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Matchup Reports

Sunday at 1:35 PM
HOUSTON (12-31) AT PITTSBURGH (25-18) 
 Starting Pitchers
TeamsLineW-LOv/Un/PRF/RAStartersRECERAWHIP
929: HOUSTON
930: PITTSBURGH
8.5
-170
12-31
25-18
27-14-2
20-22-1
4.0 / 6.0
4.1 / 3.7
(R) L HARRELL
(L) J LOCKE
3-4
3-1
5.11
3.15
1.78
1.23
Current Weather Conditions 
Conditions: Partly Cloudy   Temperature: 57.0 °
Humidity: 30   Wind: Southwest at 11.5 MPH (10 KT)
 
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Line
TeamPitcherEstimateEdge
HOUSTONHARRELL +110
PITTSBURGHLOCKE-110 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
HOUSTON team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in an inter-league game1-1+1.311-21-5.4114-137-28.31-115-14115-127
in day games2-8-4.330-77-35.8398-422-596-353-45356-426
in games played on a grass field12-31-11.6122-243-77.71109-1193-135.727-14193-1581089-1126
against left-handed starters4-7-0.841-61-6.5340-331-16.19-257-43304-335
after a win4-7-1.343-79-23.8679-649-51.77-364-53647-637
when playing against a team with a winning record3-21-13.855-133-49.1555-690-79.117-699-81598-603
in all games12-31-11.6124-244-75.71330-1345-114.127-14194-1601267-1307
when the total is 8 to 8.54-19-13.655-115-45.6479-464-34.516-793-73471-448
as a road underdog of +150 to +1751-5-3.48-33-20.454-110-23.35-125-1579-82
in road games6-15-351-133-51.1598-739-90.813-795-81657-637
on the road when the total is 8 to 8.51-9-7.214-49-25.5204-240-25.67-338-24236-198
in May games4-12-4.128-44-5.9210-258-62.111-537-34209-246
when playing on Sunday1-6-4.615-44-22.1229-196+194-230-23197-204

PITTSBURGH team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
when playing on Sunday4-2+4.725-33-3.9167-252-57.24-231-24207-197
in an inter-league game2-2-1.620-17+4.293-140-37.51-315-22113-113
in day games8-7+463-64+10.2351-502-74.910-564-57413-402
in games played on a grass field25-18+9.6174-190+4.5925-1256-118.620-22166-1811005-1063
against right-handed starters20-12+11.2126-144+2.2846-1107-84.615-16124-132934-915
after a loss11-6+6.396-93+18.1632-846-71.87-1085-98695-707
when playing against a team with a losing record12-6+6.488-92-9.8525-631-84.36-1181-91552-548
in all games25-18+9.6176-191+6.11140-1489-124.120-22167-1831235-1262
when the total is 8 to 8.56-6+0.575-82+0.5447-579-37.56-574-77487-505
as a home favorite of -150 to -1750-1-1.54-6-5.432-37-26.40-14-629-37
in home games14-9+3.995-90-0.6647-667+7.97-1577-102618-632
at home when the total is 8 to 8.54-1+343-35+5.8275-287+7.72-237-39276-270
in May games10-6+3.338-32+9.2217-248+16.86-927-38216-222
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
HOUSTON - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
5/5/2013HUMBER(R)DETROITVERLANDER(R)0-9L+2458 unO4601381
5/7/2013LYLES(R)LA ANGELSWILSON(L)7-6W+1559 ovO730853
5/8/2013NORRIS(R)LA ANGELSBLANTON(R)3-1W+1309.5 unU960950
5/9/2013HARRELL(R)LA ANGELSVARGAS(L)5-6L+1409 unO13738160
5/10/2013KEUCHEL(L)TEXASOGANDO(R)2-4L+1909 evU580971
5/11/2013BEDARD(L)TEXASDARVISH(R)7-8L+2358 ovO7401152
5/12/2013LYLES(R)TEXASTEPESCH(R)7-12L+1309 unO9511781
5/13/2013NORRIS(R)@ DETROITSANCHEZ(R)2-7L2558 unO760920
5/14/2013HARRELL(R)@ DETROITFISTER(R)2-6L2508.5 unU5301070
5/15/2013KEUCHEL(L)@ DETROITSCHERZER(R)7-5W2759 unO821870
5/17/2013LYLES(R)@ PITTSBURGHGOMEZ(R)4-5L1758.5 ovO76310112
5/18/2013BEDARD(L)@ PITTSBURGHBURNETT(R)4-2W2307.5 unU1080990
5/19/2013HARRELL(R)@ PITTSBURGHLOCKE(L) 
5/20/2013KEUCHEL(L)KANSAS CITYGUTHRIE(R) 
5/21/2013NORRIS(R)KANSAS CITYDAVIS(R) 
5/22/2013LYLES(R)KANSAS CITYSHIELDS(R) 
5/24/2013BEDARD(L)OAKLANDMILONE(L) 
5/25/2013HARRELL(R)OAKLANDGRIFFIN(R) 
5/26/2013 OAKLAND  

