2022 Rocket Mortgage Classic Golf Betting Tips: Outrights, Top-10 Picks and Longshots

Justin “STLCardinals84” Van Zuiden is a lead DFS and golf betting analyst for RotoGrinders and ScoresAndOdds. In this week’s preview, he will offer his favorite Rocket Mortgage Classic outright bets, top-10 picks and longshots!

Welcome back to the weekly golf betting roundup article! 

The regular season is winding down on the PGA Tour schedule, with just two weeks remaining before the FedEx Cup playoffs begin. This will be the final push for players to make their way inside the top 125 in the standings to sneak into that playoff race.

As for this week’s Rocket Mortgage Classic, Detroit Golf Club will host for the fourth-straight year. It is a moderate length par 72 layout that generally plays as an easy course. There is very little trouble lurking here, and the course has had the lowest double bogey or worse rate of any course on Tour over the last three years. Winning scores have ranged from -18 to -25 in the first three editions. I will be targeting good par five scorers and birdie makers.

Let’s try to find some winning bets!

• Editor’s Note: Make sure to use our PrizePicks bonus and Caesars promo code to begin betting on golf now!

STL’s Outright Betting Picks

Cameron Young to win (+1800 on BetMGM) – Patrick Cantlay is the obvious safe choice at the top, but I’m going to roll with Young. His performance at The Open Championship was very impressive, and he has quickly become one of the best drivers of the golf ball on Tour. Bryson DeChambeau won here a few years ago, proving that you can overpower this course with drives if you are accurate enough. Over the last 36 rounds, he leads this field in strokes gained off the tee and ranks fourth in ball striking. He also grades out inside the top 50 in every single strokes gained metric during that span. Young now has four top tens in his last seven stroke-play starts, and a win could very well be coming soon.

Sahith Theegala to win (+4000 on DraftKings) – This betting range is littered with players who failed as chalk last week. Theegala. Riley. Tringale. Hadwin. All had their struggles at the 3M Open, and all have seen their odds depressed as a result. I’ll highlight Theegala, who has shown a lot of upside over the past four months. A win is coming at some point, and this relatively weak field event could be the spot. He ranks 19th in this field in tee to green play over the last 36 rounds.

STL’s Top 10 Betting Picks

Russell Henley Top 10 Finish (+500 on DraftKings) – There isn’t a whole lot of buzz around Henley right now, but much of that is because we haven’t seen him in a regular PGA Tour event since May 8th. His last three starts have all been in majors, where he made the cut with underwhelming finishes in two of the three. His results are skewed by the fact that he has generally been playing in more difficult events. If we go back to the late winter / early spring, we see more consistent results from him. He still ranks 4th in this field in approach play and 8th in tee to green play over his last 36 rounds, and these are the types of tournaments where he generally excels. 

Callum Tarren Top 10 Finish (+800 on FanDuel / +900 on DraftKings) – I have been really impressed with what we have seen from Tarren since he started playing more on the PGA Tour. In his last three stroke play events on U.S. soil, he has finished 6th, 22nd, and 7th. He gained around 4.5 strokes off the tee and on approach last week on his way to that 7th place finish, and his all around numbers have looked very solid of late. The near term data is very encouraging, and I wouldn’t be surprised to see him sneak into another top ten.

Long Shots and Other Bets

Long Shots – We could definitely see a long shot contend for a victory this week, just as Scott Piercy did at the 3M Open a week ago (and, frankly, he should have won if not for a back nine implosion on Sunday). This tournament often turns into a putting contest if the birdies are flowing, and that increases variance. Patrick Rodgers, Wyndham Clark, and the aforementioned Callum Tarren are a few of my favorites that currently sit in the 100-to-1 range to win the tournament.

Cameron Davis over Tony Finau H2H (+120 on BetRivers) – This is a wild card matchup in my book this week. Cameron Davis is the defending champion of this event and has to deal with all the pomp and circumstance that surrounds holding that title. Tony Finau is coming off an adrenaline-filled win last week with the letdown factor in play. Both are high upside golfers that are capable of making a lot of birdies, and this is virtually a toss up for me. As such, I’ll gladly take Davis in a head to head matchup at decent plus odds.

Good luck this week everyone! Let’s win some money!