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Matchup Reports

Sunday at 1:05 PM
BOSTON (45-32) AT DETROIT (41-32) 
 Starting Pitchers
TeamsLineW-LOv/Un/PRF/RAStartersRECERAWHIP
965: BOSTON
966: DETROIT
8.5
-175
45-32
41-32
38-35-4
39-33-1
5.1 / 4.1
5.0 / 3.9
(L) F DOUBRONT
(R) J VERLANDER
4-3
8-5
3.93
3.72
1.41
1.35
Current Weather Conditions 
Conditions: Light Rain   Temperature: 43.0 °
Humidity: 74   Wind: Southwest at 6.9 MPH (6 KT)
 
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Line
TeamPitcherEstimateEdge
BOSTONDOUBRONT +173 
DETROITVERLANDER-173 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
BOSTON team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in day games15-7+4.968-53+1462-379-12.88-1359-58386-410
in games played on a grass field37-28+0.8180-175-48.61336-1048-21.530-31171-1641089-1166
against right-handed starters31-21+5.5134-138-45.11097-846+6.327-22138-121899-940
after allowing 10 runs or more2-2-0.613-18-8.5123-94+132-115-1492-113
after a loss20-11+796-104-35.7675-546-16.615-1497-92535-615
when playing against a team with a winning record18-170103-106-13.8656-642-5916-1799-99586-651
in all games45-32+6206-197-43.41517-1225-50.638-35198-1851274-1329
when the total is 8 to 8.521-9+11.273-47+15286-190+31.117-1258-61232-235
as a road underdog of +150 to +1750-2-24-12-5.632-65-13.51-19-749-43
in road games22-17+5.9102-99-4.3710-660-16.519-1890-102619-686
on the road when the total is 8 to 8.511-5+6.645-28+14.6172-120+34.79-633-39138-148
in June games12-9+2.543-30+5.4250-197-9.110-1034-35207-218
when playing on Sunday7-5+039-25+9.2245-194+8.95-628-33184-227

DETROIT team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
after a win20-20-14127-110-19617-644-53.518-21118-107588-616
when playing against a team with a winning record19-18-5.9116-99+0.4590-771-87.922-1596-105615-682
in all games41-32-7237-186-1.31270-1436-149.839-33204-1951257-1321
when the total is 8 to 8.522-12+379-62-1.7269-318-53.419-1567-69288-286
as a home favorite of -150 to -1752-2-1.331-20-1.1111-74-7.93-127-2391-87
in home games25-13+0.3132-80+10.3696-656-54.422-15107-94631-654
at home when the total is 8 to 8.515-5+5.444-30+0.1148-165-38.911-935-37158-149
in June games12-8+0.642-33+2.1224-227-6.18-1233-40204-228
when playing on Sunday6-5-0.545-23+16.6210-221-14.14-626-40197-214
in day games16-16-9.897-67+7.3452-507-67.718-1375-82438-476
in games played on a grass field41-32-7227-181-7.21168-1278-113.139-33200-1851139-1190
against left-handed starters7-9-8.669-63-15.1374-394-14.610-567-58357-379
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
BOSTON - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
6/9/2013DEMPSTER(R)LA ANGELSBLANTON(R)10-5W-15510.5 unO1170992
6/10/2013LACKEY(R)@ TAMPA BAYCOBB(R)10-8W1307.5 ovO1510017131
6/11/2013LESTER(L)@ TAMPA BAYHERNANDEZ(R)3-8L-1158 unO8811091
6/12/2013ACEVES(R)@ TAMPA BAYARCHER(R)2-1W1309 unU580671
6/13/2013DOUBRONT(L)@ BALTIMOREGAUSMAN(R)4-5L-1159.5 unU94212161
6/14/2013DEMPSTER(R)@ BALTIMORETILLMAN(R)0-2L1009.5 unU370580
6/15/2013LACKEY(R)@ BALTIMOREGARCIA(R)5-4W-1059.5 unU9411040
6/16/2013LESTER(L)@ BALTIMOREGONZALEZ(R)3-6L1059 ovP6511481
6/18/2013ACEVES(R)TAMPA BAYARCHER(R)5-1W-11510 unU880681
6/18/2013DOUBRONT(L)TAMPA BAYODORIZZI(R)3-1W-15010 unU760430
6/19/2013DEMPSTER(R)TAMPA BAYHELLICKSON(R)2-6L-1309.5 unU75115100
6/20/2013LACKEY(R)@ DETROITALVAREZ(L)3-4L1059 evU790850
6/21/2013LESTER(L)@ DETROITFISTER(R)10-6W1258.5 ovO17901181
6/22/2013WEBSTER(R)@ DETROITSCHERZER(R)3-10L1659 unO10501571
6/23/2013DOUBRONT(L)@ DETROITVERLANDER(R) 
6/25/2013DEMPSTER(R)COLORADONICASIO(R) 
6/26/2013LACKEY(R)COLORADOOSWALT(R) 
6/27/2013LESTER(L)TORONTOWANG(R) 
6/28/2013DOUBRONT(L)TORONTOJOHNSON(R) 
6/29/2013 TORONTOROGERS(R) 
6/30/2013 TORONTO  

