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Matchup Reports

Saturday at 4:05 PM
CINCINNATI (52-41) AT ATLANTA (53-40) 
 Starting Pitchers
TeamsLineW-LOv/Un/PRF/RAStartersRECERAWHIP
951: CINCINNATI
952: ATLANTA
7.0
+106
52-41
53-40
44-47-2
47-40-6
4.3 / 3.7
4.4 / 3.5
(R) H BAILEY
(L) M MINOR
5-7
8-4
3.70
3.05
1.12
1.09
Current Weather Conditions 
Conditions: Mostly Cloudy   Temperature: 79.0 °
Humidity: 72   Wind: East at 5.8 MPH (5 KT)
 
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Line
TeamPitcherEstimateEdge
CINCINNATIBAILEY +118 
ATLANTAMINOR-118 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
CINCINNATI team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games52-41-0.4231-192+1.31323-1375-25.444-47191-2061261-1289
when the total is 7 or less12-5+6.736-28+7.248-64-10.39-728-2946-50
on the road with a money line of -100 to -1258-7-0.229-37-12.7128-126-14.39-528-35109-126
in road games22-25-5.3108-103+1.6637-710+55.722-2490-112599-676
on the road when the total is 7 or less9-5+3.631-26+4.643-58-8.98-525-2641-45
in July games6-5-1.236-27+2.6210-224-15.23-826-33205-205
when playing on Saturday9-5+2.740-28+7.4223-217+9.87-733-31213-202
in day games21-17-1.687-69+4.1461-484-10.619-1776-69442-442
in games played on a grass field52-41-0.4229-191-0.51092-1161-15.744-47191-2041041-1084
against left-handed starters17-13+2.269-54+6.9372-381-9.112-1756-60345-372
after a win27-24-6116-115-26642-681-40.328-22101-111599-645
when playing against a team with a winning record16-22-9.685-93-12.2558-693-20.617-1980-86570-612
when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season1-2-0.829-32-4.3243-339-29.71-228-28265-278

ATLANTA team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games53-40+1.5236-182+13.61558-1193-24.447-40190-2061294-1316
when the total is 7 or less14-13-1.363-53+4.1183-144-1211-1452-53145-143
as a home underdog of +100 to +1252-0+2.29-5+4.459-53+10.91-16-851-57
in home games30-14+7.7125-82+6.9825-552-24.920-2189-106642-655
at home when the total is 7 or less10-6+2.234-24+2.998-65-3.18-624-2571-68
in July games5-6-4.439-25+6263-167+29.58-233-27221-185
when playing on Saturday9-4+4.838-28+5.1260-184+20.46-730-33215-205
in day games17-12+2.876-51+19.3495-351+4315-1063-57427-384
in games played on a grass field52-39+1.5233-180+12.11431-1115-48.945-40187-2041195-1222
against right-handed starters39-30-0.8169-118+20.71144-859-23.935-28132-138932-960
after a loss20-19-4.396-84-4.2685-499+3420-1684-84577-551
when playing against a team with a winning record22-13+8.392-75+12.8703-590+17.419-1481-78626-591
when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season1-1-0.325-27-5.1346-308-23.41-121-28326-291
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
CINCINNATI - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
6/29/2013LEAKE(R)@ TEXASTEPESCH(R)6-4W-1059.5 ovO1193561
6/30/2013LATOS(R)@ TEXASDARVISH(R)2-3L1358 evU681890
7/1/2013ARROYO(R)SAN FRANCISCOKICKHAM(L)8-1W-1558.5 evO1140220
7/2/2013BAILEY(R)SAN FRANCISCOLINCECUM(R)3-0W-1758.5 unU780011
7/3/2013CINGRANI(L)SAN FRANCISCOZITO(L)3-2W-1758.5 ovU101105120
7/5/2013LEAKE(R)SEATTLEHARANG(R)2-4L-1958.5 evU650631
7/6/2013LATOS(R)SEATTLEBONDERMAN(R)13-4W-2658.5 unO13808112
7/7/2013ARROYO(R)SEATTLESAUNDERS(L)1-3L-1808.5 ovU651651
7/8/2013BAILEY(R)@ MILWAUKEELOHSE(R)3-4L-1258 ovU11911190
7/9/2013CINGRANI(L)@ MILWAUKEEPERALTA(R)0-2L-1359 evU340440
7/10/2013LEAKE(R)@ MILWAUKEEHELLWEG(R)6-2W-1659 unU980441
7/11/2013LATOS(R)@ ATLANTAHUDSON(R)5-6L1007.5 unO10611183
7/12/2013ARROYO(R)@ ATLANTAMEDLEN(R)4-2W1207.5 unU1090430
7/13/2013BAILEY(R)@ ATLANTAMINOR(L) 
7/14/2013CINGRANI(L)@ ATLANTATEHERAN(R) 
7/19/2013 PITTSBURGH  
7/20/2013 PITTSBURGH  

