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Matchup Reports

Saturday at 4:10 PM
HOUSTON (33-59) AT TAMPA BAY (53-41) 
 Starting Pitchers
TeamsLineW-LOv/Un/PRF/RAStartersRECERAWHIP
969: HOUSTON
970: TAMPA BAY
8.0
-265
33-59
53-41
47-41-4
46-41-7
3.8 / 5.3
4.7 / 4.1
(L) D KEUCHEL
(R) R HERNANDEZ
4-4
4-10
4.41
4.92
1.47
1.32
Current Weather Conditions 
Dome Stadium 
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Line
TeamPitcherEstimateEdge
HOUSTONKEUCHEL +165
TAMPA BAYHERNANDEZ-165 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
HOUSTON team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games33-59-4145-272-68.21351-1373-106.647-41214-1871287-1334
when the total is 8 to 8.514-31-9.865-127-41.8489-476-30.626-18103-84481-459
as a road underdog of +225 to +2502-7-2.45-18-6.410-24-0.76-213-819-13
in road games16-27+5.261-145-42.9608-751-82.622-20104-94666-650
on the road when the total is 8 to 8.55-13-2.918-53-21.2208-244-21.411-742-28240-202
in July games3-7-0.312-50-31.8222-210-4.26-333-27209-206
when playing on Saturday5-9+0.424-42-7.5202-237-55.39-439-24218-207
in day games7-19-835-88-39.6403-433-62.711-1358-55361-436
in games played in a dome1-0+2.61-0+2.6160-102+18.20-10-1118-136
in games played on artificial turf1-0+2.63-1+4.6222-152+24.20-11-3178-182
against right-handed starters23-45-6.398-204-64.81005-1035-93.534-31153-136979-991
after a win12-20051-92-22.5687-662-50.415-1672-66655-650
when playing against a team with a winning record11-36-13.763-148-48.9563-705-78.928-17110-92609-614
when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season3-7-0.327-68-20.6291-333+0.86-343-47299-300

TAMPA BAY team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games53-41+2.1235-187+12.71168-1379-63.346-41177-2221147-1290
when the total is 8 to 8.526-15+8.6112-75+27306-307+6.418-2077-100281-313
as a home favorite of -250 to -3301-1-2.21-2-4.86-7-13.21-11-22-10
in home games32-19+3.6125-90-3.6651-624+10.927-2282-123547-677
at home when the total is 8 to 8.517-8+6.864-36+17.2172-146+0.312-1236-60135-172
in July games10-2+5.234-30-1.6182-223-12.24-727-35176-211
when playing on Saturday9-5+3.335-32-3.8197-214+4.86-828-33185-207
in day games17-16-2.182-65+2.9402-457-4.415-1763-79374-449
in games played in a dome32-19+3.6125-90-3.6669-660+127-2282-123570-700
in games played on artificial turf33-21+2.7138-98+1.5735-739+1128-2493-131635-775
against left-handed starters17-10+5.176-54+20.2322-388-29.313-1259-63329-353
after a loss22-18+1.9102-85+3.9600-775-51.221-1677-99625-695
when playing against a team with a losing record23-12+5.2102-58+26513-540-40.620-1267-84466-537
when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season10-2+5.245-25+6.4254-237+2.54-728-37215-248
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
HOUSTON - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
6/29/2013LYLES(R)LA ANGELSBLANTON(R)2-7L+1359 unP4421170
6/30/2013HARRELL(R)LA ANGELSWILSON(L)1-3L+1409 unU571971
7/1/2013KEUCHEL(L)TAMPA BAYMOORE(L)0-12L+1458 ovO23017120
7/2/2013BEDARD(L)TAMPA BAYPRICE(L)0-8L+1708 unP4301290
7/3/2013NORRIS(R)TAMPA BAYHERNANDEZ(R)4-1W+1458.5 ovU720870
7/4/2013LYLES(R)TAMPA BAYARCHER(R)5-7L+1458.5 ovO570980
7/5/2013HARRELL(R)@ TEXASTEPESCH(R)5-10L2059.5 unO1051971
7/6/2013KEUCHEL(L)@ TEXASDARVISH(R)9-5W2609 unO11801060
7/7/2013BEDARD(L)@ TEXASGRIMM(R)4-5L18210 unU831752
7/9/2013NORRIS(R)@ ST LOUISWAINWRIGHT(R)5-9L2407.5 unO8801580
7/10/2013LYLES(R)@ ST LOUISMILLER(R)4-5L2308 unO10120762
7/12/2013COSART(R)@ TAMPA BAYPRICE(L)2-1W2607.5 unU831430
7/13/2013KEUCHEL(L)@ TAMPA BAYHERNANDEZ(R) 
7/14/2013BEDARD(L)@ TAMPA BAYARCHER(R) 
7/19/2013 SEATTLE  
7/20/2013 SEATTLE  

