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Matchup Reports

Wednesday at 7:05 PM
MINNESOTA (66-95) AT TORONTO (72-89) 
 Starting Pitchers
TeamsLineW-LOv/Un/PRF/RAStartersRECERAWHIP
971: MINNESOTA
972: TORONTO
8.0
-149
66-95
72-89
78-74-9
78-76-7
4.3 / 5.2
4.4 / 4.9
(L) S DIAMOND
(R) B MORROW
12-8
9-7
3.54
3.09
1.24
1.14
Current Weather Conditions 
Conditions:   Temperature: °
Humidity:   Wind: 
 
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Line
TeamPitcherEstimateEdge
MINNESOTADIAMOND +105 
TORONTOMORROW-105 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
MINNESOTA team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in night games47-59+0.9149-170-6.6883-871+15.155-44161-139803-863
in games played on artificial turf1-4-2.47-14-4.9644-570-1.42-39-11536-616
against right-handed starters44-66-10.4148-186-29.6928-917+15.656-48169-146829-913
after a loss42-55+0.7115-152-19.4615-709-69.148-47127-129607-657
after 3 or more consecutive losses15-15+4.334-52-12177-199-4.617-1250-33184-178
when playing against a team with a losing record36-42-0.4111-115-8.9673-605-13.339-34103-108554-655
when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season15-17-0.552-52-4.7345-312-29.916-1449-47290-330
in all games66-95-11.5223-266-27.31292-1324-25.478-74235-2271173-1310
when the total is 8 to 8.520-34-9.985-118-30.5317-330-25.128-2598-99315-313
as a road underdog of +125 to +15014-10+935-44+3.6136-182+4.115-940-35147-158
in road games35-45+7106-137-0.7596-710-10.240-38117-112579-662
on the road when the total is 8 to 8.510-9+4.833-56-15146-188-2610-940-45157-165
in October games0-2-21-7-6.420-31-11.71-14-428-22
when playing on Wednesday8-16-5.537-38+5203-197+11.912-1130-42177-202

TORONTO team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
when playing against a team with a losing record25-18+5.498-81+7.4630-538-25.720-2289-81520-598
when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season7-7-0.540-32+0.6318-239+17.47-736-31251-280
in all games72-89-14238-248+0.71291-1300-36.178-76244-2201201-1267
when the total is 8 to 8.526-29-4.288-87-0.8305-266+26.226-2585-85277-275
as a home favorite of -125 to -15014-11-0.833-26-2.4195-152-14.611-1326-31152-183
in home games40-40-3.8128-114+3.2701-594+1.940-36127-104613-614
at home when the total is 8 to 8.512-14-4.846-44-6.1156-117+10.316-848-40135-130
in October games2-0+24-1+3.216-9+8.61-13-210-14
when playing on Wednesday9-16-6.334-42-6.9197-199-7.511-1336-38170-208
in night games43-58-15.6150-153+2.8831-838-17.149-48158-134782-814
in games played on artificial turf41-48-10.5134-132-5.7804-715-1945-39137-116712-726
against left-handed starters20-28-4.855-70-7.6329-356-30.930-1670-50331-319
after a win36-35+0117-119-3.4639-648-45.131-36115-109574-650
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
MINNESOTA - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
9/19/2012HENDRIKS(R)@ CLEVELANDMCALLISTER(R)6-4W1259 ovO1291760
9/20/2012VASQUEZ(R)@ CLEVELANDKLUBER(R)3-4L1309.5 evU7701091
9/22/2012DEDUNO(R)@ DETROITFISTER(R)0-8L2009 evU7611270
9/23/2012DIAMOND(L)@ DETROITSCHERZER(R)10-4W1878 unO1361651
9/23/2012WALTERS(R)@ DETROITSMYLY(L)2-1W2009 ovU771643
9/24/2012HENDRIKS(R)NY YANKEESPETTITTE(L)3-6L+1559 ovP10601060
9/25/2012VASQUEZ(R)NY YANKEESHUGHES(R)5-4W+1809 ovP850950
9/26/2012DEDUNO(R)NY YANKEESSABATHIA(L)2-8L+2157.5 unO7601160
9/28/2012DIAMOND(L)DETROITSMYLY(L)4-2W+1208.5 unU462651
9/29/2012WALTERS(R)DETROITVERLANDER(R)4-6L+2258 evO691851
9/30/2012HENDRIKS(R)DETROITSANCHEZ(R)1-2L+1509 unU10110760
10/1/2012VASQUEZ(R)@ TORONTOLAFFEY(L)5-6L1309 evO1210012101
10/2/2012SWARZAK(R)@ TORONTOJENKINS(R)3-4L1359 unU1042640
10/3/2012DIAMOND(L)@ TORONTOMORROW(R) 

