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Matchup Reports

TAMPA BAY (5-4) AT CAROLINA (2-7)
Sunday,  Nov 18 2012 at 1:00 PM
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/U/PRYPYTYRYPYTY
417: TAMPA BAY
418: CAROLINA
48.0
+1.0
28.9 / 23.2
18.1 / 24.0
5-4
2-7
7-2-0
4-5-0
7-2-0
4-5-0
124.2
109.1
241.3
225.2
365.6
334.3
80.9
113.0
320.6
231.9
401.4
344.9
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
TAMPA BAY-1 
CAROLINA  
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
TAMPA BAY - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in games where the line is +3 to -33-26-1251-644-113-750-693-29-1155-65
in all games7-220-19164-1667-224-15148-1865-419-22161-178
in all lined games7-220-19164-1667-224-15148-1865-419-22161-178
as a favorite2-15-672-793-08-464-902-19-499-57
as a road favorite of 3 points or less0-00-15-130-01-17-110-01-16-13
in road games4-013-683-813-112-873-942-29-1163-105
in road lined games4-013-683-813-112-873-942-29-1163-105
in a road game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points2-04-28-21-14-24-61-12-44-6
in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points6-211-1328-266-215-727-254-47-1721-33
against conference opponents4-215-14127-1254-216-12108-1472-413-17124-135
when playing with 6 or less days rest4-216-15134-1275-118-12117-1472-413-19127-141
versus division opponents1-17-769-711-17-766-761-16-861-82
in games played on a grass field4-212-17120-1335-117-12111-1464-214-17125-136
in November games2-07-348-312-06-439-412-04-643-39
after 2 or more consecutive wins1-03-333-371-05-129-451-02-437-37
when playing against a team with a losing record2-25-751-584-010-252-592-27-662-52
when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season0-03-436-330-05-233-370-04-440-33
in weeks 10 through 131-05-441-321-06-332-421-03-639-37

CAROLINA - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in games where the line is +3 to -32-48-1153-441-55-1347-512-48-1154-48
in all games4-517-24151-1334-520-19132-1522-710-31133-159
in all lined games4-517-24151-1334-520-19132-1522-710-31133-159
as an underdog4-211-1791-704-217-1082-792-44-2456-109
as a home underdog of 3 points or less1-12-311-91-13-210-91-12-310-11
in home games1-48-1370-702-39-1259-801-46-1572-72
in home lined games1-48-1370-702-39-1259-801-46-1572-72
in a home game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points0-21-56-81-13-37-70-21-55-9
in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points2-510-1050-342-58-1137-441-67-1340-45
against conference opponents4-413-19115-1013-517-14104-1132-67-25102-120
when playing with 6 or less days rest3-315-17126-1023-315-16108-1222-49-23110-125
versus division opponents2-16-966-502-18-654-621-23-1257-62
in games played on a grass field3-514-18115-993-516-1699-1142-69-23104-114
in November games1-13-634-361-15-335-331-12-731-40
revenging a loss against opponent3-06-650-343-09-249-361-22-1038-49
when playing against a team with a winning record2-16-1157-573-010-664-530-32-1541-77
when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season0-11-937-381-06-345-310-11-930-47
in weeks 10 through 130-13-636-321-07-137-290-12-732-37
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
TAMPA BAY - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games5-4+1.87-27-228.913.6365.6(6.4)0.923.212.9401.4(6.3)2.1
Road Games2-2+0.84-03-130.514.5351.0(5.8)1.226.510.7423.5(6.3)3.0
Last 3 Games3-0+3.83-03-037.314.7403.3(6.7)0.324.313.7406.3(6.3)2.7
Grass Games4-2+24-25-130.011.8400.2(7.1)0.722.513.8390.5(6.2)1.7
Division Games1-1+0.31-11-122.017.0385.5(6.1)0.022.514.0379.5(7)1.5
TAMPA BAY - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)28.913.618.129:4927-124(4.6)17-3056.8%241(8)58-366(6.4)(12.7)
Opponents Defensive Avg.25.311.820.330:1827-114(4.3)22-3464.2%250(7.3)61-364(6)(14.4)
Offense Road Games30.514.518.029:4930-148(4.9)15-3050.8%203(6.7)60-351(5.8)(11.5)
Defense (All Games)23.212.921.130:1123-81(3.6)27-4165.9%321(7.9)64-401(6.3)(17.3)
Opponents Offensive Avg.22.511.220.230:0026-116(4.4)22-3562.9%244(6.9)62-360(5.8)(16)
Defense Road Games26.510.721.530:1120-73(3.7)29-4761.5%350(7.5)67-423(6.3)(16)
TAMPA BAY - Turnovers, Penalties and Special Teams Statistics
 Turnovers LostThird DownsFourth DownsKickoff ReturnsPunt ReturnsPenalties
