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Matchup Reports

NEW ENGLAND (4-0) AT CINCINNATI (2-2)
Sunday,  Oct 6 2013 at 1:00 PM
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/U/PRYPYTYRYPYTY
419: NEW ENGLAND
420: CINCINNATI
45.5
+2.0
22.2 / 14.2
20.2 / 20.2
4-0
2-2
2-2-0
2-1-1
1-3-0
2-2-0
125.0
83.8
242.2
243.8
367.2
327.5
105.0
99.0
241.0
235.0
346.0
334.0
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
NEW ENGLAND-3 
CINCINNATI  
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
NEW ENGLAND - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in games where the line is +3 to -31-04-258-461-04-249-591-03-361-50
in all games2-222-17196-1611-325-16184-1804-032-9236-135
in all lined games2-222-17196-1611-325-16184-1804-032-9236-135
as a favorite1-219-17117-1160-322-16118-1203-030-8184-59
as a road favorite of 3 points or less0-01-116-90-01-110-130-01-116-9
in road games1-110-5100-701-111-690-832-013-498-78
in road lined games1-110-5100-701-111-690-832-013-498-78
in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 45 points0-00-111-150-01-012-130-00-110-16
in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points1-111-964-690-213-866-702-016-587-51
against conference opponents0-218-11154-1150-219-11143-1322-026-4179-102
when playing with 6 or less days rest1-114-12151-1211-119-8140-1352-020-7175-104
against AFC North division opponents0-01-327-220-01-329-230-01-333-19
in games played on turf2-214-1475-611-318-1076-614-022-696-44
in October games0-04-447-360-05-346-390-06-251-36
after 2 or more consecutive wins2-010-1181-641-116-779-702-017-6108-44
in weeks 5 through 90-03-548-410-05-344-460-05-352-40

CINCINNATI - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in games where the line is +3 to -31-011-860-572-011-863-561-110-1061-61
in all games2-119-15156-1792-220-17169-1692-221-17133-210
in all lined games2-119-15156-1792-220-17169-1692-221-17133-210
as an underdog1-09-8108-1262-012-6121-1141-18-1166-172
as a home underdog of 3 points or less1-02-319-231-04-123-191-02-319-23
in home games2-08-975-941-19-989-802-010-880-91
in home lined games2-08-975-941-19-989-802-010-880-91
in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 45 points0-01-119-180-00-216-220-01-119-19
in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points1-16-758-641-14-952-721-16-747-77
against conference opponents1-113-13112-1450-215-12129-1261-114-1493-168
when playing with 6 or less days rest1-115-12131-1461-114-15137-1421-117-13113-172
against AFC East division opponents0-01-117-260-01-123-190-01-19-34
off a division game1-04-763-731-09-477-631-05-850-91
in games played on turf2-09-989-1011-110-1096-942-012-882-111
in October games0-04-330-480-05-244-360-04-323-58
off a loss against a division rival0-00-532-490-06-145-400-02-522-64
when playing against a team with a winning record0-04-760-690-07-469-620-04-835-96
in weeks 5 through 90-04-437-490-05-247-390-04-427-62
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
NEW ENGLAND - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games4-0+4.32-21-322.214.2367.2(5.2)1.014.27.5346.0(5.3)2.0
Road Games2-0+2.31-11-126.513.5439.5(5.9)1.522.012.0371.5(5.7)1.5
Last 3 Games3-0+3.32-11-222.013.3346.0(5.4)0.312.05.3366.0(5.5)2.0
Turf Games3-0+31-20-319.715.7340.3(4.7)1.311.36.7309.0(4.9)2.3
NEW ENGLAND - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)22.214.219.231:5131-125(4.1)23-3958.9%242(6.1)70-367(5.2)(16.5)
Opponents Defensive Avg.22.911.518.830:0626-95(3.6)22-3957.9%251(6.5)65-346(5.4)(15.1)
Offense Road Games26.513.523.534:1133-145(4.4)24-4159.0%294(7.1)74-439(5.9)(16.6)
Defense (All Games)14.27.518.528:0926-105(4.1)21-3954.8%241(6.1)65-346(5.3)(24.3)
Opponents Offensive Avg.18.510.718.830:5428-115(4)21-3657.4%232(6.4)65-347(5.4)(18.8)
Defense Road Games22.012.020.525:4924-97(4)26-4064.2%274(6.8)65-371(5.7)(16.9)
NEW ENGLAND - Turnovers, Penalties and Special Teams Statistics
 Turnovers LostThird DownsFourth DownsKickoff ReturnsPunt ReturnsPenalties
 INTFLTODIFF#-MADEPCT#-MADEPCTKR-YDSYPKRPR-YDSYPPRPEN-YDS
Stats For (All Games)0.50.51.01.016-742.4%1-025.0%1-21(21)3-33(12.1)5-52
Opponents Avg. Stats Against1.10.31.41.916-638.8%1-033.3%2-33(21.9)27-3(10.4)7-61
Stats For (Road Games)0.51.01.50.016-954.5%1-00.0%1-17(17.5)1-16(10.7)6-64
Stats Against (All Games)1.20.72.0 15-535.6%1-00.0%0-12(24)1-6(6.2)7-61
Opponents Avg. Stats For1.20.82 15-536.1%1-013.6%1-26(21.7)14-2(7)8-73
Stats Against (Road Games)0.51.01.5 13-537.0%1-00.0%1-24(24)0-3(6)8-65

