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Page last updated on Sat Mar 28 19:35:13 EDT 2015
Matchup Reports

Tuesday at 8:15 PM
CINCINNATI (61-64) AT ST LOUIS (67-57) 
 Starting Pitchers
TeamsLineW-LOv/Un/PRF/RAStartersRECERAWHIP
957: CINCINNATI
958: ST LOUIS
7.5
-164
61-64
67-57
56-65-4
55-63-6
3.8 / 3.7
3.8 / 3.8
(R) A SIMON
(R) J LACKEY
12-8
12-8
3.28
3.91
1.18
1.27
Current Weather Conditions 
Conditions: Fair   Temperature: 66.0 °
Humidity: 23   Wind: from the West at 11.5 gusting to 19.6 MPH (10 gusting to 17
 
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Line
TeamPitcherEstimateEdge
CINCINNATISIMON +112
ST LOUISLACKEY-112 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
CINCINNATI team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games62-64-4.9251-205+4.91423-1471-3656-66197-2351350-1387
as a road underdog of +150 to +1751-1+0.73-4+181-117+11.52-03-485-103
in road games30-35-2.9120-110+5686-761+52.930-33100-120648-723
in August games7-10-4.242-32+2.6248-250+5.510-641-26248-220
when playing on Tuesday9-11-3.136-34-5.8207-226-18.311-929-40189-224
against division opponents29-21+6.3118-88+6.7678-666+6.325-2590-107634-629
in games played on a grass field62-64-4.9251-205+4.91192-1257-26.356-66197-2351130-1182
in night games36-44-9.9152-137-10.8917-954-34.138-39124-150875-902
against right-handed starters47-50-6.4176-146-4.31026-1063-22.639-55138-166980-991
after a loss32-29+2.6118-82+24.2727-731+19.826-3289-104701-684
after 3 or more consecutive losses7-5+2.819-15+1.2167-198-23.12-1010-23187-161
when playing against a team with a winning record29-29+0.8103-99-2.5606-738-18.628-2887-101614-654
when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season7-11-4.342-40-1.6269-366-32.88-1034-40289-302

ST LOUIS team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games67-57-1.2268-210+71630-1357+4.555-63227-2291420-1419
as a home favorite of -150 to -1759-9-5.443-28-1.7245-146+11.38-831-32176-187
in home games37-26+1.9150-89+21.8888-605+34.429-31110-117682-730
in August games10-7+1.542-33-0.2276-222-29-839-34229-240
when playing on Tuesday10-8+0.542-27+8247-195+4.46-1124-42205-220
against division opponents28-19+3.7122-83+14.1749-605-25.128-17109-87654-636
in games played on a grass field64-55-2.7265-208+5.51563-1277+20.654-59226-2251353-1349
in night games41-38-5.3169-143-10.91040-895-3532-43134-161911-921
against right-handed starters54-42+3.4200-148+16.31204-951+7241-51163-1701035-1016
after a win31-35-10.4138-128-23.8863-753-69.429-35122-134758-775
when playing against a team with a losing record34-28-1.8145-94+16.8849-638-7.128-30110-117725-694
when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season11-11-267-42+10.2435-326-14.611-1148-56373-356
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
CINCINNATI - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
8/5/2014CUETO(R)@ CLEVELANDTOMLIN(R)9-2W1057 unO1580541
8/6/2014LATOS(R)CLEVELANDSALAZAR(R)8-3W+1007 ovO1020750
8/7/2014BAILEY(R)CLEVELANDHOUSE(L)4-0W-1157.5 unU851563
8/8/2014LEAKE(R)MIAMIEOVALDI(R)1-2L-1307 evU7707100
8/9/2014SIMON(R)MIAMIPENNY(R)3-4L-1358 unU7808121
8/10/2014CUETO(R)MIAMIHAND(L)7-2W-1807 unO741571
8/12/2014LATOS(R)BOSTONKELLY(R)2-3L-1257.5 unU660851
8/13/2014LEAKE(R)BOSTONRANAUDO(R)4-5L-1307.5 unO1070850
8/14/2014SIMON(R)@ COLORADODE LA ROSA(L)3-7L1159 ovO6311060
8/15/2014CUETO(R)@ COLORADOBELISLE(R)3-2W-1459 unU1190660
8/17/2014LATOS(R)@ COLORADOLYLES(R)9-10L-1109.5 ovO118014111
8/17/2014AXELROD(R)@ COLORADOFLANDE(L)5-10L11510.5 unO7411681
8/18/2014LEAKE(R)@ ST LOUISMASTERSON(R)5-6L1208 unO8801371
8/19/2014SIMON(R)@ ST LOUISLACKEY(R) 
8/20/2014CUETO(R)@ ST LOUISLYNN(R) 
8/21/2014HOLMBERG(L)ATLANTATEHERAN(R) 
8/22/2014LATOS(R)ATLANTAMINOR(L) 
8/23/2014LEAKE(R)ATLANTASANTANA(R) 
8/24/2014SIMON(R)ATLANTAHARANG(R) 
8/26/2014 CHICAGO CUBS  

