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Matchup Reports

BALTIMORE (12-6) AT NEW ENGLAND (13-4)
Sunday,  Jan 20 2013 at 6:30 PM
AFC Championship Game
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/U/PRYPYTYRYPYTY
303: BALTIMORE
304: NEW ENGLAND
49.5
-8.0
25.6 / 21.6
35.2 / 21.1
12-6
13-4
8-9-1
10-6-1
9-8-1
12-5-0
123.8
135.6
240.7
293.9
364.4
429.6
124.2
101.4
233.1
275.2
357.3
376.6
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
BALTIMORE  
NEW ENGLAND-10 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
BALTIMORE - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points1-22-230-302-12-231-301-21-315-47
in all games8-926-25150-1299-827-26134-15112-638-16162-128
in all lined games8-926-25150-1299-827-26134-15112-638-16162-128
as an underdog3-47-668-624-27-661-722-55-946-90
as a road underdog of 7.5 to 10 points1-01-05-51-01-07-21-01-01-9
in road games4-415-1174-703-513-1463-825-415-1364-85
in road lined games4-415-1174-703-513-1463-825-415-1364-85
in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 49.50-00-00-00-00-00-00-00-00-0
in all games where the total is greater than or equal to 49.50-00-00-00-00-00-00-00-00-0
against conference opponents6-720-19115-997-719-23102-11810-430-12123-101
against AFC East division opponents0-14-221-131-03-416-191-05-219-16
in games played on turf0-13-420-220-14-420-230-12-614-29
in January games2-05-313-121-13-59-162-06-216-9
in playoff games2-04-212-71-12-47-122-04-212-7
in the conference championship game0-01-02-10-00-11-20-00-11-2
after 2 or more consecutive wins1-47-1339-423-38-1430-524-212-1041-43
when playing against a team with a winning record3-413-959-554-411-1454-664-416-949-72
when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season3-38-839-353-48-1038-404-311-737-42

NEW ENGLAND - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points8-220-1068-629-225-773-619-226-6106-28
in all games10-630-20194-15812-538-15183-17613-442-11232-134
in all lined games10-630-20194-15812-538-15183-17613-442-11232-134
as a favorite9-625-20116-11311-534-14118-11613-338-10181-58
as a home favorite of 7.5 to 10 points2-04-215-122-05-113-142-04-223-4
in home games5-414-1392-857-221-791-897-224-4131-53
in home lined games5-414-1392-857-221-791-897-224-4131-53
in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 49.54-18-310-55-09-210-45-010-114-1
in all games where the total is greater than or equal to 49.54-211-719-125-212-716-157-015-426-6
against conference opponents9-325-13154-1129-429-11143-12912-134-6177-101
when playing with 6 or less days rest7-520-15150-1199-328-8139-1338-428-8173-103
against AFC North division opponents1-03-327-211-04-329-220-14-333-18
in games played on turf7-518-1573-5810-226-875-579-328-692-43
in January games1-04-219-111-05-115-161-05-122-10
in playoff games1-02-314-141-03-210-191-03-220-10
in the conference championship game0-00-14-30-00-13-40-01-06-1
revenging a loss against opponent0-04-251-310-05-238-460-06-147-39
after 2 or more consecutive wins4-315-1379-637-123-878-686-224-7106-43
when playing against a team with a winning record4-212-994-686-016-684-824-216-695-74
when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season3-19-666-414-013-256-543-112-368-44
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
BALTIMORE - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games12-6+6.78-99-825.612.6364.4(5.8)1.121.611.1357.3(5.3)1.7
Road Games5-4+34-43-520.210.7323.8(5)1.122.211.9348.0(5.2)1.9
Last 3 Games2-1+32-11-226.312.7424.0(6.1)1.322.311.3335.3(4.7)1.7
Turf Games0-1-10-10-117.07.0352.0(4.5)1.023.07.0189.0(4)0.0
BALTIMORE - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)25.612.619.628:4529-124(4.3)20-3459.0%241(7)63-364(5.8)(14.3)
Opponents Defensive Avg.22.511.119.530:4727-111(4.2)21-3460.8%228(6.6)61-339(5.6)(15.1)
