-19+7.820-275.10.2730.3413.70.2490.315
Past 7 Games5-2+2.64-38.40.3240.3885.30.2620.322
Dome Games4-2+2.94-25.20.2120.2994.50.2700.357
Night Games61-44+8.952-475.30.2780.3464.30.2520.318
Division35-26+4.323-374.70.2610.3253.90.2450.310
BOSTON - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games5.20.2770.345145506114005121580.037285261166111109913774126126
Road Games5.20.2670.337732619699236830.033632786096357273336554
Lefty Starters5.10.2730.341501713468176590.032461753812635643254747
BOSTON - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games3.641.309422.41821713994515442628-18302060%
Road Games3.531.2762148884194237922513-11151060%

TAMPA BAY - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games78-64-3.365-694.30.2590.3304.00.2430.303
Home Games44-26+4.432-354.40.2600.3343.70.2310.285
vs Right-handed Starters51-42-1.645-434.20.2580.3294.30.2480.303
Past 7 Games3-4-2.75-23.40.2540.3614.60.2730.340
Dome Games44-26+4.432-354.40.2600.3343.70.2310.285
Night Games53-41-0.447-404.60.2730.3434.10.2420.301
Division34-29-1.526-344.50.2640.3274.00.2340.299
TAMPA BAY - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.30.2590.330142481112474121470.03585512100969102613554130103
Home Games4.40.2600.334702315601197730.032952584863650359196945
Righty Starters4.20.2580.3299331538142711000.033763326544765992388273
TAMPA BAY - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games3.711.222417.31821723463616443621-21371571.2%
Home Games2.941.022211.47269154176222515-817868%
Starting Pitcher Season to Date Performance
CLAY BUCHHOLZ recent results and season statistics
CLAY BUCHHOLZ - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts1.711.0209-01284.37.01616572298111-1+9.34-6
Road Starts1.090.9394-05336.64419212295-0+5.22-2
Last 3 Starts1.450.9643-0318.76.2331305123-0+3.11-1
CLAY BUCHHOLZ - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
6/8/2013LA ANGELS7-2-1608.5Win,OverW6.7226014WILSON(L)
6/2/2013at NY YANKEES3-0+1107.5Win,UnderW5002014KURODA(R)
5/22/2013at CHI WHITE SOX6-2-1408WinW7115034SANTIAGO(L)

DAVID PRICE recent results and season statistics
DAVID PRICE - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts3.511.1178-722151.36.96859147152212211-11-6.712-8
Home Starts3.761.1112-41069.36.931296849465-5-4.85-4
Last 3 Starts4.951.2501-23206.712112213161-2-1.92-1
DAVID PRICE - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
9/5/2013at LA ANGELS2-6-1807.5Loss,OverL76611016WILLIAMS(R)
8/30/2013at OAKLAND3-4-1106.5Loss,OverL7436115PARKER(R)
8/24/2013NY YANKEES4-2-1757Win,UnderW6225015SABATHIA(L)
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
Games over the last 3 seasons
TAMPA BAY is 27-25 (+0.9 Units) against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
32 of 52 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+9.2 Units)
Games this season
BOSTON is 10-6 (+4.6 Units) against TAMPA BAY this season
12 of 16 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+7.6 Units)

All games at TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 13-11 (+4.3 Units) against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
13 of 24 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.7 Units)
Games played at TAMPA BAY this season.
BOSTON is 4-2 (+2.9 Units) against TAMPA BAY this season
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.0 Units)

 Team StatsStarting Pitcher Stats
DateTeamsScoreLineTotalResultHHRSBLOBERRStarterW/LIPERHBB
7/29/2013TAMPA BAY2-110  901100PRICE(L)W7.3120
 BOSTON1+1008 evUnder51140DOUBRONT(L)L5283
7/24/2013TAMPA BAY5-110  110380PRICE(L)W9150
 BOSTON1+1008.5 unUnder51031DOUBRONT(L)L6.7362
7/23/2013TAMPA BAY2+130 Under72051HERNANDEZ(R)L5371
 BOSTON6-1409.5 evWin120370LESTER(L)W6.3270
7/22/2013TAMPA BAY3-125  80280MOORE(L)W9021
 BOSTON0+1159 unUnder20020WORKMAN(R)L6272
Pitcher Versus Team Past History
CLAY BUCHHOLZ vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
BUCHHOLZ is 6-5 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 2.53 and a WHIP of 1.094.
His team's record is 7-8 (-0.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-9. (-4.4 units)
CLAY BUCHHOLZ recent starts vs. TAMPA BAY
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
4/14/2013TAMPA BAY5-0-1358.5Win,UnderW80020411COBB(R)
9/25/2012TAMPA BAY2-5+1508Loss,UnderL6548125PRICE(L)
9/20/2012at TAMPA BAY4-7+1957Loss,Over 7004024PRICE(L)

DAVID PRICE vs. BOSTON since 1997
PRICE is 10-5 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 2.98 and a WHIP of 1.124.
His team's record is 12-7 (+4.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 9-9. (-0.5 units)
DAVID PRICE recent starts vs. BOSTON
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
7/29/2013at BOSTON2-1-1108Win,UnderW7.3112108DOUBRONT(L)
7/24/2013at BOSTON5-1-1108.5Win,UnderW9115104DOUBRONT(L)
5/15/2013BOSTON2-9-1257Loss,OverL2.3445011LESTER(L)
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring Nobody in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BOSTON games 0% of the time since 1997. (0-1117, -144.0 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BOSTON games 53.9% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (213-182, +5.0 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TAMPA BAY games 55.5% of the time since 1997. (1152-924, +118.0 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TAMPA BAY games 57.2% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (227-170, +27.1 units)
No Edge.
 
The betting public is favoring nothing on the total in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BOSTON games 51.9% of the time since 1997. (943-874, -53.6 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BOSTON games 56.2% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (168-131, +20.9 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in TAMPA BAY games 53% of the time since 1997. (835-740, +0.2 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in TAMPA BAY games 52.5% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (148-134, -2.8 units)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
BOSTON
[CF] 09/07/2013 - Jacoby Ellsbury out indefinitely ( Foot )
[3B] 08/10/2013 - Brandon Snyder 15-day DL (8/8) ( Elbow )
[P] 07/19/2013 - Andrew Bailey 15-day DL (7/13) ( Shoulder )
[P] 07/10/2013 - Alex Wilson 60-day DL (7/9) ( Thumb )
[P] 07/07/2013 - Andrew Miller 60-day DL (7/7) ( Foot )
[P] 06/12/2013 - Clay Buchholz 15-day DL (6/9), expected to be activated & start Tuesday vs. Tampa Bay Rays ( Neck )
[P] 05/09/2013 - Joel Hanrahan 60-day DL (5/9), out for season ( Elbow )
[LF] 03/31/2013 - Ryan Kalish 60-day DL (2/20) ( Knee )
TAMPA BAY
[P] 08/17/2013 - Jesse Crain 60-day DL (6/30) ( Shoulder )
[OF] 08/03/2013 - Brandon Guyer 15-day DL (8/4) ( Finger )
[P] 04/05/2013 - Jeff Niemann 60-day DL (3/28), out for season ( Shoulder )
[P] 04/02/2013 - Juan Oviedo 60-day DL (3/31) ( Elbow )
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