2021 MLB Home Run Derby Odds and Prop Bets at Coors Field

The MLB All-Star break is here, but betting on baseball isn’t going anywhere. 2021 Home Run Derby odds are out, including Home Run Derby props, at our favorite online sportsbooks.

It’s been two years since baseball fans have been able to bet on the slugfest, but with Coors Field playing host, this season’s event is sure to help make up for lost time. Not only will the Home Run Derby take place in this ultra hitter-friendly ballpark, but Major League Baseball officials announced that they will be ditching the humidor, a device that helps deaden the baseball and compensate for the thin air in the Mile High City.

So where does that leave us and what kind of Home Run Derby props are we to bet on?

Home Run Derby Props & Odds

Distance of Longest Home Run in the 1st Round

• Over 500.5 Feet (-120)
• Under 500.5 Feet (+100)

Distance of Longest Home Run in Competition

• Over 510.5 Feet (-145)
• Under 510.5 Feet (+115)

This is where the absence of humidor might really help us out, but it’ll still be no easy feat to send this over the betting line.

Giancarlo Stanton holds the record for the longest home run in Coors Field history. In 2016, he sent one 504 feet. The longest regular-season home run is 505 feet, hit by Nomar Mazara in 2019 at Global Life Park.

At Marlins Park, Aaron Judge hit a 513-foot home run during the 2017 Derby in humidor-free conditions. Here are the four other longest Home Run Derby dingers hit since 2016:

2. Aaron Judge: 507 feet, 2017 (Marlins Park)
3-T. Aaron Judge: 504 feet, 2017 (Marlins Park)
3-T. Aaron Judge: 504 feet, 2017 (Marlins Park)
5-T. Giancarlo Stanton: 497 feet, 2016 (Petco Park)
5-T. Giancarlo Stanton: 497 feet, 2016 (Petco Park)

This year, no Home Run Derby contestant has sent one farther than Shohei Ohtani’s 470-foot bomb. The next closest? Trevor Story hit a 466-foot home run earlier this season, followed by Joey Gallo and Salvador Perez, whose season longs are 462 and 460 feet, respectively.

Of course, that was during a sticky regular season. What we’ll see Monday night is nothing more than a glorified batting practice session. The last time Coors Field hosted the Home Run Derby was in 1998, and Mark McGwire knocked one an estimated 510 feet.

Pick: Over 500.5 Feet

My first instinct was to bet Under this Home Run Derby prop, but the more I read the more I’m convinced that we’re going to see a record-breaking night. Manny Randhawa of MLB.com did some investigating for us, with quotes thoughts from a physics professor and a former Rockies slugger. Here are some of the main takeaways from this article, Coors Derby: Will we see the longest HR ever hit?

“If you look at exit velocities around baseball, they pretty much top out at about 120 mph. So if you sort of take that as the highest, and you launch at some reasonable launch angle like 30 degrees, that ball will travel about 500 feet at sea level. So when we do some rough calculations at elevation — around 5,000 feet above sea level — we come up with 542 feet.” –  University of Illinois Physics professor emeritus Alan Nathan

“I think there will definitely be a ball hit close to 550 feet. I think Ohtani has a chance to do that for sure.” – Matt Holliday

Home Run Derby Winner