Offense Road Games20.210.717.930:1730-129(4.3)19-3456.7%195(5.7)64-324(5)(16)
Defense (All Games)21.611.121.233:0831-124(4)22-3659.8%233(6.4)68-357(5.3)(16.6)
Opponents Offensive Avg.23.211.320.431:4127-112(4.1)22-3661.7%239(6.7)63-352(5.6)(15.1)
Defense Road Games22.211.920.333:2934-134(4)20-3360.5%214(6.5)66-348(5.2)(15.7)
BALTIMORE - Turnovers, Penalties and Special Teams Statistics
 Turnovers LostThird DownsFourth DownsKickoff ReturnsPunt ReturnsPenalties
 INTFLTODIFF#-MADEPCT#-MADEPCTKR-YDSYPKRPR-YDSYPPRPEN-YDS
Stats For (All Games)0.60.41.10.614-537.3%1-040.0%4-98(26.7)3-27(9.7)8-70
Opponents Avg. Stats Against0.90.71.51.813-537.8%1-047.8%3-68(23.4)20-2(9.6)7-56
Stats For (Road Games)0.70.41.10.815-535.3%1-044.4%4-101(25.1)3-27(9.8)7-62
Stats Against (All Games)0.90.81.7 15-536.9%1-046.7%2-57(24.5)3-26(8.9)7-58
Opponents Avg. Stats For10.71.7 14-538.6%1-055.0%3-65(23.5)24-2(10.1)6-53
Stats Against (Road Games)1.00.91.9 15-536.6%1-060.0%2-61(26)3-36(10.8)6-54

NEW ENGLAND - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games13-4+0.610-612-535.218.1429.6(5.9)0.921.19.5376.6(5.9)2.5
Home Games7-2-2.75-47-235.416.6427.1(5.9)0.922.89.7374.0(5.7)2.2
Last 3 Games3-0+32-11-230.717.0416.3(6.1)0.714.78.7372.3(5.6)2.0
Turf Games9-3-2.47-510-236.917.3447.8(6.1)1.123.09.5381.4(5.9)2.7
NEW ENGLAND - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)35.218.127.530:4732-136(4.2)25-4062.6%294(7.3)72-430(5.9)(12.2)
Opponents Defensive Avg.22.611.319.831:3428-121(4.3)20-3458.5%221(6.4)63-342(5.5)(15.1)
Offense Home Games35.416.627.730:4932-135(4.3)25-4161.8%292(7.1)73-427(5.9)(12.1)
Defense (All Games)21.19.521.529:3926-101(3.9)24-3862.5%275(7.3)64-377(5.9)(17.8)
Opponents Offensive Avg.21.510.619.330:2728-120(4.3)20-3359.7%217(6.5)62-337(5.5)(15.7)
Defense Home Games22.89.722.930:0227-109(4)24-3962.2%265(6.8)66-374(5.7)(16.4)
NEW ENGLAND - Turnovers, Penalties and Special Teams Statistics
 Turnovers LostThird DownsFourth DownsKickoff ReturnsPunt ReturnsPenalties
 INTFLTODIFF#-MADEPCT#-MADEPCTKR-YDSYPKRPR-YDSYPPRPEN-YDS
Stats For (All Games)0.50.40.91.514-748.5%1-066.7%2-50(20.4)3-30(11.5)6-53
Opponents Avg. Stats Against0.90.61.51.814-537.1%1-051.1%3-66(24)25-2(10.5)6-54
Stats For (Home Games)0.40.40.91.314-748.1%1-170.0%3-69(22.1)3-30(11.8)6-59
Stats Against (All Games)1.21.22.5 13-539.1%2-144.4%4-86(22.4)2-10(6.6)6-57
Opponents Avg. Stats For10.71.7 13-537.0%1-047.9%3-69(24.8)23-2(10.5)6-53
Stats Against (Home Games)1.01.22.2 14-642.3%1-150.0%4-92(23.7)2-9(5.6)6-53
Average power rating of opponents played: BALTIMORE 20.5,  NEW ENGLAND 19.1
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
BALTIMORE - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
11/25/2012@ SAN DIEGO16-13W-1W47U35-12730-51-316023-9123-36-1890
12/2/2012PITTSBURGH20-23L-6.5L37O21-11116-34-177226-9625-37-2703
12/9/2012@ WASHINGTON28-31L2L48O35-18616-21-173235-17217-28-2481
12/16/2012DENVER17-34L3L47.5O19-5620-40-222245-16317-28-1870
12/23/2012NY GIANTS33-14W3W47.5U45-22425-36-309014-6714-28-1190
12/30/2012@ CINCINNATI17-23L4.5L42.5U46-20619-33-146121-4715-26-1420
1/6/2013INDIANAPOLIS24-9W-7W48U32-17212-23-269230-15228-54-2672
1/12/2013@ DENVER38-35W9W44O39-15518-34-324141-12528-43-2733
1/20/2013@ NEW ENGLAND            

NEW ENGLAND - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
11/22/2012@ NY JETS49-19W-7W48.5O39-15218-28-323129-11926-36-2865
12/2/2012@ MIAMI23-16W-7T51U32-10824-40-213127-10113-29-1761
12/10/2012HOUSTON42-14W-5.5W50.5O33-13021-36-289127-10021-36-2231
12/16/2012SAN FRANCISCO34-41L-4L47.5O24-9536-65-425439-18014-25-2032
12/23/2012@ JACKSONVILLE23-16W-13.5L51.5U27-10324-41-246223-9329-51-3433
12/30/2012MIAMI28-0W-11.5W48U38-16722-36-276015-4720-35-2092
1/13/2013HOUSTON41-28W-9W50O24-12225-40-335023-9134-51-3341
1/20/2013BALTIMORE            
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1992
