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Matchup Reports

Saturday at 1:05 PM
ATLANTA (15-7) AT DETROIT (11-10) 
 Starting Pitchers
TeamsLineW-LOv/Un/PRF/RAStartersRECERAWHIP
929: ATLANTA
930: DETROIT
8.0
-106
15-7
11-10
11-11-0
14-6-1
4.4 / 3.0
4.8 / 4.1
(R) K MEDLEN
(R) R PORCELLO
1-2
0-2
2.16
13.09
1.16
2.36
Current Weather Conditions 
Conditions: Light Rain   Temperature: 43.0 °
Humidity: 74   Wind: Southwest at 6.9 MPH (6 KT)
 
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Line
TeamPitcherEstimateEdge
ATLANTAMEDLEN-316
DETROITPORCELLO +316 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
ATLANTA team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games15-7+7198-149+19.21520-1160-18.811-11154-1771258-1287
when the total is 8 to 8.52-0+2.255-54-11.3581-436-16.52-040-66488-496
on the road with a money line of -100 to -1252-2-0.434-38-9.6180-169-132-227-42146-189
in road games9-5+3.897-79+16.8719-620+10.67-781-88632-649
on the road when the total is 8 to 8.52-0+2.222-25-4249-223-13.12-019-27234-227
in April games15-7+741-31+3.2233-178+10.211-1137-32182-203
when playing on Saturday2-1+1.231-25+1.6253-181+16.81-225-28210-200
in an inter-league game1-2-1.619-17+2138-128-11.52-115-21124-133
in day games4-3+0.363-42+16.8482-342+40.42-550-52414-379
in games played on a grass field15-7+7196-148+17.71394-1083-43.311-11153-1751161-1193
against right-handed starters9-4+4.4139-92+25.91114-833-18.77-6104-116904-938
after allowing 10 runs or more0-005-6-1.684-68-10.30-03-870-75
after getting shut out2-1+0.713-13-0.975-59-11-214-1067-63
after a loss4-3+0.280-68+0.3669-483+38.53-467-72560-539
when playing against a team with a winning record7-3+3.677-65+8.2688-580+12.85-567-69612-582

DETROIT team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games11-10-3207-164+2.71240-1414-145.814-6179-1681232-1294
when the total is 8 to 8.55-4-0.262-54-4.8252-310-56.67-255-56276-273
as a home underdog of +100 to +1250-0010-9+1.5132-135+10.20-011-6109-143
in home games6-3+1113-70+11677-646-53.88-093-79617-639
at home when the total is 8 to 8.54-0+433-25-1.3137-160-40.34-028-28151-140
in April games11-10-334-35-9.6178-226-44.614-638-28194-189
when playing on Saturday2-1+132-29-4.6209-226-15.13-027-31193-228
in an inter-league game1-0+119-22-9.3154-139+15.71-020-19139-144
in day games7-8-4.688-59+12.5443-499-62.510-467-73430-467
in games played on a grass field11-10-3197-159-3.21138-1256-109.114-6175-1581114-1163
against right-handed starters9-7-0.7143-107+11.4871-1026-137.511-5119-114882-919
after shutting out their opponent0-0017-7+6.862-52+3.90-014-858-49
after a win4-6-5.4111-96-10.3601-630-44.95-4105-90575-599
when playing against a team with a winning record4-2+1.1101-83+7.4575-755-80.95-179-91598-668
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
ATLANTA - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
4/13/2013HUDSON(R)@ WASHINGTONSTRASBURG(R)3-1W1507 unU891411
4/14/2013MAHOLM(L)@ WASHINGTONGONZALEZ(L)9-0W1307 unO1290472
4/16/2013MEDLEN(R)KANSAS CITYGUTHRIE(R)6-3W-1757 unO953981
4/17/2013MINOR(L)KANSAS CITYDAVIS(R)0-1L-1657.5 unU650851
4/18/2013TEHERAN(R)@ PITTSBURGHLOCKE(L)6-4W-1108.5 ovO10100771
4/19/2013HUDSON(R)@ PITTSBURGHRODRIGUEZ(L)0-6L-1157 ovU200980
4/20/2013MAHOLM(L)@ PITTSBURGHMCDONALD(R)1-3L-1307.5 unU480760
4/21/2013MEDLEN(R)@ PITTSBURGHSANCHEZ(L)2-4L-1607 ovU81011090
4/23/2013MINOR(L)@ COLORADOFRANCIS(L)4-3W-1209.5 unU970640
4/23/2013TEHERAN(R)@ COLORADOGARLAND(R)10-2W1109.5 unO14711290
4/24/2013HUDSON(R)@ COLORADOCHATWOOD(R)5-6L-1259.5 unO106015122
4/26/2013MAHOLM(L)@ DETROITSANCHEZ(R)0-10L1307.5 ovO55215100
4/27/2013MEDLEN(R)@ DETROITPORCELLO(R) 
4/28/2013MINOR(L)@ DETROITFISTER(R) 
4/29/2013TEHERAN(R)WASHINGTONSTRASBURG(R) 
4/30/2013HUDSON(R)WASHINGTONGONZALEZ(L) 
5/1/2013MAHOLM(L)WASHINGTONZIMMERMANN(R) 
5/2/2013MEDLEN(R)WASHINGTONHAREN(R) 
5/3/2013 NY METS  
5/4/2013 NY METS  

