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Matchup Reports

Thursday at 4:05 PM
ST LOUIS (91-75) AT WASHINGTON (99-66) 
 Starting Pitchers
TeamsLineW-LOv/Un/PRF/RAStartersRECERAWHIP
935: ST LOUIS
936: WASHINGTON
8.0
-104
91-75
99-66
80-80-6
82-74-9
4.8 / 4.0
4.5 / 3.7
(R) K LOHSE
(L) R DETWILER
17-3
9-8
2.87
3.58
1.09
1.25
Current Weather Conditions 
Conditions: Mostly Cloudy   Temperature: 54.0 °
Humidity: 62   Wind: South at 6.9 MPH (6 KT)
 
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Line
TeamPitcherEstimateEdge
ST LOUISLOHSE +114 
WASHINGTONDETWILER-114 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
ST LOUIS team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games91-75-2.9278-231-19.31453-1222-5.380-80245-2441273-1270
when the total is 8 to 8.537-26+4117-87+12.1518-403+40.933-29101-98443-448
on the road with a money line of -100 to -12513-17-6.236-39-8.1177-180-28.316-1440-34169-173
in road games40-43-8.1125-130-18.2664-674-23.139-42131-118660-619
on the road when the total is 8 to 8.518-17-1.654-53-2223-210+11.518-1658-47232-190
in October games5-2+3.419-9+1362-50+10.33-413-1447-60
when playing on Thursday8-8-2.331-26-5170-154-19.89-732-25150-159
in day games36-26+3.292-84-18.3523-414+28.336-2385-84447-448
in games played on a grass field91-75-2.9275-228-19.21389-1144+12.280-80243-2401207-1204
against left-handed starters31-18+8.380-70-11.4389-362-49.827-2073-69348-364
in playoff games3-1+2.414-8+8.447-39+10.83-113-836-46
after shutting out their opponent7-3+3.223-13+8.783-66+3.44-615-2067-77
after a win49-41-2.8145-130-24.7774-666-48.440-48120-141676-689
when playing against a team with a winning record28-36-15.9106-95-0.1601-574+2.434-2794-97540-569
when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season20-19-1.874-48+26.6334-299+38.221-1759-57282-320

WASHINGTON team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games99-66+21.8249-241+23.81171-1423-75.182-74229-2381203-1265
when the total is 8 to 8.535-20+12.2108-90+28429-543-54.625-2487-104457-484
as a home underdog of +100 to +1253-6-332-30+5.1162-186-7.64-426-33157-176
in home games50-32+7.4135-108+15.8650-643-541-36116-118617-618
at home when the total is 8 to 8.517-12+1.760-49+7.7247-271-30.211-1546-60247-258
in October games3-3-0.64-5-1.215-14+6.82-43-612-15
when playing on Thursday13-6+5.532-28+8.3149-171+4.39-828-29141-164
in day games33-25+3.985-84+6.7367-435-12.428-2778-84359-401
in games played on a grass field96-66+17.8246-241+19.9787-1009-49.281-73228-237805-900
against right-handed starters70-46+16.1184-181+15.6850-1059-80.455-53171-173869-945
in playoff games1-2-1.11-2-1.11-2-1.12-12-12-1
after getting shut out5-2+2.422-13+12.889-93+14.31-613-2077-94
after a loss38-27+7.3123-116+18.4616-807-86.132-31114-112643-706
when playing against a team with a winning record48-37+8.9116-112+25.9519-744-62.247-34118-100602-603
when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season23-18+3.261-58+14.6263-400-42.925-1562-53313-319
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
ST LOUIS - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
9/28/2012WAINWRIGHT(R)WASHINGTONJACKSON(R)12-2W-1357.5 unO1150681
9/29/2012LOHSE(R)WASHINGTONZIMMERMANN(R)4-6L-1157.5 unO117013100
9/30/2012LYNN(R)WASHINGTONDETWILER(L)10-4W-1458 unO1280751
10/1/2012GARCIA(L)CINCINNATIARROYO(R)4-2W-1407.5 unU961650
10/2/2012CARPENTER(R)CINCINNATILATOS(R)1-3L-1257 ovU660870
10/3/2012MILLER(R)CINCINNATIBAILEY(R)1-0W+1307.5 unU991350
10/5/2012LOHSE(R)@ ATLANTAMEDLEN(R)6-3W1556.5 ovO62012121
10/7/2012WAINWRIGHT(R)WASHINGTONGONZALEZ(L)2-3L-1157 ovU31018101
10/8/2012GARCIA(L)WASHINGTONZIMMERMANN(R)12-4W-1057.5 unO13501091
10/10/2012CARPENTER(R)@ WASHINGTONJACKSON(R)8-0W1007.5 evO14917110
10/11/2012LOHSE(R)@ WASHINGTONDETWILER(L) 

