Bucks vs. Suns Game 6 Odds, Preview, & Prediction

Bucks vs. Suns Game 6 Odds

NBA betting analyst previews Suns vs. Bucks odds. Follow along for his best bets and picks ahead of Game 6 of the NBA Finals on Tuesday night. Odds are courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook.

Two games into the 2021 NBA Finals, the Phoenix Suns looked like the surefire favorites to hoist the Larry O’Brien trophy. Five games in, they look like no match for the Milwaukee Bucks. What a difference a few games can make. Now, Milwaukee just needs to win one out of two, with Game 6 back at home in Deer District. 

The Suns had looked comfortable at home all postseason, where they have enjoyed a 35-12 record throughout all games in the 2020-21 season. But they collapsed at home in Game 5, getting boat-raced by the Bucks in the second and third quarters 79-53. Phoenix had been outscored in the middle quarters of Game 3 in Milwaukee 73-48, and got decisively destroyed in an epic collapse of a 33-21 fourth quarter in Game 4. 

The question among NBA fans now: can Chris Paul lead his young squad to a series-extending victory in the most important Game 6 of his 16-year career?

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Phoenix Suns

If I had to bet on it, I would say yes. CP3 is one of the all-time great point guards, and his legacy is on the line Tuesday. I trust he will rise above the pressure and deliver an instant-classic performance, regardless of the turnover troubles he has gotten himself into the past few games. 

Suns coach Monty Williams has also exhibited great poise throughout the season, and there’s no doubt he can rally his squad in a high-stress, must-win situation. Young superstar Devin Booker has been his normal standard of great offensively. Veteran Jae Crowder has looked the best he has looked all postseason, especially on defense and from three-point land. Deandre Ayton has done yeoman’s work down low on both sides of the floor. Even Mikal Bridges and the Cameron duo of Payne and Johnson have come up huge. 

It all comes down to the veteran and future Hall of Famer, Mr. Christopher Emmanuel Paul. If he wants to be more than just an elite regular-season point guard, the 36-year old must lift his squad of mostly 20-somethings above and beyond Tuesday evening. 

Milwaukee Bucks

One thing is for sure: the Bucks will not be easy to beat in Wisconsin. Giannis Antetokounmpo has been massive throughout the middle part of this series, with the two-time MVP using every inch of his frame and every bit of his strength to pick apart the Suns defense. And with Brook Lopez and Bobby Portis also providing center depth for Milwaukee, Phoenix’s size disparity has been exposed.

Khris Middleton has come up huge in the last couple games. While Giannis gets most of the credit for his dominating nature, two-time All-Star Middleton has proved the true x-factor—he has 69 points, 13 rebounds, and nine assists in Milwaukee’s last two wins over Phoenix. He also has three three-pointers in each game of the Bucks’ three-game winning streak. 

Then there’s Jrue Holiday, the Bucks’ key acquisition at point guard this season. The veteran and former All-Star has alternated good games with bad offensively, but he has looked phenomenal at all levels defensively. His perimeter defense on Paul and Booker has been nothing short of extraordinary, and it has rubbed off on the rest of his team. 

P.J. Tucker has been as lockdown as ever. Giannis has showed why he was a two-time Defensive Player of the Year. Middleton, Portis, Lopez, and even Pat Connaughton have also demonstrated pride on the defensive end. Coach Mike Budenholzer should be elated with the all-out effort his players have given him. 

This Bucks squad is a complete team, and it will in no way, shape, or form be easy for Phoenix to pull off the road upset against to extend the series. But I’m going with history—it’s extremely rare for a team to start off an NBA Finals 2-0 and then lose four consecutive games. I would be utterly shocked if that happened Tuesday, and we were somehow robbed of a Game 7 in this massively entertaining championship round. 

Bucks vs. Suns Game 6 Picks

Phoenix is getting five points Tuesday. I’m all-in on that. Think about it—in the biggest game of Paul, Booker, Ayton, and Crowders’ lives, do you really expect them to crumble and lose by six points? You may not deem the Suns worthy of the +170 moneyline bet, but you must at least be willing to back them to cover the +5.

The Suns are an NBA-best 30-16 on the road this season (no other team has better than a 24-16 away record). They have also led the league with a 10-5 away record as an underdog, both straight-up and against the spread. They rank second across all games this season as underdogs against the spread (12-8), and second across all games ATS regardless of venue (55-37-1). 

Additionally, I think we see a fast-paced, high-scoring game Tuesday night, similar to what we saw just a few days ago.

If anyone can dig itself out of a hole, it’s Phoenix. It proved at the beginning of this series—and at various points throughout the past few games—that it can go on dominant stretches. Monty Williams needs to get his squad up for this one, CP3 must play like the Hall of Famer he is, and the Suns need to put together four straight quality frames. Get big on them, young-gun Suns—you have history on the line. 

Game 5 Pick ATS: Suns +5
Over/Under Pick: O222.5