TORONTO - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
9/19/2012ALVAREZ(R)@ NY YANKEESPETTITTE(L)2-4L1879.5 unU10110722
9/19/2012ROMERO(L)@ NY YANKEESPHELPS(R)1-2L1829.5 unU3508121
9/20/2012LAFFEY(L)@ NY YANKEESHUGHES(R)7-10L2109 unO1091870
9/21/2012VILLANUEVA(R)@ TAMPA BAYSHIELDS(R)1-12L1877 evO9801680
9/22/2012MORROW(R)@ TAMPA BAYMOORE(L)5-11L1707 ovO108015100
9/23/2012JENKINS(R)@ TAMPA BAYHELLICKSON(R)0-3L2208.5 unU790760
9/24/2012ALVAREZ(R)@ BALTIMOREJOHNSON(R)1-4L1758.5 ovU8801050
9/24/2012ROMERO(L)@ BALTIMORECHEN(L)9-5W1859 unO137212100
9/25/2012LAFFEY(L)@ BALTIMORESAUNDERS(L)4-0W1659 evU1371691
9/26/2012VILLANUEVA(R)@ BALTIMOREGONZALEZ(R)2-12L1558.5 evO7421220
9/27/2012MORROW(R)NY YANKEESNOVA(R)6-0W+1209 unU1060570
9/28/2012JENKINS(R)NY YANKEESKURODA(R)4-11L+1759 evO121111380
9/29/2012ROMERO(L)NY YANKEESPETTITTE(L)3-2W+1708.5 unU7629100
9/30/2012ALVAREZ(R)NY YANKEESHUGHES(R)6-9L+1509 unO10811590
10/1/2012LAFFEY(L)MINNESOTAVASQUEZ(R)6-5W-1409 evO1210112100
10/2/2012JENKINS(R)MINNESOTASWARZAK(R)4-3W-1459 unU6401042
10/3/2012MORROW(R)MINNESOTADIAMOND(L) 
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
MINNESOTA - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games66-95-11.578-744.30.2610.3235.20.2740.330
Road Games35-45+740-384.20.2480.3055.20.2820.339
vs Right-handed Starters44-66-10.456-484.40.2620.3215.20.2710.329
Past 7 Games2-5-23-33.40.2410.2974.60.2480.306
Turf Games0-2-21-14.00.3010.3385.00.2730.360
Night Games47-59+0.955-444.70.2670.3275.10.2730.327
MINNESOTA - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.30.2610.323161553114444311310.0266650210581341138171107186110
Road Games4.20.2480.305802796694205620.023122295616454980619755
Righty Starters4.40.2620.3211103797993298880.02451330725897771146812978
MINNESOTA - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games3.791.261555.72612345205718139927-21351471.4%
Road Games3.571.242269.7120107250338519714-825778.1%

TORONTO - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games72-89-1478-764.40.2450.3064.90.2620.331
Home Games40-40-3.840-364.60.2490.3134.80.2600.322
vs Left-handed Starters20-28-4.830-164.50.2520.3055.70.2820.343
Past 7 Games4-3+1.94-34.40.2760.3516.00.3040.360
Turf Games40-40-3.840-364.60.2490.3134.80.2600.322
Night Games43-58-15.649-484.20.2430.3015.00.2680.338
TORONTO - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.40.2450.306161545913404661980.046754721245122102313310116886
Home Games4.60.2490.3138026196532421020.043452435996449663477439
Lefty Starters4.50.2520.305481624409138570.042021253553729833415119
TORONTO - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games4.341.352526.72632545067020650321-20281565.1%
Home Games4.781.387265.3148141271409723510-816866.7%
Starting Pitcher Season to Date Performance
SCOTT DIAMOND recent results and season statistics
SCOTT DIAMOND - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts3.541.24412-8261686.5746617917308714-12+4.115-10
Road Starts3.721.3906-31272.76.1373085616386-6+1.99-3
Last 3 Starts4.121.0681-1319.76.6109173482-1+2.12-1
SCOTT DIAMOND - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
9/28/2012DETROIT4-2+1208.5Win,Under 7.3216101SMYLY(L)
9/23/2012at DETROIT10-4+1878Win,OverW7224035SCHERZER(R)
9/16/2012CHI WHITE SOX2-9+1158.5Loss,OverL5.3667212PEAVY(R)

