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Matchup Reports

Saturday at 7:15 PM
ST LOUIS (56-35) AT CHICAGO CUBS (41-50) 
 Starting Pitchers
TeamsLineW-LOv/Un/PRF/RAStartersRECERAWHIP
953: ST LOUIS
954: CHICAGO CUBS
7.5
+103
56-35
41-50
46-42-3
42-44-5
4.9 / 3.5
4.1 / 4.2
(R) L LYNN
(R) M GARZA
11-3
5-1
3.67
3.22
1.19
1.07
Current Weather Conditions 
Conditions: Mostly Cloudy   Temperature: 54.0 °
Humidity: 51   Wind: Southwest at 11.5 MPH (10 KT)
 
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Line
TeamPitcherEstimateEdge
ST LOUISLYNN-105 
CHICAGO CUBSGARZA +105 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
ST LOUIS team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games56-35+9.1253-195+10.81513-1262+2.646-42227-2051324-1315
on the road with a money line of -100 to -12513-6+6.136-36-4.5190-187-23.310-737-32179-181
in road games29-19+7.5122-106+10.5695-697-17.425-21121-99689-641
in July games7-3+3.435-26+2.6237-190+16.75-525-33195-217
when playing on Saturday10-5+3.836-33-3.1246-204+11.111-439-28214-211
against division opponents21-11+5.8114-81+5.9693-565-30.915-1796-92596-604
in games played on a grass field56-35+9.1252-193+11.61449-1184+2046-42226-2031258-1249
in night games36-24+3.6171-127+15.4965-829-27.726-31145-141852-849
against right-handed starters48-23+18.3189-139+16.31114-886+61.836-33163-153964-940
after a win28-26-7.4133-117-16.6804-695-57.228-24119-122707-715
when playing against a team with a losing record32-18+6.4140-97+9.2793-599-9.123-24116-113681-649
when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season7-3+3.458-43-3.5402-304-16.55-546-51346-330

CHICAGO CUBS team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games41-50-3.5173-243-45.81289-1417-264.242-44195-2021278-1313
as a home underdog of +100 to +12510-15-3.639-45-0.8103-146-31.112-1137-43126-110
in home games21-25-4.398-110-12.2693-660-151.324-2092-106651-649
in July games6-5+2.730-32+5.2231-205+14.14-625-36202-221
when playing on Saturday6-8-1.925-42-14.9211-225-30.87-632-33195-226
against division opponents14-27-9.479-124-34.9620-643-111.918-2298-100600-606
in games played on a grass field41-50-3.5173-243-45.81232-1333-24242-44195-2021214-1242
in night games20-24-0.984-129-27585-693-13523-19108-95597-619
against right-handed starters29-35-2123-178-35.8944-1042-185.631-30148-143935-969
after a loss24-25+4.7105-135-12.7682-726-77.925-24120-114672-678
when playing against a team with a winning record18-34-10.682-129-20.5570-698-98.225-2799-104608-607
when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season4-3+2.338-58-5.5268-358-61.31-643-49307-293
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
ST LOUIS - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
6/29/2013WAINWRIGHT(R)@ OAKLANDPARKER(R)7-1W-1207.5 evO1051550
6/30/2013WESTBROOK(R)@ OAKLANDMILONE(L)5-7L1208.5 ovO8521261
7/2/2013LYNN(R)@ LA ANGELSWEAVER(R)1-5L1108 ovU981941
7/3/2013MILLER(R)@ LA ANGELSWILLIAMS(R)12-2W1008.5 ovO1380651
7/4/2013WAINWRIGHT(R)@ LA ANGELSBLANTON(R)5-6L-1358 unO10601141
7/5/2013WESTBROOK(R)MIAMITURNER(R)4-1W-1658.5 unU742330
7/6/2013KELLY(R)MIAMIEOVALDI(R)5-4W-1708 unO852651
7/7/2013LYNN(R)MIAMIFERNANDEZ(R)3-2W-1657 ovU670980
7/9/2013WAINWRIGHT(R)HOUSTONNORRIS(R)9-5W-2757.5 unO1580880
7/10/2013MILLER(R)HOUSTONLYLES(R)5-4W-2608 unO76210120
7/11/2013WESTBROOK(R)@ CHICAGO CUBSJACKSON(R)0-3L-1258.5 unU470761
7/12/2013KELLY(R)@ CHICAGO CUBSVILLANUEVA(R)3-2W-1108.5 unU770560
7/13/2013LYNN(R)@ CHICAGO CUBSGARZA(R) 
7/14/2013WAINWRIGHT(R)@ CHICAGO CUBSWOOD(L) 
7/19/2013WESTBROOK(R)SAN DIEGO  
7/20/2013 SAN DIEGO  