DETROIT - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
6/9/2013ALVAREZ(L)CLEVELANDMASTERSON(R)4-1W-1209 ovU660661
6/10/2013FISTER(R)@ KANSAS CITYGUTHRIE(R)2-3L-1358.5 unU780940
6/11/2013SCHERZER(R)@ KANSAS CITYDAVIS(R)3-2W-1608.5 ovU11100540
6/12/2013VERLANDER(R)@ KANSAS CITYSHIELDS(R)2-3L-1157.5 ovU782860
6/14/2013PORCELLO(R)@ MINNESOTADIAMOND(L)4-0W-1359 unU542350
6/15/2013SANCHEZ(R)@ MINNESOTADEDUNO(R)3-6L-1608.5 evO8601481
6/16/2013FISTER(R)@ MINNESOTAWALTERS(R)5-2W-1459 unU1170330
6/17/2013SCHERZER(R)BALTIMOREARRIETA(R)5-1W-1858.5 ovU1470780
6/18/2013VERLANDER(R)BALTIMOREBRITTON(L)2-5L-2058 ovU9100971
6/19/2013PORCELLO(R)BALTIMORETILLMAN(R)3-13L-1359 unO111001750
6/20/2013ALVAREZ(L)BOSTONLACKEY(R)4-3W-1159 evU850790
6/21/2013FISTER(R)BOSTONLESTER(L)6-10L-1358.5 ovO11811790
6/22/2013SCHERZER(R)BOSTONWEBSTER(R)10-3W-1759 unO15711050
6/23/2013VERLANDER(R)BOSTONDOUBRONT(L) 
6/25/2013PORCELLO(R)LA ANGELSWILSON(L) 
6/26/2013ALVAREZ(L)LA ANGELSHANSON(R) 
6/27/2013FISTER(R)LA ANGELSWEAVER(R) 
6/28/2013SCHERZER(R)@ TAMPA BAYCOLOME(R) 
6/29/2013VERLANDER(R)@ TAMPA BAYARCHER(R) 
6/30/2013 @ TAMPA BAY  
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
BOSTON - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games45-32+638-355.10.2690.3414.10.2480.321
Road Games22-17+5.919-185.00.2600.3363.80.2550.327
vs Right-handed Starters31-21+5.427-225.30.2730.3434.30.2440.319
Past 7 Games3-4-12-44.10.2630.3204.90.3020.352
Grass Games37-28+0.830-314.90.2750.3434.20.2470.319
Day Games15-7+4.98-134.90.2580.3333.50.2380.302
BOSTON - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games5.10.2690.341772647712269850.033802916365956375376852
Road Games5.00.2600.336391373357120450.031901563363729345123523
Righty Starters5.30.2730.343521805492189600.032701944374738051274139
BOSTON - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games4.141.397224106103216289724012-913959.1%
Road Games2.891.225118.338389914461315-48466.7%

DETROIT - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games41-32-739-335.00.2830.3493.90.2420.297
Home Games25-13+0.322-155.60.3060.3733.90.2390.296
vs Left-handed Starters7-9-8.610-55.20.2820.3594.80.2670.325
Past 7 Games4-3-0.83-45.00.3240.3825.30.2790.327
Grass Games41-32-739-335.00.2830.3493.90.2420.297
Day Games16-16-9.918-134.70.2810.3454.20.2420.308
DETROIT - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games5.00.2830.349732598735220770.033562624872257975295853
Home Games5.60.3060.373381306399111410.032071402311029539103027
Lefty Starters5.20.2820.3591658116450180.0384709711411181613
DETROIT - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games4.021.311206949218618842175-1316964%
Home Games4.171.34999.44846881046992-510376.9%
Starting Pitcher Season to Date Performance
FELIX DOUBRONT recent results and season statistics
FELIX DOUBRONT - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Games4.381.4864-31374-39367863274---
All Starts3.931.4124-31268.75.7333067630708-4+3.87-5
Road Starts4.841.7832-2735.35.0201946417364-3+1.43-4
Last 3 Starts2.891.0180-1318.76.2761613151-2-1.81-2
FELIX DOUBRONT - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
6/18/2013TAMPA BAY3-1-15010Win,Under 8003006ODORIZZI(R)
6/13/2013at BALTIMORE4-5-1159.5Loss,Under 4.7437115GAUSMAN(R)
6/8/2013LA ANGELS5-9-16510.5Loss,OverL6336024HANSON(R)

