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Tides’ Takes: Free Expert Picks For Today- MLB Player Props

Timothy Buell Mon 6/20 7:16am PT
Our MLB expert is projecting a big day for the Boston Red Sox and to bet the overs on sportsbooks.
Image Credit: Imagn

ScoresAndOdds analyst Timothy Buell gives free expert advice and betting picks for Monday’s MLB games. Make sure to use our PrizePicks bonus and Caesars promo code to begin betting baseball props now!

Happy Monday everyone! Throughout the week, I will be giving out a few of my favorite MLB prop bets for free at ScoresAndOdds. Make sure to find the best lines at your favorite legal sportsbook.  

MLB Player Props Picks For Monday

If you follow any of our premium picks, you know that our team loves to pick on Noah Syndergaard when it comes to holding runners. He is one of the worst pitchers in all of baseball at preventing opposing baserunners from stealing a base. 

Now, the books have clearly adjusted for this, but I still think that it is worth taking a half unit on this play.  Whit Merrifield is a high-contact hitter that should be batting leadoff. Syndergaard is a low-strikeout pitcher, so the ball should be put in play. The books have Merrifield’s total bases at 1.5, so I think that they are predicting at least a hit for him today. If he gets on, I think he adds to his running total of eight stolen bases in 2022.

The Red Sox strikeout at a little better than league average against right-handed pitching this season. They will be squaring off with Alex Faedo, who has a below than 20% strikeout rate on the season and I don’t see this start ending well for him on the road at Fenway Park. I understand laying that much juice, especially on an under, can be negative fun, but I really like this bet today.

Faedo has multiple paths to failure in this game, which is what I want when laying this kind of juice. Current projection systems have him with a full strikeout lower, which is really the icing on the cake for me. 

As I alluded to above, I think that Faedo gets lit up by the Red Sox today. My prediction: we are going to see plenty of hard contact from Boston with very few strikeouts. Home run props can be a little fluky, and come with a lot of variance, so if you want to just take one of these, I’d be ok with that. I am going to put .25 units on each and hope that we catch a couple of barrels.  

Same thing applies to the home run props above, but I just think Martinez’s style fits better for the bases rather than the home run prop. He is a professional hitter, or in other words, an “old-school type of hitter” who prides himself on reaching base and making contact. He does have good hard-hit peripherals. It wouldn’t shock me at all for Martinez to hit a double in one swing.

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