CHICAGO CUBS - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
6/29/2013SAMARDZIJA(R)@ SEATTLEHARANG(R)5-3W-1107 ovO10601080
6/30/2013JACKSON(R)@ SEATTLEBONDERMAN(R)7-6W1058 ovO9601071
7/2/2013RUSIN(L)@ OAKLANDGRIFFIN(R)7-8L1958 evO13511040
7/3/2013GARZA(R)@ OAKLANDCOLON(R)3-1W1807.5 unU1290470
7/4/2013WOOD(L)@ OAKLANDSTRAILY(R)0-1L1508 ovU240561
7/5/2013SAMARDZIJA(R)PITTSBURGHLIRIANO(L)2-6L+1257.5 unO44013130
7/6/2013JACKSON(R)PITTSBURGHMORTON(R)4-1W+1059 unU760551
7/7/2013VILLANUEVA(R)PITTSBURGHBURNETT(R)4-3W+1359 ovU871992
7/8/2013GARZA(R)@ CHI WHITE SOXSANTIAGO(L)8-2W1108 ovO13101530
7/9/2013WOOD(L)LA ANGELSBLANTON(R)7-2W+1259 ovP960650
7/10/2013SAMARDZIJA(R)LA ANGELSWILSON(L)2-13L+1208 unO5201570
7/11/2013JACKSON(R)ST LOUISWESTBROOK(R)3-0W+1158.5 unU761470
7/12/2013VILLANUEVA(R)ST LOUISKELLY(R)2-3L+1008.5 unU560770
7/13/2013GARZA(R)ST LOUISLYNN(R) 
7/14/2013WOOD(L)ST LOUISWAINWRIGHT(R) 
7/19/2013 @ COLORADO  
7/20/2013 @ COLORADO  
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
ST LOUIS - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games56-35+9.146-424.90.2730.3303.50.2420.294
Road Games29-19+7.525-215.20.2690.3283.60.2560.309
vs Right-handed Starters48-23+18.336-335.30.2830.3393.50.2400.291
Past 7 Games6-1+4.83-44.10.2490.3213.00.2110.277
Grass Games56-35+9.146-424.90.2730.3303.50.2420.294
Night Games36-24+3.626-314.90.2770.3333.50.2300.282
Division21-11+5.815-174.80.2720.3263.30.2440.299
ST LOUIS - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.90.2730.330913109849263810.03426263618235991044010319
Road Games5.20.2690.328481684453148440.032391473671131557226011
Righty Starters5.30.2830.339712437690208660.033542054771746784308217
ST LOUIS - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games3.591.2362461049823123732358-11281073.7%
Road Games2.651.149132.3423912013321194-413572.2%

CHICAGO CUBS - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games41-50-3.542-444.10.2410.2944.20.2410.305
Home Games21-25-4.324-204.60.2510.3114.60.2560.319
vs Right-handed Starters29-35-231-304.30.2440.2964.20.2390.302
Past 7 Games5-2+3.92-44.30.2380.3083.40.2140.281
Grass Games41-50-3.542-444.10.2410.2944.20.2410.305
Night Games20-24-0.923-194.10.2450.2934.60.2500.309
Division14-27-9.418-223.00.2110.2714.10.2400.308
CHICAGO CUBS - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.10.2410.2949130967462951000.033552346544957871627568
Home Games4.60.2510.311461527384165630.042011323222328543354733
Righty Starters4.30.2440.296642204538217710.032601624422840749435247
CHICAGO CUBS - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games4.091.3712511231142403210420711-14211755.3%
Home Games4.381.444133.7706513413591235-67750%
Starting Pitcher Season to Date Performance
LANCE LYNN recent results and season statistics
LANCE LYNN - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts3.671.18911-318112.76.346469454011313-5+6.68-9
Road Starts5.031.3044-3953.76.0303048422565-4+0.34-5
Last 3 Starts4.791.3061-2320.76.911112106191-2-1.70-3
LANCE LYNN - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
7/7/2013MIAMI3-2-1657Win,UnderW7227017FERNANDEZ(R)
7/2/2013at LA ANGELS1-5+1108Loss,UnderL6559018WEAVER(R)
6/26/2013at HOUSTON3-4-1708.5Loss,UnderL7.7445044BEDARD(L)

MATT GARZA recent results and season statistics
MATT GARZA - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts3.221.0735-11064.36.4242351818587-3+6.15-4
Home Starts5.401.1502-13206.712121944152-1+11-2
Last 3 Starts1.230.9553-03227.3431724213-0+3.91-1
MATT GARZA - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
7/8/2013at CHI WHITE SOX8-2+1108Win,OverW7215106SANTIAGO(L)
7/3/2013at OAKLAND3-1+1807.5Win,UnderW8114135COLON(R)
6/27/2013at MILWAUKEE7-2+1009WinW71180110PERALTA(R)
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
Games over the last 3 seasons
ST LOUIS is 25-15 (+3.2 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS over the last 3 seasons
23 of 39 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+5.2 Units)
Games this season
ST LOUIS is 5-3 (+0.4 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS this season
7 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+6.0 Units)

