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Thunder
Mavericks
D. Jones Points & Rebounds +19% (36% EV) Win Rate Over Implied: How much more likely this bet is to cover than the implied odds.

Expected Value: The expected percent return on investment over time on this bet. The higher the odds, the more time it will take to realize this expected value.
71% u12.5 -106
P. Washington Points & Rebounds +17% (30% EV) Win Rate Over Implied: How much more likely this bet is to cover than the implied odds.

Expected Value: The expected percent return on investment over time on this bet. The higher the odds, the more time it will take to realize this expected value.
73% u22.5 -125
P. Washington Points, Rebounds, & Assists +17% (30% EV) Win Rate Over Implied: How much more likely this bet is to cover than the implied odds.

Expected Value: The expected percent return on investment over time on this bet. The higher the odds, the more time it will take to realize this expected value.
74% u24.5 -128
P. Washington Points +16% (30% EV) Win Rate Over Implied: How much more likely this bet is to cover than the implied odds.

Expected Value: The expected percent return on investment over time on this bet. The higher the odds, the more time it will take to realize this expected value.
68% u14.5 -108
D. Jones Points +15% (26% EV) Win Rate Over Implied: How much more likely this bet is to cover than the implied odds.

Expected Value: The expected percent return on investment over time on this bet. The higher the odds, the more time it will take to realize this expected value.
72% u9.5 -128

More

P. Washington 3 Pointers +13% (24% EV) Win Rate Over Implied: How much more likely this bet is to cover than the implied odds.

Expected Value: The expected percent return on investment over time on this bet. The higher the odds, the more time it will take to realize this expected value.
67% u2.5 -113
I. Joe Rebounds +11% (22% EV) Win Rate Over Implied: How much more likely this bet is to cover than the implied odds.

Expected Value: The expected percent return on investment over time on this bet. The higher the odds, the more time it will take to realize this expected value.
61% o2.5 +102
C. Holmgren Points & Rebounds +11% (20% EV) Win Rate Over Implied: How much more likely this bet is to cover than the implied odds.

Expected Value: The expected percent return on investment over time on this bet. The higher the odds, the more time it will take to realize this expected value.
65% o23.5 -113
C. Holmgren Points, Rebounds, & Assists +10% (18% EV) Win Rate Over Implied: How much more likely this bet is to cover than the implied odds.

Expected Value: The expected percent return on investment over time on this bet. The higher the odds, the more time it will take to realize this expected value.
64% o25.5 -113
A. Wiggins Points & Rebounds +10% (17% EV) Win Rate Over Implied: How much more likely this bet is to cover than the implied odds.

Expected Value: The expected percent return on investment over time on this bet. The higher the odds, the more time it will take to realize this expected value.
67% u8.5 -130
C. Holmgren Rebounds +10% (21% EV) Win Rate Over Implied: How much more likely this bet is to cover than the implied odds.

Expected Value: The expected percent return on investment over time on this bet. The higher the odds, the more time it will take to realize this expected value.
58% o8.5 +110
C. Holmgren Points +9% (18% EV) Win Rate Over Implied: How much more likely this bet is to cover than the implied odds.

Expected Value: The expected percent return on investment over time on this bet. The higher the odds, the more time it will take to realize this expected value.
59% o15.5 +104
A. Wiggins Points +9% (16% EV) Win Rate Over Implied: How much more likely this bet is to cover than the implied odds.

Expected Value: The expected percent return on investment over time on this bet. The higher the odds, the more time it will take to realize this expected value.
65% u5.5 -124
J. Giddey Points +7% (13% EV) Win Rate Over Implied: How much more likely this bet is to cover than the implied odds.

Expected Value: The expected percent return on investment over time on this bet. The higher the odds, the more time it will take to realize this expected value.
58% u5.5 -104
D. Jones 3 Pointers +7% (10% EV) Win Rate Over Implied: How much more likely this bet is to cover than the implied odds.

Expected Value: The expected percent return on investment over time on this bet. The higher the odds, the more time it will take to realize this expected value.
76% u1.5 -215
L. Doncic Rebounds +7% (12% EV) Win Rate Over Implied: How much more likely this bet is to cover than the implied odds.

