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Matchup Reports

Sunday at 1:05 PM
MINNESOTA (19-27) AT DETROIT (27-20) 
 Starting Pitchers
TeamsLineW-LOv/Un/PRF/RAStartersRECERAWHIP
967: MINNESOTA
968: DETROIT
9.0
-270
19-27
27-20
21-24-1
28-18-1
4.3 / 4.9
5.4 / 4.1
(R) M PELFREY
(R) M SCHERZER
3-4
6-0
6.69
3.61
1.81
0.91
Current Weather Conditions 
Conditions: Light Rain   Temperature: 43.0 °
Humidity: 74   Wind: Southwest at 6.9 MPH (6 KT)
 
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Line
TeamPitcherEstimateEdge
MINNESOTAPELFREY +200 
DETROITSCHERZER-200 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
MINNESOTA team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
after a win9-9+363-81-6.1683-620+47.88-967-65571-659
when playing against a team with a winning record11-20-3.668-113-20.2545-674-38.813-1884-88553-608
in all games19-27-1.2148-223-39.51311-1352-27.521-24178-1741194-1335
when the total is 9 to 9.57-6+4.855-75-6.4532-544-33.17-661-58465-538
as a road underdog of +200 to +2252-1+33-8-221-28+16.40-32-918-27
as a road underdog of +225 to +2500-1-10-10-106-23-9.40-13-511-13
in road games10-14+2.275-1110606-725-9.110-1389-88589-676
on the road when the total is 9 to 9.56-4+5.932-39+8.4243-290-13.44-638-30235-264
in May games8-15-3.228-50-11.2224-241+612-1139-34211-234
when playing on Sunday4-2+3.527-31+3208-215-1.70-525-31161-241
against division opponents8-12-0.273-92-2590-512+48.27-1280-77508-545
in day games11-9+6.953-82-17.5416-454-31.76-1356-74370-454
in games played on a grass field19-27-1.2145-213-33.5667-781-25.121-24175-164658-718
against right-handed starters16-23-0.6102-165-37.9944-941+1415-23130-121844-937

DETROIT team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
after a loss11-8+1.999-71+12.6641-783-97.215-479-79658-696
when playing against a team with a losing record14-9-2103-70+1.1600-576-53.114-892-72558-562
in all games27-20-4.4223-174+1.31256-1424-147.228-18193-1801246-1306
when the total is 9 to 9.53-7-8.873-65-8.8536-587-64.26-466-61516-544
as a home favorite of -225 to -2501-1-1.24-2-0.516-7-0.30-20-610-13
as a home favorite of -250 to -3303-1+0.48-3017-6+1.22-25-512-9
in home games15-8-2122-75+8686-651-56.715-7100-86624-646
at home when the total is 9 to 9.51-4-7.544-31-2.8313-280-12.83-236-32275-277
in May games12-10-5.441-37-11.4226-232+3.612-1039-35208-228
when playing on Sunday3-4-2.342-22+14.7207-220-15.94-226-36197-210
against division opponents9-7-4.2103-58+19.1521-579-87.77-974-79517-536
in day games9-13-13.290-64+4445-504-71.114-771-76434-470
in games played on a grass field27-20-4.4213-169-4.61154-1266-110.528-18189-1701128-1175
against right-handed starters23-14+2.6157-114+14.7885-1033-134.221-16129-125892-930
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
MINNESOTA - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
5/12/2013DIAMOND(L)BALTIMORECHEN(L)0-6L-1058 unU8811160
5/13/2013HERNANDEZ(L)CHI WHITE SOXSANTIAGO(L)10-3W+1008 ovO12701071
5/14/2013CORREIA(R)CHI WHITE SOXPEAVY(R)2-4L+1058.5 ovU6301261
5/15/2013PELFREY(R)CHI WHITE SOXAXELROD(R)4-9L-1359 unO11901490
5/17/2013WORLEY(R)BOSTONBUCHHOLZ(R)2-3L+1308.5 unU45110110
5/18/2013DIAMOND(L)BOSTONDEMPSTER(R)5-12L+1109 ovO121301360
5/19/2013HERNANDEZ(L)BOSTONLACKEY(R)1-5L+11510 unU56111111
5/20/2013CORREIA(R)@ ATLANTATEHERAN(R)1-5L1408.5 unU670950
5/21/2013PELFREY(R)@ ATLANTAHUDSON(R)4-5L1858.5 ovO10901060
5/22/2013WORLEY(R)@ ATLANTAMAHOLM(L)3-8L1707.5 unO9901081
5/23/2013DIAMOND(L)@ DETROITPORCELLO(R)6-7L1509 unO127015111
5/24/2013DEDUNO(R)@ DETROITSANCHEZ(R)0-6L1858.5 unU1401180
5/25/2013WALTERS(R)@ DETROITFISTER(R)3-2W2059 unU970971
5/26/2013PELFREY(R)@ DETROITSCHERZER(R) 
5/27/2013PELFREY(R)@ MILWAUKEEPERALTA(R) 
5/28/2013DIAMOND(L)@ MILWAUKEEPERALTA(R) 
5/29/2013DEDUNO(R)MILWAUKEEESTRADA(R) 
5/30/2013WALTERS(R)MILWAUKEE  
5/31/2013CORREIA(R)SEATTLEIWAKUMA(R) 
6/1/2013 SEATTLE  
6/2/2013 SEATTLE  

