Tides’ Takes: Free Expert Picks For Today- MLB Player Props (8/24/22)
ScoresAndOdds analyst Timothy Buell gives free expert advice and betting picks for Wednesday’s MLB games.
Happy Wednesday everyone! Throughout the week, I will be giving out a few of my favorite MLB prop bets that you can find for free right here at ScoresAndOdds.
Make sure to find the best lines at your favorite legal sportsbook.
- Editor’s Note: Make sure to use our PrizePicks bonus and Caesars promo code to begin betting baseball props now
Free MLB Player Prop Picks For Today
- Brayan Bello Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-120, DraftKings)
The sample size is still small with Bello, so I am certainly not saying he can’t live up to the hype at some point. I just don’t think he’s quite there yet.
The first 17 innings of his MLB career have been nothing short of a disaster. Now, he is coming off of an injury, and I expect the Red Sox take it easy on him, despite the fact that he has two rehab starts under his belt.
Against right-handed hitters this season, he has just a 15.6% K rate. More importantly, the first four hitters in the Toronto lineup are all right-handed heavy and all strikeout well under 20% of the time.
Bello is going to have trouble with that part of the lineup – not only with strikeouts – but I think it will also add to his pitch count. I am worried a little bit about Bo Bichette and Teoscar Hernandez, with their high level of strikeouts, but I have to assume some risk, because I feel really strongly that the top half of this Blue Jays’ lineup will give him a very difficult time.
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr. To Hit A Home Run (+450, PointsBet)
I am piggy backing off my last pick and anticipating a short tough outing for Bello. Vlad has a .229 ISO against right-handed pitchers, and like I said above, he has a very low strikeout rate. The temperature at Fenway tonight isn’t very high, but there is a steady breeze going straight out to left field. Remember the monster in left isn’t deep at all, and Fenway is one of the best home-run parks in baseball.
Vlad’s hard hit capabilities of 43.8% against right-handed pitchers makes this number a great value. I am also going to add Vlad’s over 1.5 total bases on DraftKings at -120 odds.
Single Game Parlay
As always, I wouldn’t put anymore than .25 units on any SGP. I considered taking these home-run props separately, but decided I’d take a risk today and go for the ceiling play by adding in a run total as well. Here is my three pick SGP from White Sox @ Orioles game thats pay +3500 at DraftKings Sportsbook :
- Over 8.5 Total Runs
- Jose Abreu to hit a homer
- Luis Robert to hit a homer