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| The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
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| TAMPA BAY | HELLICKSON | -130 | | | BALTIMORE | CHEN | +130 | |
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| All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
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| after a loss | 34-31 | -1.6 | 115-92 | +2.2 | 574-753 | -51.7 | 24-38 | 83-113 | 599-676 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 45-40 | +0.5 | 138-121 | -1 | 533-730 | -46.7 | 35-45 | 117-129 | 565-646 | | when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season | 22-17 | +3.6 | 81-60 | +14.5 | 298-407 | -10.4 | 16-22 | 61-76 | 314-365 | | in all games | 77-65 | +0.6 | 267-208 | +6 | 1102-1331 | -69.3 | 54-81 | 195-257 | 1091-1239 | | when the total is 8 to 8.5 | 33-24 | +7.4 | 128-90 | +16.1 | 275-289 | -3.2 | 23-32 | 97-112 | 261-287 | | on the road with a money line of -100 to -125 | 8-11 | -4.8 | 34-26 | +4.1 | 66-79 | -24.6 | 9-10 | 33-26 | 69-70 | | in road games | 38-33 | +7.6 | 132-105 | +25.1 | 489-728 | -75.6 | 31-36 | 116-109 | 575-588 | | on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 | 16-14 | +3 | 54-42 | +12.1 | 122-152 | +3.4 | 17-12 | 51-40 | 139-129 | | in September games | 6-4 | +1.4 | 37-28 | -0.2 | 157-223 | -25.8 | 3-5 | 26-33 | 176-187 | | when playing on Thursday | 8-9 | -1.8 | 30-23 | +5 | 133-163 | -6.1 | 5-10 | 20-29 | 129-152 | | against division opponents | 31-25 | +2.1 | 115-85 | +13.3 | 466-556 | +24.7 | 23-29 | 88-104 | 466-517 | | in day games | 27-21 | +0.8 | 92-67 | +7.4 | 382-438 | -2.1 | 17-28 | 66-86 | 356-429 | | in games played on a grass field | 32-30 | +4.7 | 116-94 | +20.8 | 407-616 | -75.5 | 27-33 | 101-100 | 490-492 | | against left-handed starters | 22-21 | +0.4 | 90-64 | +19.2 | 300-376 | -36.8 | 18-22 | 67-76 | 311-339 |
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| when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season | 22-18 | +11.6 | 76-82 | +32.9 | 309-454 | -41 | 17-22 | 72-80 | 358-371 | | in all games | 80-62 | +31.5 | 217-252 | +25.8 | 1174-1409 | -134 | 64-74 | 216-234 | 1222-1234 | | when the total is 8 to 8.5 | 31-22 | +12.8 | 75-86 | +2.9 | 204-287 | -58.5 | 27-25 | 80-78 | 251-227 | | as a home underdog of +100 to +125 | 16-9 | +8.5 | 40-40 | +4.2 | 137-164 | -13.6 | 15-9 | 45-32 | 154-135 | | in home games | 41-32 | +8 | 118-119 | +9.9 | 623-671 | -104.9 | 37-34 | 113-114 | 598-635 | | at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 | 19-13 | +6 | 47-46 | +1.6 | 114-140 | -34 | 17-15 | 49-42 | 139-110 | | in September games | 7-4 | +4 | 37-29 | +28.6 | 173-241 | -19 | 8-3 | 33-28 | 198-204 | | when playing on Thursday | 9-6 | +2.4 | 26-28 | +4.2 | 148-172 | -18.4 | 7-6 | 28-21 | 159-138 | | against division opponents | 34-24 | +19.7 | 86-116 | +5.6 | 443-622 | -93.8 | 28-30 | 90-103 | 505-500 | | in day games | 27-14 | +17.4 | 65-70 | +11.7 | 356-448 | -66.8 | 17-23 | 65-64 | 390-389 | | in games played on a grass field | 73-54 | +29.6 | 197-221 | +27.2 | 1023-1214 | -113.7 | 57-66 | 198-203 | 1069-1063 | | against right-handed starters | 56-48 | +16.6 | 155-179 | +14.3 | 850-978 | -41 | 45-55 | 155-163 | 850-882 | | after a win | 45-34 | +17.6 | 113-106 | +36.7 | 579-598 | +8.3 | 36-43 | 103-109 | 548-577 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 50-37 | +26.4 | 124-167 | +7.9 | 543-820 | -118.8 | 37-48 | 130-150 | 660-635 |
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| Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed. |
