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Matchup Reports

Thursday at 12:35 PM
TAMPA BAY (77-65) AT BALTIMORE (80-62) 
 Starting Pitchers
TeamsLineW-LOv/Un/PRF/RAStartersRECERAWHIP
955: TAMPA BAY
956: BALTIMORE
8.5
+110
77-65
80-62
54-81-7
64-74-4
4.2 / 3.6
4.4 / 4.5
(R) J HELLICKSON
(L) W CHEN
8-10
12-9
3.33
4.06
1.25
1.24
Current Weather Conditions 
Conditions:    Temperature: 73.0 °
Humidity: 64   Wind: 
 
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Line
TeamPitcherEstimateEdge
TAMPA BAYHELLICKSON-130 
BALTIMORECHEN +130 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
TAMPA BAY team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
after a loss34-31-1.6115-92+2.2574-753-51.724-3883-113599-676
when playing against a team with a winning record45-40+0.5138-121-1533-730-46.735-45117-129565-646
when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season22-17+3.681-60+14.5298-407-10.416-2261-76314-365
in all games77-65+0.6267-208+61102-1331-69.354-81195-2571091-1239
when the total is 8 to 8.533-24+7.4128-90+16.1275-289-3.223-3297-112261-287
on the road with a money line of -100 to -1258-11-4.834-26+4.166-79-24.69-1033-2669-70
in road games38-33+7.6132-105+25.1489-728-75.631-36116-109575-588
on the road when the total is 8 to 8.516-14+354-42+12.1122-152+3.417-1251-40139-129
in September games6-4+1.437-28-0.2157-223-25.83-526-33176-187
when playing on Thursday8-9-1.830-23+5133-163-6.15-1020-29129-152
against division opponents31-25+2.1115-85+13.3466-556+24.723-2988-104466-517
in day games27-21+0.892-67+7.4382-438-2.117-2866-86356-429
in games played on a grass field32-30+4.7116-94+20.8407-616-75.527-33101-100490-492
against left-handed starters22-21+0.490-64+19.2300-376-36.818-2267-76311-339

BALTIMORE team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season22-18+11.676-82+32.9309-454-4117-2272-80358-371
in all games80-62+31.5217-252+25.81174-1409-13464-74216-2341222-1234
when the total is 8 to 8.531-22+12.875-86+2.9204-287-58.527-2580-78251-227
as a home underdog of +100 to +12516-9+8.540-40+4.2137-164-13.615-945-32154-135
in home games41-32+8118-119+9.9623-671-104.937-34113-114598-635
at home when the total is 8 to 8.519-13+647-46+1.6114-140-3417-1549-42139-110
in September games7-4+437-29+28.6173-241-198-333-28198-204
when playing on Thursday9-6+2.426-28+4.2148-172-18.47-628-21159-138
against division opponents34-24+19.786-116+5.6443-622-93.828-3090-103505-500
in day games27-14+17.465-70+11.7356-448-66.817-2365-64390-389
in games played on a grass field73-54+29.6197-221+27.21023-1214-113.757-66198-2031069-1063
against right-handed starters56-48+16.6155-179+14.3850-978-4145-55155-163850-882
after a win45-34+17.6113-106+36.7579-598+8.336-43103-109548-577
when playing against a team with a winning record50-37+26.4124-167+7.9543-820-118.837-48130-150660-635
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
TAMPA BAY - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
8/30/2012MOORE(L)@ TORONTOVILLANUEVA(R)0-2L-1508 unU540890
8/31/2012HELLICKSON(R)@ TORONTOMORROW(R)1-2L-1158 ovU1080410
9/1/2012NIEMANN(R)@ TORONTOALVAREZ(R)5-4W-1509 evP850770
9/2/2012PRICE(L)@ TORONTOROMERO(L)9-4W-1807.5 evO18120890
9/3/2012SHIELDS(R)NY YANKEESSABATHIA(L)4-3W-1207 unP1181540
9/4/2012COBB(R)NY YANKEESGARCIA(R)5-2W-1358.5 unU540650
9/5/2012MOORE(L)NY YANKEESKURODA(R)4-6L-1157 unO971840
9/7/2012HELLICKSON(R)TEXASHOLLAND(L)3-1W-1108 unU560520
9/8/2012ARCHER(R)TEXASDARVISH(R)2-4L+1207.5 unU340761
9/9/2012SHIELDS(R)TEXASOSWALT(R)6-0W-1357.5 unU1371220
9/11/2012MOORE(L)@ BALTIMOREHAMMEL(R)2-9L-1258 evO5611360
9/12/2012COBB(R)@ BALTIMOREGONZALEZ(R)2-3L-1258 evU91111090
9/13/2012HELLICKSON(R)@ BALTIMORECHEN(L) 
9/14/2012 @ NY YANKEES  
9/15/2012 @ NY YANKEES  
9/16/2012 @ NY YANKEES  
9/17/2012 BOSTON  
9/18/2012 BOSTON  
9/19/2012 BOSTON  
9/20/2012 BOSTON  