BRANDON MORROW recent results and season statistics
BRANDON MORROW - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts3.091.1409-720116.75.844409512389712-8+28-11
Home Starts3.231.1775-41269.75.8252562820597-5-0.24-7
Last 3 Starts2.651.2351-13175.755132882-1+1.21-2
BRANDON MORROW - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
9/27/2012NY YANKEES6-0+1209Win,UnderW7004033NOVA(R)
9/22/2012at TAMPA BAY5-11+1707Loss,OverL4555242MOORE(L)
9/16/2012BOSTON5-0-1107.5Win,Under 6004013LESTER(L)
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
Games over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 15-6 (+8.6 Units) against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
12 of 20 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+3.7 Units)
Games this season
TORONTO is 4-2 (+1.2 Units) against MINNESOTA this season
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.7 Units)

All games at TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 7-3 (+3.9 Units) against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+3.0 Units)
Games played at TORONTO this season.
TORONTO is 2-0 (+2.0 Units) against MINNESOTA this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.0 Units)

 Team StatsStarting Pitcher Stats
DateTeamsScoreLineTotalResultHHRSBLOBERRStarterW/LIPERHBB
10/2/2012MINNESOTA3+135 Under101042SWARZAK(R)L5453
 TORONTO4-1459 unWin61040JENKINS(R)W5251
10/1/2012MINNESOTA5+130 Over1211100VASQUEZ(R) 5.7363
 TORONTO6-1409 evWin1211101LAFFEY(L) 5380
Pitcher Versus Team Past History
SCOTT DIAMOND vs. TORONTO since 1997
DIAMOND is 1-0 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 0.714.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)
SCOTT DIAMOND recent starts vs. TORONTO
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
5/13/2012TORONTO4-3+1408Win,UnderW7005004ROMERO(L)

BRANDON MORROW vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
MORROW is 1-0 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 5.40 and a WHIP of 1.400.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)
BRANDON MORROW recent starts vs. MINNESOTA
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
5/15/2011at MINNESOTA11-3-1357.5Win,OverW5335028DUENSING(L)
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring TORONTO in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MINNESOTA games 0% of the time since 1997. (0-1055, -166.4 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MINNESOTA games 52.9% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (221-197, +9.0 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TORONTO games 50.5% of the time since 1997. (1045-1023, -77.3 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TORONTO games 49.6% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (201-204, -36.0 units)
Edge=MINNESOTA
 
The betting public is favoring nothing on the total in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MINNESOTA games 50.6% of the time since 1997. (806-787, -87.7 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MINNESOTA games 43% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (108-143, -49.8 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in TORONTO games 52.2% of the time since 1997. (832-761, -32.4 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in TORONTO games 50.4% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (129-127, -12.7 units)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
MINNESOTA
[P] 06/04/2012 - Carl Pavano 15-day DL (6/2), out for season ( Shoulder )
[P] 03/31/2012 - Scott Baker 60-day DL (3/27); out for season ( Elbow )
[P] 07/10/2012 - Matt Maloney out for season ( Elbow )
[P] 08/03/2012 - Lester Oliveros out for season ( Elbow )
[P] 09/13/2012 - Cole DeVries out for season ( Ribs )
[LF] 09/28/2012 - Josh Willingham expected to miss the rest of the season ( Shoulder )
[P] 10/02/2012 - Samuel Deduno expected to miss start Wednesday vs. Toronto Blue Jays ( Eye )
[1B] 10/02/2012 - Justin Morneau expected to miss Wednesday vs. Toronto Blue Jays ( Wrist )
[C] 10/02/2012 - Ryan Doumit doubtful Wednesday vs. Toronto Blue Jays ( Thumb )
TORONTO
[P] 03/28/2012 - Dustin McGowan 60-day DL (3/26) ( Foot )
[P] 06/19/2012 - Drew Hutchison 60-day DL (6/16), out for season ( Elbow )
[P] 03/28/2012 - Jesse Litsch 60-day DL (3/26); out for season ( Bicep )
[P] 06/19/2012 - Kyle Drabek 60-day DL (6/14), out for season ( Elbow )
[P] 04/22/2012 - Sergio Santos 60-day DL (4/21) ( Shoulder )
[P] 07/09/2012 - Luis Perez 60-day DL (7/9), out for season ( Elbow )
[P] 07/21/2012 - Robert Coello 60-day DL (6/30) ( Elbow )
[P] 07/22/2012 - Jason Frasor 15-day DL (7/17) ( Forearm )
[1B] 08/25/2012 - David Cooper 15-day DL (8/23), out for season ( Back )
[RF] 08/25/2012 - Jose Bautista 15-day DL (8/25), out for season ( Wrist )
[P] 09/07/2012 - J.A. Happ 15-day DL (9/7); out for season ( Foot )
[DH] 10/03/2012 - Edwin Encarnacion is downgraded to doubtful Wednesday vs. Minnesota Twins ( Shoulder )
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