2022 Travelers Championship Golf Betting Tips: Outrights, Top-10 Picks and Longshots
Justin “STLCardinals84” Van Zuiden is a lead DFS and golf betting analyst for RotoGrinders and ScoresAndOdds. In this week’s preview, he will offer his favorite Travelers Championship outright bets, top-10 picks, and longshots!
Welcome back to the weekly golf betting roundup article!
This week, we have the Travelers Championship at TPC River Highlands in Connecticut. This course is a very short par 70 layout by today’s PGA Tour standards, and golfers need to be solid with their approach shots while scoring well on par fours in order to contend here.
There are only two par fives at this venue, and they don’t play all that easy compared to other courses on the PGA Tour. As such, par four scoring is of prime importance. That will be a statistic along with the aforementioned focus on approach play. Both long and short hitters can contend here. It is all about finding fairways and greens in regulation and making putts when it matters.
Let’s try to find some winning bets!
Free PGA Betting Picks For This Week
Travelers Championship Outright Picks
- Patrick Cantlay (+1400 on BetMGM) – We should see Cantlay start to play with confidence again after a solid showing at the U.S. Open last week. Despite his recent hiccups, he still ranks 7th in total strokes gained and 15th in ball striking in this field over the last 36 rounds. He has also developed a love for TPC River Highlands, finishing inside the top 15 in each of the last four editions of this event. He plays well on these types of courses and should find himself back in the mix for a potential win on Sunday. With some top talent dropping out of this field over the last 24 hours, it seems like the books have been slow to adjust his odds, as well.
- Mito Pereira to win (+5000 on PointsBet) – This is a fantastic line. Pereira missed the cut on the number last week, so it’s not as though he played terrible golf. That is especially true when you consider that he landed on the wrong side of the weather draw, which produced about a 1.5 shot disadvantage compared to the more favorable wave. His last 36 round statistics remain fantastic, including leading this field in ball striking and ranking top ten in every category except the short game metrics. He shouldn’t be priced this long to win the tournament, and I’ll bet him in several different markets (top five, top ten, top twenty) as well.
Travelers Championship Top-10 Picks
- Kevin Streelman Top 10 Finish (+1100 on FanDuel) – He hasn’t been playing solid golf these days by any means, but Streelman is always a player that I like targeting on the type of course that we see for this tournament. He has finished 33rd or better in four of the last five editions of this event, and the course caters to his skill set. He ranks 24th in this field off the tee and 48th on approach over the last 36 rounds, and it has simply been his flat stick holding him back. Some positive regression there could get him back in the top 10 mix, and I’ll take my chances at double digit odds.
- Lanto Griffin Top 10 Finish (+1600 on DraftKings) – Griffin has a knack for playing his best golf when nobody is paying attention to him. I like that when we can get him as this long of odds for a top ten finish. Statistical models do like him this week, at least quite a bit more than the oddsmakers do. He has made five of his last six cuts, and the statistical profile is decent across the board. There are a lot worse bets you can make if you are looking at 16-to-1!
Travelers Championship Long Shots and Other Bets
- Long Shots – We do have a fairly strong field at the top this week, but that is starting to thin out with players like Brooks Koepka and Justin Thomas withdrawing as of Wednesday morning. Aaron Rai, Jhonnatan Vegas, and Tom Hoge have all shown upside at times this year, and they are all priced in the 100-to-1 to 125-to-1 range on most books. They are my favorite potential long shot options.
- Davis Riley (-152, BetRivers) vs. Sahith Theegala Head to Head – I am going to ride this money train as long as I can. Riley continues to be matched up with golfers head-to-head that he has no business being just a small favorite over. Riley continues to produce top finishes on a weekly basis, and he finished a respectable 31st in last week’s major. His head-to-head opponent Scott Stallings missed the cut by three strokes. Theegala has a bright future, but Riley is clearly the better golfer right now. Ride the wave.
Good luck this week everyone! Let’s win some money!