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Matchup Reports

Saturday at 7:05 PM
MINNESOTA (2-2) AT BALTIMORE (3-1) 
 Starting Pitchers
TeamsLineW-LOv/Un/PRF/RAStartersRECERAWHIP
973: MINNESOTA
974: BALTIMORE
8.5
-140
2-2
3-1
2-2-0
4-0-0
4.5 / 4.3
7.3 / 5.0
(R) V WORLEY
(R) C TILLMAN
0-1
0-0
4.50
0.00
1.50
0.00
Current Weather Conditions 
Conditions:    Temperature: 45.0 °
Humidity: 86   Wind: 
 
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Line
TeamPitcherEstimateEdge
MINNESOTAWORLEY +156 
BALTIMORETILLMAN-156 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
MINNESOTA team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games2-2+0.8131-198-37.61294-1327-25.62-2159-1521175-1313
when the total is 8 to 8.52-0+2.850-87-29319-331-23.31-167-67316-315
as a road underdog of +100 to +1250-0013-24-8.8142-174-14.50-015-22139-159
as a road underdog of +125 to +1500-1-129-35+4.6136-184+2.11-034-27148-159
in road games0-1-165-98-3.2596-712-12.21-080-75580-663
on the road when the total is 8 to 8.50-0021-37-8146-189-270-026-30157-166
in April games2-2+0.817-35-14.5195-200-2.62-223-29182-193
when playing on Saturday0-0018-36-15210-218-10.70-025-26186-223
in games played on a grass field2-2+0.8128-188-31.5650-756-23.12-2156-142639-696
in night games0-0087-123-14883-872+14.10-0107-89803-864
against right-handed starters2-2+0.888-144-36.5930-920+15.42-2117-100831-916
after a loss1-0+1.476-122-25.8616-710-68.70-197-94607-659
when playing against a team with a winning record0-1-157-94-17.6534-655-36.21-072-70541-590

BALTIMORE team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
as a home favorite of -125 to -1501-0+117-10+3.4133-128-42.61-016-10123-127
in home games1-0+188-78+12.6631-674-101.41-083-77603-640
at home when the total is 8 to 8.50-0043-31+13.7119-140-28.70-037-35140-114
in April games3-1+2.529-23+10.4198-193+18.54-025-26194-186
when playing on Saturday0-0028-25+9.4204-220+12.20-027-23197-207
in games played on a grass field1-0+1150-147+29.21039-1222-1051-0147-1391077-1078
in night games0-1-1113-123+14.4823-962-62.71-0114-114833-850
against right-handed starters2-1+1120-120+23.7864-983-29.33-0118-111859-891
after a win1-1090-80+24.6589-607+8.72-082-84555-588
in all games3-1+2.5169-167+35.91193-1420-124.74-0164-1591234-1251
when the total is 8 to 8.51-0+167-55+20.9212-288-50.71-061-58253-234
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
MINNESOTA - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
4/1/2013WORLEY(R)DETROITVERLANDER(R)2-4L+1607 unU8121980
4/3/2013CORREIA(R)DETROITSANCHEZ(R)3-2W+1458.5 unU580750
4/4/2013PELFREY(R)DETROITPORCELLO(R)8-2W+1358.5 unO10628100
4/5/2013HENDRIKS(R)@ BALTIMOREARRIETA(R)5-9L1409 unO107114100
4/6/2013WORLEY(R)@ BALTIMORETILLMAN(R) 
4/7/2013HERNANDEZ(L)@ BALTIMOREHAMMEL(R) 
4/8/2013CORREIA(R)@ KANSAS CITYSANTANA(R) 
4/9/2013PELFREY(R)@ KANSAS CITYGUTHRIE(R) 
4/10/2013 @ KANSAS CITY  
4/12/2013 NY METS  
4/13/2013 NY METS  

BALTIMORE - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
4/2/2013HAMMEL(R)@ TAMPA BAYPRICE(L)7-4W1507 unO1381620
4/3/2013CHEN(L)@ TAMPA BAYHELLICKSON(R)7-8L1257 ovO11501430
4/4/2013GONZALEZ(R)@ TAMPA BAYHERNANDEZ(R)6-3W1008 evO970740
4/5/2013ARRIETA(R)MINNESOTAHENDRIKS(R)9-5W-1509 unO141001071
4/6/2013TILLMAN(R)MINNESOTAWORLEY(R) 
4/7/2013HAMMEL(R)MINNESOTAHERNANDEZ(L) 
4/8/2013CHEN(L)@ BOSTONBUCHHOLZ(R) 
4/10/2013 @ BOSTON  
4/11/2013 @ BOSTON  
4/12/2013 @ NY YANKEES  
4/13/2013 @ NY YANKEES  
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
MINNESOTA - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games2-2+0.82-24.50.2440.3334.20.2730.336
Road Games0-1-11-05.00.2780.3169.00.3780.439
vs Right-handed Starters2-2+0.82-24.50.2440.3334.20.2730.336
Past 7 Games2-2+0.82-24.50.2440.3334.20.2730.336
Grass Games2-2+0.82-24.50.2440.3334.20.2730.336
MINNESOTA - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.50.2440.3334135331320.011718382331433
Road Games5.00.2780.31613610400.00529071101
Righty Starters4.50.2440.3334135331320.011718382331433
MINNESOTA - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games4.501.50012661018141-1010%
Road Games13.512.7033.35561330-1010%