WASHINGTON - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
9/27/2012GONZALEZ(L)@ PHILADELPHIACLOYD(R)7-3W-1357.5 evO960770
9/28/2012JACKSON(R)@ ST LOUISWAINWRIGHT(R)2-12L1257.5 unO6811150
9/29/2012ZIMMERMANN(R)@ ST LOUISLOHSE(R)6-4W1057.5 unO131001170
9/30/2012DETWILER(L)@ ST LOUISLYNN(R)4-10L1358 unO7511280
10/1/2012LANNAN(L)PHILADELPHIAKENDRICK(R)0-2L-1508.5 unU570641
10/2/2012GORZELANNY(L)PHILADELPHIAROSENBERG(R)4-2W-1458 unU91019100
10/3/2012JACKSON(R)PHILADELPHIALEE(L)5-1W+1007 evU1170670
10/7/2012GONZALEZ(L)@ ST LOUISWAINWRIGHT(R)3-2W1057 ovU81013101
10/8/2012ZIMMERMANN(R)@ ST LOUISGARCIA(L)4-12L-1057.5 unO10911350
10/10/2012JACKSON(R)ST LOUISCARPENTER(R)0-8L-1107.5 evO71101491
10/11/2012DETWILER(L)ST LOUISLOHSE(R) 
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
ST LOUIS - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games91-75-2.880-804.80.2710.3354.00.2550.309
Road Games40-43-8.139-424.50.2590.3254.30.2620.317
vs Left-handed Starters31-18+8.327-205.60.2840.3524.20.2660.318
Past 7 Games5-2+3.43-44.90.2650.3312.10.2270.284
Grass Games91-75-2.880-804.80.2710.3354.00.2550.309
Day Games36-26+3.236-235.30.2760.3414.10.2520.307
Playoff games3-1+2.43-17.00.2730.3512.50.2590.325
ST LOUIS - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.80.2710.335166575415625021650.03757549122094122417210914956
Road Games4.50.2590.325832898751232850.033532826364161890577228
Lefty Starters5.60.2840.352491694481171680.042641773582336650304213
ST LOUIS - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games3.841.264490.32182094505717045018-28432365.2%
Road Games4.401.36222911511222126912148-17201164.5%

WASHINGTON - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games99-66+21.882-744.50.2610.3193.70.2380.302
Home Games50-32+7.441-364.50.2660.3253.80.2420.299
vs Right-handed Starters70-46+16.155-534.40.2620.3203.60.2390.300
Past 7 Games3-4-1.63-42.90.2430.2995.30.2720.355
Grass Games96-66+17.881-734.50.2600.3193.80.2390.303
Day Games33-25+3.928-274.60.2640.3264.10.2400.310
Playoff games1-2-1.12-12.30.2400.3137.30.3000.397
WASHINGTON - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.50.2610.319165571914935241960.036954901354105115713196139114
Home Games4.50.2660.3258228187502511010.043422456026058866508062
Righty Starters4.40.2620.320116403710563531330.0348134993671829100669881
WASHINGTON - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games3.321.244528.32111954535020448227-19521775.4%
Home Games3.381.240277.31111042422110226615-1025973.5%
Starting Pitcher Season to Date Performance
KYLE LOHSE recent results and season statistics
KYLE LOHSE - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts2.871.09417-334216.76.47669198203914922-12+8.614-20
Road Starts3.401.1239-218108.76.0474110712157511-7+4.18-10
Last 3 Starts4.581.2452-0317.75.9991933202-1+1.43-0
KYLE LOHSE - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
10/5/2012at ATLANTA6-3+1556.5Win,OverW5.7226116MEDLEN(R)
9/29/2012WASHINGTON4-6-1157.5Loss,Over 6448119ZIMMERMANN(R)
9/23/2012at CHICAGO CUBS6-3-1757.5Win,OverW6335115GERMANO(R)

ROSS DETWILER recent results and season statistics
ROSS DETWILER - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts3.581.2459-8271515.6736014213469516-11+5.315-12
Home Starts2.721.2467-21482.75.93325816224811-3+88-6
Last 3 Starts6.081.5751-2313.34.41391249111-2-12-1
ROSS DETWILER - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
9/30/2012at ST LOUIS4-10+1358Loss,OverL2.3734153LYNN(R)
9/25/2012at PHILADELPHIA3-6+1307.5Loss,OverL5555233HAMELS(L)
9/20/2012LA DODGERS4-1-1208Win,UnderW6113115CAPUANO(L)
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
Games over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 12-10 (+3.6 Units) against ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
15 of 22 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+7.6 Units)
Games this season
WASHINGTON is 5-5 (-0.2 Units) against ST LOUIS this season
8 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+5.8 Units)