All games at CHICAGO CUBS over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO CUBS is 10-9 (+2.9 Units) against ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
11 of 18 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+3.6 Units)
Games played at CHICAGO CUBS this season.
CHICAGO CUBS is 2-2 (+0.4 Units) against ST LOUIS this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.0 Units)

 Team StatsStarting Pitcher Stats
DateTeamsScoreLineTotalResultHHRSBLOBERRStarterW/LIPERHBB
7/12/2013ST LOUIS3-110  70070KELLY(R)W5.3132
 CHICAGO CUBS2+1008.5 unUnder51060VILLANUEVA(R)L6242
7/11/2013ST LOUIS0-125 Under40070WESTBROOK(R)L7374
 CHICAGO CUBS3+1158.5 unWin70061JACKSON(R)W7030
6/20/2013CHICAGO CUBS1+165 Under51060FELDMAN(R)L5.3564
 ST LOUIS6-1757.5 evWin101060LYNN(R)W6132
6/19/2013CHICAGO CUBS1+155 Under20040JACKSON(R)L5.3462
 ST LOUIS4-1658.5 unWin91062WESTBROOK(R)W7023
6/18/2013CHICAGO CUBS4+190  82050SAMARDZIJA(R)W8.3271
 ST LOUIS2-2107 unUnder81040WAINWRIGHT(R)L7470
6/17/2013CHICAGO CUBS2+190 Under51072WOOD(L)L7370
 ST LOUIS5-2107.5 unWin80040MILLER(R)W5022
Pitcher Versus Team Past History
LANCE LYNN vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
LYNN is 5-1 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 2.65 and a WHIP of 1.098.
His team's record is 5-1 (+3.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-5. (-4.4 units)
LANCE LYNN recent starts vs. CHICAGO CUBS
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
6/20/2013CHICAGO CUBS6-1-1757.5Win,UnderW6113126FELDMAN(R)
5/7/2013at CHICAGO CUBS1-2-1307.5Loss,UnderL7224118WOOD(L)
7/27/2012at CHICAGO CUBS9-6-1557.5Win,OverW5668123WOOD(L)

MATT GARZA vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
GARZA is 2-1 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 4.22 and a WHIP of 1.438.
His team's record is 3-3 (+0.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-2. (+1.9 units)
MATT GARZA recent starts vs. ST LOUIS
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
7/21/2012at ST LOUIS0-12+1258Loss,Over 3002023WESTBROOK(R)
4/23/2012ST LOUIS3-2+1007Win,Under 7224035GARCIA(L)
8/20/2011ST LOUIS3-0-1058.5Win,UnderW7005028JACKSON(R)
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring CHICAGO CUBS in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ST LOUIS games 0% of the time since 1997. (0-1116, -84.3 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ST LOUIS games 52.3% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (195-178, +0.8 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CHICAGO CUBS games 52.1% of the time since 1997. (1145-1054, +3.1 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CHICAGO CUBS games 55.3% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (189-153, +22.1 units)
Edge=ST LOUIS
 
The betting public is favoring nothing on the total in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the total in ST LOUIS games 49.5% of the time since 1997. (862-880, -140.8 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in ST LOUIS games 49.2% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (129-133, -19.7 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CHICAGO CUBS games 50.8% of the time since 1997. (945-915, -108.8 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CHICAGO CUBS games 54.5% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (144-120, +9.5 units)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
ST LOUIS
[P] 03/31/2013 - Chris Carpenter 60-day DL (2/22) ( Shoulder )
[P] 05/18/2013 - Jaime Garcia 60-day DL (5/18), out for season ( Shoulder )
[P] 03/31/2013 - Jason Motte 60-day DL (3/22), out for season ( Elbow )
[SS] 03/31/2013 - Rafael Furcal 60-day DL (3/22) ( Elbow )
[P] 05/26/2013 - John Gast 15-day DL (5/26) ( Shoulder )
[LF] 07/12/2013 - Matt Holliday expected to miss series vs. Chicago Cubs ( Hamstring )
CHICAGO CUBS
[P] 04/02/2013 - Arodys Vizcaino 60-day DL (3/27) ( Elbow )
[CF] 06/14/2013 - David DeJesus 15-day DL (6/14) ( Shoulder )
[P] 05/28/2013 - Kyuji Fujikawa 60-day DL (5/27), out for season ( Arm )
[P] 04/02/2013 - Scott Baker 60-day DL (3/22) ( Elbow )
[P] 06/08/2013 - Rafael Dolis 15-day DL (5/27) ( Forearm )
[P] 06/12/2013 - Zach Putnam 60-day DL (6/12) ( Elbow )
[CF] 06/30/2013 - Ryan Sweeney 60-day DL (6/30) ( Ribs )
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