PITTSBURGH - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
5/5/2013RODRIGUEZ(L)WASHINGTONGONZALEZ(L)2-6L+1007 unO6701171
5/7/2013GOMEZ(R)SEATTLEHARANG(R)4-1W-1308 unU740550
5/8/2013BURNETT(R)SEATTLEHERNANDEZ(R)1-2L-1056.5 unU741360
5/9/2013LOCKE(L)@ NY METSGEE(R)2-3L1108 ovU8100870
5/10/2013RODRIGUEZ(L)@ NY METSMARCUM(R)7-3W-1107.5 evO12601071
5/11/2013LIRIANO(L)@ NY METSNIESE(L)11-2W1057.5 unO1670780
5/12/2013GOMEZ(R)@ NY METSHARVEY(R)3-2W1907 unU790461
5/13/2013BURNETT(R)MILWAUKEEESTRADA(R)1-5L-1507 unU443960
5/14/2013LOCKE(L)MILWAUKEELOHSE(R)4-3W+1157.5 evU101101190
5/15/2013RODRIGUEZ(L)MILWAUKEEGALLARDO(R)3-1W-1058 ovU460651
5/16/2013LIRIANO(L)MILWAUKEEBURGOS(R)7-1W-1458 ovP1391681
5/17/2013GOMEZ(R)HOUSTONLYLES(R)5-4W-1858.5 ovO10112763
5/18/2013BURNETT(R)HOUSTONBEDARD(L)2-4L-2557.5 unU9901080
5/19/2013LOCKE(L)HOUSTONHARRELL(R) 
5/21/2013RODRIGUEZ(L)CHICAGO CUBSGARZA(R) 
5/22/2013LIRIANO(L)CHICAGO CUBSSAMARDZIJA(R) 
5/23/2013GOMEZ(R)CHICAGO CUBSJACKSON(R) 
5/24/2013BURNETT(R)@ MILWAUKEEESTRADA(R) 
5/25/2013LOCKE(L)@ MILWAUKEELOHSE(R) 
5/26/2013 @ MILWAUKEE  
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
HOUSTON - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games12-31-11.627-144.00.2460.3026.00.2960.365
Road Games6-15-313-74.30.2630.3245.30.2900.358
vs Left-handed Starters4-7-0.89-25.00.2760.3366.50.2820.375
Past 7 Games2-5+05-24.70.2300.2986.40.2920.351
Grass Games12-31-11.627-144.00.2460.3026.00.2960.365
Day Games2-8-4.36-33.80.2370.2946.40.3090.378
Interleague1-1+1.31-14.00.2540.3593.50.2410.277
HOUSTON - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.00.2460.302431459359126420.031621164262127229265722
Road Games4.30.2630.3242172319066180.028665187914417122913
Lefty Starters5.00.2760.336113771043490.02503411097688102
HOUSTON - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games4.901.5031691069218430701223-107653.8%
Road Games3.611.39677.3363177831563-42250%

PITTSBURGH - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games25-18+9.620-224.10.2460.3033.70.2280.305
Home Games14-9+3.97-153.90.2500.3063.10.2030.282
vs Right-handed Starters20-12+11.215-164.40.2540.3123.70.2270.304
Past 7 Games5-2+21-53.60.2320.2972.90.2190.287
Grass Games25-18+9.620-224.10.2460.3033.70.2280.305
Day Games8-7+410-54.50.2560.3153.90.2170.303
Interleague2-2-1.61-33.00.2360.2672.70.1950.295
PITTSBURGH - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.10.2460.303431434353122450.031681183282429332274139
Home Games3.90.2500.3062375618970190.0384611601515918152020
Righty Starters4.40.2540.31232106327094350.03133892431821623223230
PITTSBURGH - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games2.851.1421554949117146014910-617577.3%
Home Games2.131.04680.3191951533835-38372.7%
Starting Pitcher Season to Date Performance
LUCAS HARRELL recent results and season statistics
LUCAS HARRELL - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts5.111.7843-4949.35.5292859729293-6-1.86-3
Road Starts3.711.5291-13175.7772115101-2+0.12-1
Last 3 Starts8.792.3730-2314.34.815142121350-3-32-1
LUCAS HARRELL - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
5/14/2013at DETROIT2-6+2508.5Loss,UnderL5557031FISTER(R)
5/9/2013LA ANGELS5-6+1409Loss,Over 5214161VARGAS(L)
5/4/2013DETROIT2-17+1858Loss,OverL4.38810143SCHERZER(R)