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| Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
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| All Games | 77-65 | +0.6 | 54-81 | 4.2 | 0.238 | 0.310 | 3.6 | 0.231 | 0.292 | | Road Games | 38-33 | +7.6 | 31-36 | 4.6 | 0.250 | 0.317 | 3.9 | 0.242 | 0.304 | | vs Left-handed Starters | 22-21 | +0.4 | 18-22 | 4.2 | 0.242 | 0.318 | 3.9 | 0.231 | 0.295 | | Past 7 Games | 3-4 | -1.6 | 2-5 | 3.4 | 0.213 | 0.296 | 3.6 | 0.218 | 0.259 | | Grass Games | 32-30 | +4.7 | 27-33 | 4.4 | 0.245 | 0.312 | 4.0 | 0.244 | 0.304 | | Day Games | 27-21 | +0.8 | 17-28 | 4.1 | 0.240 | 0.321 | 3.8 | 0.228 | 0.290 | | Division | 31-25 | +2.1 | 23-29 | 4.1 | 0.244 | 0.318 | 3.8 | 0.234 | 0.304 |
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| All Games | 4.2 | 0.238 | 0.310 | 142 | 4719 | 1124 | 386 | 144 | 0.03 | 564 | 493 | 1157 | 123 | 928 | 137 | 99 | 141 | 87 | | Road Games | 4.6 | 0.250 | 0.317 | 71 | 2429 | 608 | 212 | 77 | 0.03 | 311 | 237 | 594 | 57 | 454 | 83 | 54 | 65 | 42 | | Lefty Starters | 4.2 | 0.242 | 0.318 | 43 | 1420 | 343 | 114 | 36 | 0.03 | 174 | 159 | 382 | 40 | 286 | 42 | 37 | 33 | 33 |
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| All Games | 2.88 | 1.077 | 403 | 137 | 129 | 307 | 36 | 127 | 410 | 17-19 | 44 | 7 | 86.3% | | Road Games | 3.70 | 1.211 | 192.3 | 84 | 79 | 166 | 21 | 67 | 177 | 10-10 | 20 | 3 | 87% |
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| All Games | 80-62 | +31.6 | 64-74 | 4.4 | 0.247 | 0.307 | 4.5 | 0.255 | 0.315 | | Home Games | 41-32 | +8 | 37-34 | 4.7 | 0.255 | 0.315 | 4.8 | 0.265 | 0.324 | | vs Right-handed Starters | 56-48 | +16.6 | 45-55 | 4.4 | 0.246 | 0.303 | 4.5 | 0.258 | 0.318 | | Past 7 Games | 4-3 | +1.6 | 6-1 | 5.6 | 0.254 | 0.305 | 5.9 | 0.273 | 0.351 | | Grass Games | 73-54 | +29.6 | 57-66 | 4.4 | 0.247 | 0.306 | 4.6 | 0.258 | 0.317 | | Day Games | 27-14 | +17.4 | 17-23 | 4.3 | 0.232 | 0.303 | 4.3 | 0.249 | 0.316 | | Division | 34-24 | +19.7 | 28-30 | 4.7 | 0.258 | 0.318 | 4.2 | 0.241 | 0.308 |
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| All Games | 4.4 | 0.247 | 0.307 | 142 | 4825 | 1192 | 435 | 185 | 0.04 | 589 | 414 | 1138 | 49 | 885 | 145 | 100 | 133 | 59 | | Home Games | 4.7 | 0.255 | 0.315 | 73 | 2447 | 625 | 246 | 110 | 0.04 | 325 | 214 | 555 | 33 | 467 | 66 | 46 | 69 | 40 | | Righty Starters | 4.4 | 0.246 | 0.303 | 104 | 3547 | 872 | 318 | 137 | 0.04 | 439 | 293 | 837 | 32 | 626 | 117 | 76 | 102 | 45 |
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| All Games | 3.13 | 1.238 | 470.9 | 184 | 164 | 432 | 43 | 151 | 374 | 26-10 | 46 | 14 | 76.7% | | Home Games | 3.56 | 1.359 | 255.3 | 113 | 101 | 258 | 29 | 89 | 223 | 14-7 | 21 | 8 | 72.4% |
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| JEREMY HELLICKSON recent results and season statistics |
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| All Starts | 3.33 | 1.249 | 8-10 | 26 | 151.4 | 5.8 | 62 | 56 | 139 | 24 | 50 | 98 | 12-14 | -4 | 5-19 | | Road Starts | 3.15 | 1.218 | 4-3 | 11 | 65.7 | 6.0 | 24 | 23 | 56 | 12 | 24 | 35 | 6-5 | +1.6 | 3-8 | | Last 3 Starts | 3.71 | 0.941 | 0-2 | 3 | 17 | 5.7 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 1-2 | -1.6 | 0-3 |
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| WEI-YIN CHEN recent results and season statistics |
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| All Starts | 4.06 | 1.242 | 12-9 | 28 | 168.3 | 6.0 | 84 | 76 | 157 | 25 | 52 | 138 | 17-11 | +8 | 10-17 | | Home Starts | 3.97 | 1.246 | 6-5 | 15 | 90.7 | 6.0 | 46 | 40 | 86 | 15 | 27 | 78 | 8-7 | -0.2 | 6-8 | | Last 3 Starts | 5.71 | 1.038 | 0-2 | 3 | 17.3 | 5.8 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 1-2 | -1 | 1-2 |