ATLANTA - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
6/29/2013HUDSON(R)ARIZONAKENNEDY(R)11-5W-1457.5 evO111001091
6/30/2013MAHOLM(L)ARIZONACAHILL(R)6-2W-1508 unP10100861
7/2/2013MEDLEN(R)MIAMIKOEHLER(R)11-3W-2557.5 unO16711192
7/3/2013MINOR(L)MIAMINOLASCO(R)3-6L-2007.5 unO1060981
7/4/2013TEHERAN(R)MIAMIALVAREZ(R)3-4L-2407.5 unU74010120
7/5/2013MAHOLM(L)@ PHILADELPHIALEE(L)4-5L1407.5 unO9611060
7/6/2013HUDSON(R)@ PHILADELPHIAKENDRICK(R)13-4W-1208.5 ovO19100951
7/7/2013MEDLEN(R)@ PHILADELPHIAPETTIBONE(R)3-7L-1509 evO101011060
7/8/2013MINOR(L)@ MIAMISLOWEY(R)7-1W-1508 unP9608122
7/9/2013TEHERAN(R)@ MIAMIALVAREZ(R)6-4W-1557.5 unO1191752
7/10/2013MAHOLM(L)@ MIAMITURNER(R)2-6L-1257.5 unO66111120
7/11/2013HUDSON(R)CINCINNATILATOS(R)6-5W-1107.5 unO11831061
7/12/2013MEDLEN(R)CINCINNATIARROYO(R)2-4L-1307.5 unU4301090
7/13/2013MINOR(L)CINCINNATIBAILEY(R) 
7/14/2013TEHERAN(R)CINCINNATICINGRANI(L) 
7/19/2013 @ CHI WHITE SOX  
7/20/2013 @ CHI WHITE SOX  
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
CINCINNATI - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games52-41-0.444-474.30.2500.3213.70.2330.291
Road Games22-25-5.322-244.00.2430.3183.80.2400.298
vs Left-handed Starters17-13+2.212-173.90.2500.3203.50.2180.278
Past 7 Games3-4-2.22-54.60.2700.3443.30.2200.292
Grass Games52-41-0.444-474.30.2500.3213.70.2330.291
Day Games21-17-1.519-174.80.2490.3294.00.2360.295
CINCINNATI - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.30.2500.321933168792264900.033863317212869789426640
Road Games4.00.2430.318471604390121400.021801753541335755253125
Lefty Starters3.90.2500.32030103625990310.0311110722862392814238
CINCINNATI - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games3.471.224262.31081012102611127716-16251071.4%
Road Games3.491.302121.34947102956995-813668.4%

ATLANTA - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games53-40+1.547-404.40.2500.3203.50.2440.298
Home Games30-14+7.720-214.60.2560.3283.00.2270.279
vs Right-handed Starters39-30-0.835-284.40.2510.3203.50.2510.304
Past 7 Games4-3-0.15-15.60.2670.3294.40.2580.320
Grass Games52-39+1.545-404.40.2490.3203.40.2430.296
Day Games17-12+2.815-104.70.2560.3373.60.2460.308
ATLANTA - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.40.2500.3209331337822681100.043883258083166181568246
Home Games4.60.2560.328441424364122520.041921543621930634303819
Righty Starters4.40.2510.320692330585196810.032942386042748757426235
ATLANTA - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games2.571.133258.77774198169522917-726681.3%
Home Games2.051.021127.330298474612512-212285.7%
Starting Pitcher Season to Date Performance
HOMER BAILEY recent results and season statistics
HOMER BAILEY - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts3.701.1235-718116.76.549481028291148-10-5.47-10
Road Starts4.611.3062-6956.76.3302961613472-7-6.13-6
Last 3 Starts3.481.0641-2320.76.9881626191-2-1.20-3
HOMER BAILEY - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
7/8/2013at MILWAUKEE3-4-1258Loss,UnderL5.74410133LOHSE(R)
7/2/2013SAN FRANCISCO3-0-1758.5Win,UnderW9000019LINCECUM(R)
6/26/2013at OAKLAND0-5+1107.5Loss,UnderL6446127GRIFFIN(R)