BALTIMORE - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
8/30/2012BRITTON(L)CHI WHITE SOXQUINTANA(L)5-3W-1109 unU8401060
8/31/2012GONZALEZ(R)@ NY YANKEESKURODA(R)6-1W1759 unU1250550
9/1/2012CHEN(L)@ NY YANKEESPHELPS(R)3-4L1259 evU461452
9/2/2012TILLMAN(R)@ NY YANKEESHUGHES(R)8-3W1409 unO1270650
9/3/2012SAUNDERS(L)@ TORONTOHAPP(L)4-0W1009 unU9140352
9/4/2012BRITTON(L)@ TORONTOVILLANUEVA(R)12-0W1008 unO1860461
9/5/2012GONZALEZ(R)@ TORONTOMORROW(R)4-6L1008 ovO541940
9/6/2012HAMMEL(R)NY YANKEESPHELPS(R)10-6W+1009 ovO11301080
9/7/2012CHEN(L)NY YANKEESHUGHES(R)5-8L-1059 unO840931
9/8/2012SAUNDERS(L)NY YANKEESSABATHIA(L)5-4W+1458.5 evO8501080
9/9/2012BRITTON(L)NY YANKEESGARCIA(R)3-13L-1109 evO4421480
9/11/2012HAMMEL(R)TAMPA BAYMOORE(L)9-2W+1158 evO1360561
9/12/2012GONZALEZ(R)TAMPA BAYCOBB(R)3-2W+1158 evU10909111
9/13/2012CHEN(L)TAMPA BAYHELLICKSON(R) 
9/14/2012 @ OAKLAND  
9/15/2012 @ OAKLAND  
9/16/2012 @ OAKLAND  
9/17/2012 @ SEATTLE  
9/18/2012 @ SEATTLE  
9/19/2012 @ SEATTLE  
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
TAMPA BAY - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games77-65+0.654-814.20.2380.3103.60.2310.292
Road Games38-33+7.631-364.60.2500.3173.90.2420.304
vs Left-handed Starters22-21+0.418-224.20.2420.3183.90.2310.295
Past 7 Games3-4-1.62-53.40.2130.2963.60.2180.259
Grass Games32-30+4.727-334.40.2450.3124.00.2440.304
Day Games27-21+0.817-284.10.2400.3213.80.2280.290
Division31-25+2.123-294.10.2440.3183.80.2340.304
TAMPA BAY - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.20.2380.310142471911243861440.0356449311571239281379914187
Road Games4.60.2500.317712429608212770.033112375945745483546542
Lefty Starters4.20.2420.318431420343114360.031741593824028642373333
TAMPA BAY - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games2.881.0774031371293073612741017-1944786.3%
Road Games3.701.211192.38479166216717710-1020387%

