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Page last updated on Sat Apr 18 15:15:46 EDT 2015
Matchup Reports

Monday at 7:10 PM
ST LOUIS (16-16) AT ATLANTA (17-13) 
 Starting Pitchers
TeamsLineW-LOv/Un/PRF/RAStartersRECERAWHIP
955: ST LOUIS
956: ATLANTA
7.5
-107
16-16
17-13
13-17-2
11-18-1
3.6 / 3.2
3.3 / 3.0
(R) S MILLER
(R) A HARANG
3-2
3-2
3.15
2.97
1.46
1.07
Current Weather Conditions 
Conditions: A Few Clouds   Temperature: 85.0 °
Humidity: 55   Wind: West at 5.8 MPH (5 KT)
 
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Line
TeamPitcherEstimateEdge
ST LOUISMILLER-135
ATLANTAHARANG +135 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
ST LOUIS team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games16-16-4.9217-169+3.31579-1316+0.913-17185-1831378-1373
as a road underdog of +100 to +1254-0+4.428-25+5.4182-177+24.50-226-22168-173
in road games9-11-4.897-101-16.5721-732-31.55-1396-93717-670
in May games1-2-2.434-250256-221-15.62-137-19234-217
when playing on Monday3-2+0.327-18+4.7155-130+1.32-322-21135-145
in games played on a grass field16-16-4.9217-169+3.31515-1238+18.413-17185-1831312-1307
in night games8-8-2.2136-113-7.81007-865-31.97-8109-126886-886
against right-handed starters14-11-0.7160-117+12.21164-920+67.911-13133-1321005-978
after a win4-11-10111-104-23.5836-729-69.15-1098-109734-750
when playing against a team with a winning record7-8-2.887-91-20.5660-629-2.25-889-79595-621

ATLANTA team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games17-13+2.7208-151+25.91619-1235-15.211-18156-1871334-1375
at home with a money line of -100 to -1253-1+1.824-22-1.2106-114-25.31-324-21101-102
in home games9-6+1114-66+19.2861-570-15.75-975-97662-686
in May games0-4-5.629-32-8.2281-203+15.51-332-26233-232
when playing on Monday2-1+0.920-23-9.7162-135-24.11-217-24139-147
in games played on a grass field17-13+2.7205-149+24.41492-1157-39.711-18153-1851235-1281
in night games12-8+2.4143-106+8.81101-866-59.610-9108-131892-967
against right-handed starters14-12+0.5150-100+26.21191-891-17.710-15109-125964-1003
after a loss6-6-281-66+4.5711-514+42.33-864-76591-575
after 3 or more consecutive losses0-3-4.318-14+1.5122-84+16.80-315-1590-102
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
ST LOUIS - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
4/21/2014LYONS(L)@ NY METSMEJIA(R)0-2L-1207.5 unU671790
4/22/2014WAINWRIGHT(R)@ NY METSGEE(R)3-0W-1607 ovU1090441
4/23/2014WACHA(R)@ NY METSNIESE(L)2-3L-1406.5 ovU11101480
4/24/2014LYNN(R)@ NY METSCOLON(R)1-4L-1257 unU461751
4/25/2014MILLER(R)PITTSBURGHCOLE(R)1-0W-1157 ovU8100481
4/26/2014LYONS(L)PITTSBURGHLIRIANO(L)1-6L-1107.5 ovU590730
4/27/2014WAINWRIGHT(R)PITTSBURGHVOLQUEZ(R)7-0W-1907.5 evU920350
4/28/2014WACHA(R)MILWAUKEEGALLARDO(R)3-5L-1657 unO1113011111
4/29/2014LYNN(R)MILWAUKEELOHSE(R)4-5L-1607 unO990960
4/30/2014MILLER(R)MILWAUKEEGARZA(R)9-3W-1457 unO13111990
5/2/2014WAINWRIGHT(R)@ CHICAGO CUBSWOOD(L)5-6L-1608 unO8401261
5/3/2014WACHA(R)@ CHICAGO CUBSARRIETA(R)0-3L-1758 unU780660
5/4/2014LYNN(R)@ CHICAGO CUBSHAMMEL(R)5-4W-1307 unO1171580
5/5/2014MILLER(R)@ ATLANTAHARANG(R) 
5/6/2014LYONS(L)@ ATLANTAFLOYD(R) 
5/7/2014WAINWRIGHT(R)@ ATLANTAMINOR(L) 
5/9/2014WACHA(R)@ PITTSBURGHLIRIANO(L) 
5/10/2014LYNN(R)@ PITTSBURGHVOLQUEZ(R) 
5/11/2014MILLER(R)@ PITTSBURGHRODRIGUEZ(L) 
5/12/2014 CHICAGO CUBS  