Expected Value: The expected percent return on investment over time on this bet. The higher the odds, the more time it will take to realize this expected value.
64% u10.5 -128
I. Joe 3 Pointers +6% (13% EV) Win Rate Over Implied: How much more likely this bet is to cover than the implied odds.

Expected Value: The expected percent return on investment over time on this bet. The higher the odds, the more time it will take to realize this expected value.
50% u1.5 +132
L. Dort Points & Rebounds +6% (11% EV) Win Rate Over Implied: How much more likely this bet is to cover than the implied odds.

Expected Value: The expected percent return on investment over time on this bet. The higher the odds, the more time it will take to realize this expected value.
59% u15.5 -111
T. Hardaway Points +6% (12% EV) Win Rate Over Implied: How much more likely this bet is to cover than the implied odds.

Expected Value: The expected percent return on investment over time on this bet. The higher the odds, the more time it will take to realize this expected value.
54% u5.5 +110
L. Dort Rebounds +6% (11% EV) Win Rate Over Implied: How much more likely this bet is to cover than the implied odds.

Expected Value: The expected percent return on investment over time on this bet. The higher the odds, the more time it will take to realize this expected value.
60% u4.5 -115
S. Gilgeous-Alexander Rebounds +6% (11% EV) Win Rate Over Implied: How much more likely this bet is to cover than the implied odds.

Expected Value: The expected percent return on investment over time on this bet. The higher the odds, the more time it will take to realize this expected value.
59% u7.5 -110
D. Jones Rebounds +6% (10% EV) Win Rate Over Implied: How much more likely this bet is to cover than the implied odds.

Expected Value: The expected percent return on investment over time on this bet. The higher the odds, the more time it will take to realize this expected value.
63% u3.5 -128
C. Holmgren 3 Pointers +5% (11% EV) Win Rate Over Implied: How much more likely this bet is to cover than the implied odds.

Expected Value: The expected percent return on investment over time on this bet. The higher the odds, the more time it will take to realize this expected value.
50% o1.5 +124
D. Gafford Rebounds +5% (8% EV) Win Rate Over Implied: How much more likely this bet is to cover than the implied odds.

Expected Value: The expected percent return on investment over time on this bet. The higher the odds, the more time it will take to realize this expected value.
63% u7.5 -134
Thunder Moneyline +5% (12% EV) Win Rate Over Implied: How much more likely this bet is to cover than the implied odds.

Expected Value: The expected percent return on investment over time on this bet. The higher the odds, the more time it will take to realize this expected value.
45% +152
K. Irving Points & Rebounds +5% (9% EV) Win Rate Over Implied: How much more likely this bet is to cover than the implied odds.

Expected Value: The expected percent return on investment over time on this bet. The higher the odds, the more time it will take to realize this expected value.
59% o25.5 -113
L. Dort Points, Rebounds, & Assists +5% (9% EV) Win Rate Over Implied: How much more likely this bet is to cover than the implied odds.

Expected Value: The expected percent return on investment over time on this bet. The higher the odds, the more time it will take to realize this expected value.
59% u17.5 -113
K. Irving 3 Pointers +5% (11% EV) Win Rate Over Implied: How much more likely this bet is to cover than the implied odds.

Expected Value: The expected percent return on investment over time on this bet. The higher the odds, the more time it will take to realize this expected value.
50% o2.5 +124
D. Lively Rebounds +4% (7% EV) Win Rate Over Implied: How much more likely this bet is to cover than the implied odds.

Expected Value: The expected percent return on investment over time on this bet. The higher the odds, the more time it will take to realize this expected value.
56% u6.5 -108
I. Joe Points +4% (7% EV) Win Rate Over Implied: How much more likely this bet is to cover than the implied odds.

Expected Value: The expected percent return on investment over time on this bet. The higher the odds, the more time it will take to realize this expected value.
57% u7.5 -110
J. Williams Points +4% (7% EV) Win Rate Over Implied: How much more likely this bet is to cover than the implied odds.

Expected Value: The expected percent return on investment over time on this bet. The higher the odds, the more time it will take to realize this expected value.
60% o17.5 -124
P. Washington Rebounds +4% (7% EV) Win Rate Over Implied: How much more likely this bet is to cover than the implied odds.