TAMPA BAY - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
6/29/2013ARCHER(R)DETROITVERLANDER(R)4-3W+1307.5 unU12101891
6/30/2013HELLICKSON(R)DETROITPORCELLO(R)3-1W-1257.5 unU970780
7/1/2013MOORE(L)@ HOUSTONKEUCHEL(L)12-0W-1558 ovO17120230
7/2/2013PRICE(L)@ HOUSTONBEDARD(L)8-0W-1808 unP1290430
7/3/2013HERNANDEZ(R)@ HOUSTONNORRIS(R)1-4L-1558.5 ovU870720
7/4/2013ARCHER(R)@ HOUSTONLYLES(R)7-5W-1558.5 ovO980570
7/5/2013HELLICKSON(R)CHI WHITE SOXAXELROD(R)8-3W-2058 unO141301070
7/6/2013MOORE(L)CHI WHITE SOXSALE(L)3-0W-1357 unU680671
7/7/2013PRICE(L)CHI WHITE SOXDANKS(L)3-1W-2307.5 unU540850
7/8/2013HERNANDEZ(R)MINNESOTADEDUNO(R)7-4W-1608.5 unO12601071
7/9/2013ARCHER(R)MINNESOTAGIBSON(R)4-1W-1708.5 unU541550
7/10/2013HELLICKSON(R)MINNESOTACORREIA(R)4-3W-1908 unU121501291
7/11/2013MOORE(L)MINNESOTAPELFREY(R)4-3W-2258 unU1060440
7/12/2013PRICE(L)HOUSTONCOSART(R)1-2L-3207.5 unU430831
7/13/2013HERNANDEZ(R)HOUSTONKEUCHEL(L) 
7/14/2013ARCHER(R)HOUSTONBEDARD(L) 
7/19/2013 @ TORONTO  
7/20/2013 @ TORONTO  
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
HOUSTON - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games33-59-447-413.80.2360.2925.30.2810.348
Road Games16-27+5.222-204.00.2460.3024.80.2740.341
vs Right-handed Starters23-45-6.234-313.90.2360.2935.30.2870.348
Past 7 Games2-5+0.25-24.90.2460.3216.00.2650.352
Dome Games1-0+2.60-12.00.2500.2501.00.1430.226
Day Games7-19-811-133.30.2190.2755.20.2810.345
HOUSTON - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games3.80.2360.292923059721243890.0332924185353559756910754
Road Games4.00.2460.302431449357116340.021601153702026941385424
Righty Starters3.90.2360.293682280539186720.032501836223341955548146
HOUSTON - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games4.961.503308.7193170340541242539-20211165.6%
Road Games3.841.44212963551311655937-79469.2%

TAMPA BAY - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games53-41+2.146-414.70.2600.3294.10.2380.300
Home Games32-19+3.627-224.60.2650.3354.00.2310.291
vs Left-handed Starters17-10+5.113-125.20.2690.3373.10.2160.296
Past 7 Games6-1+2.81-63.70.2390.3092.00.2210.249
Dome Games32-19+3.627-224.60.2650.3354.00.2310.291
Day Games17-16-2.215-174.40.2330.3054.00.2420.307
TAMPA BAY - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.70.2600.3299431938302811040.034213276584764782367768
Home Games4.60.2650.335511697449146560.032291793472935844144435
Lefty Starters5.20.2690.3372791624688320.0313695186111922082514
TAMPA BAY - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games3.571.1752801151112192411029915-14241168.6%
Home Games3.421.097157.76260120155316910-613668.4%
Starting Pitcher Season to Date Performance
DALLAS KEUCHEL recent results and season statistics
DALLAS KEUCHEL - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Games4.591.5304-51884.3-4943101132866---
All Starts4.411.4694-41165.35.9343276920506-5+6.47-4
Road Starts3.641.3141-2529.75.914123554263-2+5.43-2
Last 3 Starts5.741.9140-2315.75.210102347171-2+0.62-1
DALLAS KEUCHEL - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
7/6/2013at TEXAS9-5+2609Win,Over 5226014DARVISH(R)
7/1/2013TAMPA BAY0-12+1458Loss,OverL4.7558154MOORE(L)
6/21/2013at CHICAGO CUBS1-3+16510Loss,UnderL6339319GARZA(R)