ST LOUIS - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
8/5/2014LYNN(R)BOSTONDE LA ROSA(R)3-2W-1457.5 evU1091550
8/6/2014MILLER(R)BOSTONKELLY(R)1-2L-1358 unU570860
8/7/2014WAINWRIGHT(R)BOSTONWORKMAN(R)5-2W-1657.5 unU840880
8/8/2014MASTERSON(R)@ BALTIMORETILLMAN(R)2-12L1208 ovO43115100
8/9/2014LACKEY(R)@ BALTIMOREJIMENEZ(R)3-10L-1058.5 unO91011660
8/10/2014LYNN(R)@ BALTIMOREGAUSMAN(R)8-3W1158.5 unO171001081
8/11/2014MILLER(R)@ MIAMIKOEHLER(R)5-6L-1057.5 unO12811160
8/12/2014WAINWRIGHT(R)@ MIAMICOSART(R)0-3L-1357.5 unU460731
8/13/2014MASTERSON(R)@ MIAMIEOVALDI(R)5-2W1007.5 ovU1080522
8/14/2014LACKEY(R)SAN DIEGOSTULTS(L)4-3W-1857.5 unU750881
8/15/2014LYNN(R)SAN DIEGOROSS(R)4-2W-1357 unU890880
8/16/2014MILLER(R)SAN DIEGOHAHN(R)5-9L-1257.5 unO870980
8/17/2014WAINWRIGHT(R)SAN DIEGODESPAIGNE(R)7-6W-1957 unO1051870
8/18/2014MASTERSON(R)CINCINNATILEAKE(R)6-5W-1308 unO1371880
8/19/2014LACKEY(R)CINCINNATISIMON(R) 
8/20/2014LYNN(R)CINCINNATICUETO(R) 
8/22/2014MILLER(R)@ PHILADELPHIAKENDRICK(R) 
8/23/2014WAINWRIGHT(R)@ PHILADELPHIABUCHANAN(R) 
8/24/2014MASTERSON(R)@ PHILADELPHIAWILLIAMS(R) 
8/25/2014LACKEY(R)@ PITTSBURGHLIRIANO(L) 
8/26/2014 @ PITTSBURGH  
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
CINCINNATI - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games61-64-5.856-653.80.2440.2983.70.2360.299
Road Games29-35-3.930-323.80.2440.2913.90.2450.308
vs Right-handed Starters46-50-7.439-543.70.2420.2953.60.2360.297
Past 7 Games1-6-5.65-24.40.2460.3046.10.3060.358
Grass Games61-64-5.856-653.80.2440.2983.70.2360.299
Night Games36-44-9.938-393.80.2400.2964.00.2440.304
Division28-21+5.425-244.50.2630.3233.70.2400.302
CINCINNATI - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games3.80.2440.298125420810253351030.024553279639981981588953
Road Games3.80.2440.291642221541170410.022291505115442542325131
Righty Starters3.70.2420.295963237782249740.023392477448063467467645
CINCINNATI - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games4.001.3533171501412823214734210-23331766%
Road Games4.871.477151.7868215615681435-14171160.7%