DETROIT - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
5/12/2013PORCELLO(R)CLEVELANDMCALLISTER(R)3-4L-1409 unU990891
5/13/2013SANCHEZ(R)HOUSTONNORRIS(R)7-2W-3058 unO920760
5/14/2013FISTER(R)HOUSTONHARRELL(R)6-2W-2958.5 unU1070530
5/15/2013SCHERZER(R)HOUSTONKEUCHEL(L)5-7L-3509 unO870821
5/16/2013VERLANDER(R)@ TEXASDARVISH(R)4-10L1057.5 unO7511030
5/17/2013PORCELLO(R)@ TEXASTEPESCH(R)2-1W11510.5 unU6101881
5/18/2013SANCHEZ(R)@ TEXASGRIMM(R)2-7L-1309.5 evU7521390
5/19/2013FISTER(R)@ TEXASHOLLAND(L)8-11L1209 unO131011890
5/21/2013SCHERZER(R)@ CLEVELANDKLUBER(R)5-1W-1359 unU1190340
5/22/2013VERLANDER(R)@ CLEVELANDJIMENEZ(R)11-7W-1508 ovO14701380
5/23/2013PORCELLO(R)MINNESOTADIAMOND(L)7-6W-1609 unO151111270
5/24/2013SANCHEZ(R)MINNESOTADEDUNO(R)6-0W-2008.5 unU1180140
5/25/2013FISTER(R)MINNESOTAWALTERS(R)2-3L-2259 unU971970
5/26/2013SCHERZER(R)MINNESOTAPELFREY(R) 
5/27/2013VERLANDER(R)PITTSBURGHLIRIANO(L) 
5/28/2013PORCELLO(R)PITTSBURGHGOMEZ(R) 
5/29/2013SANCHEZ(R)@ PITTSBURGHBURNETT(R) 
5/30/2013FISTER(R)@ PITTSBURGHLOCKE(L) 
5/31/2013SCHERZER(R)@ BALTIMOREGONZALEZ(R) 
6/1/2013 @ BALTIMORE  
6/2/2013 @ BALTIMORE  
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
MINNESOTA - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games19-27-1.221-244.30.2440.3104.90.2940.343
Road Games10-14+2.210-134.10.2350.3044.70.2890.338
vs Right-handed Starters16-23-0.615-234.10.2390.3064.50.2920.341
Past 7 Games1-6-43-42.60.2170.2545.40.3040.356
Grass Games19-27-1.221-244.30.2440.3104.90.2940.343
Day Games11-9+6.86-133.60.2320.3043.80.2580.311
Division8-12-0.17-123.60.2310.3064.20.2850.331
MINNESOTA - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.30.2440.310461576385125360.021891513811933633205114
Road Games4.10.2350.3042483319662210.0394822258183186263
Righty Starters4.10.2390.306391335319104300.021531283371728228164612
MINNESOTA - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games3.151.209168.7655914214621494-710758.8%
Road Games2.851.14388.3282871930803-57558.3%

DETROIT - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games27-20-4.428-185.40.2850.3494.10.2430.301
Home Games15-8-215-76.00.3100.3744.00.2370.299
vs Right-handed Starters23-14+2.621-165.30.2850.3473.70.2340.291
Past 7 Games4-3-0.53-45.90.3140.3665.00.2850.329
Grass Games27-20-4.428-185.40.2850.3494.10.2430.301
Day Games9-13-13.214-74.70.2770.3384.40.2490.321
Division9-7-4.27-95.00.2800.3414.20.2400.314
DETROIT - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games5.40.2850.349471709487147520.032481693261737843193832
Home Games6.00.3100.3742379424673280.041378213561752341915
Righty Starters5.30.2850.347371342382117390.031921282591629335142722
DETROIT - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games3.791.258142.3606011410651574-89660%
Home Games4.261.42157272748533581-45362.5%
Starting Pitcher Season to Date Performance
MIKE PELFREY recent results and season statistics
MIKE PELFREY - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts6.691.8103-4940.34.5323061412193-6-2.87-2
Road Starts7.631.7611-2415.33.813132324101-3-1.62-2
Last 3 Starts7.502.0830-13124.01010212450-3-3.43-0
MIKE PELFREY - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
5/21/2013at ATLANTA4-5+1858.5Loss,Over 2224011HUDSON(R)
5/15/2013CHI WHITE SOX4-9-1359Loss,OverL4558223AXELROD(R)
5/10/2013BALTIMORE6-9+1058.5Loss,Over 6339011HAMMEL(R)