Expected Value: The expected percent return on investment over time on this bet. The higher the odds, the more time it will take to realize this expected value.
61% u7.5 -128
K. Irving Rebounds +4% (8% EV) Win Rate Over Implied: How much more likely this bet is to cover than the implied odds.

Expected Value: The expected percent return on investment over time on this bet. The higher the odds, the more time it will take to realize this expected value.
52% o4.5 +110
L. Doncic Assists +4% (7% EV) Win Rate Over Implied: How much more likely this bet is to cover than the implied odds.

Expected Value: The expected percent return on investment over time on this bet. The higher the odds, the more time it will take to realize this expected value.
61% u9.5 -128
C. Wallace Points +4% (7% EV) Win Rate Over Implied: How much more likely this bet is to cover than the implied odds.

Expected Value: The expected percent return on investment over time on this bet. The higher the odds, the more time it will take to realize this expected value.
59% o4.5 -118
K. Irving Assists +4% (8% EV) Win Rate Over Implied: How much more likely this bet is to cover than the implied odds.

Expected Value: The expected percent return on investment over time on this bet. The higher the odds, the more time it will take to realize this expected value.
53% u5.5 +106
P. Washington Blocks +4% (6% EV) Win Rate Over Implied: How much more likely this bet is to cover than the implied odds.

Expected Value: The expected percent return on investment over time on this bet. The higher the odds, the more time it will take to realize this expected value.
64% o0.5 -148
J. Williams Points & Rebounds +4% (7% EV) Win Rate Over Implied: How much more likely this bet is to cover than the implied odds.

Expected Value: The expected percent return on investment over time on this bet. The higher the odds, the more time it will take to realize this expected value.
59% o23.5 -122
L. Doncic 3 Pointers +4% (9% EV) Win Rate Over Implied: How much more likely this bet is to cover than the implied odds.

Expected Value: The expected percent return on investment over time on this bet. The higher the odds, the more time it will take to realize this expected value.
45% o3.5 +144
J. Williams Points & Assists +3% (6% EV) Win Rate Over Implied: How much more likely this bet is to cover than the implied odds.

Expected Value: The expected percent return on investment over time on this bet. The higher the odds, the more time it will take to realize this expected value.
53% o23.5 -100
J. Williams Points, Rebounds, & Assists +3% (5% EV) Win Rate Over Implied: How much more likely this bet is to cover than the implied odds.

Expected Value: The expected percent return on investment over time on this bet. The higher the odds, the more time it will take to realize this expected value.
58% o28.5 -122
K. Irving Points +3% (5% EV) Win Rate Over Implied: How much more likely this bet is to cover than the implied odds.

Expected Value: The expected percent return on investment over time on this bet. The higher the odds, the more time it will take to realize this expected value.
59% o20.5 -124
L. Doncic Points +3% (5% EV) Win Rate Over Implied: How much more likely this bet is to cover than the implied odds.

Expected Value: The expected percent return on investment over time on this bet. The higher the odds, the more time it will take to realize this expected value.
55% o28.5 -108
K. Irving Points, Rebounds, & Assists +3% (5% EV) Win Rate Over Implied: How much more likely this bet is to cover than the implied odds.

Expected Value: The expected percent return on investment over time on this bet. The higher the odds, the more time it will take to realize this expected value.
56% o31.5 -111
J. Williams Steals +3% (5% EV) Win Rate Over Implied: How much more likely this bet is to cover than the implied odds.

Expected Value: The expected percent return on investment over time on this bet. The higher the odds, the more time it will take to realize this expected value.
61% u1.5 -136
L. Dort Points +3% (6% EV) Win Rate Over Implied: How much more likely this bet is to cover than the implied odds.

Expected Value: The expected percent return on investment over time on this bet. The higher the odds, the more time it will take to realize this expected value.
53% u10.5 +104
D. Lively Points +3% (6% EV) Win Rate Over Implied: How much more likely this bet is to cover than the implied odds.

Expected Value: The expected percent return on investment over time on this bet. The higher the odds, the more time it will take to realize this expected value.
52% o8.5 +108
L. Dort 3 Pointers +3% (7% EV) Win Rate Over Implied: How much more likely this bet is to cover than the implied odds.

Expected Value: The expected percent return on investment over time on this bet. The higher the odds, the more time it will take to realize this expected value.
42% u1.5 +158
K. Irving Steals +2% (3% EV) Win Rate Over Implied: How much more likely this bet is to cover than the implied odds.

