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Matchup Reports

Sunday at 1:10 PM
CHICAGO CUBS (18-30) AT CINCINNATI (31-18) 
 Starting Pitchers
TeamsLineW-LOv/Un/PRF/RAStartersRECERAWHIP
951: CHICAGO CUBS
952: CINCINNATI
7.5
-180
18-30
31-18
22-26-0
28-20-1
3.9 / 4.1
4.8 / 3.6
(R) M GARZA
(R) J CUETO
0-0
2-0
0.00
3.22
0.80
1.12
Current Weather Conditions 
Conditions: Mostly Cloudy   Temperature: 54.0 °
Humidity: 47   Wind: South at 3.5 MPH (3 KT)
 
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Line
TeamPitcherEstimateEdge
CHICAGO CUBSGARZA +213 
CINCINNATICUETO-213 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
CHICAGO CUBS team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
after a loss12-17-2.893-127-20.1670-718-85.315-14110-104662-668
after 3 or more consecutive losses4-6-1.229-45-9.4163-214-44.26-441-31195-168
when playing against a team with a winning record9-20-8.373-115-18.2561-684-95.916-1390-90599-593
in all games18-30-10.2150-223-52.61266-1397-27122-26175-1841258-1295
as a road underdog of +150 to +1752-4-0.814-34-11.460-103-5.72-424-2272-84
as a road underdog of +175 to +2001-1+0.97-19-5.929-60-6.41-112-1444-42
in road games8-16-5.663-124-40.1582-748-121.48-1693-88617-654
in May games8-14-5.329-47-16.8225-239-44.813-941-35205-238
when playing on Sunday1-6-5.221-37-13.4198-222-39.13-426-31206-202
against division opponents5-16-1070-113-35.5611-632-112.510-1190-89592-595
in day games7-17-8.775-105-25687-713-137.510-1478-96669-681
in games played on a grass field18-30-10.2150-223-52.61209-1313-248.822-26175-1841194-1224
against right-handed starters14-20-5108-163-38.8929-1027-188.618-16135-129922-955

CINCINNATI team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
after a win20-10+7109-101-13635-667-27.319-1192-100590-634
after 3 or more consecutive wins6-5-1.533-25-0.5156-163-10.47-423-30139-162
when playing against a team with a losing record22-9+9.4122-84+9.8682-603-2.817-1493-99603-605
in all games31-18+8.8210-169+10.51302-1352-16.228-20175-1791245-1262
as a home favorite of -175 to -2002-0+215-7+2.242-27-7.52-012-838-27
in home games18-6+9.1111-79+4673-655-77.914-1093-81654-600
in May games16-5+10.347-31+12.3242-234+4.813-842-32226-227
when playing on Sunday5-2+237-23+9.5197-223-28.44-230-24196-192
against division opponents12-8+2.4103-75+11.3621-616+11.910-1078-87581-577
in day games15-8+5.281-60+10.8455-475-3.915-772-59438-432
in games played on a grass field31-18+8.8208-168+8.71071-1138-6.528-20175-1771025-1057
against right-handed starters22-11+7.6149-121+4.7938-977-6.119-14122-130903-901
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
CHICAGO CUBS - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
5/12/2013FELDMAN(R)@ WASHINGTONGONZALEZ(L)2-1W1607.5 unU761581
5/13/2013WOOD(L)COLORADONICASIO(R)9-1W-1208 unO1460330
5/14/2013VILLANUEVA(R)COLORADOFRANCIS(L)4-9L-11510.5 unO7701772
5/15/2013SAMARDZIJA(R)COLORADOGARLAND(R)6-3W-1357.5 ovO951750
5/17/2013JACKSON(R)NY METSHARVEY(R)2-3L+1307 ovU632851
5/18/2013FELDMAN(R)NY METSHEFNER(R)8-2W-1308.5 unO1161971
5/19/2013WOOD(L)NY METSGEE(R)3-4L-1609 evU850730
5/21/2013GARZA(R)@ PITTSBURGHRODRIGUEZ(L)4-5L1357.5 unO1181890
5/22/2013SAMARDZIJA(R)@ PITTSBURGHLIRIANO(L)0-1L1257.5 unU481352
5/23/2013JACKSON(R)@ PITTSBURGHGOMEZ(R)2-4L1207.5 ovU751981
5/24/2013FELDMAN(R)@ CINCINNATIARROYO(R)4-7L1408 ovO10911040
5/25/2013WOOD(L)@ CINCINNATIBAILEY(R)2-5L1607.5 unU670760
5/26/2013GARZA(R)@ CINCINNATICUETO(R) 
5/27/2013SAMARDZIJA(R)@ CHI WHITE SOXQUINTANA(L) 
5/28/2013JACKSON(R)@ CHI WHITE SOXSALE(L) 
5/29/2013FELDMAN(R)CHI WHITE SOXDANKS(L) 
5/30/2013WOOD(L)CHI WHITE SOXPEAVY(R) 
5/31/2013GARZA(R)ARIZONACORBIN(L) 
6/1/2013 ARIZONA  
6/2/2013 ARIZONA  

