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Matchup Reports

Wednesday at 12:35 PM
CHICAGO CUBS (6-13) AT CINCINNATI (12-9) 
 Starting Pitchers
TeamsLineW-LOv/Un/PRF/RAStartersRECERAWHIP
951: CHICAGO CUBS
952: CINCINNATI
7.0
-163
6-13
12-9
7-12-0
13-8-0
3.4 / 4.3
5.4 / 3.9
(R) J SAMARDZIJA
(R) M LATOS
1-3
0-0
3.37
2.73
0.97
1.14
Current Weather Conditions 
Conditions: Mostly Cloudy   Temperature: 54.0 °
Humidity: 47   Wind: South at 3.5 MPH (3 KT)
 
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Line
TeamPitcherEstimateEdge
CHICAGO CUBSSAMARDZIJA +174 
CINCINNATILATOS-174 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
CHICAGO CUBS team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in day games4-6-1.172-94-17.4684-702-129.93-771-89662-674
in games played on a grass field6-13-5.5138-206-47.91197-1296-244.17-12160-1701179-1210
against right-handed starters5-9-3.199-152-36.9920-1016-186.87-7124-120911-946
after a win0-5-551-86-27.3589-664-175.92-359-70589-612
when playing against a team with a winning record3-8-3.867-103-13.7555-672-91.44-778-84587-587
in all games6-13-5.5138-206-47.91254-1380-266.37-12160-1701243-1281
when the total is 7 or less2-2+0.524-30-2114-114-90-426-21112-93
as a road underdog of +150 to +1751-2-0.413-32-1159-101-5.32-124-1972-81
in road games3-8-458-116-38.5577-740-119.73-888-80612-646
on the road when the total is 7 or less2-2+0.510-20-5.848-58+1.80-412-1444-51
in April games6-13-5.526-42-13.8189-213-52.47-1234-33200-184
when playing on Wednesday0-1-120-31-10.5202-204-32.70-121-30178-212
against division opponents4-6-1.169-103-26.6610-622-103.64-684-84586-590

CINCINNATI team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in April games12-9-0.736-33-4.7203-204+6.113-838-30204-186
when playing on Wednesday3-1+1.831-26-0.1185-220-28.53-122-32187-195
against division opponents2-6-5.893-73+3.1611-614+3.75-373-80576-570
in day games5-4-0.171-56+5.5445-471-9.17-264-54430-427
in games played on a grass field12-9-0.7189-159-0.71052-1129-1613-8160-1651010-1045
against right-handed starters6-7-4.1133-117-7.1922-973-17.88-5111-121892-892
after a loss4-4-1.192-64+18.7656-677+9.75-378-72648-617
when playing against a team with a losing record6-6-3.2106-81-2.8666-600-15.46-682-91592-597
in all games12-9-0.7191-160+1.11283-1343-25.713-8160-1671230-1250
when the total is 7 or less2-1+0.626-24+1.238-60-16.41-220-2438-45
as a home favorite of -150 to -1752-1+0.322-16-3.397-87-41.41-217-1898-77
in home games11-4+4.4104-77-0.7666-653-82.69-688-77649-596
at home when the total is 7 or less2-0+24-2+1.64-6-2.41-13-25-4
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
CHICAGO CUBS - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
4/11/2013FELDMAN(R)SAN FRANCISCOVOGELSONG(R)6-7L+1208 unO12629102
4/12/2013VILLANUEVA(R)SAN FRANCISCOCAIN(R)4-3W+1309.5 ovU1080740
4/13/2013SAMARDZIJA(R)SAN FRANCISCOBUMGARNER(L)2-3L+1058 ovU770971
4/14/2013JACKSON(R)SAN FRANCISCOLINCECUM(R)7-10L+1009.5 unO9601380
4/16/2013WOOD(L)TEXASHOLLAND(L)2-4L+1207.5 unU651950
4/18/2013VILLANUEVA(R)TEXASOGANDO(R)6-2W+12510.5 unU13100400
4/19/2013SAMARDZIJA(R)@ MILWAUKEEESTRADA(R)4-5L1007.5 unO1051720
4/20/2013JACKSON(R)@ MILWAUKEEBURGOS(R)1-5L-1058.5 ovU753670
4/21/2013FELDMAN(R)@ MILWAUKEEPERALTA(R)2-4L1208.5 evU562331
4/22/2013WOOD(L)@ CINCINNATILEAKE(R)4-5L1508.5 unO11120993
4/23/2013VILLANUEVA(R)@ CINCINNATICINGRANI(L)4-2W1607.5 ovU951672
4/24/2013SAMARDZIJA(R)@ CINCINNATILATOS(R) 
4/25/2013JACKSON(R)@ MIAMISLOWEY(R) 
4/26/2013FELDMAN(R)@ MIAMILEBLANC(L) 
4/27/2013WOOD(L)@ MIAMISANABIA(R) 
4/28/2013VILLANUEVA(R)@ MIAMIFERNANDEZ(R) 
4/29/2013SAMARDZIJA(R)SAN DIEGORICHARD(L) 
4/30/2013JACKSON(R)SAN DIEGOVOLQUEZ(R) 
5/1/2013 SAN DIEGO  

