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Matchup Reports

Wednesday at 12:35 PM
ATLANTA (93-68) AT PITTSBURGH (79-82) 
 Starting Pitchers
TeamsLineW-LOv/Un/PRF/RAStartersRECERAWHIP
951: ATLANTA
952: PITTSBURGH
7.0
-136
93-68
79-82
68-87-6
69-83-9
4.3 / 3.7
4.0 / 4.2
(R) B SHEETS
(R) A BURNETT
4-4
16-9
3.54
3.43
1.34
1.23
Current Weather Conditions 
Conditions: Partly Cloudy   Temperature: 57.0 °
Humidity: 30   Wind: Southwest at 11.5 MPH (10 KT)
 
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Line
TeamPitcherEstimateEdge
ATLANTASHEETS-109 
PITTSBURGHBURNETT +109 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
ATLANTA team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games93-68+15.7275-216+8.81504-1152-25.468-87218-2481246-1275
as a road underdog of +125 to +15013-8+9.623-19+12.279-87+20.112-919-2280-81
in road games45-35+11.8123-121-4.9709-615+5.634-42113-120625-641
in October games0-2-2.42-7-7.637-51-33.60-23-644-42
when playing on Wednesday15-9+4.747-29+12.2235-178+0.312-1232-40200-189
in day games29-18+12.489-62+16.9477-338+40.523-2377-71411-373
in games played on a grass field91-67+14.2273-215+7.31378-1075-49.967-85217-2461149-1181
against right-handed starters63-37+21.2194-132+29.61104-828-22.741-53146-162896-931
after a loss34-32-0.8118-96+3664-480+3730-3596-105557-534
when playing against a team with a losing record43-26+8.1139-99+1.6732-501-26.319-4698-126564-617
when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season36-17+13.381-56+0.3401-258-17.414-3754-79293-338

PITTSBURGH team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games78-82-2.8208-276-23.71115-1470-132.468-83220-2371215-1239
as a home favorite of -125 to -15015-9+2.822-15+1.8110-91-13.38-1517-18108-83
in home games45-35+4.7121-120+7.7633-657+5.329-48109-124611-616
in October games2-0+2.23-2+1.613-11+5.10-20-54-20
when playing on Wednesday12-13-0.832-42-3.9175-226-9.410-1531-42191-191
in day games29-25+4.372-85+1.9343-494-77.524-2777-73403-396
in games played on a grass field78-82-2.8206-275-25.3900-1237-126.868-83219-235985-1040
against right-handed starters56-63-4144-211-34826-1094-94.450-60162-171919-898
after a win37-40-2.188-117-15.2488-629-62.130-4294-98523-539
when playing against a team with a winning record35-40+2.388-128-3.7531-768-5534-36101-102603-630
when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season13-18-4.341-62-3.8240-388-50.913-1650-47287-308
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
ATLANTA - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
9/19/2012MEDLEN(R)@ MIAMIJOHNSON(R)3-0W-1356.5 ovU761570
9/21/2012HANSON(R)@ PHILADELPHIAKENDRICK(R)2-6L-1058 ovP650620
9/22/2012MINOR(L)@ PHILADELPHIAHALLADAY(R)8-2W1107.5 unO990341
9/23/2012HUDSON(R)@ PHILADELPHIALEE(L)2-1W1507 unU981232
9/25/2012MEDLEN(R)MIAMIEOVALDI(R)4-3W-3007 evP640610
9/26/2012MAHOLM(L)MIAMIJOHNSON(R)3-0W-1507.5 unU470681
9/27/2012HANSON(R)MIAMITURNER(R)6-2W-1957.5 unO872781
9/28/2012HUDSON(R)NY METSNIESE(L)1-3L-1607.5 unU460630
9/29/2012MINOR(L)NY METSYOUNG(R)2-0W-1907.5 ovU861550
9/30/2012MEDLEN(R)NY METSMEJIA(R)6-2W-2757 ovO861561
10/1/2012MAHOLM(L)@ PITTSBURGHLOCKE(L)1-2L-1357.5 unU260551
10/2/2012HANSON(R)@ PITTSBURGHCORREIA(R)1-5L1257.5 ovU8711080
10/3/2012SHEETS(R)@ PITTSBURGHBURNETT(R) 