BALTIMORE - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games80-62+31.664-744.40.2470.3074.50.2550.315
Home Games41-32+837-344.70.2550.3154.80.2650.324
vs Right-handed Starters56-48+16.645-554.40.2460.3034.50.2580.318
Past 7 Games4-3+1.66-15.60.2540.3055.90.2730.351
Grass Games73-54+29.657-664.40.2470.3064.60.2580.317
Day Games27-14+17.417-234.30.2320.3034.30.2490.316
Division34-24+19.728-304.70.2580.3184.20.2410.308
BALTIMORE - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.40.2470.307142482511924351850.0458941411384988514510013359
Home Games4.70.2550.3157324476252461100.043252145553346766466940
Righty Starters4.40.2460.30310435478723181370.04439293837326261177610245
BALTIMORE - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games3.131.238470.91841644324315137426-10461476.7%
Home Games3.561.359255.3113101258298922314-721872.4%
Starting Pitcher Season to Date Performance
JEREMY HELLICKSON recent results and season statistics
JEREMY HELLICKSON - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts3.331.2498-1026151.45.8625613924509812-14-45-19
Road Starts3.151.2184-31165.76.02423561224356-5+1.63-8
Last 3 Starts3.710.9410-23175.7771452121-2-1.60-3
JEREMY HELLICKSON - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
9/7/2012TEXAS3-1-1108Win,Under 6114115HOLLAND(L)
8/31/2012at TORONTO1-2-1158Loss,UnderL6224212MORROW(R)
8/25/2012OAKLAND2-4-1457Loss,UnderL5446205MCCARTHY(R)

WEI-YIN CHEN recent results and season statistics
WEI-YIN CHEN - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts4.061.24212-928168.36.08476157255213817-11+810-17
Home Starts3.971.2466-51590.76.04640861527788-7-0.26-8
Last 3 Starts5.711.0380-2317.35.813111454161-2-11-2
WEI-YIN CHEN - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
9/7/2012NY YANKEES5-8-1059Loss,OverL4.7776314HUGHES(R)
9/1/2012at NY YANKEES3-4+1259Loss,UnderL6.7434124PHELPS(R)
8/27/2012CHI WHITE SOX4-3-1158.5Win,Under 6214118LIRIANO(L)
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
Games over the last 3 seasons
BALTIMORE is 24-26 (+8.7 Units) against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
33 of 48 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+15.7 Units)
Games this season
BALTIMORE is 8-6 (+4.3 Units) against TAMPA BAY this season
10 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+5.2 Units)

All games at BALTIMORE over the last 3 seasons
BALTIMORE is 11-15 (-0.8 Units) against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
14 of 25 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.2 Units)
Games played at BALTIMORE this season.
BALTIMORE is 5-3 (+2.4 Units) against TAMPA BAY this season
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.4 Units)

 Team StatsStarting Pitcher Stats
DateTeamsScoreLineTotalResultHHRSBLOBERRStarterW/LIPERHBB
9/12/2012TAMPA BAY2-125 Under912111COBB(R) 4.7272
 BALTIMORE3+1158 evWin100190GONZALEZ(R) 6265
9/11/2012TAMPA BAY2-125 Over52061MOORE(L)L4243
 BALTIMORE9+1158 evWin133260HAMMEL(R) 3.7111
8/5/2012BALTIMORE1+220  30060GONZALEZ(R) 7024
 TAMPA BAY0-2407 evUnder30170PRICE(L) 8023
8/4/2012BALTIMORE4+125  100280CHEN(L)W7051
 TAMPA BAY0-1357 evUnder60170HELLICKSON(R)L4484
8/3/2012BALTIMORE0+160 Under800100HUNTER(R)L5.7261
 TAMPA BAY2-1708 unWin62040MOORE(L)W5.3063
7/26/2012TAMPA BAY2-115 Under70170SHIELDS(R)L6565
 BALTIMORE6+1059 evWin71072TILLMAN(R)W6254
7/25/2012TAMPA BAY10-135  113080PRICE(L)W7170
 BALTIMORE1+1258.5 unOver70050GONZALEZ(R)L2.7772
7/24/2012TAMPA BAY3+125  61180HELLICKSON(R)W6.3130
 BALTIMORE1-1358.5 ovUnder31040CHEN(L)L6.7343
Pitcher Versus Team Past History
JEREMY HELLICKSON vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
HELLICKSON is 5-3 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 2.47 and a WHIP of 0.977.
His team's record is 5-4 (+0.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 7-2. (+4.7 units)
JEREMY HELLICKSON recent starts vs. BALTIMORE
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
8/4/2012BALTIMORE0-4-1357Loss,UnderL4448044CHEN(L)
7/24/2012at BALTIMORE3-1+1258.5Win,UnderW6.3113104CHEN(L)
6/2/2012BALTIMORE1-2-1507.5Loss,UnderL6.7214118MATUSZ(L)