JUSTIN VERLANDER recent results and season statistics
JUSTIN VERLANDER - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts3.721.3488-515926.14038927321068-7-4.19-5
Home Starts3.771.4343-3745.36.5211947318473-4-5.44-2
Last 3 Starts3.791.3161-13196.3881728191-2-2.21-2
JUSTIN VERLANDER - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
6/18/2013BALTIMORE2-5-2058Loss,UnderL5557245BRITTON(L)
6/12/2013at KANSAS CITY2-3-1157.5Loss,Under 7003028SHIELDS(R)
6/7/2013CLEVELAND7-5-2108Win,OverW7337026JIMENEZ(R)
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
Games over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 11-8 (+3.5 Units) against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
11 of 17 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+4.7 Units)
Games this season
DETROIT is 2-1 (+0.7 Units) against BOSTON this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

All games at DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 6-4 (+1.5 Units) against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.8 Units)
Games played at DETROIT this season.
DETROIT is 2-1 (+0.7 Units) against BOSTON this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

 Team StatsStarting Pitcher Stats
DateTeamsScoreLineTotalResultHHRSBLOBERRStarterW/LIPERHBB
6/22/2013BOSTON3+165 Over101050WEBSTER(R)L4.3582
 DETROIT10-1759 unWin152171SCHERZER(R)W7260
6/21/2013BOSTON10+125  171090LESTER(L)W5.7593
 DETROIT6-1358.5 ovOver112081FISTER(R)L3.36111
6/20/2013BOSTON3+105 Under71190LACKEY(R) 7271
 DETROIT4-1159 evWin81050ALVAREZ(L) 5252
Pitcher Versus Team Past History
FELIX DOUBRONT vs. DETROIT since 1997
DOUBRONT is 1-0 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 3.00 and a WHIP of 0.833.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)
FELIX DOUBRONT recent starts vs. DETROIT
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
5/28/2012DETROIT7-4-1259Win,OverW6224216FISTER(R)

JUSTIN VERLANDER vs. BOSTON since 1997
VERLANDER is 3-4 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 3.37 and a WHIP of 1.139.
His team's record is 4-6 (-2.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-6. (-5.6 units)
JUSTIN VERLANDER recent starts vs. BOSTON
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
7/31/2012at BOSTON1-4-1358Loss,UnderL5436046BECKETT(R)
5/29/2012at BOSTON3-6-1558.5Loss,OverL65510017BARD(R)
4/5/2012BOSTON3-2-1407Win,Under 8002017LESTER(L)
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring BOSTON in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BOSTON games 0% of the time since 1997. (0-1089, -143.2 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BOSTON games 54.3% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (183-154, +5.8 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in DETROIT games 52.6% of the time since 1997. (1129-1019, +19.9 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in DETROIT games 57.5% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (199-147, +39.3 units)
Edge=DETROIT
 
The betting public is favoring the OVER in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BOSTON games 51.9% of the time since 1997. (911-845, -53.4 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BOSTON games 57.1% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (136-102, +21.2 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in DETROIT games 50.2% of the time since 1997. (839-832, -108.6 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in DETROIT games 46.1% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (106-124, -33.6 units)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
BOSTON
[LF] 03/31/2013 - Ryan Kalish 60-day DL (2/20) ( Knee )
[P] 05/09/2013 - Joel Hanrahan 60-day DL (5/9), out for season ( Elbow )
[P] 06/12/2013 - Clay Buchholz 15-day DL (6/9) ( Neck )
[P] 06/12/2013 - Clayton Mortensen 15-day DL (6/11) ( Groin )
[C] 06/19/2013 - David Ross 7-day DL (6/14) ( Concussion )
[LF] 06/23/2013 - Daniel Nava is upgraded to probable Sunday vs. Detroit Tigers ( Thumb )
[P] 06/23/2013 - Franklin Morales out indefinitely ( Shoulder )
DETROIT
[P] 04/23/2013 - Octavio Dotel 60-day DL (4/20) ( Elbow )
[C] 06/17/2013 - Alex Avila 15-day DL (6/17) ( Forearm )
[P] 06/17/2013 - Anibal Sanchez 15-day DL (6/17) ( Shoulder )
[LF] 06/21/2013 - Matt Tuiasosopo 15-day DL (6/20) ( Abdominal )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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