Lunch w/ Luuch: NFL Player Props Picks That Could Feast This Weekend (12/23/22)
Justin Carlucci takes a bite of some player props for this weekend’s NFL games.
Back so soon! Happy holidays to everyone. It’s a great time to be sports fan this weekend! Let’s run this article back after we went 2-2 on Thursday night.
I know you have last-minute things to do this weekend, so let’s cut to the chase and find some winners.
- Editor’s Note: Make sure to use our PrizePicks bonus and Caesars promo code to begin betting now!
Free NFL Player Props Picks For This Weekend
- Najee Harris Over 58.5 Rushing Yards (-105, FanDuel)
Since the bye week, it’s like the Steelers realized they should give Harris the volume he deserves. His opportunities have been up and he’s hit this over in four of six games scene then. Pittsburgh is a zone-run team and Las Vegas owns the third-worst zone-run defense. The Blitz has Harris projected for 16.2 carries while eclipsing this number. Harris has gone over this number in each of the six games this season when he’s tallied at least 16 carries. The weather won’t be great and I’m sure Pittsburgh wants to tote the rock on the ground frequently.
I’m just not a huge believer in this Dallas defense. Parsons is legit, but this Philly O-Line is fantastic. Goedert hit this over in six of nine games this season. Last year, during a 2021 Minshew cameo against the Jets, Goedert had 100+ yards and two touchdowns. This line is too low. For some reason, Dallas does not yield targets to running backs, but is top third of the league in target percentage to both TE’s and WR’s.
- A.J. Brown Over 67.5 Receiving Yards (-113, FanDuel)
Maybe I’m drinking the Kool-Aid, but The Blitz also loves the Eagles. This is just a criminal line. We have AJB projected for 10 targets. He’s going to be hands-down the best receiver Minshew ever threw the ball to. Those patent Brown quick slants should be good enough to catch Diggs in the cookie jar once or twice. Give me the volume here. Of course, it’s a downgrade from Jalen Hurts, but Brown has covered this number in 9 of 14 games.
- Nick Chubb Over 80.5 Rushing Yards (-113, FanDuel)
Chubb has hit this over in nine of 14 games this season. The weather is going to be brutal and he is going to get serious volume against a Saints defense, which is 10th worst in yielding successful rushing plays. The Blitz projects Chubb for 88 yards and I think that’s conservative.