ATLANTA - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
4/21/2014TEHERAN(R)MIAMIKOEHLER(R)4-2W-1857.5 ovU91239101
4/22/2014WOOD(L)MIAMIFERNANDEZ(R)0-1L-1306.5 unU330431
4/23/2014HARANG(R)MIAMIEOVALDI(R)3-1W-1357 unU780771
4/25/2014SANTANA(R)CINCINNATIBAILEY(R)5-4W-1307 evO10401170
4/26/2014HALE(R)CINCINNATILEAKE(R)4-1W-1257.5 unU840230
4/27/2014TEHERAN(R)CINCINNATICUETO(R)1-0W-1056.5 ovU790560
4/29/2014WOOD(L)@ MIAMIFERNANDEZ(R)0-9L1206 unO3511340
4/30/2014HARANG(R)@ MIAMIEOVALDI(R)3-9L-1107 ovO6311580
5/1/2014SANTANA(R)@ MIAMIALVAREZ(R)4-5L-1357.5 unO9801080
5/2/2014MINOR(L)SAN FRANCISCOLINCECUM(R)1-2L-1307.5 unU8120870
5/3/2014TEHERAN(R)SAN FRANCISCOVOGELSONG(R)1-3L-1707.5 unU570421
5/4/2014WOOD(L)SAN FRANCISCOBUMGARNER(L)1-4L-1307 unU46010101
5/5/2014HARANG(R)ST LOUISMILLER(R) 
5/6/2014FLOYD(R)ST LOUISLYONS(L) 
5/7/2014MINOR(L)ST LOUISWAINWRIGHT(R) 
5/9/2014TEHERAN(R)CHICAGO CUBSHAMMEL(R) 
5/10/2014SANTANA(R)CHICAGO CUBSSAMARDZIJA(R) 
5/11/2014WOOD(L)CHICAGO CUBSJACKSON(R) 
5/12/2014 @ SAN FRANCISCO  
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
ST LOUIS - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games16-16-4.913-173.60.2460.3083.20.2190.286
Road Games9-11-4.85-132.90.2320.2882.90.2090.288
vs Right-handed Starters14-11-0.811-133.80.2540.3143.20.2180.284
Past 7 Games3-4-3.65-24.70.2650.3253.70.2240.287
Grass Games16-16-4.913-173.60.2460.3083.20.2190.286
Night Games8-8-2.27-83.40.2510.3183.00.2020.273
ST LOUIS - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games3.60.2460.30832109126885200.021119923592352822288
Road Games2.90.2320.2882067315644110.02565315121351617175
Righty Starters3.80.2540.3142586121966170.02927518471842517248
ST LOUIS - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games3.701.08990403771527921-58372.7%
Road Games4.011.19649.3252241318461-25271.4%

ATLANTA - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games17-13+2.711-183.30.2330.2923.00.2280.286
Home Games9-6+15-93.40.2380.2942.80.2270.286
vs Right-handed Starters14-12+0.510-153.10.2260.2853.20.2370.293
Past 7 Games1-6-6.83-41.60.1860.2584.60.2740.317
Grass Games17-13+2.711-183.30.2330.2923.00.2280.286
Night Games12-8+2.410-93.80.2520.3103.60.2380.301
ATLANTA - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games3.30.2330.29230102123878320.0393852711921623192219
Home Games3.40.2380.2941550111935160.0351401347109136910
Righty Starters3.10.2260.2852688420064270.0376732301618421192117
ATLANTA - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games3.261.30677.3312871430926-310376.9%
Home Games3.071.39041151437220564-15183.3%
Starting Pitcher Season to Date Performance
SHELBY MILLER recent results and season statistics
SHELBY MILLER - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts3.151.4563-2634.35.7121229721263-3-0.52-4
Road Starts3.241.4411-1316.75.66613411161-2-11-2
Last 3 Starts1.591.4712-03175.73313212122-1+11-2
SHELBY MILLER - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
4/30/2014MILWAUKEE9-3-1457Win,OverW6336231GARZA(R)
4/25/2014PITTSBURGH1-0-1157Win,UnderW5.7003044COLE(R)
4/20/2014at WASHINGTON2-3+1407Loss,Under 5.3004057STRASBURG(R)