CINCINNATI - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
4/10/2013BAILEY(R)@ ST LOUISWESTBROOK(R)0-10L-1208.5 unO5801470
4/12/2013LEAKE(R)@ PITTSBURGHBURNETT(R)5-6L1007.5 unO8801280
4/13/2013CUETO(R)@ PITTSBURGHLOCKE(L)1-3L-1407 ovU7120750
4/14/2013LATOS(R)@ PITTSBURGHIRWIN(R)7-10L-1557.5 unO11801581
4/15/2013ARROYO(R)PHILADELPHIALEE(L)4-2W+1057 ovU960521
4/16/2013BAILEY(R)PHILADELPHIAKENDRICK(R)1-0W-1558 unU470211
4/17/2013LEAKE(R)PHILADELPHIALANNAN(L)11-2W-1358.5 ovO1550630
4/18/2013CINGRANI(L)MIAMIFERNANDEZ(R)11-1W-1857.5 ovO1280672
4/19/2013LATOS(R)MIAMISLOWEY(R)1-2L-2557.5 unU540750
4/20/2013ARROYO(R)MIAMILEBLANC(L)3-2W-2208 unU13171870
4/21/2013BAILEY(R)MIAMISANABIA(R)10-6W-2458 unO11801182
4/22/2013LEAKE(R)CHICAGO CUBSWOOD(L)5-4W-1608.5 unO99311120
4/23/2013CINGRANI(L)CHICAGO CUBSVILLANUEVA(R)2-4L-1707.5 ovU672951
4/24/2013LATOS(R)CHICAGO CUBSSAMARDZIJA(R) 
4/25/2013ARROYO(R)@ WASHINGTONGONZALEZ(L) 
4/26/2013BAILEY(R)@ WASHINGTONZIMMERMANN(R) 
4/27/2013LEAKE(R)@ WASHINGTONHAREN(R) 
4/28/2013CINGRANI(L)@ WASHINGTONDETWILER(L) 
4/29/2013LATOS(R)@ ST LOUISWAINWRIGHT(R) 
4/30/2013ARROYO(R)@ ST LOUISGARCIA(L) 
5/1/2013 @ ST LOUIS  
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
CHICAGO CUBS - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games6-13-5.57-123.40.2310.2804.30.2240.298
Road Games3-8-43-82.50.2020.2463.80.1940.271
vs Right-handed Starters5-9-3.27-74.00.2450.2964.60.2230.298
Past 7 Games2-5-2.22-53.30.2440.2893.90.1950.266
Grass Games6-13-5.57-123.40.2310.2804.30.2240.298
Day Games4-6-1.13-73.80.2320.2894.40.2170.293
Division4-6-1.14-63.10.2080.2553.70.1970.278
CHICAGO CUBS - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games3.40.2310.2801965315159240.0462441651512319181819
Road Games2.50.2020.246113767624130.03282210410661112714
Righty Starters4.00.2450.2961449712250200.045336120910012141315
CHICAGO CUBS - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games4.701.45151.7272753522493-34544.4%
Road Games4.131.44728.3131327314281-23350%

CINCINNATI - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games12-9-0.713-85.40.2580.3403.90.2360.287
Home Games11-4+4.49-65.70.2630.3402.90.2110.261
vs Right-handed Starters6-7-4.18-55.00.2440.3224.20.2570.313
Past 7 Games5-2+0.84-36.10.2750.3663.00.2230.265
Grass Games12-9-0.713-85.40.2580.3403.90.2360.287
Day Games5-4-0.17-25.70.2570.3445.40.2540.315
Division2-6-5.85-34.20.2300.3265.70.2830.334
CINCINNATI - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games5.40.2580.3402174719363230.031039317781741810188
Home Games5.70.2630.3401554314348180.0377631255123138136
Righty Starters5.00.2440.3221343910732150.03585111059410376
CINCINNATI - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games4.061.18164.33229561220716-73260%
Home Games2.740.95349.3181534813595-43175%
Starting Pitcher Season to Date Performance
JEFF SAMARDZIJA recent results and season statistics
JEFF SAMARDZIJA - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts3.370.9751-3426.76.711101927311-3-1.81-3
Road Starts3.480.8711-2320.76.9981226261-2-0.81-2
Last 3 Starts4.821.2320-3318.76.211101726220-3-31-2
JEFF SAMARDZIJA - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
4/19/2013at MILWAUKEE4-5+1007.5Loss,OverL7546214ESTRADA(R)
4/13/2013SAN FRANCISCO2-3+1058Loss,UnderL6227015BUMGARNER(L)
4/7/2013at ATLANTA1-5+1207Loss,UnderL5.74440413HUDSON(R)