ST LOUIS - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games67-57-1.255-633.80.2520.3103.80.2450.306
Home Games37-26+1.929-314.00.2570.3194.00.2400.302
vs Right-handed Starters54-42+3.341-513.70.2530.3083.70.2400.303
Past 7 Games5-2+2.43-44.40.2580.3084.30.2280.317
Grass Games64-55-2.754-593.80.2530.3113.90.2460.307
Night Games41-38-5.332-433.50.2500.3093.80.2430.308
Division28-19+3.728-174.30.2570.3194.20.2560.314
ST LOUIS - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games3.80.2520.31012441521047322810.02449351853498771256211141
Home Games4.00.2570.319632058529182420.022411863853043971295722
Righty Starters3.70.2530.308963203809235620.0233925964334664102529737
ST LOUIS - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games3.731.239362.31601503272912232716-17421475%
Home Games3.551.2151958177162107518010-1126974.3%
Starting Pitcher Season to Date Performance
ALFREDO SIMON recent results and season statistics
ALFREDO SIMON - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts3.281.18212-8241486.2595413418419215-9+6.99-15
Road Starts3.281.1677-41379.76.1342968725549-4+6.26-7
Last 3 Starts7.201.9330-23155.01412202980-3-3.42-1
ALFREDO SIMON - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
8/14/2014at COLORADO3-7+1159Loss,OverL57510112DE LA ROSA(L)
8/9/2014MIAMI3-4-1358Loss,Under 5224055PENNY(R)
8/4/2014at CLEVELAND1-7+1907Loss,OverL5556131KLUBER(R)

JOHN LACKEY recent results and season statistics
JOHN LACKEY - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts3.911.27312-824156.36.57368162193712814-10+2.611-13
Home Starts3.111.2356-312816.7302882518788-4+2.84-8
Last 3 Starts6.161.5791-13196.313132545122-1+11-2
JOHN LACKEY - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
8/14/2014SAN DIEGO4-3-1857.5Win,Under 7225035STULTS(L)
8/9/2014at BALTIMORE3-10-1058.5Loss,OverL59913323JIMENEZ(R)
8/3/2014MILWAUKEE3-2-1357.5Win,UnderW7227104GARZA(R)
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
Games over the last 3 seasons
ST LOUIS is 26-18 (+6.5 Units) against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
22 of 42 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.8 Units)
Games this season
ST LOUIS is 7-3 (+3.4 Units) against CINCINNATI this season
6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.0 Units)

All games at ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
ST LOUIS is 13-6 (+5.5 Units) against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
9 of 19 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-1.7 Units, Under=-0.5 Units)
Games played at ST LOUIS this season.
ST LOUIS is 3-1 (+1.6 Units) against CINCINNATI this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.1 Units)

 Team StatsStarting Pitcher Stats
DateTeamsScoreLineTotalResultHHRSBLOBERRStarterW/LIPERHBB
8/18/2014CINCINNATI5+120 Over81180LEAKE(R) 7481
 ST LOUIS6-1308 unWin130071MASTERSON(R) 5452
Pitcher Versus Team Past History
ALFREDO SIMON vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
No recent starts.
ALFREDO SIMON recent starts vs. ST LOUIS
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
No recent games found.

JOHN LACKEY vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
LACKEY is 1-0 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 1.50 and a WHIP of 0.667.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-0. (+0.0 units)
JOHN LACKEY recent starts vs. CINCINNATI
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
6/13/2007at CINCINNATI6-3-1609WinW6313114LOHSE(R)
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring Nobody in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CINCINNATI games 0% of the time since 1997. (0-1183, -96.7 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CINCINNATI games 53.5% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (208-181, +6.8 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ST LOUIS games 50.5% of the time since 1997. (1220-1197, -74.7 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ST LOUIS games 53% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (210-186, +8.4 units)
No Edge.
 
The betting public is favoring nothing on the total in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CINCINNATI games 52.2% of the time since 1997. (951-870, -40.1 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CINCINNATI games 52.5% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (178-161, -6.3 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in ST LOUIS games 49.7% of the time since 1997. (957-967, -147.2 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in ST LOUIS games 49.9% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (174-175, -26.5 units)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
CINCINNATI
[P] 08/18/2014 - Homer Bailey 15-day DL (8/8) ( Elbow )
[1B] 08/17/2014 - Joey Votto 60-day DL (7/1) ( Quad )
[P] 08/07/2014 - Logan Ondrusek 15-day DL (7/13) ( Shoulder )
[P] 06/21/2014 - Trevor Bell 60-day DL (4/08) ( Elbow )
[P] 06/14/2014 - Sean Marshall 60-day DL (6/13) ( Shoulder )
ST LOUIS
[P] 08/08/2014 - Jason Motte 15-day DL (8/1) ( Back )
[C] 07/10/2014 - Yadier Molina 15-day DL (7/9) ( Thumb )
[P] 07/06/2014 - Jaime Garcia 60-day DL (6/24), out for season ( Shoulder )
[P] 06/23/2014 - Michael Wacha 60-day DL (6/21) ( Shoulder )
[P] 05/13/2014 - Tyler Lyons 15-day DL (5/12) ( Shoulder )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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