WEI-YIN CHEN vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
CHEN is 1-2 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 3.72 and a WHIP of 1.138.
His team's record is 1-2 (-1.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-0. (+3.1 units)
WEI-YIN CHEN recent starts vs. TAMPA BAY
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
8/4/2012at TAMPA BAY4-0+1257Win,UnderW7005014HELLICKSON(R)
7/24/2012TAMPA BAY1-3-1358.5Loss,UnderL6.7334135HELLICKSON(R)
6/1/2012at TAMPA BAY0-5+1557Loss,UnderL5.7555145PRICE(L)
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring TAMPA BAY in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TAMPA BAY games 0% of the time since 1997. (0-858, 114.1 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TAMPA BAY games 55.4% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (220-177, +6.0 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BALTIMORE games 51.9% of the time since 1997. (1084-1005, +1.1 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BALTIMORE games 52.6% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (214-193, +18.3 units)
Edge=BALTIMORE
 
The betting public is favoring nothing on the total in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the total in TAMPA BAY games 53.3% of the time since 1997. (771-675, +9.8 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in TAMPA BAY games 52.6% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (120-108, -0.1 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BALTIMORE games 49.6% of the time since 1997. (765-778, -119.1 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BALTIMORE games 52.3% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (125-114, -0.7 units)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
TAMPA BAY
[P] 09/03/2012 - Jeff Niemann out indefinitely ( Rotator Cuff )
[RF] 05/16/2012 - Brandon Guyer 60-day DL (5/13), out for season ( Shoulder )
[C] 04/05/2012 - Robinson Chirinos 60-day DL (3/26) ( Concussion )
[P] 09/13/2012 - David Price probable Friday vs. New York Yankees ( Shoulder )
[LF] 09/13/2012 - Desmond Jennings is upgraded to expected to be in the starting lineup Thursday vs. Baltimore Orioles ( Back )
[LF] 09/13/2012 - Matt Joyce is not expected to be in the starting lineup Thursday vs. Baltimore Orioles ( Rest )
BALTIMORE
[2B] 07/30/2012 - Brian Roberts 60-day DL (7/2), out for season ( Hip )
[LF] 05/04/2012 - Nolan Reimold 60-day DL (5/1), out for season ( Neck )
[P] 04/06/2012 - Tsuyoshi Wada 60-day DL (3/28), out for season ( Elbow )
[DH] 06/28/2012 - Nick Johnson 60-day DL (6/28), out for season ( Wrist )
[P] 05/29/2012 - Stuart Pomeranz 60-day DL (5/26) ( Oblique )
[DH] 07/31/2012 - Jim Thome 15-day DL (7/29) ( Neck )
[P] 08/14/2012 - Troy Patton 15-day DL (8/12) ( Ankle )
[P] 09/08/2012 - Chris Tillman "?" next start ( Elbow )
[RF] 09/08/2012 - Nick Markakis 15-day DL (9/10), out 6 weeks ( Thumb )
[P] 09/12/2012 - Jason Hammel "?" for next start ( Knee )
[C] 09/13/2012 - Matt Wieters is not expected to be in the starting lineup Thursday vs. Tampa Bay Rays ( Rest )
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