CINCINNATI - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games2-2-0.32-12-220.210.2327.5(5.3)2.220.210.7334.0(5.2)1.7
Home Games2-0+2.32-01-127.012.0352.0(5.4)2.020.013.0338.5(5.4)3.0
Last 3 Games2-1+0.72-11-220.09.0323.3(5)2.019.011.0337.7(5.2)2.0
Turf Games2-0+2.32-01-127.012.0352.0(5.4)2.020.013.0338.5(5.4)3.0
CINCINNATI - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)20.210.218.730:1625-84(3.4)23-3763.5%244(6.6)62-327(5.3)(16.2)
Opponents Defensive Avg.2612.619.131:3528-104(3.7)22-3562.9%249(7.1)63-353(5.6)(13.6)
Offense Home Games27.012.020.531:5129-104(3.6)22-3661.6%247(6.8)65-352(5.4)(13)
Defense (All Games)20.210.719.029:4426-99(3.8)23-3860.9%235(6.2)64-334(5.2)(16.5)
Opponents Offensive Avg.25.31420.629:2522-94(4.2)25-4062.6%272(6.8)63-366(5.9)(14.5)
Defense Home Games20.013.020.528:0823-113(4.9)23-4057.5%225(5.6)63-338(5.4)(16.9)
CINCINNATI - Turnovers, Penalties and Special Teams Statistics
 Turnovers LostThird DownsFourth DownsKickoff ReturnsPunt ReturnsPenalties
 INTFLTODIFF#-MADEPCT#-MADEPCTKR-YDSYPKRPR-YDSYPPRPEN-YDS
Stats For (All Games)1.01.22.2-0.513-541.5%1-025.0%2-47(20.9)2-14(6.9)6-59
Opponents Avg. Stats Against0.70.91.7214-639.9%1-159.0%3-60(23.4)16-2(8.8)6-57
Stats For (Home Games)0.51.52.01.014-539.3%0-00.0%2-64(25.6)2-13(5.4)7-63
Stats Against (All Games)1.00.71.7 14-538.6%1-033.3%2-41(23.7)1-11(9)4-56
Opponents Avg. Stats For1.20.92.2 13-535.2%1-155.4%3-70(22.9)20-2(11.4)5-47
Stats Against (Home Games)1.51.53.0 12-328.0%1-00.0%2-37(18.7)1-18(18.5)3-42
Average power rating of opponents played: NEW ENGLAND 17,  CINCINNATI 22.8
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
NEW ENGLAND - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
9/8/2013@ BUFFALO23-21W-10L51U35-15829-52-273334-13618-27-1502
9/12/2013NY JETS13-10W-10.5L43.5U24-5419-39-178032-12915-35-1894
9/22/2013TAMPA BAY23-3W-7W44.5U33-15625-36-202122-9719-41-2261
9/29/2013@ ATLANTA30-23W3W49.5O31-13220-31-316015-5834-54-3991
10/6/2013@ CINCINNATI            
10/13/2013NEW ORLEANS            
10/20/2013@ NY JETS            
10/27/2013MIAMI            
11/3/2013PITTSBURGH            