BALTIMORE - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games3-1+2.54-07.20.3200.3755.00.2820.314
Home Games1-0+11-09.00.3780.4395.00.2780.316
vs Right-handed Starters2-1+13-07.30.3120.3645.30.3070.340
Past 7 Games3-1+2.54-07.20.3200.3755.00.2820.314
Grass Games1-0+11-09.00.3780.4395.00.2780.316
Night Games0-1-11-07.00.3060.3428.00.4000.400
BALTIMORE - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games7.20.3200.3754147471860.042913215302171
Home Games9.00.3780.43913714310.039441100010
Righty Starters7.30.3120.3643109341240.04229155221060
BALTIMORE - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games5.251.3331287152181-12166.7%
Home Games0.000.75040030041-000100%
Starting Pitcher Season to Date Performance
VANCE WORLEY recent results and season statistics
VANCE WORLEY - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts4.501.5000-1166.03380130-1-10-1
Road Starts0.000.0000-00010000000-000-0
Last 3 Starts4.501.5000-1166.03380130-1-10-1
VANCE WORLEY - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
4/1/2013DETROIT2-4+1607Loss,UnderL6338013VERLANDER(R)
8/28/2012NY METS5-9-1408.5Loss,Over 4.3449104YOUNG(R)
8/22/2012CINCINNATI2-3-1108.5Loss,UnderL6228023ARROYO(R)

CHRIS TILLMAN recent results and season statistics
CHRIS TILLMAN - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts0.000.0000-00010000000-000-0
Home Starts0.000.0000-00010000000-000-0
Last 3 Starts0.000.0000-00010000000-000-0
CHRIS TILLMAN - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
10/3/2012at TAMPA BAY1-4-1157Loss,UnderL5334305HELLICKSON(R)
9/28/2012BOSTON9-1-1859Win,OverW8101024COOK(R)
9/23/2012at BOSTON1-2-1309Loss,Under 6116014DOUBRONT(L)
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
Games over the last 3 seasons
BALTIMORE is 12-4 (+9.5 Units) against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
9 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+3.3 Units)
Games this season
BALTIMORE is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against MINNESOTA this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

All games at BALTIMORE over the last 3 seasons
BALTIMORE is 6-2 (+3.7 Units) against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.3 Units, Under=-0.8 Units)
Games played at BALTIMORE this season.
BALTIMORE is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against MINNESOTA this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

 Team StatsStarting Pitcher Stats
DateTeamsScoreLineTotalResultHHRSBLOBERRStarterW/LIPERHBB
4/5/2013MINNESOTA5+140 Over100071HENDRIKS(R) 4.7481
 BALTIMORE9-1509 unWin1411100ARRIETA(R) 5572
Pitcher Versus Team Past History
VANCE WORLEY vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
WORLEY is 0-0 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 0.833.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)
VANCE WORLEY recent starts vs. BALTIMORE
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
6/9/2012at BALTIMORE4-6-1109.5Loss,Over 6304015HUNTER(R)

CHRIS TILLMAN vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
TILLMAN is 0-3 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 4.26 and a WHIP of 1.736.
His team's record is 0-3 (-3.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-1. (+1.0 units)
CHRIS TILLMAN recent starts vs. MINNESOTA
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
7/16/2012at MINNESOTA7-19+1158.5Loss,OverL0.7715021DIAMOND(L)
4/18/2011MINNESOTA3-5-1108.5Loss,UnderL6.7336005LIRIANO(L)
8/24/2009at MINNESOTA1-2+1909Loss,UnderL5.3226031BAKER(R)
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring MINNESOTA in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MINNESOTA games 0% of the time since 1997. (0-1058, -169.4 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MINNESOTA games 53.2% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (149-131, +3.2 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BALTIMORE games 51.9% of the time since 1997. (1097-1018, -0.8 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BALTIMORE games 51.6% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (148-139, +1.4 units)
Edge=BALTIMORE
 
The betting public is favoring the UNDER in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MINNESOTA games 50.6% of the time since 1997. (808-789, -87.9 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MINNESOTA games 40.4% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (65-96, -41.0 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BALTIMORE games 49.5% of the time since 1997. (769-785, -123.3 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BALTIMORE games 51.1% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (89-85, -6.0 units)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
MINNESOTA
[P] 03/31/2013 - Anthony Swarzak 15-day DL (3/22) ( Ribs )
[P] 03/31/2013 - Scott Diamond 15-day DL (3/22) ( Elbow )
[P] 03/31/2013 - Tim Wood 15-day DL (3/24) ( Shoulder )
[P] 04/05/2013 - Cole De Vries 15-day DL ( Forearm )
BALTIMORE
[P] 03/29/2013 - Chris Tillman 15-day DL (3/22) ( Abdominal )
[P] 03/31/2013 - Steve Johnson 15-day DL (3/31) ( Abdominal )
[P] 03/31/2013 - Tsuyoshi Wada 60-day DL (3/22) ( Elbow )
[3B] 04/02/2013 - Wilson Betemit 15-day DL (3/26) ( Knee )
[2B] 04/05/2013 - Brian Roberts 15-day DL (4/5) ( Hamstring )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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