NEW ENGLAND is 5-3 against the spread versus BALTIMORE since 1992
NEW ENGLAND is 7-2 straight up against BALTIMORE since 1992
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games over the last 3 seasons
NEW ENGLAND is 1-1 against the spread versus BALTIMORE over the last 3 seasons
NEW ENGLAND is 2-1 straight up against BALTIMORE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at NEW ENGLAND since 1992
NEW ENGLAND is 3-2 against the spread versus BALTIMORE since 1992
NEW ENGLAND is 5-1 straight up against BALTIMORE since 1992
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games played at NEW ENGLAND over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 1-0 against the spread versus NEW ENGLAND over the last 3 seasons
NEW ENGLAND is 2-0 straight up against BALTIMORE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 RushingPassingTurnoversPenalties
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFDTOPATT-YDSCMP-ATTYDSFLINTPEN-YDS
9/23/2012NEW ENGLAND3048 ATS203331:0334-7728-413190010-83
 BALTIMORE31-3SU Over142828:5726-12128-393820114-135
1/22/2012BALTIMORE2048.5 ATS101933:3331-11622-36282016-33
 NEW ENGLAND23-7SU Under132526:2731-9622-36234121-5
10/17/2010BALTIMORE2044.5 102140:1434-9927-35278008-67
 NEW ENGLAND23-3SU Under72332:5026-12727-44267029-78
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring BALTIMORE in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BALTIMORE games 53.5% of the time since 1992. (114-99)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BALTIMORE games 72.2% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (26-10)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NEW ENGLAND games 45.6% of the time since 1992. (124-148)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NEW ENGLAND games 51.4% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (19-18)
Edge=BALTIMORE
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring nothing on the total in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BALTIMORE games 56.1% of the time since 1992. (133-104)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BALTIMORE games 58.3% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (28-20)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in NEW ENGLAND games 52.9% of the time since 1992. (157-140)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in NEW ENGLAND games 48.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (21-22)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
BALTIMORE
[DE] 12/27/2012 - Ryan McBean IR ( Ankle )
[DB] 12/27/2012 - Emanuel Cook IR ( Leg )
[CB] 12/27/2012 - Lardarius Webb IR ( Knee )
[LB] 12/27/2012 - Jameel McClain IR ( Neck )
[WR] 12/27/2012 - LaQuan Williams IR ( Ankle )
[T] 01/11/2013 - Jah Reid IR ( Toe )
[RB] 01/16/2013 - Bernard Pierce probable Sunday vs. New England ( Knee )
[RB] 01/17/2013 - Anthony Allen probable Sunday vs. New England ( Head )
[CB] 01/19/2013 - Asa Jackson expected to miss Sunday vs. New England ( Thigh )
[WR] 01/17/2013 - David Reed probable Sunday vs. New England ( Thigh )
[G] 01/17/2013 - Gino Gradkowski probable Sunday vs. New England ( Head )
[LB] 01/19/2013 - Dannell Ellerbe "?" Sunday vs. New England ( Ankle )
NEW ENGLAND
[LB] 12/27/2012 - Dane Fletcher IR ( Knee )
[TE] 12/27/2012 - Jake Ballard PUP ( Pectoral )
[CB] 12/27/2012 - Ras-I Dowling IR ( Thigh )
[WR] 12/27/2012 - Julian Edelman IR ( Foot )
[WR] 12/27/2012 - Donte Stallworth IR ( Ankle )
[RB] 01/14/2013 - Danny Woodhead probable Sunday vs. Baltimore ( Thumb )
[TE] 01/13/2013 - Rob Gronkowski IR ( Forearm )
[DE] 01/16/2013 - Chandler Jones probable Sunday vs. Baltimore ( Ankle )
[CB] 01/17/2013 - Alfonzo Dennard probable Sunday vs. Baltimore ( Personal )
[DB] 01/17/2013 - Marquice Cole probable Sunday vs. Baltimore ( Finger )
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