Expected Value: The expected percent return on investment over time on this bet. The higher the odds, the more time it will take to realize this expected value.
65% u1.5 -164
S. Gilgeous-Alexander Assists +2% (3% EV) Win Rate Over Implied: How much more likely this bet is to cover than the implied odds.

Expected Value: The expected percent return on investment over time on this bet. The higher the odds, the more time it will take to realize this expected value.
56% o6.5 -115
C. Holmgren Blocks +2% (3% EV) Win Rate Over Implied: How much more likely this bet is to cover than the implied odds.

Expected Value: The expected percent return on investment over time on this bet. The higher the odds, the more time it will take to realize this expected value.
54% o2.5 -108
OKC @ DAL Total +2% (3% EV) Win Rate Over Implied: How much more likely this bet is to cover than the implied odds.

Expected Value: The expected percent return on investment over time on this bet. The higher the odds, the more time it will take to realize this expected value.
55% o208.5 -112
S. Gilgeous-Alexander Steals +1% (1% EV) Win Rate Over Implied: How much more likely this bet is to cover than the implied odds.

Expected Value: The expected percent return on investment over time on this bet. The higher the odds, the more time it will take to realize this expected value.
58% o1.5 -130
OKC Team Total +1% (1% EV) Win Rate Over Implied: How much more likely this bet is to cover than the implied odds.

Expected Value: The expected percent return on investment over time on this bet. The higher the odds, the more time it will take to realize this expected value.
55% o102.5 -115
D. Lively Points & Rebounds +1% (1% EV) Win Rate Over Implied: How much more likely this bet is to cover than the implied odds.

Expected Value: The expected percent return on investment over time on this bet. The higher the odds, the more time it will take to realize this expected value.
56% o14.5 -120
L. Dort Steals +1% (1% EV) Win Rate Over Implied: How much more likely this bet is to cover than the implied odds.

Expected Value: The expected percent return on investment over time on this bet. The higher the odds, the more time it will take to realize this expected value.
66% u1.5 -180
Thunder Spread
53% +4 -110 45% -4 -110
D. Gafford Points & Rebounds
49% o16.5 -122 51% u16.5 -104
J. Williams Rebounds
53% o5.5 -110 47% u5.5 -110
L. Doncic Steals
38% o1.5 +124 62% u1.5 -158
A. Wiggins Rebounds
49% o2.5 -120 51% u2.5 -102
K. Irving Points & Assists
56% o26.5 -125 44% u26.5 -102
S. Gilgeous-Alexander Points & Rebounds
53% u38.5 -113
J. Williams Blocks
52% u0.5 -111
D. Jones Blocks
59% o0.5 -148
DAL Team Total
50% o106.5 -104
L. Doncic Points & Assists
54% o37.5 -120
S. Gilgeous-Alexander Blocks
65% u1.5 -188
J. Williams Assists
57% o4.5 -142
L. Doncic Points & Rebounds
53% o38.5 -122
D. Gafford Points
50% o9.5 -108
S. Gilgeous-Alexander 3 Pointers
38% o1.5 +152
D. Gafford Blocks
52% u1.5 -113
I. Joe Points & Rebounds
55% u10.5 -128
S. Gilgeous-Alexander Points, Rebounds, & Assists
53% u45.5 -120
S. Gilgeous-Alexander Points
51% o30.5 -115
P. Washington Steals
68% u1.5 -235
J. Giddey Rebounds
47% u2.5 +104
S. Gilgeous-Alexander Points & Assists
51% o37.5 -113
L. Doncic Points, Rebounds, & Assists
48% o48.5 -104
J. Williams 3 Pointers
41% o1.5 +132
K. Irving Rebounds & Assists
--% o10.5 +104
S. Gilgeous-Alexander Rebounds & Assists
--% o14.5 -102
L. Doncic Rebounds & Assists
--% o19.5 -104
L. Dort Rebounds & Assists
--% o6.5 -104
J. Williams Rebounds & Assists
--% o10.5 -115
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Player Name Prop Type
50% o10 -110

Pick percentage is the percentage of simulations where that pick hits.

Picks highlighted with X% EV are picks with a postive profit margin over time.

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