PITTSBURGH - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
9/19/2012MCPHERSON(R)MILWAUKEEESTRADA(R)1-3L+1107.5 unU6621161
9/20/2012RODRIGUEZ(L)MILWAUKEEFIERS(R)7-9L+1007.5 evO138213111
9/21/2012LOCKE(L)@ HOUSTONGONZALEZ(R)1-7L-1108.5 evU770681
9/22/2012CORREIA(R)@ HOUSTONKEUCHEL(L)1-4L-1308.5 evU433860
9/23/2012BURNETT(R)@ HOUSTONLYLES(R)8-1W-1358.5 unO18160441
9/24/2012MCPHERSON(R)@ NY METSMEJIA(R)2-6L-1158 ovP890620
9/25/2012RODRIGUEZ(L)@ NY METSMCHUGH(R)10-6W-1107.5 evO942741
9/26/2012LOCKE(L)@ NY METSHEFNER(R)0-6L1008 unU3311470
9/27/2012CORREIA(R)@ NY METSDICKEY(R)5-6L1877 evO970830
9/28/2012BURNETT(R)CINCINNATIBAILEY(R)0-1L+1057 unU010741
9/29/2012MCPHERSON(R)CINCINNATILEAKE(R)2-1W+1158.5 evU8120792
9/30/2012RODRIGUEZ(L)CINCINNATICUETO(R)3-4L+1407.5 unU7701073
10/1/2012LOCKE(L)ATLANTAMAHOLM(L)2-1W+1257.5 unU551260
10/2/2012CORREIA(R)ATLANTAHANSON(R)5-1W-1357.5 ovU1080871
10/3/2012BURNETT(R)ATLANTASHEETS(R) 
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
ATLANTA - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games93-68+15.768-874.30.2470.3183.70.2430.303
Road Games45-35+11.834-424.30.2450.3093.60.2420.308
vs Right-handed Starters63-37+21.241-534.60.2510.3283.50.2300.293
Past 7 Games4-3+02-52.90.1980.2832.00.1960.233
Grass Games91-67+14.267-854.30.2470.3193.70.2440.304
Day Games29-18+12.423-234.30.2430.3133.70.2440.303
ATLANTA - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.30.2470.318161539213314421490.0365656512809811211248614898
Road Games4.30.2450.309802764676215790.033282596374953666378255
Righty Starters4.60.2510.32810033478392921040.034363838196970777529468
ATLANTA - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games2.801.204478.41631494193915747224-14471181%
Road Games2.571.230224.4676419217842059-526486.7%

PITTSBURGH - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games79-82-1.769-834.00.2430.3014.20.2480.310
Home Games45-35+4.729-483.70.2360.2933.40.2330.288
vs Right-handed Starters57-63-351-604.00.2450.3004.20.2530.316
Past 7 Games3-4-0.61-62.40.1930.2572.90.2500.297
Grass Games79-82-1.769-834.00.2430.3014.20.2480.310
Day Games29-25+4.324-274.60.2570.3124.00.2370.301
PITTSBURGH - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.00.2430.301161538213094481700.036204441343731049111112125151
Home Games3.70.2360.293802558603214670.032832076093949751607962
Righty Starters4.00.2450.30012040039803401330.03463314102249770797894117
PITTSBURGH - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games3.381.266495.32031864374719045818-19451476.3%
Home Games3.041.162230.78878195167320911-1023874.2%
Starting Pitcher Season to Date Performance
BEN SHEETS recent results and season statistics
BEN SHEETS - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts3.541.3454-4848.36.0211952613334-4-1.22-6
Road Starts3.421.5642-2423.75.91092928132-2-0.12-2
Last 3 Starts7.721.6530-3316.35.415142156100-3-3.52-1
BEN SHEETS - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
8/24/2012at SAN FRANCISCO3-5+1107Loss,OverL4.3449032VOGELSONG(R)
8/18/2012LA DODGERS2-6-1408.5Loss,UnderL6664423HARANG(R)
8/12/2012at NY METS5-6-1107.5Loss,OverL6548115NIESE(L)