CINCINNATI - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
5/12/2013ARROYO(R)MILWAUKEEPERALTA(R)5-1W-1558.5 unU640772
5/14/2013BAILEY(R)@ MIAMINOLASCO(R)6-2W-1657 evO1080640
5/15/2013LEAKE(R)@ MIAMISANABIA(R)4-0W-1758 unU119011120
5/16/2013LATOS(R)@ MIAMIFERNANDEZ(R)5-3W-1607 unO870641
5/17/2013CINGRANI(L)@ PHILADELPHIALEE(L)3-5L1107 unO881660
5/18/2013ARROYO(R)@ PHILADELPHIAKENDRICK(R)10-0W-1058 unO16120670
5/19/2013BAILEY(R)@ PHILADELPHIAPETTIBONE(R)2-3L-1508 evU981971
5/20/2013CUETO(R)@ NY METSMARCUM(R)4-3W-1457.5 evU890561
5/21/2013LEAKE(R)@ NY METSNIESE(L)4-0W-1108 ovU770361
5/22/2013LATOS(R)@ NY METSHARVEY(R)7-4W1106.5 ovO1291970
5/24/2013ARROYO(R)CHICAGO CUBSFELDMAN(R)7-4W-1508 ovO10401091
5/25/2013BAILEY(R)CHICAGO CUBSWOOD(L)5-2W-1707.5 unU760670
5/26/2013CUETO(R)CHICAGO CUBSGARZA(R) 
5/27/2013LEAKE(R)CLEVELANDJIMENEZ(R) 
5/28/2013LATOS(R)CLEVELANDMCALLISTER(R) 
5/29/2013ARROYO(R)@ CLEVELANDMASTERSON(R) 
5/30/2013BAILEY(R)@ CLEVELANDKAZMIR(L) 
5/31/2013CUETO(R)@ PITTSBURGHRODRIGUEZ(L) 
6/1/2013 @ PITTSBURGH  
6/2/2013 @ PITTSBURGH  
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
CHICAGO CUBS - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games18-30-10.222-263.90.2460.2934.10.2340.302
Road Games8-16-5.68-162.80.2190.2593.70.2120.285
vs Right-handed Starters14-20-518-164.40.2580.3094.20.2310.297
Past 7 Games1-6-5.63-43.30.2370.2774.00.2410.301
Grass Games18-30-10.222-263.90.2460.2934.10.2340.302
Day Games7-17-8.710-143.70.2400.2884.20.2330.307
Division5-16-1010-113.00.2200.2674.00.2270.310
CHICAGO CUBS - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games3.90.2460.293481630401159490.031771083553030739394036
Road Games2.80.2190.2592481817961190.0265441941414815181522
Righty Starters4.40.2580.309341168301122370.03141862481822529292829
CHICAGO CUBS - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games4.151.344128625912015521066-710952.6%
Road Games3.081.19764.3222252725513-37463.6%

CINCINNATI - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games31-18+8.828-204.80.2550.3323.60.2370.292
Home Games18-6+9.114-105.50.2650.3403.30.2220.280
vs Right-handed Starters22-11+7.619-145.00.2560.3333.40.2460.303
Past 7 Games6-1+4.63-45.60.2800.3442.30.2120.279
Grass Games31-18+8.828-204.80.2550.3323.60.2370.292
Day Games15-8+5.215-75.40.2690.3504.30.2490.309
Division12-8+2.410-104.60.2450.3324.10.2600.317
CINCINNATI - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.80.2550.332491677427139510.032241943811437440203819
Home Games5.50.2650.3402483422173310.041239520081861610208
Righty Starters5.00.2560.33333111128493370.03156129251112422782216
CINCINNATI - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games3.441.168138.75853111185114411-915478.9%
Home Games2.671.00477.72723531125947-47187.5%
Starting Pitcher Season to Date Performance
MATT GARZA recent results and season statistics
MATT GARZA - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts0.000.8000-0155.00010350-1-11-0
Road Starts0.000.8000-0155.00010350-1-11-0
Last 3 Starts0.000.8000-0155.00010350-1-11-0
MATT GARZA - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
5/21/2013at PITTSBURGH4-5+1357.5Loss,Over 5001035RODRIGUEZ(L)
7/21/2012at ST LOUIS0-12+1258Loss,Over 3002023WESTBROOK(R)
7/15/2012ARIZONA3-1-1057.5Win,UnderW7005017CAHILL(R)

JOHNNY CUETO recent results and season statistics
JOHNNY CUETO - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts3.221.1202-0422.35.68815310262-2-0.51-3
Home Starts2.771.1541-02136.5441025151-1-0.11-1
Last 3 Starts4.111.3052-0315.35.1771228172-1+0.61-2
JOHNNY CUETO - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
5/20/2013at NY METS4-3-1457.5Win,UnderW5333148MARCUM(R)
4/13/2013at PITTSBURGH1-3-1407Loss,Under 4.3112013LOCKE(L)
4/7/2013WASHINGTON6-3-1107Win,OverW6337136STRASBURG(R)
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
Games over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI is 30-12 (+13.7 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS over the last 3 seasons
24 of 41 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+6.2 Units)
Games this season
CINCINNATI is 7-1 (+5.3 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS this season
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.8 Units)