 INTFLTODIFF#-MADEPCT#-MADEPCTKR-YDSYPKRPR-YDSYPPRPEN-YDS
Stats For (All Games)0.60.30.91.212-433.6%1-171.4%2-44(19.7)2-17(6.8)7-55
Opponents Avg. Stats Against0.80.71.51.913-539.1%1-055.3%3-59(23.1)21-2(9)6-51
Stats For (Road Games)0.70.51.21.713-433.3%1-066.7%3-69(22.9)3-18(6.6)8-67
Stats Against (All Games)1.70.42.1 14-539.5%1-037.5%1-34(25.5)2-20(8.9)7-58
Opponents Avg. Stats For1.10.71.9 13-537.5%1-056.8%3-67(24)16-2(7.8)6-51
Stats Against (Road Games)2.01.03.0 14-535.7%1-025.0%2-45(26)2-24(9.7)8-67

CAROLINA - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games2-7-5.64-54-518.18.8334.3(5.9)1.924.011.0344.9(5.5)1.3
Home Games1-4-3.41-42-316.47.6311.6(5.6)2.426.811.8374.6(5.7)1.6
Last 3 Games1-2-0.72-12-119.011.3332.0(5.5)1.324.09.0302.3(5.1)1.7
Grass Games2-6-4.63-53-516.98.1325.6(5.8)2.023.210.2334.7(5.3)1.4
Division Games1-2-1.22-12-124.311.7389.3(7)1.324.314.3390.0(6)1.0
CAROLINA - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)18.18.819.027:4426-109(4.2)18-3157.5%225(7.4)56-334(5.9)(18.5)
Opponents Defensive Avg.21.611.520.330:4525-109(4.3)23-3662.4%252(7)61-361(5.9)(16.7)
Offense Home Games16.47.619.027:0724-105(4.3)17-3156.1%207(6.7)55-312(5.6)(19)
Defense (All Games)24.011.020.932:1628-113(4.1)24-3567.5%232(6.6)63-345(5.5)(14.4)
Opponents Offensive Avg.25.912.220.530:2127-116(4.3)22-3463.8%250(7.3)61-366(6)(14.1)
Defense Home Games26.811.820.832:5329-107(3.7)26-3770.5%267(7.3)65-375(5.7)(14)
CAROLINA - Turnovers, Penalties and Special Teams Statistics
 Turnovers LostThird DownsFourth DownsKickoff ReturnsPunt ReturnsPenalties
 INTFLTODIFF#-MADEPCT#-MADEPCTKR-YDSYPKRPR-YDSYPPRPEN-YDS
Stats For (All Games)1.10.81.9-0.612-433.3%1-016.7%2-55(22.5)2-11(5.6)6-45
Opponents Avg. Stats Against1.20.71.92.413-538.3%1-054.1%3-60(23.1)15-2(7.5)6-53
Stats For (Home Games)1.21.22.4-0.811-325.9%1-00.0%3-72(21.2)2-8(4.1)5-39
Stats Against (All Games)0.70.71.3 13-538.1%1-042.9%3-38(15)3-28(9.6)6-46
Opponents Avg. Stats For10.61.6 13-538.8%1-161.9%2-55(22.6)18-2(8.3)6-51
Stats Against (Home Games)0.80.81.6 14-644.1%0-00.0%2-33(18.3)4-43(11.4)5-46
Average power rating of opponents played: TAMPA BAY 18.2,  CAROLINA 23.3
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
TAMPA BAY - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
9/23/2012@ DALLAS10-16L7W45.5U25-7510-28-91223-3825-39-2593
9/30/2012WASHINGTON22-24L-2.5L44.5O18-8024-39-293130-16026-35-3140
10/14/2012KANSAS CITY38-10W-5W39.5O24-14515-26-318230-8022-38-1802
10/21/2012NEW ORLEANS28-35L1.5L49O25-9824-42-415026-8127-37-3771
10/25/2012@ MINNESOTA36-17W5.5W43.5O41-15919-36-257021-14019-35-2293
11/4/2012@ OAKLAND42-32W1.5W46.5O32-27818-30-237111-2240-62-4023
11/11/2012SAN DIEGO34-24W-3W46.5O22-7414-20-205026-10329-37-3232
11/18/2012@ CAROLINA            
11/25/2012ATLANTA            
12/2/2012@ DENVER            
12/9/2012PHILADELPHIA            
12/16/2012@ NEW ORLEANS            

CAROLINA - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
9/20/2012NY GIANTS7-36L-3L48U20-6019-33-267529-12528-37-2800
9/30/2012@ ATLANTA28-30L7W47.5O35-19915-25-205119-12125-40-3051
10/7/2012SEATTLE12-16L-1.5L42.5U19-8212-29-108235-9819-25-2123
10/21/2012DALLAS14-19L3L45U21-11221-37-216231-8524-34-2271
10/28/2012@ CHICAGO22-23L7W40.5O36-11920-39-297219-7919-28-1313
11/4/2012@ WASHINGTON21-13W3W48U27-12913-23-201032-15123-39-1860
11/11/2012DENVER14-36L3.5L46.5O21-5221-36-198222-6527-38-2952
11/18/2012TAMPA BAY            
11/26/2012@ PHILADELPHIA            
12/2/2012@ KANSAS CITY            
12/9/2012ATLANTA            
12/16/2012@ SAN DIEGO            
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1992
CAROLINA is 15-9 against the spread versus TAMPA BAY since 1992
CAROLINA is 14-10 straight up against TAMPA BAY since 1992
14 of 24 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games over the last 3 seasons
TAMPA BAY is 3-2 against the spread versus CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
TAMPA BAY is 3-2 straight up against CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at CAROLINA since 1992
CAROLINA is 8-4 against the spread versus TAMPA BAY since 1992
CAROLINA is 7-5 straight up against TAMPA BAY since 1992
9 of 12 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games played at CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons.