JEFF LOCKE recent results and season statistics
JEFF LOCKE - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts3.151.2263-1845.75.7171636520284-4+1.84-4
Home Starts4.791.5481-0420.75.2121120512122-2+0.42-2
Last 3 Starts3.711.1760-03175.7871317121-2-0.81-2
JEFF LOCKE - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
5/14/2013MILWAUKEE4-3+1157.5Win,Under 6337116LOHSE(R)
5/9/2013at NY METS2-3+1108Loss,Under 6113033GEE(R)
5/4/2013WASHINGTON4-5+1307Loss,Over 5433033STRASBURG(R)
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
Games over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 24-13 (+6.5 Units) against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
19 of 37 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.3 Units, Under=-3.6 Units)
Games this season
HOUSTON is 1-1 (+1.3 Units) against PITTSBURGH this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.0 Units)

All games at PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 15-6 (+5.3 Units) against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
10 of 21 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-1.7 Units, Under=-0.3 Units)
Games played at PITTSBURGH this season.
HOUSTON is 1-1 (+1.3 Units) against PITTSBURGH this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.0 Units)

 Team StatsStarting Pitcher Stats
DateTeamsScoreLineTotalResultHHRSBLOBERRStarterW/LIPERHBB
5/18/2013HOUSTON4+230  100080BEDARD(L) 6270
 PITTSBURGH2-2557.5 unUnder90090BURNETT(R) 7154
5/17/2013HOUSTON4+175 Over71063LYLES(R) 5142
 PITTSBURGH5-1858.5 ovWin1020112GOMEZ(R) 4.7352
Pitcher Versus Team Past History
LUCAS HARRELL vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
HARRELL is 1-0 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 5.90 and a WHIP of 1.593.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-0. (+2.0 units)
LUCAS HARRELL recent starts vs. PITTSBURGH
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
7/29/2012PITTSBURGH9-5+1307.5Win,OverW5.7225135MCDONALD(R)
7/3/2012at PITTSBURGH7-8+1657.5Loss,Over 5559109BURNETT(R)

JEFF LOCKE vs. HOUSTON since 1997
LOCKE is 0-2 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 7.20 and a WHIP of 1.400.
His team's record is 0-2 (-3.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-0. (+2.0 units)
JEFF LOCKE recent starts vs. HOUSTON
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
9/21/2012at HOUSTON1-7-1108.5Loss,UnderL5333138GONZALEZ(R)
9/3/2012HOUSTON1-5-2008.5Loss,UnderL5557116GONZALEZ(R)
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring HOUSTON in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in HOUSTON games 0% of the time since 1997. (0-1070, -86.7 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in HOUSTON games 56.4% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (176-136, +5.7 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in PITTSBURGH games 52.2% of the time since 1997. (1123-1028, +4.1 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in PITTSBURGH games 51.5% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (158-149, -9.4 units)
Edge=PITTSBURGH
 
The betting public is favoring the UNDER in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the total in HOUSTON games 51.6% of the time since 1997. (881-825, -62.4 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in HOUSTON games 50.5% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (92-90, -9.9 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in PITTSBURGH games 50.3% of the time since 1997. (795-787, -104.7 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in PITTSBURGH games 49.2% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (87-90, -12.9 units)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
HOUSTON
[C] 03/31/2013 - Alex White 60-day DL (3/30) ( Elbow )
[P] 04/09/2013 - Josh Fields 15-day DL (4/4) ( Forearm )
[CF] 04/24/2013 - Justin Maxwell 15-day DL (4/24) ( Hand )
[P] 05/13/2013 - Bud Norris expected to start Tuesday vs. Kansas City Royals ( Back )
[RF] 05/18/2013 - Jimmy Paredes 15-day DL (5/17) ( Leg )
[DH] 05/19/2013 - Carlos Pena is not expected to be in the starting lineup Sunday vs. Pittsburgh Pirates ( Rest )
PITTSBURGH
[P] 04/02/2013 - Charlie Morton 15-day DL (3/22) ( Elbow )
[2B] 03/31/2013 - Chase d'Arnaud 60-day DL (3/20) ( Thumb )
[P] 04/02/2013 - Jeff Karstens 15-day DL (3/22) ( Shoulder )
[P] 05/08/2013 - James McDonald 15-day DL (5/1) ( Back )
[SS] 05/15/2013 - John McDonald 15-day DL (5/15) ( Back )
[P] 05/18/2013 - Jose Contreras expected to miss 3-7 days ( Personal )
[LF] 05/19/2013 - Starling Marte is not expected to be in the starting lineup Sunday vs. Houston Astros ( Rest )
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