A.J. BURNETT recent results and season statistics
A.J. BURNETT - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts3.431.22516-930196.76.68275181186017719-11+7.710-17
Home Starts2.921.1858-516104.76.54134998258611-5+4.85-11
Last 3 Starts1.641.0001-23227.3441814201-2-11-2
A.J. BURNETT - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
9/28/2012CINCINNATI0-1+1057Loss,UnderL8117015BAILEY(R)
9/23/2012at HOUSTON8-1-1358.5Win,OverW81141111LYLES(R)
9/18/2012MILWAUKEE0-6+1157Loss,UnderL6227024GALLARDO(R)
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
Games over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 9-12 (+0.9 Units) against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
15 of 18 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+12.0 Units)
Games this season
PITTSBURGH is 4-2 (+3.1 Units) against ATLANTA this season
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+3.0 Units)

All games at PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 5-5 (+1.9 Units) against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
9 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+8.0 Units)
Games played at PITTSBURGH this season.
PITTSBURGH is 2-0 (+2.3 Units) against ATLANTA this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.0 Units)

 Team StatsStarting Pitcher Stats
DateTeamsScoreLineTotalResultHHRSBLOBERRStarterW/LIPERHBB
10/2/2012ATLANTA1+125 Under80071HANSON(R)L6591
 PITTSBURGH5-1357.5 ovWin101480CORREIA(R)W6.7161
10/1/2012ATLANTA1-135 Under20060MAHOLM(L)L7253
 PITTSBURGH2+1257.5 unWin51051LOCKE(L)W6125
Pitcher Versus Team Past History
BEN SHEETS vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
SHEETS is 9-8 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 3.04 and a WHIP of 1.227.
His team's record is 12-11 (-1.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 14-8. (+4.8 units)
BEN SHEETS recent starts vs. PITTSBURGH
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
6/25/2010PITTSBURGH14-4-1758Win,OverW6448109LINCOLN(R)
7/4/2008PITTSBURGH9-1-2058.5Win,OverW5.7118036GORZELANNY(L)
5/21/2008at PITTSBURGH4-1-1308Win,UnderW91111106SNELL(R)

A.J. BURNETT vs. ATLANTA since 1997
BURNETT is 5-10 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 3.56 and a WHIP of 1.379.
His team's record is 6-12 (-5.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 11-3. (+7.9 units)
A.J. BURNETT recent starts vs. ATLANTA
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
4/27/2012at ATLANTA1-6+1607LossL6226038HANSON(R)
6/29/2008ATLANTA1-0-1508.5Win,UnderW70040411REYES(L)
6/22/2006at ATLANTA3-2-1309.5Win,Under 6225017RAMIREZ(L)
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring PITTSBURGH in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ATLANTA games 0% of the time since 1997. (0-1021, 5.1 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ATLANTA games 56% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (230-181, +31.9 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in PITTSBURGH games 52.1% of the time since 1997. (1101-1014, +0.3 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in PITTSBURGH games 48.7% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (203-214, -29.0 units)
Edge=ATLANTA
 
The betting public is favoring nothing on the total in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the total in ATLANTA games 49.8% of the time since 1997. (813-821, -115.9 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in ATLANTA games 51.6% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (115-108, -4.8 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in PITTSBURGH games 50.4% of the time since 1997. (776-764, -97.3 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in PITTSBURGH games 49.3% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (107-110, -15.3 units)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
ATLANTA
[P] 06/18/2012 - Brandon Beachy 15-day DL (6/17), out for season ( Elbow )
[P] 04/03/2012 - Robert Fish 60-day DL (3/26) ( Elbow )
[LF] 07/21/2012 - Matt Diaz 15-day DL (7/21) ( Thumb )
[P] 08/01/2012 - Jair Jurrjens 15-day DL (8/1) ( Groin )
[SS] 09/19/2012 - Paul Janish out 1-4 weeks ( Shoulder )
[3B] 10/03/2012 - Chipper Jones is not expected to be in the starting lineup Wednesday vs. Pittsburgh Pirates ( Rest )
PITTSBURGH
[P] 06/15/2012 - Charlie Morton 60-day DL (5/30), out for season ( Elbow )
[SS] 03/27/2012 - Gustavo Nunez 60-day DL (2/20) ( Ankle )
[2B] 09/28/2012 - Neil Walker out for season ( Back )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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