CAROLINA is 1-1 against the spread versus TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
CAROLINA is 1-1 straight up against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 RushingPassingTurnoversPenalties
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFDTOPATT-YDSCMP-ATTYDSFLINTPEN-YDS
9/9/2012CAROLINA10-3 Under01622:3313-1023-33291026-65
 TAMPA BAY1645.5SU ATS131837:2736-13016-24128004-35
12/24/2011TAMPA BAY1648.5 Over102232:5719-5928-38258317-64
 CAROLINA48-7.5SU ATS202027:0331-27012-17163008-77
12/4/2011CAROLINA38-3SU ATS242632:4139-16313-22222002-20
 TAMPA BAY1946.5 Over121527:1927-7816-27207019-73
11/14/2010CAROLINA1637 Over101828:4031-11816-29182107-71
 TAMPA BAY31-7SU ATS212131:2030-18618-242352010-80
9/19/2010TAMPA BAY2038SU ATS141430:4934-9512-25178004-30
 CAROLINA7-4 Under71629:1133-11913-29159124-48
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring TAMPA BAY in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TAMPA BAY games 52.3% of the time since 1992. (127-116)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TAMPA BAY games 68.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (22-10)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CAROLINA games 50.2% of the time since 1992. (101-100)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CAROLINA games 53.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (15-13)
Edge=TAMPA BAY
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the OVER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in TAMPA BAY games 51% of the time since 1992. (133-128)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in TAMPA BAY games 43.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (14-18)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CAROLINA games 55.7% of the time since 1992. (131-104)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CAROLINA games 52.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (19-17)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
TAMPA BAY
[G] 09/05/2012 - Davin Joseph IR ( Knee )
[WR] 09/21/2012 - Sammie Stroughter IR ( Foot )
[DE] 09/25/2012 - Adrian Clayborn IR ( ACL )
[CB] 10/12/2012 - Anthony Gaitor IR ( Hamstring )
[OG] 11/01/2012 - Carl Nicks IR ( Toe )
[TE] 11/01/2012 - Danny Noble IR ( Hamstring )
[WR] 11/17/2012 - Arrelious Benn probable Sunday vs. Carolina ( Shoulder )
[S] 11/16/2012 - Cody Grimm probable Sunday vs. Carolina ( Hamstring )
[LB] 11/13/2012 - Quincy Black IR ( Neck )
[CB] 11/16/2012 - Eric Wright probable Sunday vs. Carolina ( Achilles )
[DE] 11/16/2012 - Michael Bennett probable Sunday vs. Carolina ( Shoulder )
[T] 11/16/2012 - Jamon Meredith "?" Sunday vs. Carolina ( Ankle )
[C] 11/16/2012 - Jeremy Zuttah probable Sunday vs. Carolina ( Shoulder )
CAROLINA
[CB] 09/05/2012 - Brandon Hogan IR ( Knee )
[G] 10/07/2012 - Mike Pollak IR ( Shoulder )
[LB] 10/24/2012 - Jon Beason IR ( Knee )
[CB] 10/22/2012 - Chris Gamble IR ( Shoulder )
[C] 10/10/2012 - Ryan Kalil IR ( Foot )
[DE] 11/16/2012 - Antwan Applewhite expected to miss Sunday vs. Tampa Bay ( Hamstring )
[DE] 11/14/2012 - Thomas Keiser IR ( Elbow )
[WR] 11/07/2012 - Kealoha Pilares IR ( Shoulder )
[WR] 11/16/2012 - Armanti Edwards probable Sunday vs. Tampa Bay ( Groin )
[DT] 11/16/2012 - Dwan Edwards probable Sunday vs. Tampa Bay ( Ankle )
[C] 11/16/2012 - Geoff Hangartner probable Sunday vs. Tampa Bay ( Knee )
[G] 11/16/2012 - Amini Silatolu probable Sunday vs. Tampa Bay ( Shoulder )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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