ROBERTO HERNANDEZ recent results and season statistics
ROBERTO HERNANDEZ - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts4.921.3194-1017102.36.060561111724786-11-6.78-7
Home Starts4.231.3373-4955.36.1262656818454-5-2.26-2
Last 3 Starts4.051.1000-23206.799184491-2-1.71-2
ROBERTO HERNANDEZ - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
7/8/2013MINNESOTA7-4-1608.5Win,Over 6338133DEDUNO(R)
7/3/2013at HOUSTON1-4-1558.5Loss,UnderL6334101NORRIS(R)
6/26/2013TORONTO0-3-1158.5Loss,UnderL8336215DICKEY(R)
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
Games over the last 3 seasons
TAMPA BAY is 6-2 (+1.3 Units) against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.9 Units)
Games this season
HOUSTON is 2-3 (+1.1 Units) against TAMPA BAY this season
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.2 Units, Under=-0.1 Units)

All games at TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 1-0 (+2.6 Units) against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.0 Units)
Games played at TAMPA BAY this season.
HOUSTON is 1-0 (+2.6 Units) against TAMPA BAY this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

 Team StatsStarting Pitcher Stats
DateTeamsScoreLineTotalResultHHRSBLOBERRStarterW/LIPERHBB
7/12/2013HOUSTON2+260  80031COSART(R)W8023
 TAMPA BAY1-3207.5 unUnder40130PRICE(L)L9280
7/4/2013TAMPA BAY7-155  90080ARCHER(R) 6223
 HOUSTON5+1458.5 ovOver52370LYLES(R) 6.7263
7/3/2013TAMPA BAY1-155 Under80270HERNANDEZ(R)L6340
 HOUSTON4+1458.5 ovWin72020NORRIS(R)W7163
7/2/2013TAMPA BAY8-180  121190PRICE(L)W7030
 HOUSTON0+1708 un 40030BEDARD(L)L5.3466
7/1/2013TAMPA BAY12-155  1720120MOORE(L)W7023
 HOUSTON0+1458 ovOver20030KEUCHEL(L)L4.7585
Pitcher Versus Team Past History
DALLAS KEUCHEL vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
KEUCHEL is 0-1 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 9.64 and a WHIP of 2.784.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.0 units)
DALLAS KEUCHEL recent starts vs. TAMPA BAY
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
7/1/2013TAMPA BAY0-12+1458Loss,OverL4.7558154MOORE(L)

ROBERTO HERNANDEZ vs. HOUSTON since 1997
HERNANDEZ is 0-1 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 4.50 and a WHIP of 0.667.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)
ROBERTO HERNANDEZ recent starts vs. HOUSTON
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
7/3/2013at HOUSTON1-4-1558.5Loss,UnderL6334101NORRIS(R)
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring TAMPA BAY in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in HOUSTON games 0% of the time since 1997. (0-1092, -93.4 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in HOUSTON games 55.9% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (200-158, -1.1 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TAMPA BAY games 55.7% of the time since 1997. (1132-902, +124.0 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TAMPA BAY games 58.3% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (207-148, +33.1 units)
Edge=HOUSTON
 
The betting public is favoring the UNDER in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the total in HOUSTON games 51.5% of the time since 1997. (900-846, -66.8 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in HOUSTON games 50% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (111-111, -14.4 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in TAMPA BAY games 52.9% of the time since 1997. (810-721, -2.7 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in TAMPA BAY games 51.7% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (123-115, -5.8 units)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
HOUSTON
[C] 03/31/2013 - Alex White 60-day DL (3/30) ( Elbow )
[LF] 06/20/2013 - Trevor Crowe 15-day DL (6/21) ( Shoulder )
[SS] 07/13/2013 - Ronny Cedeno is downgraded to not expected to be in the starting lineup Saturday vs. Tampa Bay Rays ( Foot )
[LF] 07/13/2013 - Chris Carter is not expected to be in the starting lineup Saturday vs. Tampa Bay Rays ( Rest )
TAMPA BAY
[P] 06/15/2013 - Alex Cobb 7-day DL (6/15) ( Concussion )
[P] 04/05/2013 - Jeff Niemann 60-day DL (3/28), out for season ( Shoulder )
[P] 04/02/2013 - Juan Oviedo 60-day DL (3/31) ( Elbow )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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