All games at WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 9-3 (+7.2 Units) against ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
9 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+5.8 Units)
Games played at WASHINGTON this season.
WASHINGTON is 3-2 (+0.8 Units) against ST LOUIS this season
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.0 Units)

 Team StatsStarting Pitcher Stats
DateTeamsScoreLineTotalResultHHRSBLOBERRStarterW/LIPERHBB
10/10/2012ST LOUIS8+100  141091CARPENTER(R)W5.7072
 WASHINGTON0-1107.5 evOver700110JACKSON(R)L5481
10/8/2012WASHINGTON4-105 Over102091ZIMMERMANN(R)L3570
 ST LOUIS12-1057.5 unWin134150GARCIA(L) 2123
10/7/2012WASHINGTON3+105  800101GONZALEZ(L) 5217
 ST LOUIS2-1157 ovUnder302101WAINWRIGHT(R) 5.7163
9/30/2012WASHINGTON4+135 Over72051DETWILER(L)L2.3345
 ST LOUIS10-1458 unWin122080LYNN(R)W5.3461
9/29/2012WASHINGTON6+105  1310100ZIMMERMANN(R) 6.3372
 ST LOUIS4-1157.5 unOver110070LOHSE(R) 6481
9/28/2012WASHINGTON2+125 Over61081JACKSON(R)L1.3864
 ST LOUIS12-1357.5 unWin112050WAINWRIGHT(R)W6151
9/2/2012ST LOUIS3+150 Under71071WESTBROOK(R) 5.3291
 WASHINGTON4-1607.5 evWin131192STRASBURG(R) 6021
9/1/2012ST LOUIS10+100  142272LOHSE(R) 5.7590
 WASHINGTON9-1108 unOver102040ZIMMERMANN(R) 3.7881
8/31/2012ST LOUIS0-105 Over50050WAINWRIGHT(R)L2.7693
 WASHINGTON10-1057.5 unWin121070GONZALEZ(L)W9053
8/30/2012ST LOUIS1-105 Over40060GARCIA(L)L5.3692
 WASHINGTON8-1058 ovWin132091JACKSON(R)W8042
Pitcher Versus Team Past History
KYLE LOHSE vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
LOHSE is 4-2 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 5.35 and a WHIP of 1.275.
His team's record is 8-4 (+3.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-7. (-2.9 units)
KYLE LOHSE recent starts vs. WASHINGTON
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
9/29/2012WASHINGTON4-6-1157.5Loss,Over 6448119ZIMMERMANN(R)
9/1/2012at WASHINGTON10-9+1008Win,Over 5.7859204ZIMMERMANN(R)
6/16/2011at WASHINGTON4-7-1058.5Loss,Over 6447313LANNAN(L)

ROSS DETWILER vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
DETWILER is 0-1 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 11.59 and a WHIP of 3.863.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)
ROSS DETWILER recent starts vs. ST LOUIS
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
9/30/2012at ST LOUIS4-10+1358Loss,OverL2.3734153LYNN(R)
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring ST LOUIS in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ST LOUIS games 0% of the time since 1997. (0-1081, -93.0 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ST LOUIS games 49.4% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (212-217, -28.8 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in WASHINGTON games 50.7% of the time since 1997. (1048-1021, -42.3 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in WASHINGTON games 50.9% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (206-199, +6.6 units)
Edge=WASHINGTON
 
The betting public is favoring nothing on the total in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the total in ST LOUIS games 49.8% of the time since 1997. (824-832, -123.6 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in ST LOUIS games 49.6% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (126-128, -15.6 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in WASHINGTON games 50.6% of the time since 1997. (794-775, -85.6 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in WASHINGTON games 50.7% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (111-108, -9.0 units)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
ST LOUIS
[1B] 10/08/2012 - Lance Berkman out indefinitely ( Knee )
[SS] 10/05/2012 - Rafael Furcal out for season ( Elbow )
[P] 10/08/2012 - Jaime Garcia out for NLDS & NLCS ( Shoulder )
[LF] 10/11/2012 - Matt Holliday probable Thursday vs. Washington Nationals ( Knee )
WASHINGTON
[P] 04/04/2012 - Cole Kimball 60-day DL (4/3) ( Shoulder )
[C] 05/13/2012 - Wilson Ramos 60-day DL (5/13), out for season ( Knee )
[P] 08/02/2012 - Henry Rodriguez 60-day DL (8/1) ( Back )
[P] 09/08/2012 - Stephen Strasburg out for season ( Shoulder )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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