DETROIT - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
4/13/2013VERLANDER(R)@ OAKLANDANDERSON(L)7-3W-1307 unO10607100
4/14/2013SANCHEZ(R)@ OAKLANDPARKER(R)10-1W-1308 ovO14110361
4/16/2013FISTER(R)@ SEATTLEHARANG(R)6-2W-1607.5 unO12100430
4/17/2013SCHERZER(R)@ SEATTLEHERNANDEZ(R)2-1W-1156.5 evU811011101
4/18/2013VERLANDER(R)@ SEATTLEIWAKUMA(R)0-2L-1606.5 unU550960
4/19/2013SANCHEZ(R)@ LA ANGELSHANSON(R)1-8L-1208.5 unO101211680
4/20/2013PORCELLO(R)@ LA ANGELSRICHARDS(R)0-10L1009 ovO4501440
4/21/2013FISTER(R)@ LA ANGELSWILSON(L)3-4L1058 evU101337100
4/24/2013SCHERZER(R)KANSAS CITYDAVIS(R)7-5W-1807.5 unO9100871
4/25/2013VERLANDER(R)KANSAS CITYSHIELDS(R)3-8L-1757 unO53114100
4/26/2013SANCHEZ(R)ATLANTAMAHOLM(L)10-0W-1407.5 ovO15100552
4/27/2013PORCELLO(R)ATLANTAMEDLEN(R) 
4/28/2013FISTER(R)ATLANTAMINOR(L) 
4/29/2013SCHERZER(R)MINNESOTAPELFREY(R) 
4/30/2013VERLANDER(R)MINNESOTAWORLEY(R) 
5/1/2013SANCHEZ(R)MINNESOTADIAMOND(L) 
5/2/2013PORCELLO(R)@ HOUSTONPEACOCK(R) 
5/3/2013 @ HOUSTON  
5/4/2013 @ HOUSTON  
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
ATLANTA - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games15-7+711-114.40.2470.3173.00.2380.292
Road Games9-5+3.87-74.20.2520.3273.20.2370.300
vs Right-handed Starters9-4+4.47-64.50.2540.3192.70.2470.289
Past 7 Games2-5-4.23-43.10.2230.2964.90.3000.359
Grass Games15-7+711-114.40.2470.3173.00.2380.292
Day Games4-3+0.32-54.00.2450.3212.30.2190.257
Interleague1-2-1.62-12.00.2080.2324.70.2960.333
ATLANTA - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.40.2470.3172273818271350.0592762031214922152215
Road Games4.20.2520.3271448412244190.0457541236103179159
Righty Starters4.50.2540.3191344111240200.05574212811911111156
ATLANTA - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games1.761.10166.3131353120505-18188.9%
Road Games1.741.13741.38831116292-16185.7%