All games at CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI is 15-5 (+7.2 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS over the last 3 seasons
13 of 20 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+5.6 Units)
Games played at CINCINNATI this season.
CINCINNATI is 4-1 (+2.3 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.9 Units)

 Team StatsStarting Pitcher Stats
DateTeamsScoreLineTotalResultHHRSBLOBERRStarterW/LIPERHBB
5/25/2013CHICAGO CUBS2+160 Under60070WOOD(L)L5.7573
 CINCINNATI5-1707.5 unWin70060BAILEY(R)W6253
5/24/2013CHICAGO CUBS4+140 Over101091FELDMAN(R)L5.3571
 CINCINNATI7-1508 ovWin103040ARROYO(R)W6362
5/5/2013CINCINNATI7-135  110271LATOS(R)W5363
 CHICAGO CUBS4+1257 ovOver80091JACKSON(R)L5481
5/4/2013CINCINNATI6-115  61080CINGRANI(L) 6431
 CHICAGO CUBS4+1057 unOver32021SAMARDZIJA(R) 6143
5/3/2013CINCINNATI6+100  900100LEAKE(R)W5.7290
 CHICAGO CUBS5-1107 unOver1501121VILLANUEVA(R)L5.7472
4/24/2013CHICAGO CUBS0+155 Under50050SAMARDZIJA(R)L6173
 CINCINNATI1-1657 evWin81070LATOS(R)W7041
4/23/2013CHICAGO CUBS4+160  92451VILLANUEVA(R) 8.3232
 CINCINNATI2-1707.5 ovUnder61072CINGRANI(L) 7250
4/22/2013CHICAGO CUBS4+150 Over1121120WOOD(L) 6.3242
 CINCINNATI5-1608.5 unWin91193LEAKE(R) 7282
Pitcher Versus Team Past History
MATT GARZA vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
GARZA is 1-2 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 3.80 and a WHIP of 1.479.
His team's record is 1-3 (-2.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-3. (-3.1 units)
MATT GARZA recent starts vs. CINCINNATI
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
9/5/2011CINCINNATI4-3-1407WinW7.7316038WILLIS(L)
6/6/2011at CINCINNATI2-8+1159Loss,OverL4446133LEAKE(R)
5/17/2011at CINCINNATI5-7+1157.5Loss,Over 6305043VOLQUEZ(R)

JOHNNY CUETO vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
CUETO is 8-6 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 3.01 and a WHIP of 1.211.
His team's record is 10-8 (+2.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 7-10. (-3.6 units)
JOHNNY CUETO recent starts vs. CHICAGO CUBS
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
9/20/2012at CHICAGO CUBS5-3-1458.5Win,UnderW6005042BERKEN(R)
8/18/2012CHICAGO CUBS5-3-1907Win,OverW8223108SAMARDZIJA(R)
8/12/2012at CHICAGO CUBS3-0-1858.5Win,UnderW8003023RALEY(L)
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring CINCINNATI in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CHICAGO CUBS games 0% of the time since 1997. (0-1036, 7.9 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CHICAGO CUBS games 56% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (172-135, +26.9 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CINCINNATI games 49.8% of the time since 1997. (1083-1092, -110.0 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CINCINNATI games 47.3% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (150-167, -31.9 units)
Edge=CHICAGO CUBS
 
The betting public is favoring nothing on the total in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CHICAGO CUBS games 50.9% of the time since 1997. (930-898, -105.2 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CHICAGO CUBS games 55.6% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (129-103, +13.1 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CINCINNATI games 52.4% of the time since 1997. (845-767, -27.6 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CINCINNATI games 53.9% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (118-101, +4.9 units)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
CHICAGO CUBS
[P] 04/02/2013 - Arodys Vizcaino 60-day DL (3/27) ( Elbow )
[3B] 04/02/2013 - Ian Stewart 15-day DL (3/22) ( Quad )
[P] 04/02/2013 - Scott Baker 60-day DL (3/31) ( Elbow )
[C] 04/14/2013 - Steve Clevenger 15-day DL (4/14) ( Oblique )
[P] 05/22/2013 - Shawn Camp 15-day DL (5/22) ( Toe )
CINCINNATI
[LF] 04/03/2013 - Ryan Ludwick 60-day DL (4/2) ( Shoulder )
[LF] 04/30/2013 - Chris Heisey 15-day DL (4/28) ( Hamstring )
[P] 04/02/2013 - Nick Masset 60-day DL (3/22) ( Shoulder )
[P] 05/24/2013 - Sean Marshall 15-day DL (5/21) ( Shoulder )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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