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Lunch w/ Luuch: NFL Player Props & Picks That Could Eat This Weekend

Justin Carlucci Wed 9/21 11:56am PT
Our NFL experts take a look at NFL player props for Week 2.
Image Credit: Imagn

Justin Carlucci takes a bite of this weekend’s NFL games, while highlighting some numbers that are popping for potential NFL player props picks!

Let’s eat! Welcome to the series, which you’ll find popping up on ScoresAndOdds a few times a month. I’ll take a look at some player props, totals and game lines that we should bring to the table.

Free Week 3 NFL Betting Picks

Seattle vs. Atlanta Over 41.5 Total Points

Last week, we nailed the sneaky shootout of the week on the Food For Thought podcast. This week, we’ve agreed that it could VERY well be the Falcons and Seattle to light up the scoreboard. Two bad teams with horrible defenses and a chance for many broken plays to pop up.

Yep, these two teams stink. Seattle currently ranks dead last plays per game, but what’s a two-game sample size? Denver dominated the time of possession despite losing to the Seahawks in Week 1. Maybe some of that data is baked in here.

Atlanta showed its more than capable of putting up points after the Falcons almost straight up stole last week’s meeting against the heavily favored Rams. Both teams still have enough playmakers on each side of the ball and nobody to deter them on the other side of the coin. 

Parlay IQ has this game total hitting over 41.5 at a 67% clip based on thousands of game simulations. Sign me up, I’m in.

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Darren Waller Over 47.5 Receiving Yards

Death, taxes and hammering this number for Waller. His line was 46.5 in Week 1 and jumped just a measly yard to 47.5 last week. I’ve written him up under our premium picks section both weeks. Dating back to last season, Waller has now covered this number in 10-of-14 games. He’s seen a healthy amount of targets and won’t be blanketed as much with more bracket coverage shaded toward Davante Adams.  The Titans have shown zero resistance to anyone, while Vegas opened up as slight road favorites in Nashville this weekend.

Brandin Cooks Over 60.5 Receiving Yards

This one is simple. Although he didn’t hit this number in a brutal matchup against Denver, he’s primed for a bounce-back opportunity against Chicago. Cooks has received double-digit targets in both games and owns a massive 30% target market share in Houston – to nobody’s surprise. It’s all about opportunity and Cooks should eclipse this number based on volume alone on Sunday.

Dalvin Cook Over 17.5 Receiving Yards

Cook has been heavily involved in the passing attack in both weeks. There was quite the negative game script last week, but I’m OK with it in this Week 3 matchup, as the Lions are more than subpar defensively. Cooks has played over 70% of Minnesota’s snaps this season, dismissing any possibility that Alexander Mattison would seriously cut into his role in 2022. The Lions (although a ridiculously brief sample size this season) are allowing the eighth most targets to opposing tailbacks with a success rate ranking in the upper third of the NFL.