MAT LATOS recent results and season statistics
MAT LATOS - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts2.731.1390-0426.36.61182634292-2-23-1
Home Starts2.631.0970-0213.76.8441322181-1-1.51-1
Last 3 Starts2.291.1180-0319.76.6851913211-2-32-1
MAT LATOS - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
4/19/2013MIAMI1-2-2557.5Loss,Under 71160110SLOWEY(R)
4/14/2013at PITTSBURGH7-10-1557.5Loss,Over 6.7339116IRWIN(R)
4/8/2013at ST LOUIS13-4+1057.5Win,Over 6414015GARCIA(L)
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
Games over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI is 24-12 (+7.7 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS over the last 3 seasons
20 of 35 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+4.3 Units)
Games this season
CHICAGO CUBS is 1-1 (+0.6 Units) against CINCINNATI this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.2 Units, Under=-0.2 Units)

All games at CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI is 12-5 (+4.2 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS over the last 3 seasons
12 of 17 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+6.7 Units)
Games played at CINCINNATI this season.
CHICAGO CUBS is 1-1 (+0.6 Units) against CINCINNATI this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.2 Units, Under=-0.2 Units)

 Team StatsStarting Pitcher Stats
DateTeamsScoreLineTotalResultHHRSBLOBERRStarterW/LIPERHBB
4/23/2013CHICAGO CUBS4+160  92451VILLANUEVA(R) 8.3232
 CINCINNATI2-1707.5 ovUnder61072CINGRANI(L) 7250
4/22/2013CHICAGO CUBS4+150 Over1121120WOOD(L) 6.3242
 CINCINNATI5-1608.5 unWin91193LEAKE(R) 7282
Pitcher Versus Team Past History
JEFF SAMARDZIJA vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
SAMARDZIJA is 1-1 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 3.55 and a WHIP of 0.868.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)
JEFF SAMARDZIJA recent starts vs. CINCINNATI
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
8/18/2012at CINCINNATI3-5+1807Loss,OverL5446305CUETO(R)
5/2/2012at CINCINNATI3-1+1458.5Win,UnderW7.7113027ARROYO(R)

MAT LATOS vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
LATOS is 2-2 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 3.16 and a WHIP of 1.213.
His team's record is 3-2 (+0.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-3. (-2.1 units)
MAT LATOS recent starts vs. CHICAGO CUBS
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
8/19/2012CHICAGO CUBS5-4-2558Win,Over 8426036VOLSTAD(R)
9/26/2011CHICAGO CUBS2-0-1806.5Win,UnderW7002019COLEMAN(R)
9/28/2010CHICAGO CUBS2-5-1606.5Loss,OverL5.7427126DEMPSTER(R)
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring Nobody in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CHICAGO CUBS games 0% of the time since 1997. (0-1024, 4.7 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CHICAGO CUBS games 56.2% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (158-123, +23.7 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CINCINNATI games 49.9% of the time since 1997. (1075-1078, -102.9 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CINCINNATI games 48.1% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (142-153, -24.8 units)
No Edge.
 
The betting public is favoring the UNDER in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CHICAGO CUBS games 50.8% of the time since 1997. (915-885, -105.9 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CHICAGO CUBS games 55.9% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (114-90, +12.4 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CINCINNATI games 52.3% of the time since 1997. (829-756, -30.9 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CINCINNATI games 53.1% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (102-90, +1.6 units)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
CHICAGO CUBS
[P] 04/02/2013 - Matt Garza 15-day DL (3/22) ( Side )
[P] 04/02/2013 - Arodys Vizcaino 60-day DL (3/27) ( Elbow )
[3B] 04/02/2013 - Ian Stewart 15-day DL (3/22) ( Quad )
[P] 04/02/2013 - Scott Baker 60-day DL (3/31) ( Elbow )
[P] 04/13/2013 - Kyuji Fujikawa 15-day DL (4/13) ( Arm )
[C] 04/14/2013 - Steve Clevenger 15-day DL (4/14) ( Oblique )
[LF] 04/24/2013 - Alfonso Soriano is not expected to be in the starting lineup Wednesday vs. Cincinnati Reds ( Rest )
CINCINNATI
[LF] 04/03/2013 - Ryan Ludwick 60-day DL (4/2) ( Shoulder )
[P] 04/02/2013 - Nick Masset 60-day DL (3/22) ( Shoulder )
[P] 04/10/2013 - Sean Marshall 15-day DL (4/8) ( Shoulder )
[P] 04/14/2013 - Johnny Cueto 15-day DL (4/14) ( Side )
[C] 04/21/2013 - Ryan Hanigan 15-day DL (4/20) ( Oblique )
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