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| Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
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| BALTIMORE is 24-26 (+8.7 Units) against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons | | 33 of 48 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+15.7 Units) |
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| BALTIMORE is 8-6 (+4.3 Units) against TAMPA BAY this season | | 10 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+5.2 Units) |
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| BALTIMORE is 11-15 (-0.8 Units) against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons | | 14 of 25 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.2 Units) |
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| BALTIMORE is 5-3 (+2.4 Units) against TAMPA BAY this season | | 5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.4 Units) |
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| 9/12/2012 | TAMPA BAY | 2 | -125 | | Under | 9 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 1 | COBB(R) | | 4.7 | 2 | 7 | 2 | | | BALTIMORE | 3 | +115 | 8 ev | Win | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 0 | GONZALEZ(R) | | 6 | 2 | 6 | 5 | | 9/11/2012 | TAMPA BAY | 2 | -125 | | Over | 5 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 1 | MOORE(L) | L | 4 | 2 | 4 | 3 | | | BALTIMORE | 9 | +115 | 8 ev | Win | 13 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 0 | HAMMEL(R) | | 3.7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | | 8/5/2012 | BALTIMORE | 1 | +220 | | | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | GONZALEZ(R) | | 7 | 0 | 2 | 4 | | | TAMPA BAY | 0 | -240 | 7 ev | Under | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | PRICE(L) | | 8 | 0 | 2 | 3 | | 8/4/2012 | BALTIMORE | 4 | +125 | | | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | CHEN(L) | W | 7 | 0 | 5 | 1 | | | TAMPA BAY | 0 | -135 | 7 ev | Under | 6 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | HELLICKSON(R) | L | 4 | 4 | 8 | 4 | | 8/3/2012 | BALTIMORE | 0 | +160 | | Under | 8 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | HUNTER(R) | L | 5.7 | 2 | 6 | 1 | | | TAMPA BAY | 2 | -170 | 8 un | Win | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | MOORE(L) | W | 5.3 | 0 | 6 | 3 | | 7/26/2012 | TAMPA BAY | 2 | -115 | | Under | 7 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | SHIELDS(R) | L | 6 | 5 | 6 | 5 | | | BALTIMORE | 6 | +105 | 9 ev | Win | 7 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | TILLMAN(R) | W | 6 | 2 | 5 | 4 | | 7/25/2012 | TAMPA BAY | 10 | -135 | | | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 0 | PRICE(L) | W | 7 | 1 | 7 | 0 | | | BALTIMORE | 1 | +125 | 8.5 un | Over | 7 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | GONZALEZ(R) | L | 2.7 | 7 | 7 | 2 | | 7/24/2012 | TAMPA BAY | 3 | +125 | | | 6 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 0 | HELLICKSON(R) | W | 6.3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | | | BALTIMORE | 1 | -135 | 8.5 ov | Under | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | CHEN(L) | L | 6.7 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
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| HELLICKSON is 5-3 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 2.47 and a WHIP of 0.977. | | His team's record is 5-4 (+0.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 7-2. (+4.7 units) |