AARON HARANG recent results and season statistics
AARON HARANG - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts2.971.0733-2636.36.1121225214374-2+22-4
Home Starts1.501.0561-13186.0331306252-1+11-2
Last 3 Starts5.091.3581-1317.75.910101628202-1+0.91-2
AARON HARANG - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
4/30/2014at MIAMI3-9-1107Loss,OverL4.79910214EOVALDI(R)
4/23/2014MIAMI3-1-1357Win,Under 61160111EOVALDI(R)
4/18/2014at NY METS6-0-1157Win,UnderW7000065NIESE(L)
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
Games over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 9-5 (+4.2 Units) against ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
8 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.7 Units)
Games this season
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

All games at ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 5-2 (+2.2 Units) against ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.9 Units)
Games played at ATLANTA this season.
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

Pitcher Versus Team Past History
SHELBY MILLER vs. ATLANTA since 1997
MILLER is 1-1 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 2.13 and a WHIP of 0.868.
His team's record is 1-1 (-0.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (+0.1 units)
SHELBY MILLER recent starts vs. ATLANTA
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
8/24/2013ATLANTA6-2-1307.5Win,OverW7113106TEHERAN(R)
7/28/2013at ATLANTA2-5-1107.5Loss,UnderL5.7326126MEDLEN(R)

AARON HARANG vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
HARANG is 7-13 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 4.43 and a WHIP of 1.270.
His team's record is 9-16 (-4.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 16-8. (+7.1 units)
AARON HARANG recent starts vs. ST LOUIS
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
7/25/2012at ST LOUIS2-3+1359.5Loss,Under 7.3222048LOHSE(R)
5/24/2011ST LOUIS2-3+1006.5Loss,Under 7228017MCCLELLAN(R)
5/14/2010ST LOUIS3-4+1108.5Loss,UnderL6448225GARCIA(L)
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring ST LOUIS in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ST LOUIS games 0% of the time since 1997. (0-1161, -80.2 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ST LOUIS games 52.5% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (166-150, +2.8 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ATLANTA games 52.6% of the time since 1997. (1221-1099, +8.9 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ATLANTA games 54.8% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (166-137, +9.7 units)
Edge=ATLANTA
 
The betting public is favoring the OVER in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the total in ST LOUIS games 49.2% of the time since 1997. (907-936, -161.3 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in ST LOUIS games 46.3% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (124-144, -40.6 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in ATLANTA games 49.9% of the time since 1997. (903-906, -123.4 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in ATLANTA games 50.8% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (125-121, -12.4 units)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
ST LOUIS
[P] 04/17/2014 - Joe Kelly 15-day DL (4/17) ( Hamstring )
[P] 03/30/2014 - Jaime Garcia 15-day DL (3/21) ( Shoulder )
[P] 03/28/2014 - Jason Motte 15-day DL (3/21) ( Elbow )
ATLANTA
[SS] 05/04/2014 - Andrelton Simmons "?" Monday vs. St. Louis Cardinals ( Personal )
[P] 05/04/2014 - Ervin Santana expected to miss next scheduled start Tuesday ( Thumb )
[P] 03/29/2014 - Cory Gearrin 60-day DL (3/26) ( Elbow )
[P] 03/29/2014 - Brandon Beachy 60-day DL (3/21), out for season ( Elbow )
[P] 03/28/2014 - Kris Medlen 60-day DL (3/21), out for season ( Elbow )
[P] 03/28/2014 - Jonny Venters 60-day DL (3/21) ( Elbow )
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