MAX SCHERZER recent results and season statistics
MAX SCHERZER - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts3.610.9146-0962.36.9262544513757-2+2.35-4
Home Starts5.851.1144-0532.36.521212848374-1+0.54-1
Last 3 Starts3.910.6962-03237.710101224212-1-1.52-1
MAX SCHERZER - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
5/21/2013at CLEVELAND5-1-1359Win,UnderW8112017KLUBER(R)
5/15/2013HOUSTON5-7-3509Loss,Over 7555237KEUCHEL(L)
5/10/2013CLEVELAND10-4-1858.5Win,OverW8445007KLUBER(R)
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
Games over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 29-16 (+3.0 Units) against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
23 of 44 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.9 Units)
Games this season
MINNESOTA is 4-5 (+1.9 Units) against DETROIT this season
7 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+4.6 Units)

All games at DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 10-14 (+2.9 Units) against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
11 of 23 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-2.0 Units, Under=-0.8 Units)
Games played at DETROIT this season.
MINNESOTA is 2-4 (+0.0 Units) against DETROIT this season
5 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+3.8 Units)

 Team StatsStarting Pitcher Stats
DateTeamsScoreLineTotalResultHHRSBLOBERRStarterW/LIPERHBB
5/25/2013MINNESOTA3+205  91070WALTERS(R)W6281
 DETROIT2-2259 unUnder91071FISTER(R)L7381
5/24/2013MINNESOTA0+185 Under10040DEDUNO(R)L5.3693
 DETROIT6-2008.5 unWin111080SANCHEZ(R)W9013
5/23/2013MINNESOTA6+150 Over122170DIAMOND(L) 5.7391
 DETROIT7-1609 unWin1510111PORCELLO(R) 55101
5/1/2013MINNESOTA6+200  101270DIAMOND(L)W6241
 DETROIT2-2208.5 unUnder60040SANCHEZ(R)L6352
4/30/2013MINNESOTA1+230 Under60090WORLEY(R)L4.76101
 DETROIT6-2608 ovWin133060VERLANDER(R)W7152
4/29/2013MINNESOTA3+215 Under61130PELFREY(R)L5.3472
 DETROIT4-2358.5 ovWin72050SCHERZER(R)W7.3360
4/4/2013DETROIT2-145 Over801100PORCELLO(R)L5.3362
 MINNESOTA8+1358.5 unWin102162PELFREY(R)W5.3052
4/3/2013DETROIT2-155 Under70050SANCHEZ(R) 5023
 MINNESOTA3+1458.5 unWin50180CORREIA(R) 7271
4/1/2013DETROIT4-170  90180VERLANDER(R)W5042
 MINNESOTA2+1607 unUnder800121WORLEY(R)L6381
Pitcher Versus Team Past History
MIKE PELFREY vs. DETROIT since 1997
PELFREY is 1-2 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 4.70 and a WHIP of 1.892.
His team's record is 1-2 (-0.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-2. (-1.3 units)
MIKE PELFREY recent starts vs. DETROIT
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
4/29/2013at DETROIT3-4+2158.5Loss,UnderL5.3447221SCHERZER(R)
4/4/2013DETROIT8-2+1358.5Win,OverW5.3205021PORCELLO(R)
6/30/2011at DETROIT2-5+2007.5Loss,UnderL4.7548153VERLANDER(R)

MAX SCHERZER vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
SCHERZER is 4-2 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 5.20 and a WHIP of 1.203.
His team's record is 7-3 (+3.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-4. (+1.6 units)
MAX SCHERZER recent starts vs. MINNESOTA
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
4/29/2013MINNESOTA4-3-2358.5Win,UnderW7.33361010PELFREY(R)
9/23/2012MINNESOTA4-10-2058Loss,OverL5336014DIAMOND(L)
8/15/2012at MINNESOTA5-1-1459.5Win,UnderW70040210DE VRIES(R)
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring DETROIT in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MINNESOTA games 0% of the time since 1997. (0-1072, -169.3 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MINNESOTA games 53.1% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (164-145, +3.3 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in DETROIT games 52.3% of the time since 1997. (1112-1013, +7.6 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in DETROIT games 56.3% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (182-141, +27.0 units)
Edge=MINNESOTA
 
The betting public is favoring nothing on the total in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MINNESOTA games 50.6% of the time since 1997. (826-807, -90.1 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MINNESOTA games 42.1% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (83-114, -43.1 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in DETROIT games 50.3% of the time since 1997. (829-820, -104.7 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in DETROIT games 46.2% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (96-112, -29.8 units)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
MINNESOTA
[RF] 04/17/2013 - Darin Mastroianni 60-day DL (4/16) ( Ankle )
[P] 03/31/2013 - Tim Wood 60-day DL (3/24) ( Shoulder )
[3B] 05/22/2013 - Trevor Plouffe 7-day DL (5/22) ( Concussion )
[RF] 05/26/2013 - Wilkin Ramirez "?" Sunday vs. Detroit Tigers ( Jaw )
DETROIT
[P] 04/23/2013 - Octavio Dotel 15-day DL (4/20) ( Elbow )
[CF] 05/13/2013 - Austin Jackson 15-day DL (5/12) ( Hamstring )
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