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| 8/4/2012 | BALTIMORE | 0-4 | -135 | 7 | Loss,Under | L | 4 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | CHEN(L) | | 7/24/2012 | at BALTIMORE | 3-1 | +125 | 8.5 | Win,Under | W | 6.3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | CHEN(L) | | 6/2/2012 | BALTIMORE | 1-2 | -150 | 7.5 | Loss,Under | L | 6.7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8 | MATUSZ(L) |
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| CHEN is 1-2 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 3.72 and a WHIP of 1.138. | | His team's record is 1-2 (-1.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-0. (+3.1 units) |
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| 8/4/2012 | at TAMPA BAY | 4-0 | +125 | 7 | Win,Under | W | 7 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | HELLICKSON(R) | | 7/24/2012 | TAMPA BAY | 1-3 | -135 | 8.5 | Loss,Under | L | 6.7 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 5 | HELLICKSON(R) | | 6/1/2012 | at TAMPA BAY | 0-5 | +155 | 7 | Loss,Under | L | 5.7 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 5 | PRICE(L) |
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| Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TAMPA BAY games 0% of the time since 1997. (0-858, 114.1 units) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TAMPA BAY games 55.4% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (220-177, +6.0 units) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BALTIMORE games 51.9% of the time since 1997. (1084-1005, +1.1 units) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BALTIMORE games 52.6% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (214-193, +18.3 units) | |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the total in TAMPA BAY games 53.3% of the time since 1997. (771-675, +9.8 units) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in TAMPA BAY games 52.6% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (120-108, -0.1 units) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in BALTIMORE games 49.6% of the time since 1997. (765-778, -119.1 units) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in BALTIMORE games 52.3% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (125-114, -0.7 units) | |
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| [P] 09/03/2012 - Jeff Niemann out indefinitely ( Rotator Cuff ) | | [RF] 05/16/2012 - Brandon Guyer 60-day DL (5/13), out for season ( Shoulder ) | | [C] 04/05/2012 - Robinson Chirinos 60-day DL (3/26) ( Concussion ) | | [P] 09/13/2012 - David Price probable Friday vs. New York Yankees ( Shoulder ) | | [LF] 09/13/2012 - Desmond Jennings is upgraded to expected to be in the starting lineup Thursday vs. Baltimore Orioles ( Back ) | | [LF] 09/13/2012 - Matt Joyce is not expected to be in the starting lineup Thursday vs. Baltimore Orioles ( Rest ) | |
| [2B] 07/30/2012 - Brian Roberts 60-day DL (7/2), out for season ( Hip ) | | [LF] 05/04/2012 - Nolan Reimold 60-day DL (5/1), out for season ( Neck ) | | [P] 04/06/2012 - Tsuyoshi Wada 60-day DL (3/28), out for season ( Elbow ) | | [DH] 06/28/2012 - Nick Johnson 60-day DL (6/28), out for season ( Wrist ) | | [P] 05/29/2012 - Stuart Pomeranz 60-day DL (5/26) ( Oblique ) | | [DH] 07/31/2012 - Jim Thome 15-day DL (7/29) ( Neck ) | | [P] 08/14/2012 - Troy Patton 15-day DL (8/12) ( Ankle ) | | [P] 09/08/2012 - Chris Tillman "?" next start ( Elbow ) | | [RF] 09/08/2012 - Nick Markakis 15-day DL (9/10), out 6 weeks ( Thumb ) | | [P] 09/12/2012 - Jason Hammel "?" for next start ( Knee ) | | [C] 09/13/2012 - Matt Wieters is not expected to be in the starting lineup Thursday vs. Tampa Bay Rays ( Rest ) |
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