MIKE MINOR recent results and season statistics
MIKE MINOR - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts3.051.0878-4181156.44339100142510812-6+2.510-7
Home Starts3.610.9772-3957.36.427234898585-4-2.45-4
Last 3 Starts3.931.4180-1318.36.1882125171-2-2.21-1
MIKE MINOR - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
7/8/2013at MIAMI7-1-1508Win 6.3116024SLOWEY(R)
7/3/2013MIAMI3-6-2007.5Loss,OverL6446139NOLASCO(R)
6/26/2013at KANSAS CITY3-4-1259Loss,Under 6339104MENDOZA(R)
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
Games over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI is 10-7 (+3.8 Units) against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
8 of 16 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.2 Units, Under=-1.2 Units)
Games this season
ATLANTA is 3-2 (+0.9 Units) against CINCINNATI this season
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.1 Units)

All games at ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 4-3 (-0.2 Units) against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.6 Units)
Games played at ATLANTA this season.
CINCINNATI is 1-1 (+0.2 Units) against ATLANTA this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.1 Units)

 Team StatsStarting Pitcher Stats
DateTeamsScoreLineTotalResultHHRSBLOBERRStarterW/LIPERHBB
7/12/2013CINCINNATI4+120  100190ARROYO(R)W7131
 ATLANTA2-1307.5 unUnder41030MEDLEN(R)L4491
7/11/2013CINCINNATI5+100 Over100161LATOS(R)L4692
 ATLANTA6-1107.5 unWin110083HUDSON(R)W7382
Pitcher Versus Team Past History
HOMER BAILEY vs. ATLANTA since 1997
BAILEY is 2-0 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 3.42 and a WHIP of 1.267.
His team's record is 4-0 (+4.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-1. (+1.0 units)
HOMER BAILEY recent starts vs. ATLANTA
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
5/7/2013ATLANTA5-4-1107.5Win,Over 5445047MEDLEN(R)
5/24/2012ATLANTA6-3-1209WinW6224116DELGADO(R)
5/14/2012at ATLANTA3-1+1208Win,Under 6.7116023DELGADO(R)

MIKE MINOR vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
MINOR is 1-1 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 3.46 and a WHIP of 1.231.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.2 units)
MIKE MINOR recent starts vs. CINCINNATI
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
5/8/2013at CINCINNATI7-2+1208Win,OverW7114137LEAKE(R)
5/21/2012at CINCINNATI1-4-1109Loss,UnderL6445444LEAKE(R)
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring CINCINNATI in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CINCINNATI games 0% of the time since 1997. (0-1109, -111.1 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CINCINNATI games 48% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (170-184, -33.0 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ATLANTA games 52.4% of the time since 1997. (1167-1060, -2.9 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ATLANTA games 55% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (193-158, +18.0 units)
Edge=ATLANTA
 
The betting public is favoring the UNDER in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CINCINNATI games 52.3% of the time since 1997. (862-786, -31.6 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CINCINNATI games 52.9% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (135-120, +1.0 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in ATLANTA games 49.8% of the time since 1997. (855-862, -121.0 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in ATLANTA games 50.4% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (113-111, -10.9 units)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
CINCINNATI
[P] 06/15/2013 - Jonathan Broxton 15-day DL (6/14) ( Elbow )
[P] 04/02/2013 - Nick Masset 60-day DL (3/22) ( Shoulder )
[LF] 04/03/2013 - Ryan Ludwick 60-day DL (4/2) ( Shoulder )
[P] 05/24/2013 - Sean Marshall 15-day DL (5/21) ( Shoulder )
[P] 06/28/2013 - Johnny Cueto 15-day DL (6/29) ( Side )
[C] 07/11/2013 - Ryan Hanigan 15-day DL (7/10) ( Wrist )
ATLANTA
[P] 03/31/2013 - Brandon Beachy 15-day DL (3/22) ( Elbow )
[P] 05/18/2013 - Eric O'Flaherty 15-day DL (5/18); out for season ( Elbow )
[P] 07/04/2013 - Jonny Venters 60-day DL (3/27); out for season ( Elbow )
[SS] 06/22/2013 - Ramiro Pena 15-day DL (6/17), out for season ( Shoulder )
[LF] 06/18/2013 - Evan Gattis 15-day DL (6/18) ( Oblique )
[CF] 07/04/2013 - Jordan Schafer 15-day DL (7/4) ( Ankle )
[P] 07/04/2013 - Cristhian Martinez 15-day DL (4/7) ( Shoulder )
[2B] 07/04/2013 - Blake DeWitt 15-day DL (4/20) ( Back )
[RF] 07/13/2013 - Jason Heyward expected to miss Saturday and Sunday vs. Cincinnati Reds ( Hamstring )
[CF] 07/13/2013 - B.J. Upton is downgraded to doubtful Saturday vs. Cincinnati Reds ( Groin )
[LF] 07/13/2013 - Justin Upton is upgraded to not expected to be in the starting lineup Saturday vs. Cincinnati Reds ( Calf )
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