CINCINNATI - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
9/8/2013@ CHICAGO21-24L3T41O21-6326-33-277328-8121-33-2421
9/16/2013PITTSBURGH20-10W-6.5W40U34-12725-45-280016-4420-37-2342
9/22/2013GREEN BAY34-30W3W48.5O24-8220-28-215430-18226-43-2174
9/29/2013@ CLEVELAND6-17L-3.5L43U20-6323-42-203230-8925-38-2470
10/6/2013NEW ENGLAND            
10/13/2013@ BUFFALO            
10/20/2013@ DETROIT            
10/27/2013NY JETS            
10/31/2013@ MIAMI            
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1992
CINCINNATI is 6-3 against the spread versus NEW ENGLAND since 1992
NEW ENGLAND is 7-2 straight up against CINCINNATI since 1992
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games over the last 3 seasons
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

All games played at CINCINNATI since 1992
CINCINNATI is 3-2 against the spread versus NEW ENGLAND since 1992
NEW ENGLAND is 3-2 straight up against CINCINNATI since 1992
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games played at CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons.
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring CINCINNATI in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NEW ENGLAND games 45.1% of the time since 1992. (125-152)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NEW ENGLAND games 53.1% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (17-15)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CINCINNATI games 53.2% of the time since 1992. (132-116)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CINCINNATI games 64% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (16-9)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the UNDER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in NEW ENGLAND games 53.6% of the time since 1992. (162-140)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in NEW ENGLAND games 58.3% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (21-15)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CINCINNATI games 48.4% of the time since 1992. (136-145)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CINCINNATI games 40.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (13-19)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
NEW ENGLAND
[TE] 10/06/2013 - Rob Gronkowski expected to miss Sunday vs. Cincinnati ( Arm )
[WR] 10/04/2013 - Danny Amendola is upgraded to probable Sunday vs. Cincinnati ( Groin )
[RB] 10/04/2013 - Stevan Ridley expected to miss Sunday vs. Cincinnati ( Leg )
[RB] 10/04/2013 - Brandon Bolden probable Sunday vs. Cincinnati ( Knee )
[WR] 09/30/2013 - Aaron Dobson "?" Sunday vs. Cincinnati ( Neck )
[DT] 09/30/2013 - Vince Wilfork IR ( Ankle )
[T] 09/29/2013 - Sebastian Vollmer "?" Sunday vs. Cincinnati ( Foot )
[KR] 09/29/2013 - Leon Washington "?" Sunday vs. Cincinnati ( Thigh )
[WR] 09/17/2013 - Matt Slater out indefinitely ( Hand )
[RB] 09/10/2013 - Shane Vereen expected to miss 6-8 weeks ( Wrist )
[S] 09/02/2013 - Adrian Wilson IR ( Undisclosed )
[DE] 09/02/2013 - Armond Armstead PUP ( Illness )
[WR] 09/02/2013 - Mark Harrison PUP ( Foot )
[T] 09/02/2013 - Markus Zusevics IR ( Arm )
[G] 09/02/2013 - Tyronne Green IR ( Undisclosed )
CINCINNATI
[LB] 10/05/2013 - James Harrison probable Sunday vs. New England ( Knee )
[G] 10/04/2013 - Mike Pollak doubtful Sunday vs. New England ( Knee )
[CB] 10/04/2013 - Leon Hall doubtful Sunday vs. New England ( Hamstring )
[S] 10/04/2013 - Reggie Nelson probable Sunday vs. New England ( Hamstring )
[LB] 10/04/2013 - Vontaze Burfict probable Sunday vs. New England ( Neck )
[DE] 10/04/2013 - Michael Johnson doubtful Sunday vs. New England ( Concussion )
[CB] 10/04/2013 - Brandon Ghee doubtful Sunday vs. New England ( Thigh )
[CB] 09/29/2013 - Dre Kirkpatrick "?" Sunday vs. New England ( Hamstring )
[DE] 09/18/2013 - Robert Geathers IR ( Elbow )
[WR] 09/05/2013 - Andrew Hawkins IR ( Ankle )
[RB] 09/02/2013 - Bernard Scott PUP ( Knee )
[LB] 09/02/2013 - Brandon Joiner IR ( Undisclosed )
[FB] 09/02/2013 - Chris Pressley PUP ( Knee )
[LB] 09/02/2013 - Emmanuel Lamur IR ( Shoulder )
[LB] 09/02/2013 - Sean Porter IR ( Shoulder )
[T] 09/02/2013 - Tanner Hawkinson out indefinitely ( Ankle )
[QB] 09/02/2013 - Zac Robinson PUP ( Elbow )
[DE] 09/02/2013 - DeQuin Evans expected to miss first 8 games ( Suspension )
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