DETROIT - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games11-10-314-64.80.2750.3434.10.2480.314
Home Games6-3+18-06.70.3280.4044.30.2600.324
vs Right-handed Starters9-7-0.711-54.60.2740.3404.10.2500.315
Past 7 Games2-5-4.65-23.40.2360.3215.30.2930.343
Grass Games11-10-314-64.80.2750.3434.10.2480.314
Day Games7-8-4.610-44.70.2750.3404.50.2530.326
Interleague1-0+11-010.00.3950.4770.00.1610.187
DETROIT - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.80.2750.3432177821452130.02988114891852061715
Home Games6.70.3280.40493201052360.025941502828197
Righty Starters4.60.2740.340165831604080.01725811681361731210
DETROIT - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games4.791.38967.7363657437811-54450%
Home Games5.471.54024.7151522216220-22250%
Starting Pitcher Season to Date Performance
KRIS MEDLEN recent results and season statistics
KRIS MEDLEN - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts2.161.1601-24256.2862217152-2-0.81-3
Road Starts2.081.0001-12136.543100371-1-0.60-2
Last 3 Starts1.800.9501-13206.7641613122-1+0.41-2
KRIS MEDLEN - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
4/21/2013at PITTSBURGH2-4-1607Loss,UnderL6337016SANCHEZ(L)
4/16/2013KANSAS CITY6-3-1757Win,Over 7216105GUTHRIE(R)
4/9/2013at MIAMI3-2-1557Win,UnderW7103021LEBLANC(L)

RICK PORCELLO recent results and season statistics
RICK PORCELLO - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Games11.082.0000-2413-161623333---
All Starts13.092.3640-23113.71616233330-3-3.83-0
Home Starts7.201.6000-0155.04480010-1-1.41-0
Last 3 Starts13.092.3640-23113.71616233330-3-3.83-0
RICK PORCELLO - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
4/20/2013at LA ANGELS0-10+1009Loss,OverL0.7999110RICHARDS(R)
4/10/2013TORONTO6-8-1359Loss,Over 5448001BUEHRLE(L)
4/4/2013at MINNESOTA2-8-1458.5Loss,OverL5.3336222PELFREY(R)
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
Games over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.0 Units)
Games this season
DETROIT is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against ATLANTA this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

All games at DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.0 Units)
Games played at DETROIT this season.
DETROIT is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against ATLANTA this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

 Team StatsStarting Pitcher Stats
DateTeamsScoreLineTotalResultHHRSBLOBERRStarterW/LIPERHBB
4/26/2013ATLANTA0+130 Over50052MAHOLM(L)L3.78103
 DETROIT10-1407.5 ovWin1510100SANCHEZ(R)W8051
Pitcher Versus Team Past History
KRIS MEDLEN vs. DETROIT since 1997
MEDLEN is 1-0 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 1.35 and a WHIP of 1.049.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.0 units)
KRIS MEDLEN recent starts vs. DETROIT
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
6/25/2010DETROIT3-1-1559Win,UnderW6.7116015OLIVER(L)

RICK PORCELLO vs. ATLANTA since 1997
No recent starts.
RICK PORCELLO recent starts vs. ATLANTA
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
No recent games found.
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring DETROIT in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ATLANTA games 0% of the time since 1997. (0-1030, 3.8 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ATLANTA games 56.2% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (164-128, +24.6 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in DETROIT games 52.2% of the time since 1997. (1096-1004, +3.1 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in DETROIT games 55.7% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (166-132, +22.5 units)
Edge=ATLANTA
 
The betting public is favoring the OVER in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the total in ATLANTA games 49.9% of the time since 1997. (827-830, -112.9 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in ATLANTA games 51.8% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (85-79, -2.8 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in DETROIT games 50.3% of the time since 1997. (818-809, -103.4 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in DETROIT games 45.7% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (85-101, -28.4 units)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
ATLANTA
[P] 03/31/2013 - Brandon Beachy 15-day DL (3/22) ( Elbow )
[C] 03/31/2013 - Brian McCann 15-day DL (3/22) ( Shoulder )
[SS] 03/31/2013 - Paul Janish 15-day DL (3/22) ( Shoulder )
[P] 04/02/2013 - Jonny Venters 15-day DL (3/27) ( Elbow )
[P] 04/16/2013 - Luis Avilan out indefinitely ( Hamstring )
[RF] 04/23/2013 - Jason Heyward 15-day DL (4/21) ( Appendix )
DETROIT
[RF] 03/31/2013 - Avisail Garcia 15-day DL (3/22) ( Heel )
[P] 04/23/2013 - Octavio Dotel 15-day DL (4/20) ( Elbow )
[P] 04/25/2013 - Justin Verlander is upgraded to probable for next start Tuesday vs Minnesota Twins ( Thumb )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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